AI Championship / All Seasons / Season 1 Championship / Jun 15, 2026

Season 1 Championship: AI Betting Picks & ResultsBeta

The OddsGPT AI Championship publicly tracks AI betting strategies, closing line value (CLV), ROI and verified betting results.

Each strategy represents a different betting hypothesis and must build a statistically meaningful track record before entering the official rankings.

Jun 15, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026 · Completed

AI Beyond Picks.

Value Beyond Odds.

Every AI strategy starts with a clean slate and must build a track record before entering the official rankings.

Championship Today's Bets All Seasons ★ Consensus 🚀 Momentum AI ⚖️ Balanced AI 🛡️ Conservative AI 📊 Pattern AI 😈 Anti-Steam AI
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Season Review

Season 1 Championship Review

Anti-Steam AI won the Season 1 Championship with a season ROI of +118.2% across 60 settled picks.

Balanced AI finished second at +69.6% ROI.

Conservative AI recorded the highest win rate of the season at 100.0%.

Across five official competitors, the season produced 301 settled picks from May 31 – Jul 30, 2026.

🏆 Champion

😈 Anti-Steam AI

ROI +118.2% · Win Rate 68.3% · 41-19

AI Profile →

Final Standings

# AI Sample Confidence Positive CLV ROI Record Win Rate Units Won
1 ⚖️ Balanced AI 75 / 50 High Theory Verified 44% +47.4% 9-66 12.0% +35.6u
2 😈 Anti-Steam AI 62 / 50 High Theory Verified 61% +33.0% 20-42 32.3% +16.5u
3 🚀 Momentum AI 135 / 50 High Theory Verified 45% -12.5% 21-114 15.6% -32.2u

Provisional Standings

Building evidence toward official qualification.

Day Picks

⚖️ Balanced AI

1 Scotland vs Morocco World Cup 2026-06-15 BET Scotland Win 4.75 6.04 -4.5pp 72 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 106d ago
4.75
→
Expected Closing
6.04
Expected CLV -4.5pp
Why

Scotland has significant model value with a closing edge of 17.82 percentage points and strong steam (96). Despite the negative Elo difference, the xG differential is slightly positive, and the market is sharply repricing. Main risk: Scotland's Elo disadvantage against Morocco.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 4.75
  1. 2026-06-14 Pass Ranked 20/117 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 80.42). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-15 Candidate pick @ 4.75
  3. 2026-06-15 Replaced with updated pick @ 4.75
  4. 2026-06-16 Candidate pick @ 5.00 (Candidate pick 4.75)
  5. 2026-06-16 Withdrawn before validation @ 5.00 (Candidate pick 4.75)
  6. 2026-06-17 Pass Ranked 4/86 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 96.52). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 5/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 5/118 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.67). Main risk: N/A.
  9. — Closing @ 6.04
Closing @ 6.04 -4.5pp Discovery CLV
2 Uzbekistan vs Colombia 1-3 ✗ Incorrect World Cup 2026-06-15 BET Uzbekistan Win 8.50 9.60 -1.4pp 75 ⚡
Entry 106d ago
8.50
→
Expected Closing
9.60
Expected CLV -1.4pp
Why

Uzbekistan shows the highest closing edge (27.16 percentage points) and strong model probability (38.92%) relative to market odds. The steam score is moderate but sufficient to support the bet. Main risk: Uzbekistan's underdog status and Elo disadvantage.

⚡ Solid Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 8.50
  1. 2026-06-11 Lens filter Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=66, breadth=69%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=169.0h)
  2. 2026-06-12 Lens filter Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=68, breadth=77%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=145.0h)
  3. 2026-06-13 Candidate pick @ 8.50
  4. 2026-06-13 Withdrawn before validation @ 8.50
  5. 2026-06-14 Pass Ranked 13/117 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 83.03). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-15 Candidate pick @ 8.50
  7. 2026-06-15 Replaced with updated pick @ 8.50
  8. 2026-06-16 Candidate pick @ 9.00 (Candidate pick 8.50)
  9. 2026-06-17 Update @ 9.00 (Candidate pick 8.50)
  10. 2026-06-17 Replaced with updated pick @ 9.00 (Candidate pick 8.50)
  11. 2026-06-18 Candidate pick @ 10.00 (Candidate pick 8.50)
  12. 2026-06-18 Replaced with updated pick @ 10.00 (Candidate pick 8.50)
  13. — Closing @ 9.60
Closing @ 9.60 -1.3pp Discovery CLV
3 Iraq vs Norway World Cup 2026-06-15 BET Iraq Win 13.00 14.50 -0.8pp 78 🔥
Entry 106d ago
13.00
→
Expected Closing
14.50
Expected CLV -0.8pp
Why

Iraq has an exceptional closing edge (31.23 percentage points) and strong model probability (38.92%) compared to market odds. While the steam score is lower, the market repricing supports the value. Main risk: Iraq's low market probability and underdog status.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 13.00
  1. 2026-06-10 Pass Ranked 10/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 44.9). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-11 Pass Ranked 5/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 70.95). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-12 Pass Ranked 7/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 73.92). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-13 Pass Ranked 32/109 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 74.45). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-06-14 Pass Ranked 21/117 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 79.17). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-15 Candidate pick @ 13.00
  7. 2026-06-15 Withdrawn before validation @ 13.00
  8. 2026-06-16 Pass Ranked 5/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 90.83). Main risk: N/A.
  9. — Closing @ 14.50
Closing @ 14.50 -0.8pp Discovery CLV

🚀 Momentum AI

1 Arba Minch Kenema vs Suhul Shire 2-0 ✗ Incorrect Premier League 2026-06-15 BET Suhul Shire Win 3.20 3.15 +0.5pp 85 🔥
Entry 106d ago
3.20
→
Expected Closing
3.15
Expected CLV +0.5pp
Why

Suhul Shire has seen significant market steam with a 22.1% odds drift and a strong steam score of 99. Despite a slight Elo disadvantage, the sharp repricing suggests value on the away side. Main risk: Limited historical data and low xG differential.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.20
  1. 2026-06-15 Candidate pick @ 3.20
  2. — Closing @ 3.15
Closing @ 3.15 +0.5pp Discovery CLV
2 Scotland vs Morocco World Cup 2026-06-15 BET Scotland Win 4.75 6.04 -4.5pp 78 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 106d ago
4.75
→
Expected Closing
6.04
Expected CLV -4.5pp
Why

Scotland's odds have drifted significantly, creating a closing edge of 17.82 percentage points. Strong steam and model probability suggest value despite a large Elo gap. Main risk: Elo disadvantage against Morocco.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 4.75
  1. 2026-06-14 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=50, breadth=92%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=141.0h)
  2. 2026-06-15 Candidate pick @ 4.75
  3. 2026-06-15 Replaced with updated pick @ 4.75
  4. 2026-06-16 Candidate pick @ 5.00 (Candidate pick 4.75)
  5. 2026-06-16 Withdrawn before validation @ 5.00 (Candidate pick 4.75)
  6. 2026-06-17 Pass Ranked 6/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.95). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 12/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 101.49). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 11/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 102.36). Main risk: N/A.
  9. — Closing @ 6.04
Closing @ 6.04 -4.5pp Discovery CLV
3 Belgium vs Egypt 1-1 ✗ Incorrect World Cup 2026-06-15 BET Egypt Win 5.75 6.06 -0.9pp 70 🔥
Entry 106d ago
5.75
→
Expected Closing
6.06
Expected CLV -0.9pp
Why

Egypt has a strong closing edge of 13.44 percentage points and a favorable xG differential. Market steam supports the away side. Main risk: Belgium's higher Elo rating.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 5.75
  1. 2026-06-08 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=28, breadth=92%, signal=volatile_market, kickoff_in=186.0h)
  2. 2026-06-09 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=28, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=162.0h)
  3. 2026-06-10 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=28, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=138.0h)
  4. 2026-06-11 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=56, breadth=62%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=114.0h)
  5. 2026-06-12 Candidate pick @ 5.50
  6. 2026-06-12 Withdrawn before validation @ 5.50
  7. 2026-06-13 Pass Ranked 27/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.59). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-14 Pass Ranked 25/46 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.69). Main risk: N/A.
  9. 2026-06-15 Candidate pick @ 5.75
  10. — Closing @ 6.06
Closing @ 6.06 -0.9pp Discovery CLV
4 Uzbekistan vs Colombia 1-3 ✗ Incorrect World Cup 2026-06-15 BET Uzbekistan Win 8.50 9.60 -1.4pp 68 ⚡
Entry 106d ago
8.50
→
Expected Closing
9.60
Expected CLV -1.4pp
Why

Uzbekistan shows a massive closing edge of 27.16 percentage points and a favorable xG differential. Odds movement suggests value. Main risk: Elo disadvantage against Colombia.

⚡ Solid Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 8.50
  1. 2026-06-11 Pass Uzbekistan's odds have drifted higher, but the steam score and breadth percentage are moderate compared to the other candidate. Additionally, there is no model probability or closing edge data to support a bet. Main risk: Lack of supporting data and limited historical pattern make this fixture less compelling.
  2. 2026-06-12 Pass Uzbekistan's steam indicators are moderate, but the significant elo disadvantage and low market probability reduce confidence in backing the home side. Main risk: Uzbekistan's weak comparative metrics against Colombia.
  3. 2026-06-13 Pass Ranked 50/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 77.11). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-14 Pass Ranked 42/46 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 77.11). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-06-15 Candidate pick @ 8.50
  6. 2026-06-15 Replaced with updated pick @ 8.50
  7. 2026-06-16 Candidate pick @ 9.00 (Candidate pick 8.50)
  8. 2026-06-17 Update @ 9.00 (Candidate pick 8.50)
  9. 2026-06-17 Replaced with updated pick @ 9.00 (Candidate pick 8.50)
  10. 2026-06-18 Candidate pick @ 10.00 (Candidate pick 8.50)
  11. 2026-06-18 Replaced with updated pick @ 10.00 (Candidate pick 8.50)
  12. — Closing @ 9.60
Closing @ 9.60 -1.3pp Discovery CLV
5 Spain vs Cape Verde Islands 0-0 ✓ Correct World Cup 2026-06-15 FADE Draw 12.00 14.50 -1.4pp 60 🔥
Entry 106d ago
12.00
→
Expected Closing
14.50
Expected CLV -1.4pp
Why

The draw for Spain vs Cape Verde Islands has seen significant odds movement and a high closing edge, but the low market probability and limited historical data make this a high-risk option. Main risk: Low probability of a draw in this matchup.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 12.00
  1. 2026-06-09 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=28, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=159.0h)
  2. 2026-06-10 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=20, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=135.0h)
  3. 2026-06-11 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=47, breadth=31%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=111.0h)
  4. 2026-06-12 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=44, breadth=46%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=87.0h)
  5. 2026-06-13 Pass Ranked 29/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 90.08). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-14 Pass Ranked 18/46 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 96.01). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-15 Candidate pick @ 12.00
  8. — Closing @ 14.50
Closing @ 14.50 -1.4pp Discovery CLV
🚀 Momentum AI Tracking 5 picks
Hypothesis: Late market moves contain information that improves betting decisions.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 17 / 50 Settled Bets
33 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
+84.6%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 1-3 · Win Rate 25.0% · Profit +5.5u · Total Staked 6.5u · Avg Stake 1.62u
Recent Results L L L W
Latest Picks
  • Suhul Shire Win
  • Scotland Win
  • Egypt Win
⚖️ Balanced AI Tracking 3 picks
Hypothesis: Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 11 / 50 Settled Bets
39 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-100.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 0-1 · Win Rate 0.0% · Profit -1.0u · Total Staked 1.0u · Avg Stake 1.00u
Recent Results L
Latest Picks
  • Scotland Win
  • Uzbekistan Win
  • Iraq Win
📊 Pattern AI
Hypothesis: Recurring market patterns appear often enough to support systematic betting.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking
🛡️ Conservative AI
Hypothesis: Selective betting beats betting volume.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 1 / 50 Settled Bets
49 more settled picks required for official ranking
😈 Anti-Steam AI
Hypothesis: The market sometimes overreacts, creating value on the opposite side.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 9 / 50 Settled Bets
41 more settled picks required for official ranking

Confidence reflects sample size only. Each AI needs 50 settled picks to enter the official ranking. CLV rate appears after 10 settled picks.

Community Benchmark

★Consensus
Hypothesis: Multiple independent opinions outperform individual opinions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 4 / 50 Settled Bets
46 more settled picks required for official ranking

Why This Matters

Every bettor has a theory.

  • Follow the market.
  • Fade the market.
  • Trust only high-confidence picks.
  • Look for recurring patterns.

We track each approach publicly and measure the results over time.

The goal is simple:

Which ideas actually beat the market?

Example Betting Hypotheses

  • Following major market moves reveals useful information.
  • Betting against popular market sentiment creates value.
  • Fewer high-conviction bets outperform high-volume betting.
  • Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
  • Recurring market patterns can be identified and exploited over time.
  • Consensus opinions outperform individual opinions.

The Championship does not assume any of these ideas are true.

The purpose is to test them publicly.

← Current Championship