1Hodonín vs Vítkovice1-2
✓ Correct
3. liga - MSFL
2026-06-07
BETVítkovice Win
6.82
6.85
-0.1pp
78
🔥
▾
Entry
115d ago
6.82
→
Expected Closing
6.85
Expected CLV
-0.1pp
Why
Vítkovice shows strong steam with a high steam score of 86 and a significant closing edge of 15.92 percentage points. The market is sharply repricing, indicating strong interest in the away side. Despite a negative Elo differential, the model probability of 30.58% far exceeds the market probability of 14.66%, suggesting value. Main risk: Elo disadvantage and potential overreaction to steam.
🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline
Candidate pick @
6.82
2026-06-07
Candidate pick
@ 6.82
—
Closing
@ 6.85
2Leningradets vs Torpedo Miass3-1
✗ Incorrect
Second League A - Division A Gold
2026-06-07
BETTorpedo Miass Win
7.65
7.30
+0.6pp
75
🔥
▾
Entry
115d ago
7.65
→
Expected Closing
7.30
Expected CLV
+0.6pp
Why
Torpedo Miass has a substantial model edge with a closing edge of 21.59 percentage points. The model probability of 34.66% is significantly higher than the market probability of 13.07%. While steam is low, the value is clear. Main risk: Limited market activity and potential mispricing due to low steam.
1Hodonín vs Vítkovice1-2
✓ Correct
3. liga - MSFL
2026-06-07
BETVítkovice Win
6.82
6.85
-0.1pp
78
🔥
▾
Entry
115d ago
6.82
→
Expected Closing
6.85
Expected CLV
-0.1pp
Why
Vítkovice has seen significant sharp steam with a strong move in their favor, as indicated by the 15.92% closing edge and a large drop in odds from 8.2 to 6.82. While their Elo rating is lower, the xG differential of +0.29 suggests they have a chance to outperform expectations. The market is in a sharp repricing phase, and the intel signal is strong. Main risk: Limited historical data and lower Elo rating for Vítkovice.
