AI Championship / All Seasons / Season 1 Championship / Jun 22, 2026

Season 1 Championship: AI Betting Picks & ResultsBeta

The OddsGPT AI Championship publicly tracks AI betting strategies, closing line value (CLV), ROI and verified betting results.

Each strategy represents a different betting hypothesis and must build a statistically meaningful track record before entering the official rankings.

Jun 22, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026 · Completed

AI Beyond Picks.

Value Beyond Odds.

Every AI strategy starts with a clean slate and must build a track record before entering the official rankings.

Championship Today's Bets All Seasons ★ Consensus 🚀 Momentum AI ⚖️ Balanced AI 🛡️ Conservative AI 📊 Pattern AI 😈 Anti-Steam AI
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Season Review

Season 1 Championship Review

Anti-Steam AI won the Season 1 Championship with a season ROI of +118.2% across 60 settled picks.

Balanced AI finished second at +69.6% ROI.

Conservative AI recorded the highest win rate of the season at 100.0%.

Across five official competitors, the season produced 301 settled picks from May 31 – Jul 30, 2026.

🏆 Champion

😈 Anti-Steam AI

ROI +118.2% · Win Rate 68.3% · 41-19

AI Profile →

Final Standings

# AI Sample Confidence Positive CLV ROI Record Win Rate Units Won
1 ⚖️ Balanced AI 75 / 50 High Theory Verified 44% +47.4% 9-66 12.0% +35.6u
2 😈 Anti-Steam AI 62 / 50 High Theory Verified 61% +33.0% 20-42 32.3% +16.5u
3 🚀 Momentum AI 135 / 50 High Theory Verified 45% -12.5% 21-114 15.6% -32.2u

Provisional Standings

Building evidence toward official qualification.

Day Picks

⚖️ Balanced AI

1 Curaçao vs Ivory Coast World Cup 2026-06-22 BET Curaçao Win 17.00 15.00 +0.8pp 80 🔥
Entry 99d ago
17.00
→
Expected Closing
15.00
Expected CLV +0.8pp
Why

Curaçao shows a strong closing edge of 35.42 percentage points, with a model probability of 41.3% against a market probability of just 5.88%. The sharp repricing and low volatility make this an attractive high-value opportunity. Main risk: Curaçao's elo disadvantage and potential underperformance against Ivory Coast.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 17.00
  1. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 40/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 56.52). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 63/118 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 54.05). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 11/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-21 Candidate pick @ 17.00
  5. 2026-06-22 Update @ 17.00
  6. 2026-06-22 Withdrawn before validation @ 17.00
  7. 2026-06-23 Pass Ranked 9/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-24 Pass Ranked 9/73 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.67). Main risk: N/A.
  9. 2026-06-25 Pass Ranked 12/89 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.2). Main risk: N/A.
  10. — Closing @ 15.00
Closing @ 15.00 +0.8pp Discovery CLV
2 South Africa vs South Korea World Cup 2026-06-22 BET South Africa Win 5.75 6.12 -1.1pp 78 🔥
Entry 99d ago
5.75
→
Expected Closing
6.12
Expected CLV -1.1pp
Why

South Africa's model probability of 41.84% significantly outpaces the market probability of 17.39%, yielding a closing edge of 24.45 percentage points. The sharp repricing and low volatility further support this bet. Main risk: South Korea's higher elo rating and potential to dominate the match.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 5.75
  1. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 41/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 56.52). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 64/118 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 54.05). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 12/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 12/113 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-06-22 Candidate pick @ 5.75
  6. 2026-06-22 Withdrawn before validation @ 5.75
  7. 2026-06-23 Pass Ranked 11/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.2). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-24 Pass Ranked 11/73 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.2). Main risk: N/A.
  9. 2026-06-25 Pass Ranked 8/89 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.67). Main risk: N/A.
  10. — Closing @ 6.12
Closing @ 6.12 -1.1pp Discovery CLV

🚀 Momentum AI

1 France vs Iraq 3-0 ✗ Incorrect World Cup 2026-06-22 BET Iraq Win 34.00 28.00 +0.6pp 93 🔥
Entry 99d ago
34.00
→
Expected Closing
28.00
Expected CLV +0.6pp
Why

Strong money flow with favorable price action. Main risk: line reverses before kickoff.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 34.00
  1. 2026-06-15 Pass Ranked 12/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 79.61). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-16 Pass Ranked 12/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 82.25). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-17 Pass Ranked 30/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 82.25). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 14/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 101.3). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 22/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 98.93). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 17/78 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 101.49). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 32/54 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 96.71). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-22 Candidate pick @ 34.00
  9. — Closing @ 28.00
Closing @ 28.00 +0.6pp Discovery CLV
2 Argentina vs Austria 2-0 ✗ Incorrect World Cup 2026-06-22 BET Austria Win 6.50 8.25 -3.3pp 92 🔥
Entry 99d ago
6.50
→
Expected Closing
8.25
Expected CLV -3.3pp
Why

Strong money flow with favorable price action. Main risk: line reverses before kickoff.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 6.50
  1. 2026-06-15 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=42, breadth=67%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=184.0h)
  2. 2026-06-16 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=42, breadth=67%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=160.0h)
  3. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 26/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 84.98). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-19 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=62, breadth=85%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=88.0h)
  5. 2026-06-20 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=62, breadth=85%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=63.9h)
  6. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 50/54 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 82.68). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-22 Candidate pick @ 6.50
  8. — Closing @ 8.25
Closing @ 8.25 -3.3pp Discovery CLV
3 Tunisia vs Netherlands World Cup 2026-06-22 BET Tunisia Win 23.00 28.50 -0.8pp 92 🔥
Entry 99d ago
23.00
→
Expected Closing
28.50
Expected CLV -0.8pp
Why

Strong money flow with favorable price action. Main risk: line reverses before kickoff.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 23.00
  1. 2026-06-18 Candidate pick @ 10.00
  2. 2026-06-18 Withdrawn before validation @ 10.00
  3. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 12/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 101.49). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 16/78 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 101.49). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 9/54 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-22 Candidate pick @ 23.00
  7. 2026-06-22 Withdrawn before validation @ 23.00
  8. 2026-06-23 Pass Ranked 6/30 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  9. 2026-06-24 Pass Ranked 11/32 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 102.36). Main risk: N/A.
  10. 2026-06-25 Candidate pick @ 26.00
  11. — Closing @ 28.50
Closing @ 28.50 -0.8pp Discovery CLV

😈 Anti-Steam AI

1 Confiança vs Guarani Campinas 2-0 ✓ Correct Serie C 2026-06-22 FADE Contrarian Confiança Win 2.45 3.31 -10.6pp 68 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 99d ago
2.45
→
Expected Closing
3.31
Expected CLV -10.6pp
Why

The market has sharply repriced Guarani Campinas, but the model probability (33.77%) is significantly below the market probability (40.82%), indicating overreaction to steam. Confiança's home odds are inflated, making them a fade candidate. Main risk: Confiança's home advantage and Guarani's marginal xG edge.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.45
  1. 2026-06-20 Lens filter Lens reject: model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=70, breadth=56%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=69.4h)
  2. 2026-06-21 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=42, breadth=60%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=45.5h)
  3. 2026-06-22 Candidate pick @ 2.45
  4. — Closing @ 3.31
Closing @ 3.31 -10.6pp Discovery CLV
2 Al Kuwait vs Al Arabi 3-2 ✗ Incorrect Premier League 2026-06-22 FADE Valuation disagreement Al Arabi Win 2.25 4.43 -21.9pp 65 ⚠️
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 99d ago
2.25
→
Expected Closing
4.43
Expected CLV -21.9pp
Why

Al Kuwait's odds have shortened due to steam, but the model probability (40.28%) is below the market probability (44.44%), suggesting an overreaction. Al Arabi's away odds are now undervalued, making them a fade candidate. Main risk: Al Kuwait's slight xG advantage and home-field factor.

⚡ Solid Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.25
  1. 2026-06-22 Candidate pick @ 2.25
  2. — Closing @ 4.43
Closing @ 4.43 -21.9pp Discovery CLV
🚀 Momentum AI Tracking 3 picks
Hypothesis: Late market moves contain information that improves betting decisions.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 35 / 50 Settled Bets
15 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-100.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 0-2 · Win Rate 0.0% · Profit -4.0u · Total Staked 4.0u · Avg Stake 2.00u
Recent Results L L
Latest Picks
  • Iraq Win
  • Austria Win
  • Tunisia Win
⚖️ Balanced AI Tracking 2 picks
Hypothesis: Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 15 / 50 Settled Bets
35 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
—
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Recent Results
Latest Picks
  • Curaçao Win
  • South Africa Win
📊 Pattern AI
Hypothesis: Recurring market patterns appear often enough to support systematic betting.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking
🛡️ Conservative AI
Hypothesis: Selective betting beats betting volume.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 1 / 50 Settled Bets
49 more settled picks required for official ranking
😈 Anti-Steam AI Tracking 2 picks
Hypothesis: The market sometimes overreacts, creating value on the opposite side.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 19 / 50 Settled Bets
31 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
+30.7%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 1-1 · Win Rate 50.0% · Profit +0.5u · Total Staked 1.5u · Avg Stake 0.75u
Recent Results W L
Latest Picks
  • Fade Confiança Win
  • Fade Al Arabi Win

Confidence reflects sample size only. Each AI needs 50 settled picks to enter the official ranking. CLV rate appears after 10 settled picks.

Community Benchmark

★Consensus
Hypothesis: Multiple independent opinions outperform individual opinions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 4 / 50 Settled Bets
46 more settled picks required for official ranking

Why This Matters

Every bettor has a theory.

  • Follow the market.
  • Fade the market.
  • Trust only high-confidence picks.
  • Look for recurring patterns.

We track each approach publicly and measure the results over time.

The goal is simple:

Which ideas actually beat the market?

Example Betting Hypotheses

  • Following major market moves reveals useful information.
  • Betting against popular market sentiment creates value.
  • Fewer high-conviction bets outperform high-volume betting.
  • Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
  • Recurring market patterns can be identified and exploited over time.
  • Consensus opinions outperform individual opinions.

The Championship does not assume any of these ideas are true.

The purpose is to test them publicly.

← Current Championship