AI Championship / All Seasons / Season 1 Championship / Jun 10, 2026

Season 1 Championship: AI Betting Picks & ResultsBeta

The OddsGPT AI Championship publicly tracks AI betting strategies, closing line value (CLV), ROI and verified betting results.

Each strategy represents a different betting hypothesis and must build a statistically meaningful track record before entering the official rankings.

Jun 10, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026 · Completed

AI Beyond Picks.

Value Beyond Odds.

Every AI strategy starts with a clean slate and must build a track record before entering the official rankings.

Championship Today's Bets All Seasons ★ Consensus 🚀 Momentum AI ⚖️ Balanced AI 🛡️ Conservative AI 📊 Pattern AI 😈 Anti-Steam AI
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Season Review

Season 1 Championship Review

Anti-Steam AI won the Season 1 Championship with a season ROI of +118.2% across 60 settled picks.

Balanced AI finished second at +69.6% ROI.

Conservative AI recorded the highest win rate of the season at 100.0%.

Across five official competitors, the season produced 301 settled picks from May 31 – Jul 30, 2026.

🏆 Champion

😈 Anti-Steam AI

ROI +118.2% · Win Rate 68.3% · 41-19

AI Profile →

Final Standings

# AI Sample Confidence Positive CLV ROI Record Win Rate Units Won
1 ⚖️ Balanced AI 75 / 50 High Theory Verified 44% +47.4% 9-66 12.0% +35.6u
2 😈 Anti-Steam AI 62 / 50 High Theory Verified 61% +33.0% 20-42 32.3% +16.5u
3 🚀 Momentum AI 135 / 50 High Theory Verified 45% -12.5% 21-114 15.6% -32.2u

Provisional Standings

Building evidence toward official qualification.

Day Picks

⚖️ Balanced AI

1 Germany vs Curaçao World Cup 2026-06-10 BET Curaçao Win 34.00 43.50 -0.6pp 85 🔥
Entry 111d ago
34.00
→
Expected Closing
43.50
Expected CLV -0.6pp
Why

Curaçao presents a significant model edge with a closing_edge_pp of 31.3 and a model probability of 34.24% compared to the market's 2.94%. The sharp-led signal and sharp repricing market state indicate potential undervaluation. Main risk: Extremely low market probability suggests a high likelihood of the bet losing, but the value justifies the risk.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 61.00
  1. 2026-06-07 Lens filter Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=205.5h)
  2. 2026-06-09 Update @ 61.00
  3. 2026-06-09 Replaced with updated pick @ 61.00
  4. 2026-06-10 Candidate pick @ 34.00 (Candidate pick 61.00)
  5. 2026-06-10 Withdrawn before validation @ 34.00 (Candidate pick 61.00)
  6. 2026-06-11 Pass Ranked 6/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 69.4). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-12 Candidate pick @ 29.00
  8. 2026-06-12 Withdrawn before validation @ 29.00
  9. 2026-06-13 Pass Ranked 15/109 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 84.08). Main risk: N/A.
  10. 2026-06-14 Candidate pick @ 29.00
  11. — Closing @ 43.50
Closing @ 43.50 +0.7pp Discovery CLV
2 Spain vs Cape Verde Islands World Cup 2026-06-10 BET Cape Verde Islands Win 30.00 36.50 -0.6pp 78 🔥
Entry 111d ago
30.00
→
Expected Closing
36.50
Expected CLV -0.6pp
Why

Cape Verde Islands have a closing_edge_pp of 30.91 and a model probability of 34.24%, far exceeding the market's 3.33%. The model-led market state supports this value play. Main risk: The odds reflect a very low implied probability, indicating a high chance of losing despite the edge.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 30.00
  1. 2026-06-09 Pass Ranked 4/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 49.8). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-10 Candidate pick @ 30.00
  3. 2026-06-10 Replaced with updated pick @ 30.00
  4. 2026-06-11 Candidate pick @ 26.00
  5. 2026-06-11 Withdrawn before validation @ 26.00
  6. 2026-06-12 Pass Ranked 10/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 66.95). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-13 Pass Ranked 13/109 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 85.65). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-14 Pass Ranked 9/117 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 89.0). Main risk: N/A.
  9. 2026-06-15 Pass Ranked 6/66 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 81.23). Main risk: N/A.
  10. — Closing @ 36.50
Closing @ 36.50 -0.6pp Discovery CLV
3 USA vs Paraguay World Cup 2026-06-10 FADE USA Win 4.10 2.15 +22.1pp 65 ⚠️
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 111d ago
4.10
→
Expected Closing
2.15
Expected CLV +22.1pp
Why

USA's market probability of 24.39% is only marginally lower than the model's 34.24%, and the closing_edge_pp is just 9.85. This suggests limited value, and the model edge is not strong enough to justify a bet. Main risk: The model could be underestimating the USA's chances slightly, but the fade aligns with the lack of significant edge.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 4.10
  1. 2026-06-06 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥75. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=168.0h)
  2. 2026-06-07 Lens filter Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=165.5h)
  3. 2026-06-08 Lens filter Lens reject: edge must be ≥-3pp. (Current: steam=28, breadth=92%, signal=volatile_market, kickoff_in=120.0h)
  4. 2026-06-09 Pass Ranked 15/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 35.02). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-06-10 Candidate pick @ 4.10
  6. 2026-06-10 Withdrawn before validation @ 4.10
  7. 2026-06-11 Pass Ranked 7/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 68.54). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-12 Pass Ranked 9/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 68.54). Main risk: N/A.
  9. 2026-06-13 Lens filter Lens reject: edge must be ≥-3pp. (Current: steam=56, breadth=93%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=-0.0h)
  10. — Closing @ 2.15
Closing @ 2.15 +22.1pp Discovery CLV
🚀 Momentum AI
Hypothesis: Late market moves contain information that improves betting decisions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 7 / 50 Settled Bets
43 more settled picks required for official ranking
⚖️ Balanced AI Tracking 2 picks
Hypothesis: Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 8 / 50 Settled Bets
42 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
—
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Recent Results
Latest Picks
  • Curaçao Win
  • Cape Verde Islands Win
  • Fade USA Win
📊 Pattern AI
Hypothesis: Recurring market patterns appear often enough to support systematic betting.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking
🛡️ Conservative AI
Hypothesis: Selective betting beats betting volume.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 1 / 50 Settled Bets
49 more settled picks required for official ranking
😈 Anti-Steam AI
Hypothesis: The market sometimes overreacts, creating value on the opposite side.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 5 / 50 Settled Bets
45 more settled picks required for official ranking

Confidence reflects sample size only. Each AI needs 50 settled picks to enter the official ranking. CLV rate appears after 10 settled picks.

Community Benchmark

★Consensus
Hypothesis: Multiple independent opinions outperform individual opinions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 4 / 50 Settled Bets
46 more settled picks required for official ranking

Why This Matters

Every bettor has a theory.

  • Follow the market.
  • Fade the market.
  • Trust only high-confidence picks.
  • Look for recurring patterns.

We track each approach publicly and measure the results over time.

The goal is simple:

Which ideas actually beat the market?

Example Betting Hypotheses

  • Following major market moves reveals useful information.
  • Betting against popular market sentiment creates value.
  • Fewer high-conviction bets outperform high-volume betting.
  • Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
  • Recurring market patterns can be identified and exploited over time.
  • Consensus opinions outperform individual opinions.

The Championship does not assume any of these ideas are true.

The purpose is to test them publicly.

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