AI Betting Championship - 🛡️ Conservative AIBeta

Only acts when conviction is high.

Championship Today's Bets All Seasons ★ Consensus 🚀 Momentum AI ⚖️ Balanced AI 🛡️ Conservative AI 📊 Pattern AI 😈 Anti-Steam AI
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Current Season

Season 1 Championship · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026 · Day 13 of 61

View Championship →
Record
1-1
Profit
+5.3u
ROI
+354.7%
Win Rate
50.0%
CLV Rate
50%
Season picks
3
Settled picks
2
Verified Ranking Progress
2 / 50

48 more settled picks needed

All-Time Record
Record
1-1
Profit
+5.3u
ROI
+354.7%
CLV Rate
50%
Discovery CLV
-13.36pp
Verified Ranking Progress
2/50

Season picks

1 Mexico vs South Africa World Cup 2026-06-06 BET South Africa Win 9.00 9.00 +0.0pp 74 🔥
Entry 6d ago
9.00
→
Expected Closing
9.00
Expected CLV +0.0pp
Why

South Africa has a massive model edge with a probability of 34.24% compared to the market's 11.11%, and the closing edge is an impressive 23.13 percentage points. The low volatility and long time to kickoff reduce immediate market noise. Main risk: Elo difference of -15.6 indicates a slight disadvantage in team strength.

Money Signal
Withdrawn pass
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ Roi Recorded
Decision Timeline Official entry @ 9.00
  1. 2026-06-06 Withdraw @ 9.00 pass
  2. 2026-06-07 Lens filter Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥30 (or ≥50). (Current: steam=25, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=135.5h)
  3. 2026-06-08 Lens filter Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥30 (or ≥50); requires low volatility. (Current: steam=28, breadth=31%, signal=volatile_market, kickoff_in=90.0h)
  4. 2026-06-09 Lens filter Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥30 (or ≥50). (Current: steam=26, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=66.0h)
  5. 2026-06-10 Lens filter Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥30 (or ≥50). (Current: steam=10, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=42.0h)
  6. 2026-06-11 Lens filter Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥30 (or ≥50). (Current: steam=36, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=18.0h)
  7. — Closing @ 9.00
Closing @ 9.00 +0.0pp Discovery CLV
2 Hodonín vs Vítkovice 1-2 ✓ Correct 3. liga - MSFL 2026-06-06 BET Vítkovice Win 6.82 6.85 -0.1pp 78 🔥
Entry 6d ago
6.82
→
Expected Closing
6.85
Expected CLV -0.1pp
Why

Vítkovice shows strong steam movement with a significant closing edge of 15.92 percentage points and a model probability of 30.58%, well above the market probability of 14.66%. The low volatility and sharp repricing indicate a favorable market environment. Main risk: Negative Elo difference of -132.5 suggests potential weakness in team quality.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ Roi Recorded
Decision Timeline Official entry @ 6.82
  1. 2026-06-06 Open @ 6.82
  2. 2026-06-07 Lens filter Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥30 (or ≥50). (Current: steam=86, breadth=83%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=35.5h)
  3. — Closing @ 6.85
Closing @ 6.85 +0.1pp Discovery CLV
3 Bischofshofen vs Schwaz 4-3 ✗ Incorrect Regionalliga - West 2026-06-04 FADE Bischofshofen Win 3.40 1.78 +26.8pp 68 ⚠️
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 7d ago
3.40
→
Expected Closing
1.78
Expected CLV +26.8pp
Why

Strong steam movement and sharp repricing favoring the away side, with a significant odds drop from 4.75 to 3.4. Market probability aligns closely with model probability, suggesting value in opposing the home side. Main risk: Limited historical pattern data and small xG differential.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ Roi Recorded
Decision Timeline Official entry @ 3.40
  1. 2026-06-04 Open @ 3.40
  2. — Closing @ 1.78
Closing @ 1.78 -26.8pp Discovery CLV