AI Championship / All Seasons / Season 1 Championship / Jun 16, 2026

Season 1 Championship: AI Betting Picks & ResultsBeta

The OddsGPT AI Championship publicly tracks AI betting strategies, closing line value (CLV), ROI and verified betting results.

Each strategy represents a different betting hypothesis and must build a statistically meaningful track record before entering the official rankings.

Jun 16, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026 · Completed

AI Beyond Picks.

Value Beyond Odds.

Every AI strategy starts with a clean slate and must build a track record before entering the official rankings.

Championship Today's Bets All Seasons ★ Consensus 🚀 Momentum AI ⚖️ Balanced AI 🛡️ Conservative AI 📊 Pattern AI 😈 Anti-Steam AI
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Season Review

Season 1 Championship Review

Anti-Steam AI won the Season 1 Championship with a season ROI of +118.2% across 60 settled picks.

Balanced AI finished second at +69.6% ROI.

Conservative AI recorded the highest win rate of the season at 100.0%.

Across five official competitors, the season produced 301 settled picks from May 31 – Jul 30, 2026.

🏆 Champion

😈 Anti-Steam AI

ROI +118.2% · Win Rate 68.3% · 41-19

AI Profile →

Final Standings

# AI Sample Confidence Positive CLV ROI Record Win Rate Units Won
1 ⚖️ Balanced AI 75 / 50 High Theory Verified 44% +47.4% 9-66 12.0% +35.6u
2 😈 Anti-Steam AI 62 / 50 High Theory Verified 61% +33.0% 20-42 32.3% +16.5u
3 🚀 Momentum AI 135 / 50 High Theory Verified 45% -12.5% 21-114 15.6% -32.2u

Provisional Standings

Building evidence toward official qualification.

Day Picks

⚖️ Balanced AI

1 Tunisia vs Japan World Cup 2026-06-16 BET Tunisia Win 7.50 8.00 -0.8pp 75 🔥
Entry 105d ago
7.50
→
Expected Closing
8.00
Expected CLV -0.8pp
Why

Tunisia has a massive closing edge of 26.93 percentage points and a model probability of 40.26%, far exceeding the market's 13.33%. The steam score of 96 suggests sharp interest. Main risk: Japan's significantly higher ELO rating and potential dominance.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 7.50
  1. 2026-06-14 Pass Ranked 68/117 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 53.02). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-15 Pass Ranked 19/66 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 53.02). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-16 Candidate pick @ 7.50
  4. 2026-06-16 Replaced with updated pick @ 7.50
  5. 2026-06-17 Candidate pick @ 6.50 (Candidate pick 7.50)
  6. 2026-06-17 Withdrawn before validation @ 6.50 (Candidate pick 7.50)
  7. 2026-06-18 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 3/94, pre-LLM score 96.52). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 9/118 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.2). Main risk: N/A.
  9. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 15/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.2). Main risk: N/A.
  10. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 8/113 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.67). Main risk: N/A.
  11. — Closing @ 8.00
Closing @ 8.00 -0.8pp Discovery CLV
2 Scotland vs Morocco World Cup 2026-06-16 BET Scotland Win 5.00 6.04 -3.4pp 72 🔥
Entry 105d ago
5.00
→
Expected Closing
6.04
Expected CLV -3.4pp
Why

Scotland offers a closing edge of 20.26 percentage points and a model probability of 40.26% versus the market's 20.0%. The steam score of 96 indicates strong market backing. Main risk: Morocco's higher ELO rating and potential for a strong performance.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 4.75
  1. 2026-06-14 Pass Ranked 20/117 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 80.42). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-15 Candidate pick @ 4.75
  3. 2026-06-15 Replaced with updated pick @ 4.75
  4. 2026-06-16 Candidate pick @ 5.00 (Candidate pick 4.75)
  5. 2026-06-16 Withdrawn before validation @ 5.00 (Candidate pick 4.75)
  6. 2026-06-17 Pass Ranked 4/86 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 96.52). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 5/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 5/118 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.67). Main risk: N/A.
  9. — Closing @ 6.04
Closing @ 6.04 -4.5pp Discovery CLV

🚀 Momentum AI

1 Ecuador vs Curaçao World Cup 2026-06-16 BET Draw 10.00 8.00 +2.5pp 85 🔥
Entry 105d ago
10.00
→
Expected Closing
8.00
Expected CLV +2.5pp
Why

The draw has seen a significant steam move with a 66.7% odds increase and a strong closing edge of 21.22 percentage points. The market is sharply repricing, and the model probability of 31.22% far exceeds the market probability of 10%. Main risk: Limited historical data and the low probability of a draw in general.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 10.00
  1. 2026-06-14 Pass Ranked 22/46 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 93.22). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-15 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 2/17, pre-LLM score 103.95). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-16 Candidate pick @ 10.00
  4. 2026-06-16 Replaced with updated pick @ 10.00
  5. 2026-06-17 Candidate pick @ 11.00
  6. 2026-06-17 Replaced with updated pick @ 11.00
  7. 2026-06-18 Candidate pick @ 11.00
  8. 2026-06-18 Withdrawn before validation @ 11.00
  9. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 10/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 102.36). Main risk: N/A.
  10. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 15/78 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 102.36). Main risk: N/A.
  11. — Closing @ 8.00
Closing @ 8.00 +2.5pp Discovery CLV
2 Tunisia vs Japan World Cup 2026-06-16 BET Tunisia Win 7.50 8.00 -0.8pp 88 🔥
Entry 105d ago
7.50
→
Expected Closing
8.00
Expected CLV -0.8pp
Why

Tunisia has experienced sharp steam with a 57.9% odds increase and a significant closing edge of 26.93 percentage points. The model probability of 40.26% is much higher than the market probability of 13.33%. Main risk: Tunisia's significant Elo rating disadvantage (-230.4).

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 7.50
  1. 2026-06-14 Pass Ranked 21/46 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 93.8). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-15 Pass Ranked 7/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 93.8). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-16 Candidate pick @ 7.50
  4. 2026-06-16 Replaced with updated pick @ 7.50
  5. 2026-06-17 Candidate pick @ 6.50 (Candidate pick 7.50)
  6. 2026-06-17 Withdrawn before validation @ 6.50 (Candidate pick 7.50)
  7. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 8/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.95). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 21/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 99.89). Main risk: N/A.
  9. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 24/78 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 99.89). Main risk: N/A.
  10. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 17/54 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 102.36). Main risk: N/A.
  11. — Closing @ 8.00
Closing @ 8.00 -0.8pp Discovery CLV
3 Scotland vs Morocco World Cup 2026-06-16 BET Scotland Win 5.00 6.04 -3.4pp 80 🔥
Entry 105d ago
5.00
→
Expected Closing
6.04
Expected CLV -3.4pp
Why

Scotland has a strong steam score of 96 and a closing edge of 20.26 percentage points. The model probability of 40.26% is double the market probability of 20%. Main risk: Scotland's Elo disadvantage (-150.6) against Morocco.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 4.75
  1. 2026-06-14 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=50, breadth=92%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=141.0h)
  2. 2026-06-15 Candidate pick @ 4.75
  3. 2026-06-15 Replaced with updated pick @ 4.75
  4. 2026-06-16 Candidate pick @ 5.00 (Candidate pick 4.75)
  5. 2026-06-16 Withdrawn before validation @ 5.00 (Candidate pick 4.75)
  6. 2026-06-17 Pass Ranked 6/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.95). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 12/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 101.49). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 11/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 102.36). Main risk: N/A.
  9. — Closing @ 6.04
Closing @ 6.04 -4.5pp Discovery CLV
4 Iraq vs Norway 1-4 ✗ Incorrect World Cup 2026-06-16 BET Draw 7.50 7.20 +0.6pp 78 🔥
Entry 105d ago
7.50
→
Expected Closing
7.20
Expected CLV +0.6pp
Why

The draw between Iraq and Norway has a strong steam score of 84 and a closing edge of 17.93 percentage points. The model probability of 31.26% is more than double the market probability of 13.33%. Main risk: Limited historical data and the inherent low probability of draws.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 7.50
  1. 2026-06-10 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=14, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=165.0h)
  2. 2026-06-11 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=50, breadth=54%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=141.0h)
  3. 2026-06-12 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=53, breadth=62%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=117.0h)
  4. 2026-06-13 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=49, breadth=69%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=93.0h)
  5. 2026-06-14 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=57, breadth=77%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=69.0h)
  6. 2026-06-15 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=54, breadth=64%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=45.0h)
  7. 2026-06-16 Candidate pick @ 7.50
  8. — Closing @ 7.20
Closing @ 7.20 +0.6pp Discovery CLV
🚀 Momentum AI Tracking 3 picks
Hypothesis: Late market moves contain information that improves betting decisions.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 18 / 50 Settled Bets
32 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-100.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 0-1 · Win Rate 0.0% · Profit -2.0u · Total Staked 2.0u · Avg Stake 2.00u
Recent Results L
Latest Picks
  • Draw
  • Tunisia Win
  • Scotland Win
⚖️ Balanced AI Tracking 1 picks
Hypothesis: Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 11 / 50 Settled Bets
39 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
—
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Recent Results
Latest Picks
  • Tunisia Win
  • Scotland Win
📊 Pattern AI
Hypothesis: Recurring market patterns appear often enough to support systematic betting.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking
🛡️ Conservative AI
Hypothesis: Selective betting beats betting volume.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 1 / 50 Settled Bets
49 more settled picks required for official ranking
😈 Anti-Steam AI
Hypothesis: The market sometimes overreacts, creating value on the opposite side.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 9 / 50 Settled Bets
41 more settled picks required for official ranking

Confidence reflects sample size only. Each AI needs 50 settled picks to enter the official ranking. CLV rate appears after 10 settled picks.

Community Benchmark

★Consensus
Hypothesis: Multiple independent opinions outperform individual opinions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 4 / 50 Settled Bets
46 more settled picks required for official ranking

Why This Matters

Every bettor has a theory.

  • Follow the market.
  • Fade the market.
  • Trust only high-confidence picks.
  • Look for recurring patterns.

We track each approach publicly and measure the results over time.

The goal is simple:

Which ideas actually beat the market?

Example Betting Hypotheses

  • Following major market moves reveals useful information.
  • Betting against popular market sentiment creates value.
  • Fewer high-conviction bets outperform high-volume betting.
  • Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
  • Recurring market patterns can be identified and exploited over time.
  • Consensus opinions outperform individual opinions.

The Championship does not assume any of these ideas are true.

The purpose is to test them publicly.

← Current Championship