AI Championship / All Seasons / Season 1 Championship / Jun 26, 2026

Season 1 Championship: AI Betting Picks & ResultsBeta

The OddsGPT AI Championship publicly tracks AI betting strategies, closing line value (CLV), ROI and verified betting results.

Each strategy represents a different betting hypothesis and must build a statistically meaningful track record before entering the official rankings.

Jun 26, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026 · Completed

AI Beyond Picks.

Value Beyond Odds.

Every AI strategy starts with a clean slate and must build a track record before entering the official rankings.

Championship Today's Bets All Seasons ★ Consensus 🚀 Momentum AI ⚖️ Balanced AI 🛡️ Conservative AI 📊 Pattern AI 😈 Anti-Steam AI
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Season Review

Season 1 Championship Review

Anti-Steam AI won the Season 1 Championship with a season ROI of +118.2% across 60 settled picks.

Balanced AI finished second at +69.6% ROI.

Conservative AI recorded the highest win rate of the season at 100.0%.

Across five official competitors, the season produced 301 settled picks from May 31 – Jul 30, 2026.

🏆 Champion

😈 Anti-Steam AI

ROI +118.2% · Win Rate 68.3% · 41-19

AI Profile →

Final Standings

# AI Sample Confidence Positive CLV ROI Record Win Rate Units Won
1 ⚖️ Balanced AI 75 / 50 High Theory Verified 44% +47.4% 9-66 12.0% +35.6u
2 😈 Anti-Steam AI 62 / 50 High Theory Verified 61% +33.0% 20-42 32.3% +16.5u
3 🚀 Momentum AI 135 / 50 High Theory Verified 45% -12.5% 21-114 15.6% -32.2u

Provisional Standings

Building evidence toward official qualification.

Day Picks

⚖️ Balanced AI

1 Panama vs England World Cup 2026-06-26 BET Panama Win 13.00 17.50 -2.0pp 80 🔥
Entry 95d ago
13.00
→
Expected Closing
17.50
Expected CLV -2.0pp
Why

Panama has a closing edge of 32.86 percentage points and strong steam signals, with the model probability of 40.55% far exceeding the market's 7.69%. The sharp repricing suggests value in the home side. Main risk: Elo differential favors England, and the low volatility may limit upside.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 13.00
  1. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 94/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 51.95). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 58/113 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 57.55). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-22 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 3/65, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-23 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 3/59, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-06-24 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 3/73, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-25 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 2/89, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-26 Candidate pick @ 13.00
  8. 2026-06-26 Replaced with updated pick @ 13.00
  9. 2026-06-27 Candidate pick @ 17.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  10. 2026-06-27 Replaced with updated pick @ 17.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  11. — Closing @ 17.50
Closing @ 17.50 -2.0pp Discovery CLV
2 Senegal vs Iraq 5-0 ✓ Correct World Cup 2026-06-26 FADE Senegal Win 13.00 1.25 +72.3pp 70 ⚠️
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 95d ago
13.00
→
Expected Closing
1.25
Expected CLV +72.3pp
Why

Senegal's odds have drifted significantly, with Iraq showing strong steam and a closing edge of 22.01 percentage points. The market may be overestimating Senegal's strength. Main risk: Iraq's high volatility and limited historical data could make this fade less reliable.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 13.00
  1. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 57/118 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 57.02). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 75/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 59.65). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-21 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 2/113, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-22 Pass Ranked 5/65 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.02). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-06-23 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 2/59, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-24 Pass Ranked 5/73 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.02). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-25 Pass Ranked 6/89 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.17). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-26 Candidate pick @ 13.00
  9. — Closing @ 1.25
Closing @ 1.25 +72.3pp Discovery CLV

🚀 Momentum AI

1 New Zealand vs Belgium World Cup 2026-06-26 BET New Zealand Win 15.00 14.00 +0.5pp 85 🔥
Entry 95d ago
15.00
→
Expected Closing
14.00
Expected CLV +0.5pp
Why

New Zealand has seen a sharp steam move with odds doubling, indicating strong market interest despite limited historical data. The model probability is significantly higher than the market probability, suggesting value. Main risk: High volatility and limited historical patterns make this a speculative play.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 13.00
  1. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 7/78 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 10/54 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-22 Pass Ranked 7/33 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-23 Candidate pick @ 13.00
  5. 2026-06-23 Replaced with updated pick @ 13.00
  6. 2026-06-24 Candidate pick @ 11.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  7. 2026-06-24 Replaced with updated pick @ 11.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  8. 2026-06-25 Candidate pick @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  9. 2026-06-26 Update @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  10. 2026-06-26 Withdrawn before validation @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  11. 2026-06-27 Pass Ranked 7/84 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.83). Main risk: N/A.
  12. — Closing @ 14.00
Closing @ 14.00 -0.5pp Discovery CLV
2 Senegal vs Iraq 5-0 ✗ Incorrect World Cup 2026-06-26 BET Iraq Win 13.00 12.10 +0.6pp 78 🔥
Entry 95d ago
13.00
→
Expected Closing
12.10
Expected CLV +0.6pp
Why

Iraq's odds have surged significantly, supported by strong steam and a favorable closing edge. The high volatility adds risk, but the sharp repricing suggests market confidence in the upset. Main risk: High volatility and limited historical data could lead to unpredictable outcomes.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 13.00
  1. 2026-06-19 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 4/59, pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-20 Candidate pick @ 10.00
  3. 2026-06-21 Update @ 10.00
  4. 2026-06-21 Withdrawn before validation @ 10.00
  5. 2026-06-22 Pass Ranked 6/33 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-23 Candidate pick @ 10.00
  7. 2026-06-23 Withdrawn before validation @ 10.00
  8. 2026-06-24 Pass Ranked 7/32 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  9. 2026-06-25 Pass Ranked 6/32 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.83). Main risk: N/A.
  10. 2026-06-26 Candidate pick @ 13.00
  11. — Closing @ 12.10
Closing @ 12.10 +0.6pp Discovery CLV
3 Colombia vs Portugal World Cup 2026-06-26 BET Colombia Win 4.33 3.37 +6.6pp 70 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 95d ago
4.33
→
Expected Closing
3.37
Expected CLV +6.6pp
Why

Colombia's odds movement and strong steam signal suggest value, with a favorable closing edge and a model probability higher than the market probability. Main risk: Limited historical data and low market probability could indicate overreaction.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 4.33
  1. 2026-06-20 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=63, breadth=92%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=190.4h)
  2. 2026-06-21 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=63, breadth=92%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=166.5h)
  3. 2026-06-22 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=50, breadth=77%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=142.5h)
  4. 2026-06-23 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=50, breadth=77%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=118.5h)
  5. 2026-06-24 Pass Ranked 24/32 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 86.07). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-25 Pass Ranked 10/32 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-26 Candidate pick @ 4.33
  8. 2026-06-26 Withdrawn before validation @ 4.33
  9. 2026-06-27 Pass Ranked 11/84 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  10. 2026-06-27 Pass Ranked 33/103 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 93.59). Main risk: N/A.
  11. — Closing @ 3.37
Closing @ 3.37 +6.6pp Discovery CLV
4 Sturm Graz vs Mura 5-0 ✗ Incorrect Friendlies Clubs 2026-06-26 FADE Mura Win 29.00 5.05 +16.4pp 60 ⚠️
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 95d ago
29.00
→
Expected Closing
5.05
Expected CLV +16.4pp
Why

Mura's odds have skyrocketed, but the extreme move may indicate overreaction rather than genuine value. The high volatility further increases risk. Main risk: If the market correction is justified, fading could miss a significant upset.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 29.00
  1. 2026-06-26 Candidate pick @ 29.00
  2. — Closing @ 5.05
Closing @ 5.05 +16.4pp Discovery CLV

😈 Anti-Steam AI

1 Algeria vs Austria World Cup 2026-06-26 FADE Contrarian Draw 2.30 2.07 +4.8pp 80 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 95d ago
2.30
→
Expected Closing
2.07
Expected CLV +4.8pp
Why

The draw has been heavily steamed with a significant odds drop, but the model probability (29.75%) is well below the market probability (43.48%), indicating an overreaction. Main risk: Low volatility could make a draw more plausible.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.75
  1. 2026-06-21 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=51, breadth=85%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=169.0h)
  2. 2026-06-22 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=66, breadth=85%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=145.0h)
  3. 2026-06-23 Candidate pick @ 2.75
  4. 2026-06-23 Replaced with updated pick @ 2.75
  5. 2026-06-24 Candidate pick @ 2.35 (Candidate pick 2.75)
  6. 2026-06-25 Update @ 2.38 (Candidate pick 2.75)
  7. 2026-06-25 Replaced with updated pick @ 2.38 (Candidate pick 2.75)
  8. 2026-06-26 Candidate pick @ 2.30 (Candidate pick 2.75)
  9. 2026-06-26 Replaced with updated pick @ 2.30 (Candidate pick 2.75)
  10. 2026-06-27 Candidate pick @ 2.20 (Candidate pick 2.75)
  11. 2026-06-27 Update @ 2.20 (Candidate pick 2.75)
  12. 2026-06-27 Withdrawn before validation @ 2.20 (Candidate pick 2.75)
  13. 2026-06-28 Lens filter Lens reject: model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=97, breadth=92%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=0.8h, hist_n=661, hist_clv_rate=2%)
  14. — Closing @ 2.07
Closing @ 2.07 +11.9pp Discovery CLV
2 UNSW vs Sutherland Sharks New South Wales NPL 2026-06-26 FADE Valuation disagreement UNSW Win 3.10 2.20 +13.2pp 68 ⚠️
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 95d ago
3.10
→
Expected Closing
2.20
Expected CLV +13.2pp
Why

The home side's odds have shortened due to steam, but the away team (Sutherland Sharks) has a higher Elo rating and decent xG metrics. The market and model probabilities for the away side are nearly aligned, suggesting value in fading the home side. Main risk: Limited historical data on similar fixtures.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.10
  1. 2026-06-26 Candidate pick @ 3.10
  2. 2026-06-26 Withdrawn before validation @ 3.10
  3. 2026-06-27 Lens filter Lens reject: model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=92, breadth=75%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=3.8h)
  4. — Closing @ 2.20
Closing @ 2.20 +13.2pp Discovery CLV
🚀 Momentum AI Tracking 3 picks
Hypothesis: Late market moves contain information that improves betting decisions.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 40 / 50 Settled Bets
10 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-100.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 0-2 · Win Rate 0.0% · Profit -4.0u · Total Staked 4.0u · Avg Stake 2.00u
Recent Results L L
Latest Picks
  • New Zealand Win
  • Iraq Win
  • Colombia Win
⚖️ Balanced AI Tracking 2 picks
Hypothesis: Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 20 / 50 Settled Bets
30 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
+1200.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 1-0 · Win Rate 100.0% · Profit +12.0u · Total Staked 1.0u · Avg Stake 1.00u
Recent Results W
Latest Picks
  • Panama Win
  • Fade Senegal Win
📊 Pattern AI
Hypothesis: Recurring market patterns appear often enough to support systematic betting.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking
🛡️ Conservative AI
Hypothesis: Selective betting beats betting volume.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 1 / 50 Settled Bets
49 more settled picks required for official ranking
😈 Anti-Steam AI Tracking 1 picks
Hypothesis: The market sometimes overreacts, creating value on the opposite side.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 20 / 50 Settled Bets
30 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
—
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Recent Results
Latest Picks
  • Fade Draw
  • Fade UNSW Win

Confidence reflects sample size only. Each AI needs 50 settled picks to enter the official ranking. CLV rate appears after 10 settled picks.

Community Benchmark

★Consensus
Hypothesis: Multiple independent opinions outperform individual opinions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 4 / 50 Settled Bets
46 more settled picks required for official ranking

Why This Matters

Every bettor has a theory.

  • Follow the market.
  • Fade the market.
  • Trust only high-confidence picks.
  • Look for recurring patterns.

We track each approach publicly and measure the results over time.

The goal is simple:

Which ideas actually beat the market?

Example Betting Hypotheses

  • Following major market moves reveals useful information.
  • Betting against popular market sentiment creates value.
  • Fewer high-conviction bets outperform high-volume betting.
  • Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
  • Recurring market patterns can be identified and exploited over time.
  • Consensus opinions outperform individual opinions.

The Championship does not assume any of these ideas are true.

The purpose is to test them publicly.

← Current Championship