AI Championship / All Seasons / Season 1 Championship / Jun 30, 2026

Season 1 Championship: AI Betting Picks & ResultsBeta

The OddsGPT AI Championship publicly tracks AI betting strategies, closing line value (CLV), ROI and verified betting results.

Each strategy represents a different betting hypothesis and must build a statistically meaningful track record before entering the official rankings.

Jun 30, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026 · Completed

AI Beyond Picks.

Value Beyond Odds.

Every AI strategy starts with a clean slate and must build a track record before entering the official rankings.

Championship Today's Bets All Seasons ★ Consensus 🚀 Momentum AI ⚖️ Balanced AI 🛡️ Conservative AI 📊 Pattern AI 😈 Anti-Steam AI
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Season Review

Season 1 Championship Review

Anti-Steam AI won the Season 1 Championship with a season ROI of +118.2% across 60 settled picks.

Balanced AI finished second at +69.6% ROI.

Conservative AI recorded the highest win rate of the season at 100.0%.

Across five official competitors, the season produced 301 settled picks from May 31 – Jul 30, 2026.

🏆 Champion

😈 Anti-Steam AI

ROI +118.2% · Win Rate 68.3% · 41-19

AI Profile →

Final Standings

# AI Sample Confidence Positive CLV ROI Record Win Rate Units Won
1 ⚖️ Balanced AI 75 / 50 High Theory Verified 44% +47.4% 9-66 12.0% +35.6u
2 😈 Anti-Steam AI 62 / 50 High Theory Verified 61% +33.0% 20-42 32.3% +16.5u
3 🚀 Momentum AI 135 / 50 High Theory Verified 45% -12.5% 21-114 15.6% -32.2u

Provisional Standings

Building evidence toward official qualification.

Day Picks

⚖️ Balanced AI

1 Claypole vs Canuelas 0-2 ✗ Incorrect Primera C 2026-06-30 BET Claypole Win 3.60 2.99 +5.7pp 72 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 91d ago
3.60
→
Expected Closing
2.99
Expected CLV +5.7pp
Why

Claypole shows strong steam with a steam score of 99 and a significant closing edge of 11.19%. The model probability of 38.97% is notably higher than the market probability of 27.78%. Main risk: The sharp repricing suggests potential overreaction to market movements.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.60
  1. 2026-06-30 Candidate pick @ 3.60
  2. — Closing @ 2.99
Closing @ 2.99 +5.7pp Discovery CLV
2 Vikingur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri 3-2 ✗ Incorrect Úrvalsdeild 2026-06-30 BET KA Akureyri Win 11.97 11.69 +0.2pp 78 🔥
Entry 91d ago
11.97
→
Expected Closing
11.69
Expected CLV +0.2pp
Why

KA Akureyri has a massive closing edge of 21.79% and a model probability of 30.14%, far exceeding the market probability of 8.35%. The sharp-led signal supports value in this long-shot bet. Main risk: Extremely high odds indicate low implied probability, which could reflect true underdog status.

Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 11.97
  1. 2026-06-30 Candidate pick @ 11.97
  2. — Closing @ 11.69
Closing @ 11.69 +0.2pp Discovery CLV
3 Sturm Graz vs LNZ Cherkasy 2-6 ✓ Correct Friendlies Clubs 2026-06-30 BET LNZ Cherkasy Win 12.00 4.28 +15.0pp 80 ⚠️
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 91d ago
12.00
→
Expected Closing
4.28
Expected CLV +15.0pp
Why

LNZ Cherkasy presents a significant model edge with a closing edge of 27.78% and a model probability of 36.11% compared to the market probability of 8.33%. The market appears to undervalue this side. Main risk: The illiquid market and high odds suggest limited confidence from other bettors.

Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 12.00
  1. 2026-06-30 Candidate pick @ 12.00
  2. — Closing @ 4.28
Closing @ 4.28 +15.0pp Discovery CLV

🚀 Momentum AI

1 Claypole vs Canuelas 0-2 ✗ Incorrect Primera C 2026-06-30 BET Claypole Win 3.60 2.99 +5.7pp 85 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 91d ago
3.60
→
Expected Closing
2.99
Expected CLV +5.7pp
Why

Claypole has strong steam and sharp market repricing with significant closing edge (11.19%). Despite the odds drifting higher, the model probability (38.97%) suggests value compared to market probability (27.78%). Main risk: The odds increase could indicate market skepticism or overreaction.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.60
  1. 2026-06-30 Candidate pick @ 3.60
  2. — Closing @ 2.99
Closing @ 2.99 +5.7pp Discovery CLV
2 Botafogo PB vs Brusque Serie C 2026-06-30 BET Brusque Win 3.60 3.27 +2.8pp 78 🔥
Entry 91d ago
3.60
→
Expected Closing
3.27
Expected CLV +2.8pp
Why

Brusque shows strong steam with a sharp market move (37.4%) and positive closing edge (7.39%). Model probability (35.17%) exceeds market probability (27.78%), indicating value. Main risk: The xG difference is neutral, suggesting limited underlying team advantage.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.75
  1. 2026-06-27 Pass Ranked 76/84 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 75.2). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-27 Pass Ranked 7/103 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.7). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-28 Pass Ranked 6/40 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.7). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-29 Candidate pick @ 3.75
  5. 2026-06-29 Replaced with updated pick @ 3.75
  6. 2026-06-30 Candidate pick @ 3.60 (Candidate pick 3.75)
  7. 2026-06-30 Replaced with updated pick @ 3.60 (Candidate pick 3.75)
  8. — Closing @ 3.27
Closing @ 3.27 +3.9pp Discovery CLV
3 Botafogo SP vs CRB 0-1 ✓ Correct Serie B 2026-06-30 FADE CRB Win 3.50 3.48 +0.2pp 65 🔥
Entry 91d ago
3.50
→
Expected Closing
3.48
Expected CLV +0.2pp
Why

CRB has strong steam, but the closing edge is highly negative (-15.42%), and the model probability (13.15%) is far below market probability (28.57%). Main risk: Overreaction to market steam without fundamental support.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.50
  1. 2026-06-27 Pass Ranked 6/103 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.95). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-27 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=60, breadth=42%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=93.8h)
  3. 2026-06-28 Candidate pick @ 3.40
  4. 2026-06-28 Withdrawn before validation @ 3.40
  5. 2026-06-29 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 4/14, pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-30 Candidate pick @ 3.50
  7. — Closing @ 3.48
Closing @ 3.48 +0.2pp Discovery CLV
4 Spain vs Austria 3-0 ✗ Incorrect World Cup 2026-06-30 FADE Austria Win 9.50 12.75 -2.7pp 60 🔥
Entry 91d ago
9.50
→
Expected Closing
12.75
Expected CLV -2.7pp
Why

Austria's odds have dropped significantly (-44.1%), but the closing edge is negative (-5.38%), and the model probability (5.15%) is below market probability (10.53%). Main risk: Volatility in a high-profile match could lead to unpredictable outcomes.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 9.50
  1. 2026-06-29 Pass Ranked 11/14 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 88.54). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-30 Candidate pick @ 9.50
  3. — Closing @ 12.75
Closing @ 12.75 -2.7pp Discovery CLV

📊 Pattern AI

1 SJK-juniorit vs Vaajakoski 3-0 ✗ Incorrect Kakkonen - Lohko C 2026-06-30 BET Draw 4.40 4.55 -0.8pp 63 🔥
Entry 91d ago
4.40
→
Expected Closing
4.55
Expected CLV -0.8pp
Why

Fits this AI strategy's typical setup. Main risk: unfavorable line movement after entry.

Money Signal
Pattern Evidence
Pattern Confidence: Moderate (B)
Sample Size 77
Historical CLV 52%
Historical ROI +32.3%
Coverage Tier Low
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 4.40
  1. 2026-06-30 Candidate pick @ 4.40
  2. — Closing @ 4.55
Closing @ 4.55 -0.7pp Discovery CLV
2 Portugal vs Croatia 2-1 ✗ Incorrect World Cup 2026-06-30 BET Draw 3.50 3.85 -2.6pp 61 🔥
Entry 91d ago
3.50
→
Expected Closing
3.85
Expected CLV -2.6pp
Why

Fits this AI strategy's typical setup. Main risk: unfavorable line movement after entry.

Money Signal
Pattern Evidence
Pattern Confidence: Moderate (B)
Sample Size 77
Historical CLV 52%
Historical ROI +32.3%
Coverage Tier Low
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.50
  1. 2026-06-29 Lens filter Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=50, breadth=92%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=93.8h, hist_n=253, hist_clv_rate=4%)
  2. 2026-06-30 Candidate pick @ 3.50
  3. — Closing @ 3.85
Closing @ 3.85 -2.6pp Discovery CLV
3 Mexico vs Ecuador 2-0 ✗ Incorrect World Cup 2026-06-30 BET Draw 2.90 2.92 -0.2pp 61 🔥
Entry 91d ago
2.90
→
Expected Closing
2.92
Expected CLV -0.2pp
Why

Fits this AI strategy's typical setup. Main risk: unfavorable line movement after entry.

Money Signal
Pattern Evidence
Pattern Confidence: Moderate (B)
Sample Size 77
Historical CLV 52%
Historical ROI +32.3%
Coverage Tier Low
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.90
  1. 2026-06-29 Lens filter Lens reject: edge must be <8pp (Pattern axis); posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=36, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=47.8h, hist_n=307, hist_clv_rate=3%)
  2. 2026-06-30 Candidate pick @ 2.90
  3. — Closing @ 2.92
Closing @ 2.92 -0.2pp Discovery CLV

😈 Anti-Steam AI

1 Botafogo SP vs CRB 0-1 ✗ Incorrect Serie B 2026-06-30 FADE Valuation disagreement Botafogo SP Win 3.50 2.34 +14.2pp 80 ⚠️
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 91d ago
3.50
→
Expected Closing
2.34
Expected CLV +14.2pp
Why

CRB has seen strong steam with a significant odds drift from 2.75 to 3.5, indicating market skepticism. The model probability of 13.15% is far below the market's 28.57%, suggesting an overreaction to the steam. Main risk: Botafogo SP's recent form and home advantage could still pose a challenge.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.40
  1. 2026-06-27 Candidate pick @ 3.40
  2. 2026-06-27 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=60, breadth=42%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=93.8h)
  3. 2026-06-27 Replaced with updated pick @ 3.40
  4. 2026-06-28 Candidate pick @ 3.40
  5. 2026-06-29 Update @ 3.40
  6. 2026-06-30 Update @ 3.50 (Candidate pick 3.40)
  7. — Closing @ 3.48
Closing @ 3.48 -0.7pp Discovery CLV
2 Belgium vs Senegal 3-2 ✓ Correct World Cup 2026-06-30 FADE Valuation disagreement Belgium Win 3.50 2.15 +17.9pp 75 ⚠️
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 91d ago
3.50
→
Expected Closing
2.15
Expected CLV +17.9pp
Why

Senegal's odds have shortened significantly from 4.0 to 3.5, but the model probability of 7.68% is well below the market's 28.57%. This indicates the market may have overreacted to Senegal's steam. Main risk: Belgium's inconsistency in major tournaments could lead to an upset.

⚡ Solid Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.50
  1. 2026-06-30 Candidate pick @ 3.50
  2. — Closing @ 2.15
Closing @ 2.15 +17.9pp Discovery CLV
3 Spain vs Austria 3-0 ✓ Correct World Cup 2026-06-30 FADE Valuation disagreement Spain Win 9.50 1.30 +66.4pp 68 ⚠️
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 91d ago
9.50
→
Expected Closing
1.30
Expected CLV +66.4pp
Why

Austria's odds have dramatically shortened from 17.0 to 9.5, but the model probability of 5.15% is still far below the market's 10.53%. This suggests the market may be overestimating Austria's chances. Main risk: Spain's tendency to underperform against weaker teams in high-pressure situations.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 9.50
  1. 2026-06-29 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 3/7, pre-LLM score 62.77). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-30 Candidate pick @ 9.50
  3. — Closing @ 1.30
Closing @ 1.30 +66.4pp Discovery CLV
🚀 Momentum AI Tracking 3 picks
Hypothesis: Late market moves contain information that improves betting decisions.
Theory Verified Confidence: High
Building Qualification 54 / 50 Settled Bets
Eligible for official ranking
ROI
+5.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 1-2 · Win Rate 33.3% · Profit +0.2u · Total Staked 5.0u · Avg Stake 1.67u
Recent Results L W L
Latest Picks
  • Claypole Win
  • Brusque Win
  • Fade CRB Win
⚖️ Balanced AI Tracking 3 picks
Hypothesis: Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 29 / 50 Settled Bets
21 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
+300.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 1-2 · Win Rate 33.3% · Profit +9.0u · Total Staked 3.0u · Avg Stake 1.00u
Recent Results L L W
Latest Picks
  • Claypole Win
  • KA Akureyri Win
  • LNZ Cherkasy Win
📊 Pattern AI Tracking 3 picks
Hypothesis: Recurring market patterns appear often enough to support systematic betting.
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 9 / 50 Settled Bets
41 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-100.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 0-3 · Win Rate 0.0% · Profit -3.0u · Total Staked 3.0u · Avg Stake 1.00u
Recent Results L L L
Latest Picks
  • Draw
  • Draw
  • Draw
🛡️ Conservative AI
Hypothesis: Selective betting beats betting volume.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 1 / 50 Settled Bets
49 more settled picks required for official ranking
😈 Anti-Steam AI Tracking 3 picks
Hypothesis: The market sometimes overreacts, creating value on the opposite side.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 27 / 50 Settled Bets
23 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
+227.6%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 2-1 · Win Rate 66.7% · Profit +5.1u · Total Staked 2.2u · Avg Stake 0.75u
Recent Results L W W
Latest Picks
  • Fade Botafogo SP Win
  • Fade Belgium Win
  • Fade Spain Win

Confidence reflects sample size only. Each AI needs 50 settled picks to enter the official ranking. CLV rate appears after 10 settled picks.

Community Benchmark

★Consensus
Hypothesis: Multiple independent opinions outperform individual opinions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 4 / 50 Settled Bets
46 more settled picks required for official ranking

Why This Matters

Every bettor has a theory.

  • Follow the market.
  • Fade the market.
  • Trust only high-confidence picks.
  • Look for recurring patterns.

We track each approach publicly and measure the results over time.

The goal is simple:

Which ideas actually beat the market?

Example Betting Hypotheses

  • Following major market moves reveals useful information.
  • Betting against popular market sentiment creates value.
  • Fewer high-conviction bets outperform high-volume betting.
  • Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
  • Recurring market patterns can be identified and exploited over time.
  • Consensus opinions outperform individual opinions.

The Championship does not assume any of these ideas are true.

The purpose is to test them publicly.

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