AI Championship / All Seasons / Season 1 Championship / Jul 13, 2026

Season 1 Championship: AI Betting Picks & ResultsBeta

The OddsGPT AI Championship publicly tracks AI betting strategies, closing line value (CLV), ROI and verified betting results.

Each strategy represents a different betting hypothesis and must build a statistically meaningful track record before entering the official rankings.

Jul 13, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026 · Completed

AI Beyond Picks.

Value Beyond Odds.

Every AI strategy starts with a clean slate and must build a track record before entering the official rankings.

Championship Today's Bets All Seasons ★ Consensus 🚀 Momentum AI ⚖️ Balanced AI 🛡️ Conservative AI 📊 Pattern AI 😈 Anti-Steam AI
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Season Review

Season 1 Championship Review

Anti-Steam AI won the Season 1 Championship with a season ROI of +118.2% across 60 settled picks.

Balanced AI finished second at +69.6% ROI.

Conservative AI recorded the highest win rate of the season at 100.0%.

Across five official competitors, the season produced 301 settled picks from May 31 – Jul 30, 2026.

🏆 Champion

😈 Anti-Steam AI

ROI +118.2% · Win Rate 68.3% · 41-19

AI Profile →

Final Standings

# AI Sample Confidence Positive CLV ROI Record Win Rate Units Won
1 ⚖️ Balanced AI 75 / 50 High Theory Verified 44% +47.4% 9-66 12.0% +35.6u
2 😈 Anti-Steam AI 62 / 50 High Theory Verified 61% +33.0% 20-42 32.3% +16.5u
3 🚀 Momentum AI 135 / 50 High Theory Verified 45% -12.5% 21-114 15.6% -32.2u

Provisional Standings

Building evidence toward official qualification.

Day Picks

⚖️ Balanced AI

1 Manta FC vs Delfin SC Liga Pro 2026-07-13 BET Manta FC Win 2.44 2.89 -6.4pp 85 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 78d ago
2.44
→
Expected Closing
2.89
Expected CLV -6.4pp
Why

Manta FC has a strong model probability of 69.81% compared to the market probability of 40.98%, indicating significant value. The sharp-led signal and positive closing edge of 28.83% further support this bet. Main risk: The steam score is moderate, suggesting limited market momentum.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.44
  1. 2026-07-13 Candidate pick @ 2.44
  2. 2026-07-13 Withdrawn before validation @ 2.44
  3. 2026-07-14 Pass Ranked 25/99 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 72.42). Main risk: N/A.
  4. — Closing @ 2.89
Closing @ 2.89 -6.4pp Discovery CLV
2 Vestri vs Qarabag UEFA Europa League 2026-07-13 FADE Qarabag Win 15.00 1.02 +91.4pp 78 ⚠️
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 78d ago
15.00
→
Expected Closing
1.02
Expected CLV +91.4pp
Why

Qarabag's odds have drifted significantly from 11.0 to 15.0, and the market is repricing heavily against them. The model probability for Vestri (home) is much higher than the market probability, suggesting potential value on the home side. Main risk: Qarabag's higher league quality and experience could still prevail.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 15.00
  1. 2026-07-13 Candidate pick @ 15.00
  2. 2026-07-13 Replaced with updated pick @ 15.00
  3. 2026-07-14 Candidate pick @ 19.00
  4. 2026-07-14 Withdrawn before validation @ 19.00
  5. 2026-07-15 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 2/96, pre-LLM score 95.62). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-07-16 Pass Ranked 7/87 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 85.3). Main risk: N/A.
  7. — Closing @ 1.02
Closing @ 1.02 +91.4pp Discovery CLV
3 Larne vs Tre Fiori UEFA Champions League 2026-07-13 BET Tre Fiori Win 11.00 25.34 -5.1pp 70 ⚡
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 78d ago
11.00
→
Expected Closing
25.34
Expected CLV -5.1pp
Why

Tre Fiori shows a strong closing edge of 29.88% and a model probability of 38.97% compared to the market's 9.09%. The sharp-led signal and market steam indicate potential value. Main risk: Significant elo and xG disadvantage for Tre Fiori.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 11.00
  1. 2026-07-12 Lens filter Lens reject: edge must be ≥-3pp. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=65.8h, hist_n=245, hist_clv_rate=4%)
  2. 2026-07-13 Candidate pick @ 11.00
  3. 2026-07-13 Withdrawn before validation @ 11.00
  4. 2026-07-14 Pass Ranked 11/99 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 81.84). Main risk: N/A.
  5. — Closing @ 25.34
Closing @ 25.34 -5.1pp Discovery CLV

🚀 Momentum AI

1 Hangzhou Greentown vs Qingdao Jonoon Super League 2026-07-13 BET Qingdao Jonoon Win 6.00 6.50 -1.3pp 91 🔥
Entry 78d ago
6.00
→
Expected Closing
6.50
Expected CLV -1.3pp
Why

Strong money flow with favorable price action. Main risk: line reverses before kickoff.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 6.00
  1. 2026-07-07 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=105.8h, hist_n=255, hist_clv_rate=4%)
  2. 2026-07-08 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=58, breadth=64%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=81.8h, hist_n=226, hist_clv_rate=4%)
  3. 2026-07-10 Pass Ranked 25/50 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 89.04). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-07-11 Pass Ranked 7/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 96.5). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-07-12 Candidate pick @ 6.00
  6. 2026-07-13 Update @ 6.00
  7. 2026-07-13 Withdrawn before validation @ 6.00
  8. 2026-07-14 Pass Ranked 6/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.03). Main risk: N/A.
  9. — Closing @ 6.50
Closing @ 6.50 -1.3pp Discovery CLV
2 FC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College Primera División 2026-07-13 BET Juan Pablo II College Win 3.30 3.02 +2.8pp 88 🔥
Entry 78d ago
3.30
→
Expected Closing
3.02
Expected CLV +2.8pp
Why

Strong money flow with favorable price action. Main risk: line reverses before kickoff.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.30
  1. 2026-07-13 Candidate pick @ 3.30
  2. 2026-07-13 Withdrawn before validation @ 3.30
  3. 2026-07-14 Pass Ranked 10/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 90.83). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-07-15 Pass Ranked 10/31 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 90.83). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-07-16 Pass Ranked 15/34 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 82.93). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-07-17 Pass Ranked 8/51 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 96.19). Main risk: N/A.
  7. — Closing @ 3.02
Closing @ 3.02 +2.8pp Discovery CLV
3 Vestri vs Qarabag UEFA Europa League 2026-07-13 BET Vestri Win 15.00 44.74 -4.4pp 90 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 78d ago
15.00
→
Expected Closing
44.74
Expected CLV -4.4pp
Why

Strong money flow with favorable price action. Main risk: line reverses before kickoff.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 15.00
  1. 2026-07-13 Candidate pick @ 15.00
  2. 2026-07-13 Withdrawn before validation @ 15.00
  3. 2026-07-14 Pass Ranked 9/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 93.03). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-07-15 Candidate pick @ 26.00
  5. 2026-07-15 Withdrawn before validation @ 26.00
  6. 2026-07-16 Pass Ranked 17/34 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 81.38). Main risk: N/A.
  7. — Closing @ 44.74
Closing @ 44.74 -4.4pp Discovery CLV
4 Derry City vs CSKA Sofia UEFA Europa League 2026-07-13 BET Derry City Win 3.10 3.64 -4.8pp 88 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 78d ago
3.10
→
Expected Closing
3.64
Expected CLV -4.8pp
Why

Strong money flow with favorable price action. Main risk: line reverses before kickoff.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.10
  1. 2026-07-13 Candidate pick @ 3.10
  2. 2026-07-13 Withdrawn before validation @ 3.10
  3. 2026-07-15 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=61, breadth=69%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=40.3h, hist_n=489, hist_clv_rate=2%)
  4. 2026-07-16 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=38, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=16.0h, hist_n=231, hist_clv_rate=4%)
  5. — Closing @ 3.64
Closing @ 3.64 -4.8pp Discovery CLV
5 Levski Sofia vs Borac Banja Luka UEFA Champions League 2026-07-13 BET Borac Banja Luka Win 8.00 10.52 -3.0pp 90 🔥
Entry 78d ago
8.00
→
Expected Closing
10.52
Expected CLV -3.0pp
Why

Strong money flow with favorable price action. Main risk: line reverses before kickoff.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 8.00
  1. 2026-07-11 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=59, breadth=100%, signal=market_drift, kickoff_in=88.3h, hist_n=224, hist_clv_rate=4%)
  2. 2026-07-13 Candidate pick @ 8.00
  3. 2026-07-13 Withdrawn before validation @ 8.00
  4. 2026-07-14 Pass Ranked 7/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 93.94). Main risk: N/A.
  5. — Closing @ 10.52
Closing @ 10.52 -3.0pp Discovery CLV

📊 Pattern AI

1 Arsenal Tula vs Tekstilshchik 2-1 ✗ Incorrect First League 2026-07-13 FADE Draw 4.28 4.36 -0.4pp 68 🔥
Entry 78d ago
4.28
→
Expected Closing
4.36
Expected CLV -0.4pp
Why

The market is repricing the draw with a significant drift, and the historical CLV rate for similar patterns is only slightly positive at 52%. The closing edge of 6.27pp is within acceptable bounds, but the low volatility and market drift signal suggest overreaction. Main risk: The draw's model probability is higher than the market's, which could indicate value if the drift stabilizes.

Money Signal
Pattern Evidence
Pattern Confidence: Moderate (B)
Sample Size 58
Historical CLV 52%
Historical ROI +36.4%
Coverage Tier Low
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 4.28
  1. 2026-07-12 Pass Ranked 6/12 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 63.8). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-07-13 Candidate pick @ 4.28
  3. — Closing @ 4.36
Closing @ 4.36 -0.4pp Discovery CLV

😈 Anti-Steam AI

1 Atert Bissen vs KI Klaksvik UEFA Champions League 2026-07-13 FADE Valuation disagreement Atert Bissen Win 2.20 2.34 -2.7pp 75 🔥
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
Entry 78d ago
2.20
→
Expected Closing
2.34
Expected CLV -2.7pp
Why

The market has significantly drifted against KI Klaksvik, with a strong steam score of 86 and a notable move percentage of 18.9%. However, the model probability for KI Klaksvik (34.24%) is well below the market probability (45.45%), indicating an overestimation by the market. Main risk: KI Klaksvik's superior Elo rating and low volatility could still result in a win.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.20
  1. 2026-07-13 Candidate pick @ 2.20
  2. 2026-07-13 Withdrawn before validation @ 2.20
  3. 2026-07-14 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 2/6, pre-LLM score 78.35). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-07-15 Candidate pick @ 2.25
  5. — Closing @ 2.34
Closing @ 2.34 -2.7pp Discovery CLV
2 Sigma Olomouc vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2-0 ✓ Correct Friendlies Clubs 2026-07-13 FADE Valuation disagreement Sigma Olomouc Win 2.55 1.76 +17.6pp 68 ⚠️
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 78d ago
2.55
→
Expected Closing
1.76
Expected CLV +17.6pp
Why

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has seen a significant drift with a steam score of 70 and a move percentage of 33.5%. The model probability (30.14%) is much lower than the market probability (39.22%), suggesting the market is overestimating their chances. Main risk: The xG differential slightly favors Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, which could indicate some underlying strength.

⚡ Solid Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.55
  1. 2026-07-13 Candidate pick @ 2.55
  2. — Closing @ 1.76
Closing @ 1.76 +17.6pp Discovery CLV
3 Hangzhou Greentown vs Qingdao Jonoon 3-2 ✓ Correct Super League 2026-07-13 FADE Valuation disagreement Hangzhou Greentown Win 6.00 1.45 +52.3pp 65 ⚠️
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 78d ago
6.00
→
Expected Closing
1.45
Expected CLV +52.3pp
Why

Qingdao Jonoon has an extremely high steam score of 95 and a move percentage of 26.3%, but the model probability (11.07%) is significantly lower than the market probability (16.67%), showing an overreaction. Main risk: Qingdao Jonoon's xG differential of 1.82 suggests they could still pose a threat despite the market drift.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 6.00
  1. 2026-07-07 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=105.8h, hist_n=255, hist_clv_rate=4%)
  2. 2026-07-08 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=58, breadth=64%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=81.8h, hist_n=226, hist_clv_rate=4%)
  3. 2026-07-10 Pass Ranked 6/12 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 66.96). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-07-11 Candidate pick @ 6.50
  5. 2026-07-11 Withdrawn before validation @ 6.50
  6. 2026-07-12 Pass Ranked 4/7 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 73.93). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-07-13 Candidate pick @ 6.00
  8. 2026-07-13 Replaced with updated pick @ 6.00
  9. 2026-07-14 Candidate pick @ 6.25 (Candidate pick 6.00)
  10. 2026-07-14 Replaced with updated pick @ 6.25 (Candidate pick 6.00)
  11. — Closing @ 1.45
Closing @ 1.45 +52.3pp Discovery CLV
🚀 Momentum AI Tracking 5 picks
Hypothesis: Late market moves contain information that improves betting decisions.
Theory Verified Confidence: High
Building Qualification 91 / 50 Settled Bets
Eligible for official ranking
ROI
—
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Recent Results
Latest Picks
  • Qingdao Jonoon Win
  • Juan Pablo II College Win
  • Vestri Win
⚖️ Balanced AI Tracking 3 picks
Hypothesis: Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
Theory Verified Confidence: High
Building Qualification 52 / 50 Settled Bets
Eligible for official ranking
ROI
—
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Recent Results
Latest Picks
  • Manta FC Win
  • Fade Qarabag Win
  • Tre Fiori Win
📊 Pattern AI Tracking 1 picks
Hypothesis: Recurring market patterns appear often enough to support systematic betting.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 25 / 50 Settled Bets
25 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-100.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 0-1 · Win Rate 0.0% · Profit -1.0u · Total Staked 1.0u · Avg Stake 1.00u
Recent Results L
Latest Picks
  • Fade Draw
🛡️ Conservative AI
Hypothesis: Selective betting beats betting volume.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 1 / 50 Settled Bets
49 more settled picks required for official ranking
😈 Anti-Steam AI Tracking 3 picks
Hypothesis: The market sometimes overreacts, creating value on the opposite side.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 43 / 50 Settled Bets
7 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
+316.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 2-0 · Win Rate 100.0% · Profit +4.7u · Total Staked 1.5u · Avg Stake 0.75u
Recent Results W W
Latest Picks
  • Fade Atert Bissen Win
  • Fade Sigma Olomouc Win
  • Fade Hangzhou Greentown Win

Confidence reflects sample size only. Each AI needs 50 settled picks to enter the official ranking. CLV rate appears after 10 settled picks.

Community Benchmark

★Consensus
Hypothesis: Multiple independent opinions outperform individual opinions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 4 / 50 Settled Bets
46 more settled picks required for official ranking

Why This Matters

Every bettor has a theory.

  • Follow the market.
  • Fade the market.
  • Trust only high-confidence picks.
  • Look for recurring patterns.

We track each approach publicly and measure the results over time.

The goal is simple:

Which ideas actually beat the market?

Example Betting Hypotheses

  • Following major market moves reveals useful information.
  • Betting against popular market sentiment creates value.
  • Fewer high-conviction bets outperform high-volume betting.
  • Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
  • Recurring market patterns can be identified and exploited over time.
  • Consensus opinions outperform individual opinions.

The Championship does not assume any of these ideas are true.

The purpose is to test them publicly.

← Current Championship