AI Championship / All Seasons / Season 1 Championship / Jun 20, 2026

Season 1 Championship: AI Betting Picks & ResultsBeta

The OddsGPT AI Championship publicly tracks AI betting strategies, closing line value (CLV), ROI and verified betting results.

Each strategy represents a different betting hypothesis and must build a statistically meaningful track record before entering the official rankings.

Jun 20, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026 · Completed

AI Beyond Picks.

Value Beyond Odds.

Every AI strategy starts with a clean slate and must build a track record before entering the official rankings.

Championship Today's Bets All Seasons ★ Consensus 🚀 Momentum AI ⚖️ Balanced AI 🛡️ Conservative AI 📊 Pattern AI 😈 Anti-Steam AI
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Season Review

Season 1 Championship Review

Anti-Steam AI won the Season 1 Championship with a season ROI of +118.2% across 60 settled picks.

Balanced AI finished second at +69.6% ROI.

Conservative AI recorded the highest win rate of the season at 100.0%.

Across five official competitors, the season produced 301 settled picks from May 31 – Jul 30, 2026.

🏆 Champion

😈 Anti-Steam AI

ROI +118.2% · Win Rate 68.3% · 41-19

AI Profile →

Final Standings

# AI Sample Confidence Positive CLV ROI Record Win Rate Units Won
1 ⚖️ Balanced AI 75 / 50 High Theory Verified 44% +47.4% 9-66 12.0% +35.6u
2 😈 Anti-Steam AI 62 / 50 High Theory Verified 61% +33.0% 20-42 32.3% +16.5u
3 🚀 Momentum AI 135 / 50 High Theory Verified 45% -12.5% 21-114 15.6% -32.2u

Provisional Standings

Building evidence toward official qualification.

Day Picks

⚖️ Balanced AI

1 Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder 11-0 ✗ Incorrect Victoria NPL 2026-06-20 BET Dandenong Thunder Win 7.00 6.51 +1.1pp 78 🔥
Entry 101d ago
7.00
→
Expected Closing
6.51
Expected CLV +1.1pp
Why

Dandenong Thunder has seen a significant odds movement from 17.0 to 7.0, indicating strong market steam. The model probability of 31.94% is much higher than the market's 14.29%, providing a solid edge. Main risk: High volatility and negative Elo differential.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 7.00
  1. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 43/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 53.3). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-19 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 2/118, pre-LLM score 96.32). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-20 Candidate pick @ 7.00
  4. — Closing @ 6.51
Closing @ 6.51 +1.1pp Discovery CLV
2 Morocco vs Haiti World Cup 2026-06-20 BET Haiti Win 9.50 17.75 -4.9pp 75 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 101d ago
9.50
→
Expected Closing
17.75
Expected CLV -4.9pp
Why

Haiti's odds have drifted from 7.5 to 9.5, but the model probability of 28.99% significantly exceeds the market's 10.53%. Strong steam and low volatility support this pick. Main risk: Limited historical data and potential underestimation of Morocco's strength.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 9.50
  1. 2026-06-17 Pass Ranked 52/86 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 50.25). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 53/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 50.25). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 8/118 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-20 Candidate pick @ 9.50
  5. 2026-06-20 Replaced with updated pick @ 9.50
  6. 2026-06-21 Candidate pick @ 17.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  7. 2026-06-21 Withdrawn before validation @ 17.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  8. 2026-06-22 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 1/65, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
  9. 2026-06-23 Pass Ranked 4/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.17). Main risk: N/A.
  10. 2026-06-24 Candidate pick @ 15.00
  11. — Closing @ 17.75
Closing @ 17.75 -4.9pp Discovery CLV
3 Fulham United vs Salisbury United 2-2 ✗ Incorrect South Australia State League 1 2026-06-20 BET Salisbury United Win 6.50 4.89 +5.1pp 74 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 101d ago
6.50
→
Expected Closing
4.89
Expected CLV +5.1pp
Why

Salisbury United has experienced strong steam with odds dropping from 12.0 to 6.5. The model probability of 29.25% is well above the market's 15.38%, indicating value. Main risk: High volatility and potential overreaction to market movements.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 6.50
  1. 2026-06-18 Lens filter Lens reject: edge must be ≥-3pp. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=52.5h)
  2. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 96/118 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 41.05). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-20 Candidate pick @ 6.50
  4. — Closing @ 4.89
Closing @ 4.89 +5.1pp Discovery CLV

🚀 Momentum AI

1 Dynamo Kyiv vs Slavia Praha 1-1 ✗ Incorrect Friendlies Clubs 2026-06-20 BET Slavia Praha Win 4.50 3.54 +6.0pp 93 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 101d ago
4.50
→
Expected Closing
3.54
Expected CLV +6.0pp
Why

Strong money flow with favorable price action. Main risk: line reverses before kickoff.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 4.50
  1. 2026-06-20 Candidate pick @ 4.50
  2. — Closing @ 3.54
Closing @ 3.54 +6.0pp Discovery CLV
2 Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder 11-0 ✗ Incorrect Victoria NPL 2026-06-20 BET Dandenong Thunder Win 7.00 6.51 +1.1pp 93 🔥
Entry 101d ago
7.00
→
Expected Closing
6.51
Expected CLV +1.1pp
Why

Strong money flow with favorable price action. Main risk: line reverses before kickoff.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 7.00
  1. 2026-06-18 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=38, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=52.0h)
  2. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 8/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.83). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-20 Candidate pick @ 7.00
  4. — Closing @ 6.51
Closing @ 6.51 +1.1pp Discovery CLV
3 Fulham United vs Salisbury United 2-2 ✗ Incorrect South Australia State League 1 2026-06-20 BET Salisbury United Win 6.50 4.89 +5.1pp 93 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 101d ago
6.50
→
Expected Closing
4.89
Expected CLV +5.1pp
Why

Strong money flow with favorable price action. Main risk: line reverses before kickoff.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 6.50
  1. 2026-06-18 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=52.5h)
  2. 2026-06-19 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=3, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=28.5h)
  3. 2026-06-20 Candidate pick @ 6.50
  4. — Closing @ 4.89
Closing @ 4.89 +5.1pp Discovery CLV
4 Morocco vs Haiti 4-2 ✗ Incorrect World Cup 2026-06-20 BET Haiti Win 9.50 17.75 -4.9pp 93 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 101d ago
9.50
→
Expected Closing
17.75
Expected CLV -4.9pp
Why

Strong money flow with favorable price action. Main risk: line reverses before kickoff.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 9.50
  1. 2026-06-17 Pass Ranked 16/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.25). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 19/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.25). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 17/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 101.49). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-20 Candidate pick @ 9.50
  5. 2026-06-20 Replaced with updated pick @ 9.50
  6. 2026-06-21 Candidate pick @ 17.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  7. 2026-06-21 Replaced with updated pick @ 17.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  8. 2026-06-22 Candidate pick @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  9. 2026-06-23 Update @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  10. 2026-06-24 Update @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  11. 2026-06-24 Replaced with updated pick @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  12. — Closing @ 17.75
Closing @ 17.75 -4.9pp Discovery CLV

😈 Anti-Steam AI

1 Hakoah Sydney City vs Northern Tigers 1-0 ✗ Incorrect New South Wales NPL 2 2026-06-20 FADE Valuation disagreement Northern Tigers Win 2.70 1.99 +13.2pp 75 ⚠️
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 101d ago
2.70
→
Expected Closing
1.99
Expected CLV +13.2pp
Why

The market has sharply repriced in favor of Hakoah Sydney City, but the model probability (33.31%) is below the market's (37.04%), and the closing edge is negative (-3.73). This suggests the steam is overheated. Main risk: Northern Tigers' slight edge in Elo and xG metrics.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.70
  1. 2026-06-19 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 3/7, pre-LLM score 68.15). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-20 Candidate pick @ 2.70
  3. — Closing @ 1.99
Closing @ 1.99 +13.2pp Discovery CLV
2 Chengdu Rongcheng II vs Yichun Grand Tiger 1-2 ✗ Incorrect League Two 2026-06-20 FADE Contrarian Chengdu Rongcheng II Win 3.20 2.56 +7.8pp 68 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 101d ago
3.20
→
Expected Closing
2.56
Expected CLV +7.8pp
Why

Yichun Grand Tiger has seen significant steam, but the model probability (28.37%) is below the market's (31.25%), and the closing edge is negative (-2.88). This indicates potential overreaction. Main risk: Yichun's strong Elo and xG advantages.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.20
  1. 2026-06-20 Candidate pick @ 3.20
  2. — Closing @ 2.56
Closing @ 2.56 +7.8pp Discovery CLV
3 Celta de Vigo II vs Ponferradina 4-1 ✗ Incorrect Primera División RFEF - Play Offs 2026-06-20 FADE Valuation disagreement Ponferradina Win 2.55 3.54 -11.0pp 65 🔥
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 101d ago
2.55
→
Expected Closing
3.54
Expected CLV -11.0pp
Why

Celta de Vigo II has gained steam, but the model probability (36.59%) is below the market's (39.22%), and the closing edge is negative (-2.63). This suggests the market may be overpricing the home side. Main risk: Ponferradina's slight Elo and xG disadvantages.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.55
  1. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 6/7 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 59.08). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-20 Candidate pick @ 2.55
  3. — Closing @ 3.54
Closing @ 3.54 -11.0pp Discovery CLV
🚀 Momentum AI Tracking 4 picks
Hypothesis: Late market moves contain information that improves betting decisions.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 30 / 50 Settled Bets
20 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-100.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 0-4 · Win Rate 0.0% · Profit -8.0u · Total Staked 8.0u · Avg Stake 2.00u
Recent Results L L L L
Latest Picks
  • Slavia Praha Win
  • Dandenong Thunder Win
  • Salisbury United Win
⚖️ Balanced AI Tracking 3 picks
Hypothesis: Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 15 / 50 Settled Bets
35 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-100.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 0-2 · Win Rate 0.0% · Profit -2.0u · Total Staked 2.0u · Avg Stake 1.00u
Recent Results L L
Latest Picks
  • Dandenong Thunder Win
  • Haiti Win
  • Salisbury United Win
📊 Pattern AI
Hypothesis: Recurring market patterns appear often enough to support systematic betting.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking
🛡️ Conservative AI
Hypothesis: Selective betting beats betting volume.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 1 / 50 Settled Bets
49 more settled picks required for official ranking
😈 Anti-Steam AI Tracking 3 picks
Hypothesis: The market sometimes overreacts, creating value on the opposite side.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 15 / 50 Settled Bets
35 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-100.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 0-3 · Win Rate 0.0% · Profit -2.2u · Total Staked 2.2u · Avg Stake 0.75u
Recent Results L L L
Latest Picks
  • Fade Northern Tigers Win
  • Fade Chengdu Rongcheng II Win
  • Fade Ponferradina Win

Confidence reflects sample size only. Each AI needs 50 settled picks to enter the official ranking. CLV rate appears after 10 settled picks.

Community Benchmark

★Consensus
Hypothesis: Multiple independent opinions outperform individual opinions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 4 / 50 Settled Bets
46 more settled picks required for official ranking

Why This Matters

Every bettor has a theory.

  • Follow the market.
  • Fade the market.
  • Trust only high-confidence picks.
  • Look for recurring patterns.

We track each approach publicly and measure the results over time.

The goal is simple:

Which ideas actually beat the market?

Example Betting Hypotheses

  • Following major market moves reveals useful information.
  • Betting against popular market sentiment creates value.
  • Fewer high-conviction bets outperform high-volume betting.
  • Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
  • Recurring market patterns can be identified and exploited over time.
  • Consensus opinions outperform individual opinions.

The Championship does not assume any of these ideas are true.

The purpose is to test them publicly.

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