AI Championship / All Seasons / Season 1 Championship / Jun 24, 2026

Season 1 Championship: AI Betting Picks & ResultsBeta

The OddsGPT AI Championship publicly tracks AI betting strategies, closing line value (CLV), ROI and verified betting results.

Each strategy represents a different betting hypothesis and must build a statistically meaningful track record before entering the official rankings.

Jun 24, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026 · Completed

AI Beyond Picks.

Value Beyond Odds.

Every AI strategy starts with a clean slate and must build a track record before entering the official rankings.

Championship Today's Bets All Seasons ★ Consensus 🚀 Momentum AI ⚖️ Balanced AI 🛡️ Conservative AI 📊 Pattern AI 😈 Anti-Steam AI
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Season Review

Season 1 Championship Review

Anti-Steam AI won the Season 1 Championship with a season ROI of +118.2% across 60 settled picks.

Balanced AI finished second at +69.6% ROI.

Conservative AI recorded the highest win rate of the season at 100.0%.

Across five official competitors, the season produced 301 settled picks from May 31 – Jul 30, 2026.

🏆 Champion

😈 Anti-Steam AI

ROI +118.2% · Win Rate 68.3% · 41-19

AI Profile →

Final Standings

# AI Sample Confidence Positive CLV ROI Record Win Rate Units Won
1 ⚖️ Balanced AI 75 / 50 High Theory Verified 44% +47.4% 9-66 12.0% +35.6u
2 😈 Anti-Steam AI 62 / 50 High Theory Verified 61% +33.0% 20-42 32.3% +16.5u
3 🚀 Momentum AI 135 / 50 High Theory Verified 45% -12.5% 21-114 15.6% -32.2u

Provisional Standings

Building evidence toward official qualification.

Day Picks

⚖️ Balanced AI

1 Morocco vs Haiti 4-2 ✗ Incorrect World Cup 2026-06-24 BET Haiti Win 15.00 17.75 -1.0pp 78 🔥
Entry 97d ago
15.00
→
Expected Closing
17.75
Expected CLV -1.0pp
Why

Haiti's odds have drastically lengthened, but the model suggests a significant value discrepancy with a 22.32% positive closing edge. The steam score is extremely strong, indicating sharp interest. Main risk: Haiti is a clear underdog with high volatility, and the market may be overreacting to their low chances.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 15.00
  1. 2026-06-17 Pass Ranked 52/86 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 50.25). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 53/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 50.25). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 8/118 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-20 Candidate pick @ 9.50
  5. 2026-06-20 Replaced with updated pick @ 9.50
  6. 2026-06-21 Candidate pick @ 17.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  7. 2026-06-21 Withdrawn before validation @ 17.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  8. 2026-06-22 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 1/65, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
  9. 2026-06-23 Pass Ranked 4/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.17). Main risk: N/A.
  10. 2026-06-24 Candidate pick @ 15.00
  11. — Closing @ 17.75
Closing @ 17.75 -1.0pp Discovery CLV
2 New Zealand vs Belgium World Cup 2026-06-24 BET New Zealand Win 11.00 14.00 -1.9pp 85 🔥
Entry 97d ago
11.00
→
Expected Closing
14.00
Expected CLV -1.9pp
Why

New Zealand shows a massive positive closing edge of 32.84%, with strong steam and a sharp market repricing. The model probability of 41.93% far exceeds the market's 9.09%. Main risk: Belgium's superior ELO rating and low volatility could limit New Zealand's upset potential.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 13.00
  1. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 82/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 57.02). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 59/113 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 57.02). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-22 Pass Ranked 6/65 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.02). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-23 Candidate pick @ 13.00
  5. 2026-06-23 Replaced with updated pick @ 13.00
  6. 2026-06-24 Candidate pick @ 11.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  7. 2026-06-24 Replaced with updated pick @ 11.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  8. 2026-06-25 Candidate pick @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  9. 2026-06-26 Update @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  10. 2026-06-27 Update @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  11. 2026-06-27 Replaced with updated pick @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  12. — Closing @ 14.00
Closing @ 14.00 -0.5pp Discovery CLV
3 Scotland vs Brazil World Cup 2026-06-24 BET Scotland Win 8.50 10.50 -2.2pp 80 🔥
Entry 97d ago
8.50
→
Expected Closing
10.50
Expected CLV -2.2pp
Why

Scotland's odds have lengthened, but the model indicates a strong value with a 29.5% positive closing edge. The steam score is high, and sharp repricing suggests potential mispricing. Main risk: Brazil's significant ELO advantage makes this a high-risk bet.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 8.00
  1. 2026-06-17 Lens filter Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=65, breadth=75%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=189.0h)
  2. 2026-06-18 Lens filter Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=65, breadth=75%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=165.0h)
  3. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 22/118 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 79.35). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 48/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 70.82). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 6/113 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.02). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-22 Pass Ranked 7/65 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.02). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-23 Candidate pick @ 8.00
  8. 2026-06-23 Replaced with updated pick @ 8.00
  9. 2026-06-24 Candidate pick @ 8.50 (Candidate pick 8.00)
  10. 2026-06-24 Replaced with updated pick @ 8.50 (Candidate pick 8.00)
  11. — Closing @ 10.50
Closing @ 10.50 -3.0pp Discovery CLV

🚀 Momentum AI

1 Morocco vs Haiti World Cup 2026-06-24 BET Haiti Win 15.00 17.75 -1.0pp 85 🔥
Entry 97d ago
15.00
→
Expected Closing
17.75
Expected CLV -1.0pp
Why

Haiti's odds have doubled from 7.5 to 15.0, indicating sharp market movement. Model probability of 28.99% suggests significant value against the market's 6.67%. Main risk: Haiti's historical performance and limited sample size.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 9.50
  1. 2026-06-17 Pass Ranked 16/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.25). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 19/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.25). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 17/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 101.49). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-20 Candidate pick @ 9.50
  5. 2026-06-20 Replaced with updated pick @ 9.50
  6. 2026-06-21 Candidate pick @ 17.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  7. 2026-06-21 Replaced with updated pick @ 17.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  8. 2026-06-22 Candidate pick @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  9. 2026-06-23 Update @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  10. 2026-06-24 Update @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  11. 2026-06-24 Replaced with updated pick @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 9.50)
  12. — Closing @ 17.75
Closing @ 17.75 -4.9pp Discovery CLV
2 New Zealand vs Belgium World Cup 2026-06-24 BET New Zealand Win 11.00 14.00 -1.9pp 90 🔥
Entry 97d ago
11.00
→
Expected Closing
14.00
Expected CLV -1.9pp
Why

New Zealand shows strong steam with odds increasing from 7.5 to 11.0. Model probability of 41.93% far exceeds market probability of 9.09%. Main risk: Elo disparity favors Belgium heavily.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 13.00
  1. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 7/78 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 10/54 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-22 Pass Ranked 7/33 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-23 Candidate pick @ 13.00
  5. 2026-06-23 Replaced with updated pick @ 13.00
  6. 2026-06-24 Candidate pick @ 11.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  7. 2026-06-24 Replaced with updated pick @ 11.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  8. 2026-06-25 Candidate pick @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  9. 2026-06-26 Update @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  10. 2026-06-26 Withdrawn before validation @ 15.00 (Candidate pick 13.00)
  11. 2026-06-27 Pass Ranked 7/84 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.83). Main risk: N/A.
  12. — Closing @ 14.00
Closing @ 14.00 -0.5pp Discovery CLV
3 Scotland vs Brazil 0-3 ✗ Incorrect World Cup 2026-06-24 BET Scotland Win 8.50 10.50 -2.2pp 78 🔥
Entry 97d ago
8.50
→
Expected Closing
10.50
Expected CLV -2.2pp
Why

Scotland's odds have shifted from 6.25 to 8.5, with a model probability of 41.26% against market probability of 11.76%. Main risk: Brazil's significant Elo advantage.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 8.50
  1. 2026-06-17 Pass Ranked 37/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 73.75). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 39/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 73.75). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-19 Lens filter Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=63, breadth=69%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=141.0h)
  4. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 63/78 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 79.52). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 12/54 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-22 Pass Ranked 11/33 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-23 Pass Ranked 13/30 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 102.36). Main risk: N/A.
  8. 2026-06-24 Candidate pick @ 8.50
  9. — Closing @ 10.50
Closing @ 10.50 -2.2pp Discovery CLV
4 Panama vs England World Cup 2026-06-24 FADE Draw 8.00 9.00 -1.4pp 70 🔥
Entry 97d ago
8.00
→
Expected Closing
9.00
Expected CLV -1.4pp
Why

The draw odds for Panama vs England have drifted significantly, but England's Elo advantage and historical dominance make this a contrarian fade. Main risk: Overreaction to market movement.

Replaced with updated pick
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 8.00
  1. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 37/78 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 95.49). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 27/54 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 101.3). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-22 Candidate pick @ 7.00
  4. 2026-06-23 Update @ 7.00
  5. 2026-06-23 Replaced with updated pick @ 7.00
  6. 2026-06-24 Candidate pick @ 8.00
  7. 2026-06-24 Replaced with updated pick @ 8.00
  8. 2026-06-25 Candidate pick @ 13.00
  9. 2026-06-25 Withdrawn before validation @ 13.00
  10. 2026-06-26 Pass LLM did not select this match (rank 2/46, pre-LLM score 107.3). Main risk: N/A.
  11. 2026-06-27 Candidate pick @ 17.00
  12. 2026-06-27 Replaced with updated pick @ 17.00
  13. — Closing @ 9.00
Closing @ 9.00 -1.4pp Discovery CLV
5 South Africa vs South Korea World Cup 2026-06-24 BET South Africa Win 5.25 6.12 -2.7pp 74 🔥
Entry 97d ago
5.25
→
Expected Closing
6.12
Expected CLV -2.7pp
Why

South Africa's odds have moved from 3.9 to 5.25, with a model probability of 41.62% against market probability of 19.05%. Main risk: South Korea's Elo advantage and consistency.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 5.25
  1. 2026-06-18 Pass Ranked 7/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.95). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-19 Pass Ranked 16/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 101.49). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-20 Pass Ranked 20/78 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 101.49). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-21 Pass Ranked 23/54 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 101.49). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-06-22 Pass Ranked 14/33 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 101.49). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-23 Pass Ranked 17/30 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 99.89). Main risk: N/A.
  7. 2026-06-24 Candidate pick @ 5.25
  8. 2026-06-24 Withdrawn before validation @ 5.25
  9. 2026-06-25 Pass Ranked 11/32 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 102.36). Main risk: N/A.
  10. — Closing @ 6.12
Closing @ 6.12 -2.7pp Discovery CLV
🚀 Momentum AI Tracking 3 picks
Hypothesis: Late market moves contain information that improves betting decisions.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 36 / 50 Settled Bets
14 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-100.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 0-1 · Win Rate 0.0% · Profit -2.0u · Total Staked 2.0u · Avg Stake 2.00u
Recent Results L
Latest Picks
  • Haiti Win
  • New Zealand Win
  • Scotland Win
⚖️ Balanced AI Tracking 1 picks
Hypothesis: Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 18 / 50 Settled Bets
32 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-100.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 0-1 · Win Rate 0.0% · Profit -1.0u · Total Staked 1.0u · Avg Stake 1.00u
Recent Results L
Latest Picks
  • Haiti Win
  • New Zealand Win
  • Scotland Win
📊 Pattern AI
Hypothesis: Recurring market patterns appear often enough to support systematic betting.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking
🛡️ Conservative AI
Hypothesis: Selective betting beats betting volume.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 1 / 50 Settled Bets
49 more settled picks required for official ranking
😈 Anti-Steam AI
Hypothesis: The market sometimes overreacts, creating value on the opposite side.
No picks tracked yet
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 19 / 50 Settled Bets
31 more settled picks required for official ranking

Confidence reflects sample size only. Each AI needs 50 settled picks to enter the official ranking. CLV rate appears after 10 settled picks.

Community Benchmark

★Consensus
Hypothesis: Multiple independent opinions outperform individual opinions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 4 / 50 Settled Bets
46 more settled picks required for official ranking

Why This Matters

Every bettor has a theory.

  • Follow the market.
  • Fade the market.
  • Trust only high-confidence picks.
  • Look for recurring patterns.

We track each approach publicly and measure the results over time.

The goal is simple:

Which ideas actually beat the market?

Example Betting Hypotheses

  • Following major market moves reveals useful information.
  • Betting against popular market sentiment creates value.
  • Fewer high-conviction bets outperform high-volume betting.
  • Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
  • Recurring market patterns can be identified and exploited over time.
  • Consensus opinions outperform individual opinions.

The Championship does not assume any of these ideas are true.

The purpose is to test them publicly.

← Current Championship