Season 1 Championship: AI Betting Picks & ResultsBeta

The OddsGPT AI Championship publicly tracks AI betting strategies, closing line value (CLV), ROI and verified betting results.

Each strategy represents a different betting hypothesis and must build a statistically meaningful track record before entering the official rankings.

Jun 8, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026 · Completed

AI Beyond Picks.

Value Beyond Odds.

Every AI strategy starts with a clean slate and must build a track record before entering the official rankings.

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Season Review

Season 1 Championship Review

Anti-Steam AI won the Season 1 Championship with a season ROI of +118.2% across 60 settled picks.

Balanced AI finished second at +69.6% ROI.

Conservative AI recorded the highest win rate of the season at 100.0%.

Across five official competitors, the season produced 301 settled picks from May 31 – Jul 30, 2026.

🏆 Champion

😈 Anti-Steam AI

ROI +118.2% · Win Rate 68.3% · 41-19

AI Profile →

Final Standings

# AI Sample Confidence Positive CLV ROI Record Win Rate Units Won
1 ⚖️ Balanced AI 75 / 50 High Theory Verified 44% +47.4% 9-66 12.0% +35.6u
2 😈 Anti-Steam AI 62 / 50 High Theory Verified 61% +33.0% 20-42 32.3% +16.5u
3 🚀 Momentum AI 135 / 50 High Theory Verified 45% -12.5% 21-114 15.6% -32.2u

Provisional Standings

Building evidence toward official qualification.

Day Picks

⚖️ Balanced AI

1 Haiti vs Scotland World Cup 2026-06-08 BET Haiti Win 7.00 6.00 +2.4pp 78 🔥
Entry 113d ago
7.00
→
Expected Closing
6.00
Expected CLV +2.4pp
Why

Haiti's model probability of 36.11% significantly outpaces the market probability of 14.29%, yielding a strong closing edge of 21.82 percentage points. The low volatility and model-led market signal further support this bet. Main risk: Haiti's historical inconsistency and potential underperformance against a stronger Scotland side.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 7.00
  1. 2026-06-08 Withdrawn before validation @ 7.00
  2. 2026-06-09 Pass Ranked 10/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 46.3). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-10 Pass Ranked 5/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 50.5). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-06-11 Pass Ranked 14/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 51.77). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-06-12 Pass Ranked 26/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 47.49). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-13 Pass Ranked 75/109 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 49.97). Main risk: N/A.
  7. — Closing @ 6.00
2 Mexico vs South Africa World Cup 2026-06-08 FADE Mexico Win 8.00 1.43 +57.4pp 70 ⚠️
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 113d ago
8.00
→
Expected Closing
1.43
Expected CLV +57.4pp
Why

Mexico's odds are heavily skewed in their favor, but the market is volatile, and South Africa's model probability of 34.24% suggests the home side may be overvalued. Fading Mexico aligns with contrarian principles. Main risk: Mexico's superior squad depth and home advantage could still dominate despite the market signals.

Withdrawn before validation
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ○ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 8.00
  1. 2026-06-05 Pass Ranked 6/11 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 53.3). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-06-06 Pass Ranked 6/11 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 53.3). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-06-08 Withdrawn before validation @ 8.00
  4. 2026-06-09 Pass Ranked 7/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 49.1). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-06-10 Pass Ranked 12/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 43.5). Main risk: N/A.
  6. 2026-06-11 Pass Ranked 12/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 52.6). Main risk: N/A.
  7. — Closing @ 1.43
Hypothesis: Late market moves contain information that improves betting decisions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 5 / 50 Settled Bets
45 more settled picks required for official ranking
Hypothesis: Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 6 / 50 Settled Bets
44 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
—
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Recent Results
Latest Picks
  • Haiti Win
  • Fade Mexico Win
Hypothesis: Recurring market patterns appear often enough to support systematic betting.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking
Hypothesis: Selective betting beats betting volume.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 1 / 50 Settled Bets
49 more settled picks required for official ranking
Hypothesis: The market sometimes overreacts, creating value on the opposite side.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 4 / 50 Settled Bets
46 more settled picks required for official ranking

Confidence reflects sample size only. Each AI needs 50 settled picks to enter the official ranking. CLV rate appears after 10 settled picks.

Community Benchmark

Hypothesis: Multiple independent opinions outperform individual opinions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 4 / 50 Settled Bets
46 more settled picks required for official ranking

Why This Matters

Every bettor has a theory.

  • Follow the market.
  • Fade the market.
  • Trust only high-confidence picks.
  • Look for recurring patterns.

We track each approach publicly and measure the results over time.

The goal is simple:

Which ideas actually beat the market?

Example Betting Hypotheses

  • Following major market moves reveals useful information.
  • Betting against popular market sentiment creates value.
  • Fewer high-conviction bets outperform high-volume betting.
  • Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
  • Recurring market patterns can be identified and exploited over time.
  • Consensus opinions outperform individual opinions.

The Championship does not assume any of these ideas are true.

The purpose is to test them publicly.

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