1Claypole vs Canuelas0-2
✗ 부정확
Primera C
2026-06-30
베팅Claypole Win
3.60
—
—
72
🔥
▾
참가
100일 전
3.60
이유
Claypole shows strong steam with a steam score of 99 and a significant closing edge of 11.19%. The model probability of 38.97% is notably higher than the market probability of 27.78%. Main risk: The sharp repricing suggests potential overreaction to market movements.
KA Akureyri has a massive closing edge of 21.79% and a model probability of 30.14%, far exceeding the market probability of 8.35%. The sharp-led signal supports value in this long-shot bet. Main risk: Extremely high odds indicate low implied probability, which could reflect true underdog status.
LNZ Cherkasy presents a significant model edge with a closing edge of 27.78% and a model probability of 36.11% compared to the market probability of 8.33%. The market appears to undervalue this side. Main risk: The illiquid market and high odds suggest limited confidence from other bettors.
1Claypole vs Canuelas0-2
✗ 부정확
Primera C
2026-06-30
베팅Claypole Win
3.60
—
—
85
🔥
▾
참가
100일 전
3.60
이유
Claypole has strong steam and sharp market repricing with significant closing edge (11.19%). Despite the odds drifting higher, the model probability (38.97%) suggests value compared to market probability (27.78%). Main risk: The odds increase could indicate market skepticism or overreaction.
Brusque shows strong steam with a sharp market move (37.4%) and positive closing edge (7.39%). Model probability (35.17%) exceeds market probability (27.78%), indicating value. Main risk: The xG difference is neutral, suggesting limited underlying team advantage.
업데이트된 픽으로 교체됨
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
○닫은
○ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
3.75
2026-06-27
패스
Ranked 76/84 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 75.2). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-27
패스
Ranked 7/103 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.7). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-28
패스
Ranked 6/40 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.7). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-29
후보 선택
@ 3.75
2026-06-29
업데이트된 픽으로 교체됨
@ 3.75
2026-06-30
후보 선택
@ 3.60(후보 선택 3.75)
2026-06-30
업데이트된 픽으로 교체됨
@ 3.60(후보 선택 3.75)
3Botafogo SP vs CRB0-1
✓ 정확
Serie B
2026-06-30
페이드CRB Win
3.50
—
—
65
🔥
▾
참가
100일 전
3.50
이유
CRB has strong steam, but the closing edge is highly negative (-15.42%), and the model probability (13.15%) is far below market probability (28.57%). Main risk: Overreaction to market steam without fundamental support.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
✓닫은
✓ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
3.50
2026-06-27
패스
Ranked 6/103 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.95). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-27
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=60, breadth=42%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=93.8h)
2026-06-28
후보 선택
@ 3.40
2026-06-28
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 3.40
2026-06-29
패스
LLM did not select this match (rank 4/14, pre-LLM score 104.74). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-30
후보 선택
@ 3.50
4Spain vs Austria3-0
✗ 부정확
World Cup
2026-06-30
페이드Austria Win
9.50
—
—
60
🔥
▾
참가
100일 전
9.50
이유
Austria's odds have dropped significantly (-44.1%), but the closing edge is negative (-5.38%), and the model probability (5.15%) is below market probability (10.53%). Main risk: Volatility in a high-profile match could lead to unpredictable outcomes.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
✓닫은
✓ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
9.50
2026-06-29
패스
Ranked 11/14 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 88.54). Main risk: N/A.
Fits this AI strategy's typical setup. Main risk: unfavorable line movement after entry.
머니 시그널
패턴 증거
패턴 신뢰도:
Moderate(B)
샘플 크기77
과거 CLV52%
과거 ROI+32.3%
커버리지 등급Low
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
✓닫은
✓ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
3.50
2026-06-29
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=50, breadth=92%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=93.8h, hist_n=253, hist_clv_rate=4%)
2026-06-30
후보 선택
@ 3.50
3Mexico vs Ecuador2-0
✗ 부정확
World Cup
2026-06-30
베팅Draw
2.90
—
—
61
🔥
▾
참가
100일 전
2.90
이유
Fits this AI strategy's typical setup. Main risk: unfavorable line movement after entry.
머니 시그널
패턴 증거
패턴 신뢰도:
Moderate(B)
샘플 크기77
과거 CLV52%
과거 ROI+32.3%
커버리지 등급Low
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
✓닫은
✓ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
2.90
2026-06-29
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: edge must be <8pp (Pattern axis); posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=36, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=47.8h, hist_n=307, hist_clv_rate=3%)
1Botafogo SP vs CRB0-1
✗ 부정확
Serie B
2026-06-30
페이드Valuation disagreementBotafogo SP Win
3.50
—
—
80
🔥
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
🚀 강한 가격 변화
🚀 강한 가격 변화
참가
100일 전
3.50
이유
CRB has seen strong steam with a significant odds drift from 2.75 to 3.5, indicating market skepticism. The model probability of 13.15% is far below the market's 28.57%, suggesting an overreaction to the steam. Main risk: Botafogo SP's recent form and home advantage could still pose a challenge.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
✓닫은
✓ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
3.40
2026-06-27
후보 선택
@ 3.40
2026-06-27
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=60, breadth=42%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=93.8h)
2026-06-27
업데이트된 픽으로 교체됨
@ 3.40
2026-06-28
후보 선택
@ 3.40
2026-06-29
업데이트
@ 3.40
2026-06-30
업데이트
@ 3.50(후보 선택 3.40)
2Belgium vs Senegal3-2
✓ 정확
World Cup
2026-06-30
페이드Valuation disagreementBelgium Win
3.50
—
—
75
⚠️
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
참가
100일 전
3.50
이유
Senegal's odds have shortened significantly from 4.0 to 3.5, but the model probability of 7.68% is well below the market's 28.57%. This indicates the market may have overreacted to Senegal's steam. Main risk: Belgium's inconsistency in major tournaments could lead to an upset.
⚡ 탄탄한 머니 시그널
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
✓닫은
✓ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
3.50
2026-06-30
후보 선택
@ 3.50
3Spain vs Austria3-0
✓ 정확
World Cup
2026-06-30
페이드Valuation disagreementSpain Win
9.50
—
—
68
⚠️
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
참가
100일 전
9.50
이유
Austria's odds have dramatically shortened from 17.0 to 9.5, but the model probability of 5.15% is still far below the market's 10.53%. This suggests the market may be overestimating Austria's chances. Main risk: Spain's tendency to underperform against weaker teams in high-pressure situations.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
✓닫은
✓ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
9.50
2026-06-29
패스
LLM did not select this match (rank 3/7, pre-LLM score 62.77). Main risk: N/A.
