South East Utd. has a significant closing edge of 27.57% and strong steam indicators. The model probability of 34.24% far exceeds the market probability of 6.67%. Main risk: Low league quality and limited historical data.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
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베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
15.00
2026-06-14
후보 선택
@ 15.00
2Germany vs Curaçao7-1
✗ 부정확
World Cup
2026-06-14
베팅Curaçao Win
29.00
—
—
80
🔥
▾
참가
115일 전
29.00
이유
Curaçao offers a massive closing edge of 29.14% and a model probability of 32.59% compared to a market probability of just 3.45%. Odds have shortened significantly, indicating sharp interest. Main risk: Extremely low implied probability and potential overreaction to steam.
🔥 날카로운 머니 시그널
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후보 선택 @
29.00
2026-06-07
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=205.5h)
2026-06-09
업데이트
@ 61.00
2026-06-09
업데이트된 픽으로 교체됨
@ 61.00
2026-06-10
후보 선택
@ 34.00(후보 선택 61.00)
2026-06-10
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 34.00(후보 선택 61.00)
2026-06-11
패스
Ranked 6/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 69.4). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-12
후보 선택
@ 29.00
2026-06-12
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 29.00
2026-06-13
패스
Ranked 15/109 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 84.08). Main risk: N/A.
Saudi Arabia shows a closing edge of 23.57% with a model probability of 36.9% against a market probability of 13.33%. Steam and sharp-led signals support the value. Main risk: Moderate elo advantage for Uruguay and potential underestimation of their strength.
검증 전에 철회됨
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후보 선택 @
7.50
2026-06-09
패스
Ranked 11/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 45.6). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-10
패스
Ranked 4/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 50.5). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-11
후보 선택
@ 7.50
2026-06-12
업데이트
@ 7.50
2026-06-12
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 7.50
2026-06-13
패스
Ranked 21/109 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 81.97). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-14
후보 선택
@ 7.50
2026-06-14
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 7.50
2026-06-15
패스
Ranked 27/66 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 47.54). Main risk: N/A.
Figueirense's odds have drifted significantly, creating a strong closing edge of 11.72 percentage points. Despite a negative Elo difference, the model probability of 36.11% is well above the market probability of 24.39%. Main risk: Elo and xG metrics slightly favor Floresta.
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후보 선택 @
4.10
2026-06-13
패스
Ranked 7/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.83). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-14
후보 선택
@ 4.10
2Canada vs QatarWorld Cup
2026-06-14
베팅Qatar Win
13.00
—
—
70
🔥
▾
참가
115일 전
13.00
이유
Qatar's odds have ballooned, offering a massive closing edge of 16.65 percentage points. The model probability of 24.34% is far higher than the market's 7.69%. Main risk: Qatar's Elo and xG metrics are weaker compared to Canada.
검증 전에 철회됨
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후보 선택 @
13.00
2026-06-11
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=48, breadth=83%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=189.0h)
2026-06-12
패스
Qatar's odds movement suggests steam, but the extreme elo difference and low market probability make this a high-risk bet. Main risk: Canada's superior metrics and lack of historical support for Qatar.
2026-06-13
패스
Ranked 16/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 98.65). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-14
후보 선택
@ 13.00
2026-06-14
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 13.00
2026-06-15
패스
Ranked 6/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 93.8). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-16
패스
Ranked 8/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 93.8). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-17
패스
Ranked 21/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 91.34). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-18
패스
Ranked 23/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 91.34). Main risk: N/A.
Gimnasia Concepción shows a strong closing edge of 18.56 percentage points, and the model probability of 32.85% is much higher than the market's 14.29%. Main risk: Limited historical data to validate this sharp move.
Porto BA's odds have drifted significantly, creating a closing edge of 14.52 percentage points. The model probability of 28.81% is double the market's 14.29%. Main risk: Elo and xG metrics are nearly neutral, offering little support.
South East Utd.'s odds have drifted significantly, but the model probability of 34.24% seems overly optimistic given their weak xG metrics. Main risk: Market may be underestimating South East Utd.'s potential.
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
참가
115일 전
2.70
이유
Hubei Chufeng Heli has seen a sharp odds drift, indicating strong steam against them. However, the model probability (28.81%) is significantly below the market probability (37.04%), suggesting the market may be overreacting. Main risk: Shenzhen 2028's superior Elo and xG metrics could justify the market move.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
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후보 선택 @
2.70
2026-06-14
후보 선택
@ 2.70
2AO Itabaiana vs Ituano2-2
✗ 부정확
Serie C
2026-06-14
페이드Valuation disagreementAO Itabaiana Win
2.40
—
—
68
🔥
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
🚀 강한 가격 변화
🚀 강한 가격 변화
참가
115일 전
2.40
이유
Ituano's odds have shortened significantly, driven by strong steam. However, the model probability (32.39%) is well below the market probability (41.67%), indicating potential overpricing. Main risk: Ituano's slight xG advantage and market sentiment could align with their improving form.
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베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
2.40
2026-06-13
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=96, breadth=92%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=42.5h)
