1France vs IraqWorld Cup
2026-06-19
베팅Iraq Win
34.00
—
—
78
🔥
▾
참가
110일 전
34.00
이유
Iraq's odds have drifted significantly from 19.0 to 34.0, yet the model assigns a probability of 30.48%, creating a massive closing edge of 27.54 percentage points. The steam score of 92 and sharp repricing signal further support this contrarian value play. Main risk: Extremely high odds suggest a low baseline win probability, and volatility is high.
검증 전에 철회됨
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베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
34.00
2026-06-15
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=70, breadth=92%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=188.0h)
2026-06-16
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=72, breadth=100%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=164.0h)
2026-06-17
패스
Ranked 10/86 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 90.2). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-18
후보 선택
@ 34.00
2026-06-19
업데이트
@ 34.00
2026-06-19
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 34.00
2026-06-20
패스
Ranked 9/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-21
패스
Ranked 18/113 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 89.35). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-22
패스
LLM did not select this match (rank 2/65, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
Magic United has experienced significant odds movement from 23.0 to 9.5, indicating strong market steam and repricing. The model probability of 33.31% far exceeds the market probability of 10.53%, providing a strong value edge. Main risk: High volatility and a significant Elo disadvantage (-180.5) could lead to unpredictability.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
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후보 선택 @
9.50
2026-06-18
패스
Ranked 18/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 81.2). Main risk: N/A.
Uzbekistan's odds have shifted from 9.0 to 12.0, but the model probability of 30.48% still provides a strong closing edge of 22.15 percentage points. The low volatility and strong steam signal make this a calculated value play. Main risk: Portugal's higher Elo and quality could dominate despite the edge.
검증 전에 철회됨
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후보 선택 @
12.00
2026-06-16
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=62, breadth=58%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=184.0h)
2026-06-17
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=65, breadth=67%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=160.0h)
2026-06-18
패스
Ranked 13/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 85.33). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-19
후보 선택
@ 12.00
2026-06-19
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 12.00
2026-06-20
패스
Ranked 13/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-21
패스
Ranked 9/113 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-22
패스
Ranked 13/65 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.2). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-23
패스
Ranked 7/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.67). Main risk: N/A.
St George Willawong has seen a sharp odds drop from 6.0 to 3.6, indicating strong market support. The closing edge of 9.76% suggests value, and the low volatility reduces risk. Main risk: Negative Elo and xG differences indicate potential underperformance.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
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후보 선택 @
3.60
2026-06-18
패스
Ranked 28/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 83.7). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-19
후보 선택
@ 3.60
2Sabadell vs Zamora4-0
✗ 부정확
Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
2026-06-19
베팅Zamora Win
4.75
—
—
80
🔥
▾
참가
110일 전
4.75
이유
Zamora's odds have risen sharply, but the model probability of 34.24% against the market's 21.05% shows significant value. The closing edge of 13.19% further supports this. Main risk: Limited historical data and small Elo difference.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
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베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
4.75
2026-06-18
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=26, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=42.0h)
Magic United's odds have dropped dramatically from 23.0 to 9.5, but their Elo difference of -180.5 is concerning. High volatility adds further uncertainty. Main risk: Market overreaction to sharp movement.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
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✓생성된 선택
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후보 선택 @
9.50
2026-06-18
패스
Ranked 25/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 85.94). Main risk: N/A.
Guangzhou E-Power's odds have risen significantly, but the model probability of 30.58% against the market's 18.18% suggests value. The closing edge of 12.4% supports this bet. Main risk: High volatility and negative xG difference.
Bentleigh Greens' odds have risen from 2.6 to 4.5, but the model probability of 37.54% against the market's 22.22% indicates value. The closing edge of 15.32% is compelling. Main risk: Limited historical data and sharp odds movement.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
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후보 선택 @
4.50
2026-06-18
패스
Ranked 18/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.6). Main risk: N/A.
1Mexico vs South Korea1-0
✗ 부정확
World Cup
2026-06-19
페이드Valuation disagreementSouth Korea Win
2.10
—
—
75
⚠️
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
참가
110일 전
2.10
이유
Mexico's odds have drifted significantly despite strong steam and a low xG advantage. The model probability (38.23%) is well below the market probability (47.62%), indicating overvaluation. Main risk: South Korea's superior Elo rating and potential undervaluation of their form.
🔥 날카로운 머니 시그널
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베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
2.10
2026-06-12
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=40, breadth=75%, signal=market_fading, kickoff_in=168.0h)
2026-06-13
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=68, breadth=92%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=144.0h)
2026-06-14
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=62, breadth=92%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=120.0h)
2026-06-15
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=62, breadth=92%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=96.0h)
2026-06-16
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=58, breadth=75%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=72.0h)
2026-06-17
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=66, breadth=85%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=48.0h)
2026-06-18
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=68, breadth=77%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=24.0h)
Adelaide Blue Eagles have seen significant steam with a sharp odds drop, but the model probability (36.59%) is close to market probability (38.17%), suggesting limited value. Main risk: Modbury Jets' home advantage and potential market correction.
검증 전에 철회됨
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후보 선택 @
2.62
2026-06-18
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=52.5h)
2026-06-19
후보 선택
@ 2.62
2026-06-19
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 2.62
2026-06-20
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=40, breadth=60%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=4.4h)
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
참가
110일 전
3.10
이유
Bulleen Lions' odds have shortened significantly, but the model probability (30.58%) is slightly below the market probability (32.26%). The xG advantage for Bulleen Lions supports fading the home side. Main risk: Limited historical data and potential market inefficiency.
🔥 날카로운 머니 시그널
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베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
3.10
2026-06-18
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; odds move must be ≥8%; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=30, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=33.5h)
