1Urozhay vs Tyumen1-0
✗ 부정확
Second League A - Division A Silver
2026-06-06
페이드Tyumen Win
6.57
—
—
75
🔥
▾
참가
127일 전
6.57
이유
The sharp repricing and strong steam signal suggest significant market movement against Tyumen. Despite Urozhay's lower Elo rating, the model probability indicates value on the home side. Main risk: High volatility and limited historical data make this a contrarian fade.
1Hodonín vs Vítkovice1-2
✓ 정확
3. liga - MSFL
2026-06-06
베팅Vítkovice Win
6.82
—
—
78
🔥
▾
참가
127일 전
6.82
이유
Vítkovice shows strong steam movement with a significant closing edge of 15.92 percentage points and a model probability of 30.58%, well above the market probability of 14.66%. The low volatility and sharp repricing indicate a favorable market environment. Main risk: Negative Elo difference of -132.5 suggests potential weakness in team quality.
🔥 날카로운 머니 시그널
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
✓닫은
✓ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
6.82
2026-06-06
후보 선택
@ 6.82
2026-06-07
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥30. (Current: steam=86, breadth=83%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=35.5h)
South Africa has a massive model edge with a probability of 34.24% compared to the market's 11.11%, and the closing edge is an impressive 23.13 percentage points. The low volatility and long time to kickoff reduce immediate market noise. Main risk: Elo difference of -15.6 indicates a slight disadvantage in team strength.
검증 전에 철회됨
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
○닫은
○ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
9.00
2026-06-06
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 9.00
2026-06-07
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥30. (Current: steam=25, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=135.5h)
2026-06-08
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥30; requires low volatility. (Current: steam=28, breadth=31%, signal=volatile_market, kickoff_in=90.0h)
2026-06-09
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥30. (Current: steam=26, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=66.0h)
2026-06-10
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥30. (Current: steam=10, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=42.0h)
2026-06-11
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥30. (Current: steam=36, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=18.0h)
1Urozhay vs Tyumen1-0
✓ 정확
Second League A - Division A Silver
2026-06-06
베팅Urozhay Win
6.57
—
—
78
🔥
▾
참가
127일 전
6.57
이유
Urozhay has seen a massive steam move with a 125% odds shift and strong market repricing. The closing edge is significant at +22.68 percentage points, and the model probability (37.9%) far exceeds the market probability (15.22%). Despite the negative Elo difference, the xG differential is slightly positive, and the high volatility adds upside potential. Main risk: Limited historical data and high odds volatility could indicate an overreaction.
Leobendorf has seen a moderate steam move, but the closing edge is negative (-7.9 percentage points), and the model probability (37.55%) is slightly lower than the market probability (45.45%). While the Elo and xG differentials are positive, the odds tightening may reflect overconfidence. Main risk: The market may be correctly pricing Leobendorf's edge, making this fade risky.
1Urozhay vs Tyumen1-0
✓ 정확
Second League A - Division A Silver
2026-06-06
베팅ContrarianUrozhay Win
6.57
—
—
72
🔥
▾
참가
127일 전
6.57
이유
Urozhay's odds have drifted significantly, creating a strong positive edge based on the model's probability of 37.9% compared to the market's 15.22%. Despite the negative Elo difference, the xG differential is slightly positive, and the sharp repricing suggests overreaction. Main risk: High volatility and limited historical pattern data.
🔥 날카로운 머니 시그널
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
✓닫은
✓ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
6.57
2026-06-06
후보 선택
@ 6.57
2Hodonín vs Vítkovice1-2
✓ 정확
3. liga - MSFL
2026-06-06
베팅Valuation disagreementVítkovice Win
6.82
—
—
68
🔥
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
참가
127일 전
6.82
이유
Vítkovice's odds still offer value with a model probability of 30.58% against a market probability of 14.66%. The strong steam signal and positive closing edge support this position. Main risk: Significant negative Elo difference, which could indicate a quality gap.
🔥 날카로운 머니 시그널
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
✓닫은
✓ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
6.82
2026-06-06
후보 선택
@ 6.82
2026-06-07
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=86, breadth=83%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=35.5h)
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
참가
127일 전
2.20
이유
Leobendorf's odds have shortened despite a negative closing edge and a model probability of 37.55%, which is lower than the market's 45.45%. This suggests market overconfidence in the home side. Main risk: Low volatility and positive Elo difference for Leobendorf.
