Uzbekistan offers significant value with a model probability of 46.76% compared to a market probability of 11.76%, resulting in a strong closing edge of 35.0. The xG difference of 0.5 further supports their competitiveness. Main risk: Uzbekistan's lower ELO rating and potential market mispricing.
검증 전에 철회됨
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
○닫은
○ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
8.50
2026-06-11
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=66, breadth=69%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=169.0h)
2026-06-12
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=68, breadth=77%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=145.0h)
2026-06-13
후보 선택
@ 8.50
2026-06-13
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 8.50
2026-06-14
패스
Ranked 13/117 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 83.03). Main risk: N/A.
Super Nova 2 has seen significant steam with odds moving from 6.0 to 11.0, indicating strong contrarian value. The model probability of 34.24% far exceeds the market probability of 9.09%. Main risk: High volatility and limited historical data.
Canberra White Eagles show a massive closing edge of 26.29 percentage points, with the model probability of 30.14% dwarfing the market probability of 3.85%. Main risk: Extremely high odds suggest a low baseline probability of success.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
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○닫은
○ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
26.00
2026-06-13
후보 선택
@ 26.00
3Jaro 2 vs JS HerculesKakkonen - Lohko C
2026-06-13
베팅JS Hercules Win
7.50
—
—
80
🔥
▾
참가
120일 전
7.50
이유
JS Hercules has strong steam and a closing edge of 17.25 percentage points. The model probability of 30.58% is significantly higher than the market probability of 13.33%. Main risk: Limited historical data to confirm the edge.
검증 전에 철회됨
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
○닫은
○ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
7.50
2026-06-13
후보 선택
@ 7.50
2026-06-13
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 7.50
2026-06-14
패스
Ranked 12/46 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 100.1). Main risk: N/A.
Mt Druitt Town shows a strong closing edge of 14.45 percentage points, with the model probability of 37.54% well above the market probability of 23.09%. Main risk: Limited sample size in historical patterns.
AO Itabaiana's odds drift suggests market skepticism despite a slight model edge. Elo and xG differences are unfavorable. Main risk: Potential underestimation of home advantage.
검증 전에 철회됨
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
○닫은
○ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
3.10
2026-06-13
후보 선택
@ 3.10
2026-06-13
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 3.10
2026-06-14
패스
Ranked 20/46 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 95.88). Main risk: N/A.
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
참가
120일 전
2.70
이유
Charlestown City Blues have seen significant market steam with odds dropping sharply from 4.0 to 2.7. However, the model probability of 29.25% is well below the market's 37.04%, indicating an overreaction. Main risk: Lambton Jaffas' superior Elo and xG metrics suggest they are the stronger team.
검증 전에 철회됨
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
○닫은
○ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
2.70
2026-06-13
후보 선택
@ 2.70
2026-06-13
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 2.70
2026-06-14
패스
LLM did not select this match (rank 3/4, pre-LLM score 60.33). Main risk: N/A.
2Rosengård W vs Norrköping W1-1
✗ 부정확
Damallsvenskan
2026-06-13
페이드Valuation disagreementRosengård W Win
2.90
—
—
68
⚠️
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
참가
120일 전
2.90
이유
Norrköping W's odds have shortened significantly, but the model probability of 22.89% is far below the market's 34.48%. This suggests the market has overreacted to steam on the away side. Main risk: Rosengård W's strong Elo and home advantage.
Langwarrin's odds have shortened due to strong steam, but the model probability of 39.46% is slightly below the market's 42.55%. This indicates limited value on the home side, making the away fade a contrarian play. Main risk: Langwarrin's slight Elo and xG advantages.
