The draw market shows strong steam and a significant positive closing edge of 9.51 percentage points. The model probability of 28.56% is well above the market probability of 19.05%, indicating value. Main risk: Low probability outcomes like draws can be volatile.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
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✓ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
5.25
2026-05-31
후보 선택
@ 5.25
2Zaragoza vs Malaga0-2
✗ 부정확
Segunda División
2026-05-31
베팅Zaragoza Win
5.00
—
—
88
🔥
▾
참가
129일 전
5.00
이유
Zaragoza has a massive positive closing edge of 24.79 percentage points and a model probability of 44.79% compared to the market's 20%. Strong steam and favorable xG/elo metrics further support the pick. Main risk: The high odds suggest the market may still undervalue Zaragoza.
Deportivo La Coruna has a positive closing edge of 4.47 percentage points and a model probability of 35.72% compared to the market's 31.25%. Strong steam and a significant elo advantage add confidence. Main risk: Odds drift suggests some market skepticism.
1Athletic Club W vs Alhama W4-1
✓ 정확
Primera División Femenina
2026-05-31
페이드Athletic Club W Win
1.12
—
—
85
⚠️
▾
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
참가
129일 전
1.12
이유
Strong steam on Alhama despite long odds shift from 7.0 to 8.5. Market repricing suggests sharp action against the home side. Main risk: Low market probability for the away side.
Sharp steam on Zeljeznicar Sarajevo with significant odds drop from 5.5 to 3.75. Strong intel signal and sharp repricing indicate value. Main risk: Limited historical pattern and slight elo disadvantage.
Significant closing edge (9.51%) and strong steam on the draw. Market repricing aligns with model probability advantage. Main risk: Draws inherently carry higher volatility.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
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후보 선택 @
5.25
2026-05-31
후보 선택
@ 5.25
4Zaragoza vs Malaga0-2
✗ 부정확
Segunda División
2026-05-31
베팅Zaragoza Win
5.00
—
—
82
🔥
▾
참가
129일 전
5.00
이유
Massive closing edge (24.79%) and strong steam on Zaragoza. Market repricing suggests underestimation of home side's chances. Main risk: High odds indicate market skepticism.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
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후보 선택 @
5.00
2026-05-31
후보 선택
@ 5.00
5Racing Santander vs Cadiz4-1
✓ 정확
Segunda División
2026-05-31
페이드Racing Santander Win
1.40
—
—
70
⚠️
▾
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
⚠️ 주요 가격 변화
참가
129일 전
1.40
이유
Steam on Cadiz with odds shift from 7.0 to 8.0. Market repricing and xG advantage for the away side suggest fading the home team. Main risk: Home team has a significant elo advantage.
1Almeria vs Valladolid1-0
✗ 부정확
Segunda División
2026-05-31
베팅ContrarianDraw
5.25
—
—
85
🔥
▾
참가
129일 전
5.25
이유
The draw odds have drifted significantly, creating a strong value opportunity with a model probability of 28.56% against a market probability of 19.05%. The closing edge is highly positive at 9.51 percentage points. Main risk: Draw outcomes are inherently volatile and less frequent.
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✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
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후보 선택 @
5.25
2026-05-31
후보 선택
@ 5.25
2AD Ceuta FC vs Albacete1-0
✗ 부정확
Segunda División
2026-05-31
페이드Valuation disagreementAlbacete Win
2.62
—
—
78
🔥
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
참가
129일 전
2.62
이유
The market has overreacted to steam favoring AD Ceuta FC, despite negative model edge (-4.09 closing edge) and weaker fundamentals (elo and xG differences). Contrarian fade on Albacete is justified. Main risk: AD Ceuta FC's home advantage could still play a role.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
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✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
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후보 선택 @
2.62
2026-05-31
정산됨
@ 2.62-0.3pp CLV
3Zaragoza vs Malaga0-2
✗ 부정확
Segunda División
2026-05-31
베팅ContrarianZaragoza Win
5.00
—
—
88
🔥
▾
참가
129일 전
5.00
이유
Zaragoza's odds have drifted sharply, creating a significant value opportunity with a model probability of 44.79% against a market probability of 20.0%. The closing edge is extremely positive at 24.79 percentage points. Main risk: Zaragoza's form and historical volatility.