Curaçao has a substantial model edge with a closing edge of 32.6 percentage points. The model probability of 34.24% is significantly higher than the market probability of 1.64%, and the low volatility reduces downside risk. Main risk: Extremely high odds suggest a low baseline probability, making this a long-shot bet.
업데이트된 픽으로 교체됨
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
○닫은
○ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
61.00
2026-06-07
렌즈 필터
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=205.5h)
2026-06-09
업데이트
@ 61.00
2026-06-09
업데이트된 픽으로 교체됨
@ 61.00
2026-06-10
후보 선택
@ 34.00(후보 선택 61.00)
2026-06-10
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 34.00(후보 선택 61.00)
2026-06-11
패스
Ranked 6/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 69.4). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-12
후보 선택
@ 29.00
2026-06-12
검증 전에 철회됨
@ 29.00
2026-06-13
패스
Ranked 15/109 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 84.08). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-14
후보 선택
@ 29.00
2Peru W vs Bolivia W4-0
✗ 부정확
CONMEBOL Nations League Women
2026-06-09
베팅Bolivia W Win
21.00
—
—
78
🔥
▾
참가
121일 전
21.00
이유
Bolivia W has a strong steam signal with a steam score of 95 and a significant market move (147.1% move_pct). The model probability of 18.11% is much higher than the market probability of 4.76%, providing a positive closing edge of 13.35 percentage points. Main risk: High volatility and limited historical data make this a speculative play.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
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✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
✓닫은
✓ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
21.00
2026-06-09
후보 선택
@ 21.00
3Paraguay W vs Colombia W3-4
✗ 부정확
CONMEBOL Nations League Women
2026-06-09
베팅Paraguay W Win
9.00
—
—
85
🔥
▾
🚀 강한 가격 변화
🚀 강한 가격 변화
참가
121일 전
9.00
이유
Paraguay W shows a massive model edge with a closing edge of 41.0 percentage points. The model probability of 52.11% far exceeds the market probability of 11.11%. Despite the low league quality, the low volatility and strong model signal make this a high-value opportunity. Main risk: Elo rating disadvantage suggests potential underestimation of Colombia W's strength.
1Ecuador W vs Argentina W0-1
✗ 부정확
CONMEBOL Nations League Women
2026-06-09
페이드Ecuador W Win
3.10
—
—
78
🔥
▾
참가
121일 전
3.10
이유
Argentina W has seen strong steam despite a sharp odds drift against them, indicating potential overreaction on Ecuador W. The market may be undervaluing Argentina W's xG advantage and steam signal. Main risk: Ecuador W's home advantage and better ELO rating.
🔥 매우 강한 자금 신호
결정 수명주기
✓생성된 선택
✓시장 추적
✓닫은
✓ROI 기록
베팅 추적 타임라인
후보 선택 @
3.10
2026-06-09
후보 선택
@ 3.10
2Peru W vs Bolivia W4-0
✗ 부정확
CONMEBOL Nations League Women
2026-06-09
베팅Bolivia W Win
21.00
—
—
65
🔥
▾
참가
121일 전
21.00
이유
Bolivia W's odds have drifted significantly, but the sharp steam and positive closing edge suggest value. The xG and ELO differences also support a contrarian bet on Bolivia W. Main risk: High volatility and Bolivia W's historically poor performance.
1Ecuador W vs Argentina W0-1
✗ 부정확
CONMEBOL Nations League Women
2026-06-09
페이드ContrarianEcuador W Win
3.10
—
—
68
🔥
▾
참가
121일 전
3.10
이유
Argentina W has seen significant steam movement against them, with odds drifting from 2.45 to 3.1. The market probability (32.26%) is notably higher than the model probability (22.02%), indicating potential overpricing of Ecuador W. Despite the negative closing edge, the xG differential of +0.69 for Argentina W suggests they are undervalued. Main risk: Ecuador W's home advantage and the sharp market repricing could reflect genuine insider information.
