Season 2 Championship: AI Betting Picks & ResultsBeta

The OddsGPT AI Championship publicly tracks AI betting strategies, closing line value (CLV), ROI and verified betting results.

Each strategy represents a different betting hypothesis and must build a statistically meaningful track record before entering the official rankings.

Aug 22, 2026 · Jul 31 – Sep 28, 2026 · Active

AI Beyond Picks.

Value Beyond Odds.

Every AI strategy starts with a clean slate and must build a track record before entering the official rankings.

Premium betting site 1xbet: New users can use the promo code 1x_3342271 to receive $100 cash.

Official Rankings

AI theories that have reached the 50 settled picks verification threshold.

# AI Sample Confidence Positive CLV ROI Record Win Rate Units Won
1 ⚖️ Balanced AI 60 / 50 High Theory Verified 59% +21.4% 8-52 13.3% +12.8u
2 🚀 Momentum AI 93 / 50 High Theory Verified 48% +13.2% 21-72 22.6% +23.4u

Provisional Standings

Building evidence toward official qualification.

Day Picks

⚖️ Balanced AI

1 Port Melbourne vs Eltham Redbacks FC 0-2 ✗ Incorrect Victoria NPL 2 2026-08-22 BET Port Melbourne Win 9.00 7.83 +1.7pp 78 🔥
Entry 33d ago
9.00
→
Expected Closing
7.83
Expected CLV +1.7pp
Why

Port Melbourne shows strong drift signals with high steam score and significant odds movement. The model probability of 36.11% is notably higher than the market probability of 11.11%, indicating value. Main risk: High volatility in the league and potential overreaction to market drift.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 9.00
  1. 2026-08-22 Candidate pick @ 9.00
  2. — Closing @ 7.83
2 Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro 2-0 ✗ Incorrect Liga Nacional 2026-08-22 BET Deportivo San Pedro Win 7.50 9.23 -2.5pp 75 🔥
Entry 33d ago
7.50
→
Expected Closing
9.23
Expected CLV -2.5pp
Why

Deportivo San Pedro exhibits strong drift signals with a closing edge of 20.44 and a model probability of 33.77%, significantly higher than the market probability of 13.33%. Main risk: Limited historical CLV and potential underperformance in low-volatility conditions.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 7.50
  1. 2026-08-22 Candidate pick @ 7.50
  2. — Closing @ 9.23
3 Tristan Suarez vs Agropecuario 2-0 ✗ Incorrect Primera Nacional 2026-08-22 BET Agropecuario Win 5.25 5.40 -0.5pp 72 ⚡
Entry 33d ago
5.25
→
Expected Closing
5.40
Expected CLV -0.5pp
Why

Agropecuario has strong drift signals and a closing edge of 14.72. The model probability of 33.77% is substantially higher than the market probability of 19.05%, suggesting value. Main risk: Moderate league quality and potential market overreaction to drift signals.

⚡ Solid Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 5.25
  1. 2026-08-18 Pass Ranked 41/107 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 60.73). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-08-19 Pass Ranked 66/135 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 56.33). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-08-22 Candidate pick @ 5.25
  4. — Closing @ 5.40

🚀 Momentum AI

1 Sporting CP vs Alverca 3-1 ✗ Incorrect Primeira Liga 2026-08-22 BET Alverca Win 12.00 13.77 -1.1pp 78 🔥
Entry 33d ago
12.00
→
Expected Closing
13.77
Expected CLV -1.1pp
Why

Alverca shows strong steam movement with a significant odds drop from 17.0 to 12.0 and a high steam score of 97. The closing edge is substantial at +11.38 percentage points, and the model probability of 19.71% is notably higher than the market probability of 8.33%. Main risk: Sporting CP is a strong team with a significant Elo and xG advantage.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 12.00
  1. 2026-08-19 Pass Ranked 13/46 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 89.7). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-08-22 Candidate pick @ 12.00
  3. — Closing @ 13.77
2 Xi'an Ronghai vs Rizhao Yuqi 0-0 ✗ Incorrect League Two 2026-08-22 BET Rizhao Yuqi Win 3.10 3.65 -4.9pp 70 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 33d ago
3.10
→
Expected Closing
3.65
Expected CLV -4.9pp
Why

Rizhao Yuqi has a strong steam score of 96 and a significant odds drop from 4.2 to 3.1. The closing edge is +7.68 percentage points, and the model probability of 39.94% is higher than the market probability of 32.26%. Main risk: Rizhao Yuqi has a significant Elo and xG disadvantage, which could impact their ability to win.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.10
  1. 2026-08-22 Candidate pick @ 3.10
  2. — Closing @ 3.65
3 Guabirá vs Blooming 1-1 ✗ Incorrect Primera División 2026-08-22 BET Blooming Win 3.50 2.93 +5.6pp 65 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 33d ago
3.50
→
Expected Closing
2.93
Expected CLV +5.6pp
Why

Blooming has strong steam with a 36.4% odds drop and a steam score of 96. The model probability of 33.59% is higher than the market probability of 28.57%, and the closing edge is +5.02 percentage points. Main risk: Blooming has a significant Elo disadvantage, which could affect their performance.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.50
  1. 2026-08-22 Candidate pick @ 3.50
  2. — Closing @ 2.93
4 West Ham vs Charlton 1-2 ✓ Correct Championship 2026-08-22 BET Charlton Win 8.00 7.83 +0.3pp 68 🔥
Entry 33d ago
8.00
→
Expected Closing
7.83
Expected CLV +0.3pp
Why

Charlton has a strong steam score of 89 and a significant closing edge of +21.33 percentage points. The model probability of 33.83% is much higher than the market probability of 12.5%. Main risk: Charlton has a large Elo disadvantage, which could hinder their chances of winning.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 8.00
  1. 2026-08-17 Candidate pick @ 7.50
  2. 2026-08-17 Withdrawn before validation @ 7.50
  3. 2026-08-18 Pass Ranked 8/34 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 90.78). Main risk: N/A.
  4. 2026-08-19 Pass Ranked 12/46 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 90.78). Main risk: N/A.
  5. 2026-08-22 Candidate pick @ 8.00
  6. — Closing @ 7.83
5 Huracan vs Deportivo Riestra 0-0 ✗ Incorrect Liga Profesional Argentina 2026-08-22 BET Deportivo Riestra Win 5.00 4.40 +2.7pp 66 🔥
Entry 33d ago
5.00
→
Expected Closing
4.40
Expected CLV +2.7pp
Why

Deportivo Riestra has a strong steam score of 84 and a closing edge of +20.88 percentage points. The model probability of 40.88% is significantly higher than the market probability of 20.0%. Main risk: Deportivo Riestra has an Elo disadvantage and a negative xG differential, which could impact their performance.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 5.00
  1. 2026-08-18 Pass Ranked 14/34 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 83.7). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-08-19 Pass Ranked 14/46 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 89.7). Main risk: N/A.
  3. 2026-08-22 Candidate pick @ 5.00
  4. — Closing @ 4.40

😈 Anti-Steam AI

1 Atlético Choloma vs Platense FC 2-0 ✓ Correct Liga Nacional 2026-08-22 FADE Contrarian Atlético Choloma Win 2.25 2.23 +0.4pp 80 🔥
Entry 33d ago
2.25
→
Expected Closing
2.23
Expected CLV +0.4pp
Why

Atlético Choloma has seen significant market steam, but the model probability (28.37%) is far below the market probability (44.44%), indicating an overreaction. Additionally, the team has a significant Elo and xG disadvantage. Main risk: Market steam could indicate insider information not captured by the model.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.25
  1. 2026-08-22 Candidate pick @ 2.25
  2. — Closing @ 2.23
2 St. George Saints vs Blacktown City 1-0 ✓ Correct New South Wales NPL 2026-08-22 FADE Valuation disagreement St. George Saints Win 2.62 2.50 +1.8pp 75 🔥
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
Entry 33d ago
2.62
→
Expected Closing
2.50
Expected CLV +1.8pp
Why

St. George Saints have experienced strong steam, but the model probability (32.85%) is lower than the market probability (38.17%), suggesting the market may be overvaluing them. The team also has a slight Elo and xG disadvantage. Main risk: The market's sharp repricing could reflect accurate information not captured by the model.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.62
  1. 2026-08-22 Candidate pick @ 2.62
  2. — Closing @ 2.50
3 Victoriano Arenas vs Berazategui 1-0 ✓ Correct Primera C 2026-08-22 FADE Valuation disagreement Victoriano Arenas Win 2.88 3.31 -4.5pp 70 🔥
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 33d ago
2.88
→
Expected Closing
3.31
Expected CLV -4.5pp
Why

Victoriano Arenas has seen strong steam, but the model probability (26.22%) is significantly lower than the market probability (34.72%), indicating potential overvaluation. The team also has a substantial Elo and xG disadvantage. Main risk: The market might have insider knowledge favoring Victoriano Arenas.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.88
  1. 2026-08-22 Candidate pick @ 2.88
  2. — Closing @ 3.31
Hypothesis: Late market moves contain information that improves betting decisions.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 43 / 50 Settled Bets
7 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
+33.3%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 1-4 · Win Rate 20.0% · Profit +3.0u · Total Staked 9.0u · Avg Stake 1.80u
Recent Results L L L W L
Latest Picks
  • Alverca Win
  • Rizhao Yuqi Win
  • Blooming Win
Hypothesis: Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 27 / 50 Settled Bets
23 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-100.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 0-3 · Win Rate 0.0% · Profit -3.0u · Total Staked 3.0u · Avg Stake 1.00u
Recent Results L L L
Latest Picks
  • Port Melbourne Win
  • Deportivo San Pedro Win
  • Agropecuario Win
Hypothesis: Recurring market patterns appear often enough to support systematic betting.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking
Hypothesis: Selective betting beats betting volume.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking
Hypothesis: The market sometimes overreacts, creating value on the opposite side.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 25 / 50 Settled Bets
25 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
+154.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 3-0 · Win Rate 100.0% · Profit +3.9u · Total Staked 2.5u · Avg Stake 0.83u
Recent Results W W W
Latest Picks
  • Fade Atlético Choloma Win
  • Fade St. George Saints Win
  • Fade Victoriano Arenas Win

Confidence reflects sample size only. Each AI needs 50 settled picks to enter the official ranking. CLV rate appears after 10 settled picks.

Community Benchmark

Hypothesis: Multiple independent opinions outperform individual opinions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking

Why This Matters

Every bettor has a theory.

  • Follow the market.
  • Fade the market.
  • Trust only high-confidence picks.
  • Look for recurring patterns.

We track each approach publicly and measure the results over time.

The goal is simple:

Which ideas actually beat the market?

Example Betting Hypotheses

  • Following major market moves reveals useful information.
  • Betting against popular market sentiment creates value.
  • Fewer high-conviction bets outperform high-volume betting.
  • Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
  • Recurring market patterns can be identified and exploited over time.
  • Consensus opinions outperform individual opinions.

The Championship does not assume any of these ideas are true.

The purpose is to test them publicly.

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