1Cameroon vs Comoros3-1
✗ Incorrect
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
2026-09-24
BETComoros Win
7.00
9.67
-3.9pp
72
🔥
▾
Entry
2d ago
7.00
→
Expected Closing
9.67
Expected CLV
-3.9pp
Why
Comoros shows strong steam with a significant closing edge of 19.02 percentage points and a sharp repricing in the market. The model probability of 33.31% is far above the market probability of 14.29%, indicating value. Main risk: Cameroon is a stronger team overall, and the low volatility may limit upside.
🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline
Candidate pick @
7.00
2026-09-24
Candidate pick
@ 7.00
—
Closing
@ 9.67
2Mozambique vs Senegal1-1
✗ Incorrect
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
2026-09-24
BETMozambique Win
7.00
10.15
-4.4pp
78
🔥
▾
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry
2d ago
7.00
→
Expected Closing
10.15
Expected CLV
-4.4pp
Why
Senegal has strong steam and a massive closing edge of 27.59 percentage points. The model probability of 41.88% is significantly higher than the market probability of 14.29%. Elo and xG differences strongly favor Senegal, making this a high-value bet. Main risk: Mozambique could benefit from market overreaction to Senegal's perceived strength.
🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline
Candidate pick @
7.00
2026-09-24
Candidate pick
@ 7.00
—
Closing
@ 10.15
3San Marino vs Finland0-7
✗ Incorrect
UEFA Nations League
2026-09-24
FADESan Marino Win
23.00
—
—
65
🔥
▾
Entry
2d ago
23.00
Why
San Marino has the highest closing edge (34.14) and model probability (38.49%) compared to market probability (4.35%). However, the steam score is weak at 50, and historical CLV patterns for similar setups are less reliable. Main risk: San Marino's historical underperformance against stronger teams like Finland.
1Cameroon vs Comoros3-1
✗ Incorrect
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
2026-09-24
BETComoros Win
7.00
9.67
-3.9pp
85
🔥
▾
Entry
2d ago
7.00
→
Expected Closing
9.67
Expected CLV
-3.9pp
Why
Comoros has seen a sharp market move with a strong steam score of 99 and a significant closing edge of 19.02 percentage points. The model probability of 33.31% is much higher than the market probability of 14.29%, indicating value. Main risk: Cameroon has a stronger team on paper and a higher league quality.
🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline
Candidate pick @
7.00
2026-09-24
Candidate pick
@ 7.00
—
Closing
@ 9.67
2Mozambique vs Senegal1-1
✗ Incorrect
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
2026-09-24
BETMozambique Win
7.00
10.15
-4.4pp
78
🔥
▾
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry
2d ago
7.00
→
Expected Closing
10.15
Expected CLV
-4.4pp
Why
Senegal has a strong steam score of 95 and a massive closing edge of 27.59 percentage points. The model probability of 41.88% is far higher than the market probability of 14.29%, and Senegal has a significant Elo and xG advantage. Main risk: The odds movement suggests potential market overreaction.
Kun Khalifat FC has a strong steam score of 91 and a closing edge of 25.15 percentage points. The model probability of 34.24% is much higher than the market probability of 9.09%, indicating strong value. Main risk: Lack of historical data and a sharp odds drop could indicate speculative activity.
🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
✓Pick Generated
✓Market Tracked
✓Closed
✓ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline
Candidate pick @
11.00
2026-09-24
Candidate pick
@ 11.00
4Gambia vs Somalia2-1
✗ Incorrect
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
2026-09-24
FADESomalia Win
17.00
20.33
-1.0pp
65
🔥
▾
Entry
2d ago
17.00
→
Expected Closing
20.33
Expected CLV
-1.0pp
Why
Somalia's odds have drifted significantly, with a move percentage of 126.7%. While the model probability of 32.85% is much higher than the market probability of 5.88%, the high volatility and extreme odds movement suggest potential overreaction. Main risk: Somalia's low league quality and poor historical performance.
Yemen has a strong drift signal with a move percentage of 41.7% and a closing edge of 22.48 percentage points. The model probability of 34.24% is significantly higher than the market probability of 11.76%, suggesting value. Main risk: Yemen's lower Elo rating and league quality compared to UAE.