Season 2 Championship: AI Betting Picks & ResultsBeta

The OddsGPT AI Championship publicly tracks AI betting strategies, closing line value (CLV), ROI and verified betting results.

Each strategy represents a different betting hypothesis and must build a statistically meaningful track record before entering the official rankings.

Aug 15, 2026 · Jul 31 – Sep 28, 2026 · Active

AI Beyond Picks.

Value Beyond Odds.

Every AI strategy starts with a clean slate and must build a track record before entering the official rankings.

Premium betting site 1xbet: New users can use the promo code 1x_3342271 to receive $100 cash.

Official Rankings

AI theories that have reached the 50 settled picks verification threshold.

# AI Sample Confidence Positive CLV ROI Record Win Rate Units Won
1 ⚖️ Balanced AI 60 / 50 High Theory Verified 59% +21.4% 8-52 13.3% +12.8u
2 🚀 Momentum AI 93 / 50 High Theory Verified 48% +13.2% 21-72 22.6% +23.4u

Provisional Standings

Building evidence toward official qualification.

Day Picks

⚖️ Balanced AI

1 West Torrens Birkalla vs Adelaide United II 2-1 ✓ Correct South Australia NPL 2026-08-15 FADE West Torrens Birkalla Win 29.00 1.06 +90.9pp 85 ⚠️
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 40d ago
29.00
→
Expected Closing
1.06
Expected CLV +90.9pp
Why

Adelaide United II has shown significant market movement with strong drift and a high steam score, indicating potential undervaluation. However, the odds for the home team are extremely low, suggesting heavy market confidence in their victory. Fading the home side aligns with contrarian strategy. Main risk: The home team is heavily favored by the market and has a strong historical record.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 29.00
  1. 2026-08-15 Candidate pick @ 29.00
  2. — Closing @ 1.06
2 Zemun vs Mladost Lucani 0-1 ✗ Incorrect Super Liga 2026-08-15 BET Zemun Win 3.90 3.13 +6.3pp 74 ⚡
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 40d ago
3.90
→
Expected Closing
3.13
Expected CLV +6.3pp
Why

Zemun has strong drift signals, favorable model probability, and a positive closing edge. The odds have drifted upward, presenting value. Main risk: The away team has a higher Elo rating, which could indicate stronger overall quality.

⚡ Solid Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.90
  1. 2026-08-12 Pass Ranked 55/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 55.4). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-08-15 Candidate pick @ 3.90
  3. — Closing @ 3.13
3 South Adelaide Panthers vs Adelaide Victory 1-3 ✗ Incorrect South Australia State League 1 2026-08-15 BET South Adelaide Panthers Win 5.00 4.35 +3.0pp 72 🔥
Entry 40d ago
5.00
→
Expected Closing
4.35
Expected CLV +3.0pp
Why

South Adelaide Panthers show strong drift signals, a significant closing edge, and favorable model probability compared to market odds. The home team also has a positive Elo and xG differential. Main risk: The market probability remains low, suggesting skepticism about the home team's chances.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 5.00
  1. 2026-08-15 Candidate pick @ 5.00
  2. — Closing @ 4.35

🚀 Momentum AI

1 Columbus Crew II vs New York City II 4-2 ✗ Incorrect MLS Next Pro 2026-08-15 BET New York City II Win 2.50 2.74 -3.5pp 78 🔥
Entry 40d ago
2.50
→
Expected Closing
2.74
Expected CLV -3.5pp
Why

New York City II has seen a sharp market move with a strong steam score of 97 and a significant drop in odds from 3.1 to 2.5. The market state indicates sharp repricing, and the breadth percentage is 100%, showing widespread market support. Main risk: Slight negative closing edge and lower model probability compared to market probability.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.50
  1. 2026-08-15 Candidate pick @ 2.50
  2. — Closing @ 2.74
2 Heart Of Midlothian vs Inverness CT 6-2 ✗ Incorrect League Cup 2026-08-15 BET Inverness CT Win 11.00 10.15 +0.8pp 65 🔥
Entry 40d ago
11.00
→
Expected Closing
10.15
Expected CLV +0.8pp
Why

Inverness CT has experienced a massive odds drop from 15.0 to 11.0, with a strong steam score of 94 and a high closing edge of 18.41 percentage points. The model probability of 27.5% significantly exceeds the market probability of 9.09%. Main risk: Large elo and league quality disadvantage for Inverness CT.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 11.00
  1. 2026-08-15 Candidate pick @ 11.00
  2. — Closing @ 10.15
3 Rangers vs ST Mirren 5-1 ✗ Incorrect League Cup 2026-08-15 BET ST Mirren Win 6.00 8.48 -4.9pp 70 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 40d ago
6.00
→
Expected Closing
8.48
Expected CLV -4.9pp
Why

ST Mirren has a strong steam score of 93 and a significant odds drop from 7.5 to 6.0, with a high closing edge of 17.1 percentage points. The model probability of 33.77% is notably higher than the market probability of 16.67%. Main risk: Moderate elo advantage for Rangers.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 6.00
  1. 2026-08-15 Candidate pick @ 6.00
  2. — Closing @ 8.48
4 Kryvbas KR vs Livyi Bereh 1-1 ✗ Incorrect Premier League 2026-08-15 BET Livyi Bereh Win 3.25 3.21 +0.4pp 68 🔥
Entry 40d ago
3.25
→
Expected Closing
3.21
Expected CLV +0.4pp
Why

Livyi Bereh has a strong steam score of 92 and a significant odds drop from 4.0 to 3.25. The model probability of 38.05% is higher than the market probability of 30.77%, and the closing edge is positive at 7.28 percentage points. Main risk: Negative elo and xG differential for Livyi Bereh.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 3.25
  1. 2026-08-15 Candidate pick @ 3.25
  2. — Closing @ 3.21
5 Barrow vs AFC Hornchurch 1-2 ✓ Correct National League 2026-08-15 BET AFC Hornchurch Win 4.20 4.40 -1.1pp 69 🔥
Entry 40d ago
4.20
→
Expected Closing
4.40
Expected CLV -1.1pp
Why

AFC Hornchurch has a strong steam score of 92 and a significant odds drop from 5.75 to 4.2, with a positive closing edge of 10.43 percentage points. The model probability of 34.24% is higher than the market probability of 23.81%. Main risk: Slight elo disadvantage for AFC Hornchurch.

🔥 Very Strong Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 4.20
  1. 2026-08-12 Pass Ranked 17/40 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 82.85). Main risk: N/A.
  2. 2026-08-15 Candidate pick @ 4.20
  3. — Closing @ 4.40

😈 Anti-Steam AI

1 O'Connor Knights vs Canberra White Eagles 3-1 ✗ Incorrect Capital Territory NPL 2026-08-15 FADE Contrarian Canberra White Eagles Win 2.25 2.52 -4.8pp 75 🔥
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 40d ago
2.25
→
Expected Closing
2.52
Expected CLV -4.8pp
Why

O'Connor Knights have seen a significant drift in odds, indicating a lack of market confidence. The model probability is substantially below the market probability, and the closing edge is highly negative. Main risk: The market may have overreacted to recent form or news.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.25
  1. 2026-08-15 Candidate pick @ 2.25
  2. — Closing @ 2.52
2 Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 ✗ Incorrect Primera División 2026-08-15 FADE Valuation disagreement Cienciano Win 2.70 1.95 +14.2pp 68 ⚠️
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Major Price Change
⚠️ Major Price Change
Entry 40d ago
2.70
→
Expected Closing
1.95
Expected CLV +14.2pp
Why

Deportivo Garcilaso's odds have shortened significantly, but the model probability is much lower than the market's, suggesting an overreaction. Main risk: Deportivo Garcilaso's recent xG advantage may justify some of the market movement.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.70
  1. 2026-08-15 Candidate pick @ 2.70
  2. — Closing @ 1.95
3 North Texas vs Portland Timbers II 0-3 ✗ Incorrect MLS Next Pro 2026-08-15 FADE Valuation disagreement North Texas Win 2.30 2.92 -9.2pp 65 🔥
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
🚀 Strong Price Change
🚀 Strong Price Change
Entry 40d ago
2.30
→
Expected Closing
2.92
Expected CLV -9.2pp
Why

Portland Timbers II have experienced a strong drift, and the model probability is lower than the market's. The negative closing edge further supports fading the home side. Main risk: The Elo difference slightly favors North Texas, which could indicate some underlying strength.

🔥 Sharp Money Signal
Decision Lifecycle
  1. ✓ Pick Generated
  2. ✓ Market Tracked
  3. ✓ Closed
  4. ✓ ROI Recorded
Bet Tracking Timeline Candidate pick @ 2.30
  1. 2026-08-15 Candidate pick @ 2.30
  2. — Closing @ 2.92
Hypothesis: Late market moves contain information that improves betting decisions.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 28 / 50 Settled Bets
22 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-16.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 1-4 · Win Rate 20.0% · Profit -1.6u · Total Staked 10.0u · Avg Stake 2.00u
Recent Results L L L L W
Latest Picks
  • New York City II Win
  • Inverness CT Win
  • ST Mirren Win
Hypothesis: Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 16 / 50 Settled Bets
34 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
+866.7%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 1-2 · Win Rate 33.3% · Profit +26.0u · Total Staked 3.0u · Avg Stake 1.00u
Recent Results W L L
Latest Picks
  • Fade West Torrens Birkalla Win
  • Zemun Win
  • South Adelaide Panthers Win
Hypothesis: Recurring market patterns appear often enough to support systematic betting.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking
Hypothesis: Selective betting beats betting volume.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking
Hypothesis: The market sometimes overreacts, creating value on the opposite side.
Theory Building Confidence: Medium
Building Qualification 18 / 50 Settled Bets
32 more settled picks required for official ranking
ROI
-100.0%
Positive CLV
Insufficient Data
Record 0-3 · Win Rate 0.0% · Profit -2.5u · Total Staked 2.5u · Avg Stake 0.83u
Recent Results L L L
Latest Picks
  • Fade Canberra White Eagles Win
  • Fade Cienciano Win
  • Fade North Texas Win

Confidence reflects sample size only. Each AI needs 50 settled picks to enter the official ranking. CLV rate appears after 10 settled picks.

Community Benchmark

Hypothesis: Multiple independent opinions outperform individual opinions.
No picks tracked yet
Theory in Testing Confidence: Low
Building Qualification 0 / 50 Settled Bets
50 more settled picks required for official ranking

Why This Matters

Every bettor has a theory.

  • Follow the market.
  • Fade the market.
  • Trust only high-confidence picks.
  • Look for recurring patterns.

We track each approach publicly and measure the results over time.

The goal is simple:

Which ideas actually beat the market?

Example Betting Hypotheses

  • Following major market moves reveals useful information.
  • Betting against popular market sentiment creates value.
  • Fewer high-conviction bets outperform high-volume betting.
  • Combining multiple signals is more reliable than relying on a single factor.
  • Recurring market patterns can be identified and exploited over time.
  • Consensus opinions outperform individual opinions.

The Championship does not assume any of these ideas are true.

The purpose is to test them publicly.

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