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Market IntelligenceSharp Money Report — September 29, 2026

Daily Football Betting Market Intelligence

Partial archive · 2026-09-29 · 1 pending

Today's Market Status

  • Matches analyzed: 147
  • Bookmakers tracked: 14
  • Market activity: Active
  • Sharp signals detected: 110 detected
View analyzed matches →

Analyzed Matches (147)

Sharp Signals (110)

League Match Signal Status Sharp Score Movement
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Somalia vs Ivory Coast Strong Sharp 99 ↓ -25.4%
CONCACAF Nations League St. Kitts and Nevis vs Grenada Strong Sharp 99 ↓ -23.7%
Gulf Cup of Nations Oman vs Kuwait Strong Sharp 99 ↓ -24.5%
UEFA Nations League Bulgaria vs Estonia Strong Sharp 99 ↓ -24.0%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Ethiopia vs Senegal Strong Sharp 92 ↓ -31.8%
CAF U23 Cup of Nations Tunisia U23 vs Benin U23 Moderate Sharp 89 ↑ +56.5%
Cup Inter Bratislava vs Podbrezová Moderate Sharp 89 ↑ +31.5%
Friendlies USA U19 vs Wales U19 Moderate Sharp 89 ↑ +24.5%
Gulf Cup of Nations Saudi Arabia vs Iraq Moderate Sharp 89 ↓ -16.0%
Non League Premier - Isthmian Maldon & Tiptree vs Cray Wanderers Moderate Sharp 87 ↓ -18.8%
Asian Games Women Japan W vs South Korea W Moderate Sharp 86 ↑ +80.2%
J-League Cup Ehime FC vs FC Tokyo Moderate Sharp 86 ↑ +22.8%
J-League Cup Sagan Tosu vs Tokyo Verdy Moderate Sharp 86 ↑ +33.9%
CONCACAF Nations League St. Lucia vs Bermuda Moderate Sharp 84 ↑ +28.3%
J-League Cup Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Moderate Sharp 84 ↑ +19.9%
Reserve League Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Defensa y Justicia Res. Moderate Sharp 84 ↑ +54.6%
J-League Cup Gainare Tottori vs V-varen Nagasaki Moderate Sharp 82 ↑ +30.9%
Non League Premier - Isthmian Dulwich Hamlet vs Aveley Moderate Sharp 82 ↓ -16.7%
Non League Premier - Southern Central Real Bedford vs Leiston Moderate Sharp 82 ↓ -16.2%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Benin vs Mauritania Moderate Sharp 81 ↑ +20.9%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Comoros vs Namibia Moderate Sharp 81 ↑ +33.9%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Ghana vs Gambia Moderate Sharp 81 ↑ +70.7%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Madagascar vs Tanzania Moderate Sharp 81 ↑ +22.5%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Zambia vs Togo Moderate Sharp 81 ↑ +24.2%
J-League Cup FC Gifu vs Yokohama FC Moderate Sharp 81 ↑ +19.7%
UEFA Nations League Finland vs Belarus Moderate Sharp 79 ↑ +34.3%
Professional Development League Coventry City U21 vs Colchester United U21 Moderate Sharp 78 ↓ -14.5%
UEFA Nations League Slovakia vs Kazakhstan Moderate Sharp 78 ↑ +19.8%
Primera Division Atletico Balboa vs Cacahuatique Moderate Sharp 76 ↑ +20.0%
Non League Premier - Southern Central Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leamington Moderate Sharp 75 ↑ +48.8%
National League Boreham Wood vs Kidderminster Harriers Moderate Sharp 74 ↑ +40.2%
National League FC Halifax Town vs Boston United Moderate Sharp 74 ↑ +22.1%
National League Gateshead vs Altrincham Moderate Sharp 74 ↑ +61.9%
National League Hartlepool vs Harrogate Town Moderate Sharp 74 ↑ +25.0%
Non League Premier - Isthmian Dartford vs Whitehawk Moderate Sharp 74 ↓ -12.5%
Reserve League San Lorenzo Res. vs Aldosivi Res. Moderate Sharp 74 ↓ -14.7%
Non League Premier - Southern Central Banbury United vs Stratford Town Moderate Sharp 72 ↑ +32.1%
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Belgium U21 vs Wales U21 Moderate Sharp 72 ↑ +16.9%
Primera A Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe Moderate Sharp 71 ↑ +16.9%
National League Forest Green vs Wealdstone Moderate Sharp 70 ↓ -12.2%
Non League Premier - Northern Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC Moderate Sharp 70 ↑ +15.7%
Asian Games Women Korea DPR W vs China W Market Movement 69 ↓ -13.6%
FIFA Asean Cup Philippines vs Pakistan Market Movement 69 ↑ +17.0%
UEFA Nations League Czechia vs England Market Movement 69 ↑ +101.2%
UEFA Nations League Scotland vs Switzerland Market Movement 69 ↑ +40.6%
UEFA Nations League Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia Market Movement 69 ↑ +49.1%
UEFA Nations League Spain vs Croatia Market Movement 69 ↑ +46.4%
CONCACAF Nations League Guatemala vs El Salvador Market Movement 68 ↑ +27.7%
J-League Cup Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka Market Movement 68 ↓ -11.5%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda Market Movement 67 ↑ +30.8%
J-League Cup Jubilo Iwata vs JEF United Chiba Market Movement 67 ↑ +14.8%
Friendlies Australia vs Brazil Market Movement 66 ↓ -8.9%
Non League Premier - Southern South Hanworth Villa vs Chichester City Market Movement 66 ↓ -12.7%
J-League Cup Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama F. Marinos Market Movement 65 ↑ +13.6%
Friendlies Serbia U19 vs Hungary U19 Market Movement 64 ↓ -9.7%
QSL Cup Al-Khor vs UMM Salal Market Movement 63 ↑ +11.5%
UEFA Nations League San Marino vs Albania Market Movement 63 ↑ +117.0%
J-League Cup Kanazawa vs Shimizu S-pulse Market Movement 62 ↑ +12.3%
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Norway U21 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U21 Market Movement 62 ↑ +10.8%
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Republic of Ireland U21 vs Kazakhstan U21 Market Movement 61 ↑ +43.8%
FIFA Asean Cup Thailand vs Vietnam Market Movement 60 ↑ +18.9%
J-League Cup Fujieda MYFC vs Cerezo Osaka Market Movement 60 ↑ +11.6%
Professional Development League Wigan Athletic U21 vs Huddersfield Town U21 Market Movement 60 ↑ +9.8%
Prva Liga FK Vozdovac vs Napredak Market Movement 57 ↑ +13.8%
Reserve League Tigre Res. vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. Market Movement 57 ↓ -7.2%
Non League Premier - Southern Central Racing Club Warwick vs Worcester City Market Movement 56 ↑ +14.7%
U20 Elite League Poland U20 vs Czechia U20 Market Movement 56 ↑ +8.0%
Liga Revelação U23 Rio Ave U23 vs Penafiel U23 Market Movement 54 ↑ +5.9%
National League Barrow vs Scunthorpe Market Movement 53 ↓ -6.8%
Non League Premier - Northern AFC Emley vs Workington Market Movement 53 ↓ -8.3%
Primera C Deportivo Muñiz vs El Porvenir Market Movement 52 ↑ +30.9%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Mozambique vs Sudan Market Movement 51 ↑ +6.2%
Non League Premier - Southern Central Halesowen Town vs Rushall Olympic Market Movement 51 ↓ -10.0%
Premier League Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC Market Movement 51 ↑ +7.8%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Burundi vs Algeria Market Movement 50 ↑ +6.0%
J-League Cup Roasso Kumamoto vs Kawasaki Frontale Market Movement 50 ↓ -6.9%
Non League Premier - Northern Warrington Town vs Gainsborough Trinity Market Movement 50 ↑ +11.1%
Copa Chile D. Puerto Montt vs Colo Colo Market Movement 49 ↓ -3.8%
J-League Cup Kataller Toyama vs Urawa Market Movement 47 ↑ +4.1%
Non League Premier - Northern Whitby Town vs Lancaster City Market Movement 47 ↑ +11.3%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Congo vs Cameroon Market Movement 46 ↑ +3.8%
Friendlies Russia vs Iran Market Movement 46 ↑ +16.3%
Non League Premier - Southern Central Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town Market Movement 46 ↑ +11.7%
Non League Premier - Southern South Gloucester City vs Plymouth Parkway Market Movement 44 ↑ +10.5%
National League AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town Market Movement 43 ↑ +7.1%
U20 Elite League Germany U20 vs Italy U20 Market Movement 43 ↑ +4.5%
National League AFC Fylde vs Carlisle Market Movement 42 ↑ +6.7%
U20 Elite League France U20 vs England U20 Market Movement 42 ↑ +7.2%
Friendlies England U19 vs Norway U19 Market Movement 41 ↑ +5.6%
UEFA Nations League Moldova vs Faroe Islands Market Movement 41 ↑ +10.4%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification South Sudan vs Egypt Market Movement 40 ↑ +10.5%
Non League Premier - Southern Central Kettering Town vs Anstey Nomads Market Movement 40 ↓ -4.4%
Non League Premier - Northern Ilkeston Town vs Rylands Market Movement 39 ↑ +4.1%
UEFA Nations League Luxembourg vs Iceland Market Movement 39 ↑ +10.3%
National League - South Slough Town vs Ebbsfleet United Market Movement 37 ↑ +3.8%
Non League Premier - Southern South Uxbridge vs Basingstoke Town Market Movement 37 ↓ -3.2%
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21 Market Movement 36 ↑ +7.5%
Friendlies Clubs Jagiellonia vs Suduva Marijampole Market Movement 31 ↓ -8.6%
Non League Premier - Southern South Wimborne Town vs Yate Town Market Movement 30 ↓ -7.7%
Presidents Cup Al Fujairah SC vs Al Jazira Al Hamra Market Movement 30 ↑ +10.3%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Gabon vs Niger Market Movement 29 ↑ +10.3%
National League - North Brackley Town vs South Shields Market Movement 29 ↑ +8.5%
Primera B Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena Market Movement 27 ↑ +6.7%
J-League Cup Matsumoto Yamaga vs Albirex Niigata Market Movement 24 ↓ -5.4%
CONCACAF Nations League British Virgin Islands vs Turks and Caicos Islands Market Movement 23 ↓ -7.3%
U20 Elite League Portugal U20 vs Switzerland U20 Market Movement 22 ↑ +3.8%
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Liberia vs Mali Market Movement 18 ↑ +7.4%
QSL Cup Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha Market Movement 18 ↓ -4.9%
Reserve League Banfield Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res. Market Movement 18 ↑ +4.8%
Presidents Cup Palm City vs Dibba Al Hisn Market Movement 16 ↓ -6.7%
Show 37 matches without significant movement
League Match Signal Status
CONCACAF Nations League Jamaica vs Honduras No significant movement
Liga Revelação U23 Santa Clara U23 vs Felgueiras U23 No significant movement
J-League Cup Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama No significant movement
Non League Premier - Southern South Sholing vs Berkhamsted No significant movement
Regionalliga - Bayern SpVgg Unterhaching vs Buchbach No significant movement
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Lesotho vs Morocco No significant movement
J-League Cup Fukushima United vs Mito Hollyhock No significant movement
Non League Premier - Southern South Bath City vs Malvern Town No significant movement
Challenge Cup Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United No significant movement
Non League Premier - Southern Central Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town No significant movement
Non League Premier - Southern Central Alvechurch vs Stourbridge No significant movement
Paulista - U20 Juventus U20 vs Gremio Prudente U20 No significant movement
Professional Development League Hull City U21 vs Bolton Wanderers Res. No significant movement
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Estonia U21 vs France U21 No significant movement
Liga MX Femenil Necaxa W vs Toluca W No significant movement
Non League Premier - Southern Central Needham Market vs Stamford No significant movement
CONCACAF Nations League French Guyana vs Sint Maarten No significant movement
National League Yeovil Town vs Worthing No significant movement
UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Iceland U21 vs Switzerland U21 No significant movement
Non League Premier - Southern South Chertsey Town vs Poole Town No significant movement
Azadegan League Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah No significant movement
Non League Premier - Southern Central Peterborough Sports vs Redditch United No significant movement
Professional Development League Charlton Athletic U21 vs Millwall U21 No significant movement
Professional Development League Peterborough United U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 No significant movement
Copa de la División Profesional Universitario de Vinto vs Guabirá No significant movement
National League Woking vs Solihull Moors No significant movement
League One Wuxi Wugou vs Ningbo Professional No significant movement
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria No significant movement
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Uganda vs Libya No significant movement
Copa de la División Profesional Real Potosí vs ABB No significant movement
IFA Shield ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United No significant movement
J-League Cup Kitakyushu vs Nagoya Grampus No significant movement
Liga de Ascenso Cariari Pococi vs CS Uruguay No significant movement
Non League Premier - Southern South Evesham United vs Chippenham Town No significant movement
Non League Premier - Southern South Havant & Wville vs Hanwell Town No significant movement
QSL Cup Al Waab vs Lusail City No significant movement
Serie B Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta No significant movement

Market Recap

On 2026-09-29, OddsGPT analyzed 147 football matches and detected 110 market movement signals, including 5 strong sharp signals. Positive closing value rate: 29.6%. Average CLV: -7.5% (based on 108 settled signals with closing odds). Strongest league activity: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.

Closing Line Validation

29.6% Beat Closing Line
-7.5% Average CLV
29.6% Positive CLV rate

Based on 108 settled signals with closing odds.

Closing Validation measures whether prices moved toward the signal before kickoff (CLV), not whether the pick won. Status bands: Validated (≥ +5%), Slightly Positive (0 to +5%), Neutral (−5% to 0), Invalidated (≤ −5%).

Secondary Match Outcome

Match result accuracy: 0%

Sharp money signals are designed to evaluate market movement, not predict final winners.

Activity trend

Signal activity — 7 days around 2026-09-29

League breakdown

League Signals Avg score Avg CLV
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2 96 40.4%
Gulf Cup of Nations 1 99 32.5%
UEFA Nations League 1 99 31.6%
CONCACAF Nations League 1 99 31.1%

Today's Sharp Signals

FAQ

What is sharp money in betting?

Sharp money is action from informed bettors or syndicates. It often appears as rapid line moves led by sharp books.

How is sharp money different from steam?

Sharp money focuses on who is moving the line (professional behavior). Steam emphasizes speed and breadth of the move.

Does sharp money guarantee value?

No. Sharp action is context, not a bet signal. Always combine with your own analysis.

How does OddsGPT detect sharp action?

We analyze cross-book repricing, sharp-book leadership, breadth, and steam scoring on 1X2 markets.

What is the difference between sharp money and public money?

Public money is recreational betting volume — often visible in ticket counts and popular sides. Sharp money comes from informed bettors who move lines before the market catches up, usually led by sharp sportsbooks.

How is a steam move different from sharp money?

Steam describes speed and breadth — odds shifting quickly across books. Sharp money focuses on who is moving the line and why. A steam move can be sharp-led, but not every steam event is professional action.

How do professionals move betting markets?

Professionals often bet into sharp books first. Those books reprice, sharper peers follow, and soft books lag. OddsGPT tracks this chain through lead-book detection, Sharp Score, and multi-book breadth.

What does Closing Validation / Validated mean?

Closing Validation compares the signal price to the closing line (CLV). Validated means the market moved in the expected direction before kickoff (CLV ≥ +5%). Invalidated means it moved against the signal (CLV ≤ −5%). This is signal-quality research — it is not the same as winning or losing the bet.

Explore every tracked market movement

Monitor opening odds, steam moves, closing prices and bookmaker consensus across all tracked football matches.

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