Today's Summary
1
Significant Movements
Avg Move
3.3%
Market Movement - World - Friendlies Clubs
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Real Betis vs AD Ceuta FC (16.7%).
Today's Market Health
★★★★
☆
Healthy market
High liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 5 broad repricing eventsModerate
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 20% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +16.7%
Biggest Steam
-
Real Betis vs AD Ceuta FC ↑ +16.7% Steam 81
Highest Breadth
-
1
Real Betis vs AD Ceuta FC ↑ +16.7% 5/5
Most Books Agree
-
1
Real Betis vs AD Ceuta FC ↑ +16.7%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
Real Betis vs AD Ceuta FC ↑ +16.7%
League Intelligence (30 days)
1
Matches Tracked
38
Avg Steam
Not enough completed fixtures with meaningful repricing in the last 30 days.
Friendlies Clubs (World) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Friendlies and exhibition matches usually produce more volatile pricing than domestic league games because squad rotation and unknown lineups create uncertainty. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 38 while bookmaker consensus averaged 100% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, World - Friendlies Clubs has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 38. Typical line moves averaged —% and the largest swing reached —%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis vs AD Ceuta FC | Real Betis | AD Ceuta FC ↑ +16.7% | -28.7 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis vs AD Ceuta FC | AD Ceuta FC | ↑ +16.7% | 📉 Strong drift | 5/5 | Steam Score: 81 A+ |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(5) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis vs AD Ceuta FC Friendlies Clubs · Thu 18:00 | AD Ceuta FC | 4.5 |
5.25
since pub · 19h 57m |
↑ +16.7%
4.5
5.25
🐢 Slow drift over 19h 57m 6.18 → 4.50 → 5.25 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/5
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +20.0%
Betano
↑ +17.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +16.7%
1xBet
↑ +13.6%
Marathonbet
↑ +13.5%
|
Steam Score:
81
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 5/5 books lengthened AD Ceuta FC together (16.7% drift, score 81) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo Friendlies Clubs · Thu 10:00 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 2.1 |
2.1
since pub · <1m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.20 → 2.09 → 2.10 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/7
Books moving same direction
1xBet
+0.0%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Betano
+0.0%
Betfair Sharp
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
William Hill
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Highest consensus move | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Olimpija Ljubljana (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.1% — price repriced then reverted. |
| VfL Wolfsburg vs Havelse Friendlies Clubs · Thu 14:00 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1.2 |
1.2
since pub · <1m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 1.22 → 1.14 → 1.20 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/5
Books moving same direction
1xBet
+0.0%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Betano
+0.0%
Betfair Sharp
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on VfL Wolfsburg (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted. |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg vs WSG Wattens Friendlies Clubs · Thu 12:00 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2.3 |
2.3
since pub · 21h 43m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.44 → 2.30 → 2.30 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
3/5
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Betfair Sharp
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
14
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +18/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on SSV Jahn Regensburg (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.9% — price repriced then reverted. |
| VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Friendlies Clubs · Thu 15:30 | VfB Stuttgart | 1.33 |
1.33
kickoff in 10h 13m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 1.37 → 1.29 → 1.33 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
3/5
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +0.8%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Betano
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
14
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +18/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on VfB Stuttgart (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.0% — price repriced then reverted. |
