Market Movement - World - Friendlies Clubs
Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.
Today's Market Analysis
- 3 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 15.0% move).
- Strongest steam: VfL Wolfsburg vs Havelse (38.9%, 9 books).
- 4 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- 5 finished matches already carry closing-line validation.
Today's Market Health
High liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 3 moves > thresholdModerate
-
Bookmaker Consensus 4 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 50% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 5 fixtures with CLV dataActive
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +38.9%
- 2 ↑ +30.7%
- 3 ↑ +19.6%
Biggest Steam
-
VfL Wolfsburg vs Havelse ↑ +38.9% Steam 86
-
2
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs WSG Wattens ↑ +19.6% Steam 79
-
3
VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth ↑ +30.7% Steam 68
Highest Breadth
-
1
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs WSG Wattens ↑ +19.6% 8/9
-
2
VfL Wolfsburg vs Havelse ↑ +38.9% 8/9
-
3
VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth ↑ +30.7% 6/9
Most CLV Edge
-
1
VfL Wolfsburg vs Havelse -28.0%
- 2
- 3
Most Books Agree
-
1
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs WSG Wattens ↑ +19.6%
- 2
-
3
VfL Wolfsburg vs Havelse ↑ +38.9%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
VfL Wolfsburg vs Havelse ↑ +38.9%
- 2
-
3
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs WSG Wattens ↑ +19.6%
League Intelligence (30 days)
Not enough completed fixtures with meaningful repricing in the last 30 days.
Friendlies Clubs (World) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Friendlies and exhibition matches usually produce more volatile pricing than domestic league games because squad rotation and unknown lineups create uncertainty. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 38 while bookmaker consensus averaged 100% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, World - Friendlies Clubs has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 38. Typical line moves averaged —% and the largest swing reached —%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
Market Reality Check
Does the largest opening→closing move survive to the close? Flat 1-unit replay — market behavior review, not a betting strategy.
Basic match replay is free. Steam breakdown, book consensus, and historical similar-move stats require login.
Large market moves are common, but most do not survive to the closing line and have not been profitable in this sample.
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Historical pattern performance
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| Match(6) | Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. | Opening | Closing | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | Held to close | Outcome | Score | Market depth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo Friendlies Clubs · Thu 10:00 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 2.1 | 2.09 | +0.5% | ✓ Held | W | 2-1 |
Market Breadth
1/8
Sharp-led move
Betfair
P1: 2.09 · P5: 2.09 · P10: 2.09 · P30: 2.09
|
| Alianza Lima vs Palestino Friendlies Clubs · Thu 01:00 | Alianza Lima | 1.83 | 1.84 | -0.5% | ✗ Reversed | L | 1-2 |
Market Breadth
0/8
P1: 1.84 · P5: 1.84 · P10: 1.84 · P30: 1.84
|
| SSV Jahn Regensburg vs WSG Wattens Friendlies Clubs · Thu 12:00 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2.3 | 2.75 | -16.4% | ✗ Reversed | L | 0-6 |
Steam Score
79
A+
Market Breadth
8/9
Sharp-led move
Pinnacle
P1: 2.75 · P5: 2.75 · P10: 2.75 · P30: 2.75
|
| VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Friendlies Clubs · Thu 15:30 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 6.0 | 7.84 | -23.5% | ✗ Reversed | L | 5-0 |
Steam Score
68
A
Market Breadth
6/9
Sharp-led move
Bet365
P1: 7.84 · P5: 7.84 · P10: 7.84 · P30: 7.84
|
| VfL Wolfsburg vs Havelse Friendlies Clubs · Thu 14:00 | Havelse | 8.5 | 11.81 | -28.0% | ✗ Reversed | L | 4-1 |
Steam Score
86
A+
Market Breadth
8/9
Sharp-led move
Bet365
P1: 11.81 · P5: 11.81 · P10: 11.81 · P30: 11.81
|
| Dunajska Streda vs Puskas Academy Friendlies Clubs · Thu 13:00 | Dunajska Streda | 3.25 | — | — | ? No close data | W | 2-1 |
Steam Score
40
B
Market Breadth
7/7
Sharp-led move
Betfair
|