Market Movement - World - Friendlies Clubs
Near kickoff: publish line vs. current sharp price — pseudo-CLV and whether the market followed or faded your signal.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on SSV Jahn Regensburg vs WSG Wattens (8.3%).
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 50% shortening · 0% lengtheningModerate
-
CLV Context 2 fixtures with CLV dataActive
League Intelligence (30 days)
Not enough completed fixtures with meaningful repricing in the last 30 days.
Friendlies Clubs (World) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Friendlies and exhibition matches usually produce more volatile pricing than domestic league games because squad rotation and unknown lineups create uncertainty. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 38 while bookmaker consensus averaged 100% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, World - Friendlies Clubs has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 38. Typical line moves averaged —% and the largest swing reached —%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Jahn Regensburg vs WSG Wattens Friendlies Clubs · Thu 12:00 | WSG Wattens | 2.4 |
2.2
kickoff in 16m |
↓ -8.3%
2.4
2.2
🐢 Slow drift over 27h 37m 2.50 → 2.20 → 2.20 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
3/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -8.3%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -6.1%
1xBet
↓ -4.0%
|
Steam Score:
40
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +18/45
Book synchronization: +13/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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— | Sharp repricing | P30: 2.20 | Bet365 led repricing on WSG Wattens (8.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo Friendlies Clubs · Thu 10:00 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 2.1 |
2.1
since pub · 5h 54m |
+0.0%
2.1
2.1
— Stable line 2.20 → 2.09 → 2.10 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/7
Books moving same direction
1xBet
+0.0%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Betano
+0.0%
Betfair Sharp
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
William Hill
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Highest consensus move | Volatile | P1: 2.09 · P5: 2.09 · P10: 2.09 · P30: 2.09 | Net move flat on Olimpija Ljubljana (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 0.5% — price repriced then reverted. |