Market Movements - Live Market Moves
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Monitor bookmaker line movement, market consensus, and late odds shifts before kickoff.
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC | Pontypridd Town | llanelli AFC ↑ +17.6% | -48.1 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC | Tampa Bay Rowdies | Draw ↓ -6.7% | -31.7 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC | Haverfordwest County AFC | Ammanford AFC ↓ -22.2% | -31.0 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Larne vs Portadown | Larne | Portadown ↓ -25.0% | -30.2 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula | Nizhny Novgorod | Arsenal Tula ↓ -4.9% | -29.1 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Criciuma vs Ponte Preta | Criciuma | Ponte Preta ↓ -20.7% | -28.6 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Blida vs WA Mostaganem | Blida | WA Mostaganem ↑ +14.3% | -28.3 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Al Riffa vs Al Najma | Al Riffa | Al Najma ↑ +21.4% | -26.6 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Pirin Blagoevgrad | ↓ -47.6% | 🔥 Strong steam | 7/7 | Steam Score: 99 A+ |
| FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos | Comerciantes Unidos | ↓ -36.4% | 🔥 Strong steam | 10/10 | Steam Score: 100 A+ |
| Corinthians vs Mirassol | Mirassol | ↓ -18.2% | 🔥 Strong steam | 10/10 | Steam Score: 94 A+ |
| Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos | Karmiotissa | ↓ -22.2% | 🔥 Strong steam | 7/9 | Steam Score: 92 A+ |
| Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon | Alcorcon | ↓ -18.0% | 🔥 Strong steam | 9/10 | Steam Score: 91 A+ |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
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| Match(244) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo Second League · Fri 15:30 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5.0 |
2.62
kickoff in 15h 5m |
↓ -47.6%
5.0
2.62
🐢 Slow drift over 75h 18m 5.66 → 2.62 → 2.62 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
7/7
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -47.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -47.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -46.5%
BetVictor
↓ -45.5%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -45.5%
Betano
↓ -38.0%
Dafabet
↓ -23.2%
|
Steam Score:
99
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 7/7 books synchronized on Pirin Blagoevgrad (47.6% steam, score 99) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos Primera División · Fri 00:30 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11.0 |
7.0
kickoff in 5m |
↓ -36.4%
11.0
7.0
🐢 Slow drift over 93h 51m 11.00 → 6.38 → 7.00 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -36.4%
BetVictor
↓ -31.0%
Dafabet
↓ -29.1%
1xBet
↓ -25.6%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -25.0%
William Hill
↓ -25.0%
Marathonbet
↓ -21.2%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -6.7%
SBO Sharp
↓ -5.6%
Betano
↓ -5.3%
|
Steam Score:
100
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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Highest consensus move | Sharp repricing | P20: 7.00 | 10/10 books synchronized on Comerciantes Unidos (36.4% steam, score 100) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Corinthians vs Mirassol Serie A · Fri 23:00 | Mirassol | 5.5 |
4.5
kickoff in 22h 35m |
↓ -18.2%
5.5
4.5
🐢 Slow drift over 85h 45m 5.60 → 3.74 → 4.50 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↓ -19.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -18.2%
Betano
↓ -18.2%
BetVictor
↓ -16.2%
SBO Sharp
↓ -13.8%
Marathonbet
↓ -11.9%
1xBet
↓ -11.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -10.6%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -8.0%
William Hill
↓ -4.3%
|
Steam Score:
94
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +40/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books synchronized on Mirassol (18.2% steam, score 94) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos 1. Division · Fri 17:00 | Karmiotissa | 3.6 |
2.8
kickoff in 16h 35m |
↓ -22.2%
3.6
2.8
🐢 Slow drift over 79h 1m 3.70 → 2.75 → 2.80 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -22.2%
Betano
↓ -18.9%
Marathonbet
↓ -16.5%
1xBet
↓ -16.2%
Dafabet
↓ -15.1%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -7.0%
William Hill
↓ -6.5%
|
Steam Score:
92
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books synchronized on Karmiotissa (22.2% steam, score 92) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Atlético Madrid II vs Alcorcon Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Fri 20:00 | Alcorcon | 2.5 |
2.05
since pub · 20h 45m |
↓ -18.0%
2.5
2.05
🐢 Slow drift over 20h 45m 2.60 → 2.04 → 2.05 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -18.0%
Dafabet
↓ -16.5%
Betano
↓ -16.3%
William Hill
↓ -14.6%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -14.3%
Marathonbet
↓ -14.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -14.3%
1xBet
↓ -13.4%
BetVictor
↓ -4.5%
|
Steam Score:
91
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +40/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 9/10 books synchronized on Alcorcon (18.0% steam, score 91) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Marquense vs Guastatoya Liga Nacional · Fri 02:10 | Guastatoya | 3.7 |
5.25
since pub · 16h 10m |
↑ +41.9%
3.7
5.25
🐢 Slow drift over 16h 10m 6.60 → 3.70 → 5.25 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +76.0%
BetVictor
↑ +44.7%
William Hill
↑ +44.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +42.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +41.9%
1xBet
↑ +39.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +39.0%
Betano
↑ +36.7%
Dafabet
↑ +36.6%
|
Steam Score:
89
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened Guastatoya together (41.9% drift, score 89) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Donau Klagenfurt vs Treibach Regionalliga - South · Fri 18:00 | Treibach | 1.75 |
2.38
since pub · 7h 59m |
↑ +36.0%
1.75
2.38
↔ Gradual move over 7h 59m 2.38 → 1.70 → 2.38 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
5/5
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +36.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +9.4%
1xBet
↑ +7.6%
Dafabet
↑ +5.1%
Betano
↑ +3.9%
|
Steam Score:
89
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 5/5 books lengthened Treibach together (36.0% drift, score 89) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito Copa Ecuador · Fri 00:00 | Universidad Catolica | 2.55 |
3.3
since pub · 12h 2m |
↑ +29.4%
2.55
3.3
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 2m 3.85 → 2.55 → 3.30 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↑ +45.2%
William Hill
↑ +40.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +40.3%
Betano
↑ +40.0%
Dafabet
↑ +40.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +29.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +21.6%
1xBet
↑ +15.2%
BetVictor
↑ +13.3%
|
Steam Score:
89
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened Universidad Catolica together (29.4% drift, score 89) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Ural U20 vs Nizhny Novgorod U19 Youth Championship · Fri 08:00 | Nizhny Novgorod U19 | 2.75 |
3.36
since pub · 8h 1m |
↑ +22.2%
2.75
3.36
↔ Gradual move over 8h 1m 3.45 → 2.69 → 3.36 |
📉 Strong drift | 1xBet |
3/3
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +22.2%
Marathonbet
↑ +21.9%
Dafabet
↑ +21.1%
|
Steam Score:
85
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 3/3 books lengthened Nizhny Novgorod U19 together (22.2% drift, score 85) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Pro League · Fri 18:00 | Al Shabab | 3.25 |
4.0
kickoff in 17h 35m |
↑ +23.1%
3.25
4.0
🐢 Slow drift over 28h 38m 4.00 → 2.81 → 4.00 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +27.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +23.1%
Dafabet
↑ +16.7%
William Hill
↑ +13.3%
SBO Sharp
↑ +10.0%
Betano
↑ +8.5%
BetVictor
↑ +7.7%
1xBet
↑ +7.6%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +6.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +2.1%
|
Steam Score:
84
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books lengthened Al Shabab together (23.1% drift, score 84) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Briton Ferry vs Llandudno Premier League · Fri 19:45 | Llandudno | 2.38 |
2.88
kickoff in 19h 20m |
↑ +21.0%
2.38
2.88
🐢 Slow drift over 44h 36m 3.03 → 2.16 → 2.88 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +37.0%
Dafabet
↑ +35.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +25.7%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +21.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +21.0%
William Hill
↑ +20.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +16.1%
Betano
↑ +4.9%
|
Steam Score:
81
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Llandudno together (21.0% drift, score 81) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach Premier League · Fri 19:45 | Cambrian & Clydach | 7.0 |
5.25
kickoff in 19h 20m |
↓ -25.0%
7.0
5.25
🐢 Slow drift over 44h 36m 7.40 → 5.00 → 5.25 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
5/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -25.0%
Betano
↓ -20.3%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -15.4%
William Hill
↓ -7.7%
Marathonbet
↓ -5.6%
|
Steam Score:
78
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Cambrian & Clydach (25.0%, 5/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais Challenge League · Fri 18:30 | Stade Nyonnais | 4.75 |
5.5
kickoff in 18h 5m |
↑ +15.8%
4.75
5.5
🐢 Slow drift over 31h 58m 6.26 → 4.36 → 5.50 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +20.8%
BetVictor
↑ +20.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +15.8%
William Hill
↑ +14.6%
1xBet
↑ +13.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +12.6%
SBO Sharp
↑ +9.2%
Betano
↑ +8.2%
Dafabet
↑ +8.0%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +5.3%
|
Steam Score:
74
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +35/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books lengthened Stade Nyonnais together (15.8% drift, score 74) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Semen Padang vs Sumsel United Liga 2 · Fri 12:00 | Sumsel United | 3.2 |
3.7
since pub · 22h 49m |
↑ +15.6%
3.2
3.7
🐢 Slow drift over 22h 49m 3.80 → 3.20 → 3.70 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
6/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +15.6%
Dafabet
↑ +10.3%
1xBet
↑ +10.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +9.9%
Betano
↑ +9.1%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +8.6%
|
Steam Score:
74
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +34/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 6/7 books lengthened Sumsel United together (15.6% drift, score 74) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC Pro League · Fri 12:30 | Abha | 4.33 |
5.0
kickoff in 12h 5m |
↑ +15.5%
4.33
5.0
🐢 Slow drift over 47h 48m 6.20 → 3.88 → 5.00 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +34.8%
SBO Sharp
↑ +27.3%
Betano
↑ +22.6%
Dafabet
↑ +19.1%
1xBet
↑ +18.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +18.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +15.5%
William Hill
↑ +13.6%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +11.4%
BetVictor
↑ +6.2%
|
Steam Score:
73
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +34/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books lengthened Abha together (15.5% drift, score 73) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Casa Pia vs Sporting CP Primeira Liga · Fri 20:15 | Casa Pia | 11.0 |
9.5
kickoff in 19h 50m |
↓ -13.6%
11.0
9.5
🐢 Slow drift over 79h 18m 13.00 → 7.05 → 9.50 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↓ -21.7%
Betano
↓ -19.1%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -14.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -13.6%
BetVictor
↓ -13.0%
1xBet
↓ -12.2%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -11.5%
Marathonbet
↓ -10.2%
William Hill
↓ -10.0%
|
Steam Score:
73
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +30/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Casa Pia (13.6%, 9/10) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| DPMM FC vs Negeri Sembilan Super League · Fri 08:00 | Negeri Sembilan | 3.0 |
2.62
since pub · 12h 55m |
↓ -12.7%
3.0
2.62
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 55m 3.00 → 2.38 → 2.62 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/8
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -14.5%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -13.3%
Dafabet
↓ -13.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -12.7%
Marathonbet
↓ -12.4%
Betano
↓ -12.0%
BetVictor
↓ -11.9%
|
Steam Score:
70
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +28/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Negeri Sembilan (12.7%, 7/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro Liga Nacional · Fri 00:00 | Deportivo San Pedro | 6.25 |
5.5
since pub · 16h 10m |
↓ -12.0%
6.25
5.5
🐢 Slow drift over 16h 10m 8.60 → 5.40 → 5.50 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
8/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -29.1%
Marathonbet
↓ -28.4%
William Hill
↓ -27.5%
BetVictor
↓ -25.0%
Dafabet
↓ -24.3%
Betano
↓ -23.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -22.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -12.0%
|
Steam Score:
69
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +26/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Deportivo San Pedro (12.0%, 8/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Tanjong Pagar vs Albirex Niigata S Premier League · Fri 11:30 | Tanjong Pagar | 5.0 |
7.0
kickoff in 11h 5m |
↑ +40.0%
5.0
7.0
🐢 Slow drift over 33h 14m 7.50 → 5.00 → 7.00 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
5/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +40.0%
Dafabet
↑ +25.9%
1xBet
↑ +17.8%
Betano
↑ +17.6%
William Hill
↑ +9.1%
|
Steam Score:
67
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Tanjong Pagar (40.0%, 5/8) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Larne vs Portadown Premiership · Fri 19:45 | Portadown | 10.0 |
7.5
kickoff in 19h 20m |
↓ -25.0%
10.0
7.5
🐢 Slow drift over 75h 23m 11.00 → 7.50 → 7.50 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
4/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -25.0%
Betano
↓ -12.2%
Dafabet
↓ -9.1%
William Hill
↓ -5.0%
|
Steam Score:
67
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +13/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 3% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Portadown (25.0%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Hadera Liga Alef · Fri 10:35 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 4.75 |
4.0
kickoff in 10h 10m |
↓ -15.8%
4.75
4.0
🐢 Slow drift over 33h 34m 5.15 → 3.90 → 4.00 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
4/7
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↓ -15.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -15.8%
Betano
↓ -15.8%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -10.0%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +35/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (15.8%, 4/7) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Ballkani vs Drenica Skënderaj Superliga · Fri 12:00 | Drenica Skënderaj | 5.75 |
5.0
since pub · 8h 58m |
↓ -13.0%
5.75
5.0
↔ Gradual move over 8h 58m 6.38 → 4.10 → 5.00 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/7
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -31.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -13.0%
1xBet
↓ -12.4%
Marathonbet
↓ -9.9%
BetVictor
↓ -8.0%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +29/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Drenica Skënderaj (13.0%, 5/7) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| GC Mascara vs Hussein Dey Ligue 2 · Fri 14:00 | Hussein Dey | 4.0 |
4.5
since pub · 9h 16m |
↑ +12.5%
4.0
4.5
↔ Gradual move over 9h 16m 4.53 → 4.00 → 4.50 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
5/5
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +12.5%
Betano
↑ +9.9%
Dafabet
↑ +9.8%
1xBet
↑ +7.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +7.3%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +28/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Hussein Dey (12.5%, 5/5) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC Premier League · Fri 15:00 | Asyut Petrol | 3.3 |
3.0
kickoff in 14h 35m |
↓ -9.1%
3.3
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 35h 59m 3.53 → 3.00 → 3.00 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -9.1%
William Hill
↓ -8.8%
BetVictor
↓ -7.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -6.8%
Betano
↓ -5.9%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -5.9%
Dafabet
↓ -4.5%
1xBet
↓ -3.9%
Marathonbet
↓ -3.7%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +20/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Asyut Petrol (9.1%, 9/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| ASO Chlef vs ES Setif Ligue 1 · Fri 16:45 | ASO Chlef | 2.38 |
2.75
since pub · 13h 39m |
↑ +15.5%
2.38
2.75
🐢 Slow drift over 13h 39m 2.88 → 2.33 → 2.75 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
6/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +15.5%
Dafabet
↑ +7.7%
William Hill
↑ +6.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +6.3%
Betano
↑ +5.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +4.7%
|
Steam Score:
62
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +34/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on ASO Chlef (15.5%, 6/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
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