Market Movements - Live Market Moves
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Monitor bookmaker line movement, market consensus, and late odds shifts before kickoff.
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelister vs Detonit Plachkovica | Pelister | Detonit Plachkovica ↑ +147.1% | -46.0 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Charlton Athletic W vs Chelsea W | Chelsea W | Charlton Athletic W ↓ -27.6% | -44.0 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Lillestrøm vs Brann W | Brann W | Lillestrøm ↑ +78.3% | -41.1 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Dinamo Batumi vs Meshakhte | Dinamo Batumi | Meshakhte ↓ -42.5% | -35.1 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Ararat-Armenia vs Gandzasar | Ararat-Armenia | Gandzasar ↑ +30.8% | -35.1 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Skjetten vs Skedsmo | Skedsmo | Skjetten ↑ +31.2% | -35.1 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Xi'an Ronghai vs Langfang Glory City | Xi'an Ronghai | Langfang Glory City ↑ +33.3% | -35.0 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| FC Levante Badalona vs Barcelona W | Barcelona W | FC Levante Badalona ↓ -17.1% | -34.7 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Batumi vs Meshakhte | Meshakhte | ↓ -42.5% | 🔥 Strong steam | 5/5 | Steam Score: 99 A+ |
| Potenza vs Crotone | Crotone | ↓ -34.4% | 🔥 Strong steam | 9/9 | Steam Score: 99 A+ |
| Tampines Rovers vs Geylang International | Geylang International | ↓ -30.0% | 🔥 Strong steam | 8/9 | Steam Score: 96 A+ |
| Città di Campobasso vs Forli | Forli | ↓ -23.1% | 🔥 Strong steam | 8/9 | Steam Score: 96 A+ |
| Puebla W vs Juárez W | Puebla W | ↓ -20.0% | 🔥 Strong steam | 8/9 | Steam Score: 95 A+ |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
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| Match(594) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Batumi vs Meshakhte Erovnuli Liga · Sun 15:00 | Meshakhte | 10.0 |
5.75
kickoff in 7h 57m |
↓ -42.5%
10.0
5.75
🐢 Slow drift over 47h 57m 10.00 → 5.70 → 5.75 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
5/5
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -42.5%
Betano
↓ -32.9%
Marathonbet
↓ -31.6%
Dafabet
↓ -29.5%
1xBet
↓ -22.7%
|
Steam Score:
99
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest underdog steam | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 5/5 books synchronized on Meshakhte (42.5% steam, score 99) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Potenza vs Crotone Serie C - Girone C · Sun 16:30 | Crotone | 6.25 |
4.1
kickoff in 9h 27m |
↓ -34.4%
6.25
4.1
🐢 Slow drift over 93h 30m 6.59 → 3.70 → 4.10 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
9/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -35.4%
Betano
↓ -34.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -34.4%
Marathonbet
↓ -33.6%
Dafabet
↓ -28.1%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -16.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -10.7%
William Hill
↓ -7.5%
BetVictor
↓ -2.4%
|
Steam Score:
99
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books synchronized on Crotone (34.4% steam, score 99) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Tampines Rovers vs Geylang International Premier League · Sun 11:30 | Geylang International | 7.5 |
5.25
kickoff in 4h 27m |
↓ -30.0%
7.5
5.25
🐢 Slow drift over 62h 56m 8.60 → 5.25 → 5.25 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -30.4%
1xBet
↓ -30.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -30.0%
Marathonbet
↓ -28.0%
William Hill
↓ -26.7%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -18.6%
Dafabet
↓ -13.5%
Betano
↓ -9.7%
|
Steam Score:
96
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books synchronized on Geylang International (30.0% steam, score 96) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Città di Campobasso vs Forli Serie C - Girone B · Sun 16:30 | Forli | 3.9 |
3.0
kickoff in 9h 27m |
↓ -23.1%
3.9
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 93h 30m 3.90 → 2.90 → 3.00 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -23.1%
1xBet
↓ -15.9%
Marathonbet
↓ -15.8%
William Hill
↓ -14.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -12.5%
Betano
↓ -12.0%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -10.0%
Dafabet
↓ -7.9%
|
Steam Score:
96
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books synchronized on Forli (23.1% steam, score 96) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Puebla W vs Juárez W Liga MX Femenil · Sun 18:00 | Puebla W | 15.0 |
12.0
kickoff in 10h 57m |
↓ -20.0%
15.0
12.0
🐢 Slow drift over 42h 3m 17.00 → 11.00 → 12.00 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
BetVictor
↓ -35.3%
William Hill
↓ -23.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -20.0%
Dafabet
↓ -14.3%
1xBet
↓ -10.2%
Marathonbet
↓ -10.2%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -9.7%
Betano
↓ -4.2%
|
Steam Score:
95
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books synchronized on Puebla W (20.0% steam, score 95) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Plateau United vs Warri Wolves NPFL · Sun 15:00 | Warri Wolves | 8.0 |
6.5
since pub · 8h 17m |
↓ -18.8%
8.0
6.5
↔ Gradual move over 8h 17m 8.50 → 6.50 → 6.50 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
6/6
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -18.8%
1xBet
↓ -9.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -9.0%
Dafabet
↓ -7.7%
Betano
↓ -6.7%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -5.9%
|
Steam Score:
95
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +41/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 6/6 books synchronized on Warri Wolves (18.8% steam, score 95) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| CODM Meknès vs FAR Rabat Botola Pro · Sun 18:00 | CODM Meknès | 4.5 |
3.5
kickoff in 10h 57m |
↓ -22.2%
4.5
3.5
🐢 Slow drift over 94h 19m 4.50 → 3.50 → 3.50 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -22.2%
Betano
↓ -15.6%
William Hill
↓ -14.5%
Marathonbet
↓ -11.1%
1xBet
↓ -10.8%
BetVictor
↓ -4.0%
Dafabet
↓ -3.8%
|
Steam Score:
92
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books synchronized on CODM Meknès (22.2% steam, score 92) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| FC Levante Badalona vs Barcelona W Primera División Femenina · Sun 11:30 | FC Levante Badalona | 41.0 |
34.0
since pub · 2h 7m |
↓ -17.1%
41.0
34.0
📈 Active repricing over 2h 7m 41.00 → 19.00 → 34.00 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
7/7
Books moving same direction
William Hill
↓ -19.2%
BetVictor
↓ -17.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -17.1%
Betano
↓ -9.1%
Dafabet
↓ -8.0%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -6.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -5.3%
|
Steam Score:
92
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +38/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Fastest repricing | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 7/7 books synchronized on FC Levante Badalona (17.1% steam, score 92) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Olot vs Manresa Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Sun 16:00 | Manresa | 4.1 |
3.4
kickoff in 8h 57m |
↓ -17.1%
4.1
3.4
🐢 Slow drift over 47h 30m 4.36 → 3.25 → 3.40 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
9/9
Books moving same direction
William Hill
↓ -18.8%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -18.2%
Marathonbet
↓ -18.1%
1xBet
↓ -17.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -17.1%
Betano
↓ -15.7%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -12.5%
BetVictor
↓ -11.5%
Dafabet
↓ -11.3%
|
Steam Score:
92
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +38/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books synchronized on Manresa (17.1% steam, score 92) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Falkirk vs Celtic Premiership · Sun 13:00 | Falkirk | 7.5 |
5.0
kickoff in 5h 57m |
↓ -33.3%
7.5
5.0
🐢 Slow drift over 144h 7.90 → 5.00 → 5.00 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
7/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -33.3%
Dafabet
↓ -23.1%
William Hill
↓ -22.7%
Betano
↓ -20.3%
BetVictor
↓ -20.0%
Marathonbet
↓ -19.3%
1xBet
↓ -19.0%
|
Steam Score:
90
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 7/10 books synchronized on Falkirk (33.3% steam, score 90) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Dalian Kewei vs Jiangxi Liansheng League Two · Sun 06:30 | Jiangxi Liansheng | 5.5 |
7.5
since pub · 20h 10m |
↑ +36.4%
5.5
7.5
🐢 Slow drift over 20h 10m 9.05 → 5.50 → 7.50 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +43.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +36.4%
Betano
↑ +23.8%
Dafabet
↑ +22.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +20.0%
1xBet
↑ +19.4%
Marathonbet
↑ +19.1%
William Hill
↑ +15.4%
|
Steam Score:
89
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/8 books lengthened Jiangxi Liansheng together (36.4% drift, score 89) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| trelleborgs FF vs Laholm Ettan - Södra · Sun 12:00 | Laholm | 3.9 |
3.25
kickoff in 4h 57m |
↓ -16.7%
3.9
3.25
🐢 Slow drift over 95h 53m 4.20 → 2.89 → 3.25 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -26.3%
Marathonbet
↓ -26.3%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -26.2%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -24.5%
Betano
↓ -21.3%
William Hill
↓ -20.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -16.7%
Dafabet
↓ -14.3%
|
Steam Score:
87
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books synchronized on Laholm (16.7% steam, score 87) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Guadalupe FC vs Santa Ana Liga de Ascenso · Sun 19:00 | Santa Ana | 3.2 |
4.5
since pub · 7h 45m |
↑ +40.6%
3.2
4.5
↔ Gradual move over 7h 45m 4.77 → 2.42 → 4.50 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
6/7
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +50.9%
Betano
↑ +41.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +40.6%
BetVictor
↑ +35.4%
Marathonbet
↑ +27.9%
Dafabet
↑ +23.1%
|
Steam Score:
85
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 6/7 books lengthened Santa Ana together (40.6% drift, score 85) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Xi'an Ronghai vs Langfang Glory City League Two · Sun 06:30 | Langfang Glory City | 6.0 |
8.0
since pub · 20h 10m |
↑ +33.3%
6.0
8.0
🐢 Slow drift over 20h 10m 10.03 → 6.00 → 8.00 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +33.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +33.3%
Dafabet
↑ +19.0%
Betano
↑ +18.4%
William Hill
↑ +13.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +13.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +8.7%
|
Steam Score:
85
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/8 books lengthened Langfang Glory City together (33.3% drift, score 85) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Cobresal vs Everton de Vina Primera División · Sun 18:00 | Cobresal | 3.0 |
2.5
kickoff in 10h 57m |
↓ -16.7%
3.0
2.5
🐢 Slow drift over 143h 46m 3.10 → 2.45 → 2.50 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
8/10
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -16.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -16.7%
Betano
↓ -14.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -10.8%
William Hill
↓ -10.7%
Marathonbet
↓ -9.4%
Dafabet
↓ -7.0%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -3.3%
|
Steam Score:
85
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 8/10 books synchronized on Cobresal (16.7% steam, score 85) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Universitario de Vinto vs Always Ready Primera División · Sun 23:30 | Universitario de Vinto | 4.5 |
3.8
kickoff in 16h 27m |
↓ -15.6%
4.5
3.8
🐢 Slow drift over 72h 42m 4.60 → 3.63 → 3.80 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Betano
↓ -16.7%
Dafabet
↓ -16.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -15.6%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -13.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -12.4%
1xBet
↓ -12.1%
William Hill
↓ -9.5%
BetVictor
↓ -9.3%
|
Steam Score:
85
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +34/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books synchronized on Universitario de Vinto (15.6% steam, score 85) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Carroi vs Casa de Portugal 1a Divisió · Sun 13:00 | Carroi | 4.0 |
5.75
since pub · 15h 22m |
↑ +43.8%
4.0
5.75
🐢 Slow drift over 15h 22m 11.20 → 2.88 → 5.75 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
5/6
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +158.1%
Betano
↑ +45.0%
Dafabet
↑ +45.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +43.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +32.9%
|
Steam Score:
84
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +25/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 5/6 books lengthened Carroi together (43.8% drift, score 84) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès Botola Pro · Sun 16:00 | Widad Témara | 4.5 |
3.75
kickoff in 8h 57m |
↓ -16.7%
4.5
3.75
🐢 Slow drift over 93h 39m 4.50 → 3.59 → 3.75 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -16.7%
William Hill
↓ -14.5%
Betano
↓ -12.5%
Marathonbet
↓ -10.6%
1xBet
↓ -10.1%
Dafabet
↓ -7.1%
BetVictor
↓ -4.3%
|
Steam Score:
84
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books synchronized on Widad Témara (16.7% steam, score 84) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Lillestrøm vs Brann W Toppserien · Sun 11:00 | Lillestrøm | 23.0 |
41.0
since pub · 11h 52m |
↑ +78.3%
23.0
41.0
↔ Gradual move over 11h 52m 41.00 → 19.00 → 41.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
6/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +78.3%
Betano
↑ +20.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +18.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +17.2%
BetVictor
↑ +13.0%
Dafabet
↑ +8.3%
|
Steam Score:
82
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 6/8 books lengthened Lillestrøm together (78.3% drift, score 82) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Silifke Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 3. Lig - Group 3 · Sun 10:00 | Silifke Belediyespor | 3.5 |
4.1
since pub · 7h 45m |
↑ +17.1%
3.5
4.1
↔ Gradual move over 7h 45m 4.55 → 3.18 → 4.10 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/6
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +31.9%
Dafabet
↑ +30.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +29.2%
1xBet
↑ +28.6%
Marathonbet
↑ +24.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +17.1%
|
Steam Score:
82
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +38/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 6/6 books lengthened Silifke Belediyespor together (17.1% drift, score 82) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Charlton Athletic W vs Chelsea W FA WSL · Sun 14:30 | Charlton Athletic W | 29.0 |
21.0
kickoff in 7h 27m |
↓ -27.6%
29.0
21.0
🐢 Slow drift over 97h 30m 41.00 → 18.00 → 21.00 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
6/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -32.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -27.6%
William Hill
↓ -27.6%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -26.8%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -22.0%
BetVictor
↓ -10.0%
|
Steam Score:
81
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Charlton Athletic W (27.6%, 6/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| FK Partizan vs Zemun Super Liga · Sun 16:00 | Zemun | 13.0 |
11.0
kickoff in 8h 57m |
↓ -15.4%
13.0
11.0
🐢 Slow drift over 119h 50m 24.00 → 9.00 → 11.00 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
7/9
Books moving same direction
William Hill
↓ -38.1%
1xBet
↓ -22.9%
Marathonbet
↓ -21.1%
Betano
↓ -20.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -18.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -15.4%
Dafabet
↓ -8.3%
|
Steam Score:
81
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +34/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books synchronized on Zemun (15.4% steam, score 81) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Bohemians 1905 II vs Povltava FA 3. liga - CFL A · Sun 09:15 | Povltava FA | 7.0 |
5.5
since pub · 7h 45m |
↓ -21.4%
7.0
5.5
↔ Gradual move over 7h 45m 7.50 → 4.96 → 5.50 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
5/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -21.4%
William Hill
↓ -8.3%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -6.7%
1xBet
↓ -4.8%
Marathonbet
↓ -4.7%
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Povltava FA (21.4%, 5/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva Meistriliiga · Sun 12:30 | Trans Narva | 8.0 |
12.0
kickoff in 5h 27m |
↑ +50.0%
8.0
12.0
🐢 Slow drift over 49h 49m 14.78 → 4.82 → 12.00 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +169.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +145.3%
Betano
↑ +142.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +136.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +50.0%
William Hill
↑ +36.8%
Dafabet
↑ +20.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +19.7%
BetVictor
↑ +11.8%
|
Steam Score:
79
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened Trans Narva together (50.0% drift, score 79) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Pelister vs Detonit Plachkovica Second League · Sun 12:30 | Detonit Plachkovica | 8.5 |
21.0
since pub · 12h 12m |
↑ +147.1%
8.5
21.0
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 12m 21.00 → 8.50 → 21.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
1/1
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +147.1%
|
Steam Score:
78
C
Limited conviction
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Illiquid | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Detonit Plachkovica (147.1%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
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