Market Movements - Live Market Moves
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Monitor bookmaker line movement, market consensus, and late odds shifts before kickoff.
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prat vs Athletic Club | Athletic Club | Prat ↑ +24.4% | -57.5 pp | Data Integrity Review Required |
| Køge vs Barcelona W | Barcelona W | Køge ↓ -19.6% | -47.2 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Kasimpasa vs Çorluspor 1947 | Kasimpasa | Draw ↑ +15.8% | -42.3 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Covadonga vs Valladolid | Valladolid | Covadonga ↑ +18.2% | -42.2 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Genclerbirligi vs Karaköprü Belediyespor | Genclerbirligi | Draw ↓ -11.5% | -39.8 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Aarhus Fremad vs FC Copenhagen | FC Copenhagen | Aarhus Fremad ↓ -9.1% | -37.4 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA Raalte | RKAV Volendam | Draw ↓ -20.0% | -34.7 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Benfica vs GIL Vicente | Benfica | GIL Vicente ↑ +47.8% | -34.5 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United vs Home United | Home United | ↓ -29.5% | 🔥 Strong steam | 9/9 | Steam Score: 99 A+ |
| Werder Bremen W vs 1899 Hoffenheim W | 1899 Hoffenheim W | ↓ -27.2% | 🔥 Strong steam | 9/9 | Steam Score: 99 A+ |
| RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA Raalte | Draw | ↓ -20.0% | 🔥 Strong steam | 9/9 | Steam Score: 98 A+ |
| Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF | Orgryte IS | ↓ -21.6% | 🔥 Strong steam | 9/10 | Steam Score: 96 A+ |
| Karpaty vs Oleksandria | Oleksandria | ↓ -17.4% | 🔥 Strong steam | 8/8 | Steam Score: 92 A+ |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
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| Match(133) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United vs Home United AFC Cup · Thu 07:45 | Home United | 5.25 |
3.7
kickoff in 69m |
↓ -29.5%
5.25
3.7
🐢 Slow drift over 31h 53m 5.25 → 3.50 → 3.70 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -29.5%
BetVictor
↓ -22.2%
Marathonbet
↓ -20.4%
1xBet
↓ -20.3%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -17.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -14.4%
William Hill
↓ -13.6%
Dafabet
↓ -6.8%
Betano
↓ -4.8%
|
Steam Score:
99
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books synchronized on Home United (29.5% steam, score 99) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Werder Bremen W vs 1899 Hoffenheim W Frauen Bundesliga · Thu 17:00 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 3.6 |
2.62
kickoff in 10h 24m |
↓ -27.2%
3.6
2.62
🐢 Slow drift over 315h 8m 3.75 → 2.55 → 2.62 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -27.2%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -26.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -24.0%
Dafabet
↓ -23.0%
Betano
↓ -22.0%
William Hill
↓ -21.4%
Marathonbet
↓ -21.1%
1xBet
↓ -20.9%
BetVictor
↓ -17.7%
|
Steam Score:
99
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books synchronized on 1899 Hoffenheim W (27.2% steam, score 99) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA Raalte KNVB Beker · Thu 19:00 | Draw | 6.25 |
5.0
since pub · 15h 50m |
↓ -20.0%
6.25
5.0
🐢 Slow drift over 15h 50m 7.60 → 5.00 → 5.00 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -28.4%
BetVictor
↓ -25.0%
Dafabet
↓ -21.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -20.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -19.3%
Betano
↓ -18.0%
Marathonbet
↓ -17.7%
1xBet
↓ -17.2%
William Hill
↓ -16.7%
|
Steam Score:
98
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books synchronized on Draw (20.0% steam, score 98) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF Allsvenskan · Thu 18:00 | Orgryte IS | 3.7 |
2.9
kickoff in 11h 24m |
↓ -21.6%
3.7
2.9
🐢 Slow drift over 69h 47m 3.77 → 2.61 → 2.90 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -22.8%
Betano
↓ -22.4%
BetVictor
↓ -22.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -21.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -21.2%
William Hill
↓ -20.0%
SBO Sharp
↓ -19.9%
1xBet
↓ -11.4%
Dafabet
↓ -10.4%
|
Steam Score:
96
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 9/10 books synchronized on Orgryte IS (21.6% steam, score 96) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Karpaty vs Oleksandria Cup · Thu 16:00 | Oleksandria | 5.75 |
4.75
since pub · 19h 35m |
↓ -17.4%
5.75
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 19h 35m 6.50 → 4.58 → 4.75 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/8
Books moving same direction
William Hill
↓ -26.2%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -23.1%
1xBet
↓ -21.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -17.4%
Betano
↓ -16.9%
Dafabet
↓ -16.1%
Marathonbet
↓ -12.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -2.8%
|
Steam Score:
92
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +38/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 8/8 books synchronized on Oleksandria (17.4% steam, score 92) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Kozakken Boys vs Utrecht KNVB Beker · Thu 17:45 | Kozakken Boys | 4.75 |
7.0
since pub · 15h 29m |
↑ +47.4%
4.75
7.0
🐢 Slow drift over 15h 29m 7.80 → 4.75 → 7.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +47.4%
Dafabet
↑ +30.0%
Betano
↑ +22.8%
1xBet
↑ +9.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +9.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +8.4%
BetVictor
↑ +7.7%
William Hill
↑ +7.7%
|
Steam Score:
86
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Kozakken Boys together (47.4% drift, score 86) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Benfica vs GIL Vicente Taça da Liga · Thu 20:45 | GIL Vicente | 5.75 |
8.5
kickoff in 14h 9m |
↑ +47.8%
5.75
8.5
🐢 Slow drift over 31h 43m 9.00 → 5.03 → 8.50 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +50.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +47.8%
BetVictor
↑ +41.7%
William Hill
↑ +41.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +32.3%
1xBet
↑ +31.7%
SBO Sharp
↑ +26.8%
Dafabet
↑ +24.2%
Betano
↑ +18.1%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +16.7%
|
Steam Score:
84
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books lengthened GIL Vicente together (47.8% drift, score 84) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| El Mansura vs Haras El Hodood Second League · Thu 12:30 | El Mansura | 2.62 |
3.1
since pub · 16h 29m |
↑ +18.3%
2.62
3.1
🐢 Slow drift over 16h 29m 3.55 → 2.62 → 3.10 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +26.8%
1xBet
↑ +19.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +19.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +18.3%
William Hill
↑ +16.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +15.8%
Dafabet
↑ +15.0%
Betano
↑ +11.3%
|
Steam Score:
84
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +40/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/8 books lengthened El Mansura together (18.3% drift, score 84) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów Cup · Thu 18:00 | Stal Rzeszów | 4.75 |
6.0
since pub · 14h 54m |
↑ +26.3%
4.75
6.0
🐢 Slow drift over 14h 54m 6.50 → 4.75 → 6.00 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +30.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +26.3%
Betano
↑ +23.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +20.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +19.8%
Dafabet
↑ +19.2%
William Hill
↑ +3.4%
|
Steam Score:
82
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Stal Rzeszów together (26.3% drift, score 82) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR Cup · Thu 11:00 | Kryvbas KR | 9.0 |
5.25
since pub · 19h 35m |
↓ -41.7%
9.0
5.25
🐢 Slow drift over 19h 35m 13.00 → 3.30 → 5.25 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
5/8
Books moving same direction
William Hill
↓ -54.2%
Marathonbet
↓ -49.0%
Dafabet
↓ -46.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -41.7%
Betano
↓ -22.4%
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest underdog steam | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Kryvbas KR (41.7%, 5/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia AFC Cup · Thu 12:15 | Shanghai Shenhua | 3.0 |
3.6
kickoff in 5h 39m |
↑ +20.0%
3.0
3.6
🐢 Slow drift over 31h 53m 3.90 → 2.90 → 3.60 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +25.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.0%
William Hill
↑ +13.8%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +11.8%
1xBet
↑ +9.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +9.5%
Betano
↑ +9.2%
Dafabet
↑ +7.4%
BetVictor
↑ +6.7%
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/10 books lengthened Shanghai Shenhua together (20.0% drift, score 80) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Austria Wien W vs Juventus W UEFA Champions League Women · Thu 17:45 | Austria Wien W | 3.0 |
3.75
kickoff in 11h 9m |
↑ +25.0%
3.0
3.75
🐢 Slow drift over 68h 32m 3.80 → 2.88 → 3.75 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +26.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +25.0%
Betano
↑ +12.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +11.1%
Dafabet
↑ +7.6%
William Hill
↑ +7.6%
1xBet
↑ +4.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +4.7%
BetVictor
↑ +3.7%
|
Steam Score:
79
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened Austria Wien W together (25.0% drift, score 79) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC Copa del Rey · Thu 18:00 | AD Ceuta FC | 1.4 |
1.75
kickoff in 11h 24m |
↑ +25.0%
1.4
1.75
🐢 Slow drift over 28h 20m 1.82 → 1.40 → 1.75 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/10
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↑ +26.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +25.0%
BetVictor
↑ +23.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +23.6%
1xBet
↑ +22.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +22.2%
William Hill
↑ +21.5%
Betano
↑ +14.4%
|
Steam Score:
78
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/10 books lengthened AD Ceuta FC together (25.0% drift, score 78) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Purmersteijn vs Gemert KNVB Beker · Thu 19:00 | Gemert | 2.9 |
2.5
since pub · 15h 52m |
↓ -13.8%
2.9
2.5
🐢 Slow drift over 15h 52m 3.20 → 2.50 → 2.50 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
8/8
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -17.0%
BetVictor
↓ -14.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -13.8%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -11.9%
1xBet
↓ -11.1%
William Hill
↓ -9.7%
Betano
↓ -9.3%
Dafabet
↓ -8.1%
|
Steam Score:
76
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +30/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Gemert (13.8%, 8/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Køge vs Barcelona W UEFA Champions League Women · Thu 20:00 | Køge | 51.0 |
41.0
kickoff in 13h 24m |
↓ -19.6%
51.0
41.0
🐢 Slow drift over 70h 16m 151.00 → 21.00 → 41.00 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
4/7
Books moving same direction
BetVictor
↓ -41.7%
Betano
↓ -40.0%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -35.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -19.6%
|
Steam Score:
74
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +43/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Køge (19.6%, 4/7) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| SC Braga vs Famalicao Taça da Liga · Thu 18:45 | Famalicao | 3.9 |
4.5
kickoff in 12h 9m |
↑ +15.4%
3.9
4.5
🐢 Slow drift over 31h 43m 4.65 → 3.18 → 4.50 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: SBO |
10/10
Books moving same direction
SBO Sharp
↑ +17.3%
BetVictor
↑ +16.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +15.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +11.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +8.8%
1xBet
↑ +8.2%
Betano
↑ +6.9%
William Hill
↑ +5.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +3.2%
Dafabet
↑ +2.4%
|
Steam Score:
73
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +34/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books lengthened Famalicao together (15.4% drift, score 73) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Paris FC W vs Häcken UEFA Champions League Women · Thu 17:45 | Paris FC W | 1.65 |
1.95
kickoff in 11h 9m |
↑ +18.2%
1.65
1.95
🐢 Slow drift over 68h 30m 1.96 → 1.65 → 1.95 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +18.2%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +11.8%
Betano
↑ +9.1%
Dafabet
↑ +7.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +5.9%
1xBet
↑ +5.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +5.8%
William Hill
↑ +5.7%
|
Steam Score:
71
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +40/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Paris FC W together (18.2% drift, score 71) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Frosinone vs Lecce Serie A · Thu 17:30 | Lecce | 3.8 |
4.75
kickoff in 10h 54m |
↑ +25.0%
3.8
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 140h 14m 5.10 → 3.23 → 4.75 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +45.7%
Betano
↑ +34.2%
BetVictor
↑ +27.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +25.0%
Dafabet
↑ +24.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +22.4%
1xBet
↑ +22.2%
William Hill
↑ +22.2%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +19.3%
SBO Sharp
↑ +17.6%
|
Steam Score:
69
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books lengthened Lecce together (25.0% drift, score 69) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo Serie A · Thu 23:00 | Vasco DA Gama | 3.6 |
4.33
kickoff in 16h 24m |
↑ +20.3%
3.6
4.33
🐢 Slow drift over 142h 2m 4.33 → 3.40 → 4.33 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.3%
BetVictor
↑ +17.1%
Betano
↑ +14.7%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +14.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +13.4%
1xBet
↑ +13.2%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +12.2%
William Hill
↑ +11.8%
Dafabet
↑ +6.7%
|
Steam Score:
69
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened Vasco DA Gama together (20.3% drift, score 69) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Hammarby FF vs Sirius Allsvenskan · Thu 17:30 | Sirius | 5.0 |
6.0
kickoff in 10h 54m |
↑ +20.0%
5.0
6.0
🐢 Slow drift over 70h 14m 6.00 → 4.84 → 6.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
7/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.0%
1xBet
↑ +11.5%
William Hill
↑ +10.0%
Betano
↑ +9.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +6.7%
Dafabet
↑ +3.7%
SBO Sharp
↑ +2.1%
|
Steam Score:
69
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/10 books lengthened Sirius together (20.0% drift, score 69) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense Copa del Rey · Thu 19:30 | UD Ourense | 1.8 |
2.2
kickoff in 12h 54m |
↑ +22.2%
1.8
2.2
🐢 Slow drift over 24h 16m 2.25 → 1.80 → 2.20 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
6/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +22.2%
Dafabet
↑ +7.7%
BetVictor
↑ +2.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +2.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +2.3%
William Hill
↑ +2.3%
|
Steam Score:
68
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on UD Ourense (22.2%, 6/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon Copa del Rey · Thu 19:00 | Guijuelo | 8.0 |
6.25
since pub · 3h 56m |
↓ -21.9%
8.0
6.25
📈 Active repricing over 3h 56m 8.80 → 6.20 → 6.25 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
4/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -21.9%
Dafabet
↓ -15.9%
William Hill
↓ -13.3%
BetVictor
↓ -6.7%
|
Steam Score:
67
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +13/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Guijuelo (21.9%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Gangwon FC vs Kuching FA AFC Cup · Thu 10:00 | Kuching FA | 6.25 |
5.5
kickoff in 3h 24m |
↓ -12.0%
6.25
5.5
🐢 Slow drift over 31h 53m 6.83 → 4.65 → 5.50 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
8/10
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↓ -18.8%
1xBet
↓ -17.9%
William Hill
↓ -16.7%
Dafabet
↓ -12.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -12.0%
BetVictor
↓ -11.5%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -7.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -4.8%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +26/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Kuching FA (12.0%, 8/10) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos National 1 · Thu 19:45 | Thionville Lusitanos | 3.5 |
4.75
kickoff in 13h 9m |
↑ +35.7%
3.5
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 141h 36m 4.85 → 3.50 → 4.75 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
7/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +35.7%
Betano
↑ +19.8%
1xBet
↑ +9.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +7.0%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +5.0%
William Hill
↑ +5.0%
Dafabet
↑ +4.8%
|
Steam Score:
65
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/8 books lengthened Thionville Lusitanos together (35.7% drift, score 65) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| ACV vs AFC Amsterdam KNVB Beker · Thu 19:00 | ACV | 3.4 |
3.1
since pub · 15h 51m |
↓ -8.8%
3.4
3.1
🐢 Slow drift over 15h 51m 3.55 → 2.59 → 3.10 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -10.6%
Betano
↓ -10.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -8.8%
BetVictor
↓ -8.8%
1xBet
↓ -8.7%
Marathonbet
↓ -8.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -8.2%
William Hill
↓ -7.1%
Dafabet
↓ -4.2%
|
Steam Score:
65
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +19/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on ACV (8.8%, 9/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
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