Market Movements - Live Market Moves
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Monitor bookmaker line movement, market consensus, and late odds shifts before kickoff.
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg W vs 1899 Hoffenheim W | VfL Wolfsburg W | 1899 Hoffenheim W ↑ +62.5% | -40.3 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca | Sporting Cristal | FC Cajamarca ↓ -8.3% | -28.6 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt | Colo Colo | D. Puerto Montt ↓ -14.3% | -25.5 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Molynes United vs Mount Pleasant Academy | Mount Pleasant Academy | Molynes United ↑ +31.6% | -19.9 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Dobrudzha vs Fratria | Fratria | Dobrudzha ↓ -6.7% | -16.7 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| RB Bragantino vs Santos | RB Bragantino | Draw ↑ +8.6% | -16.6 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Platense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago | Platense | Central Cordoba de Santiago ↑ +58.3% | -14.4 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Vålerenga W vs Lyn W | Vålerenga W | Lyn W ↓ -8.0% | -13.7 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg W vs 1899 Hoffenheim W | 1899 Hoffenheim W | ↑ +62.5% | 📉 Strong drift | 7/8 | Steam Score: 87 A+ |
| Molynes United vs Mount Pleasant Academy | Molynes United | ↑ +31.6% | 📉 Strong drift | 7/9 | Steam Score: 79 A+ |
| Platense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago | Central Cordoba de Santiago | ↑ +58.3% | 📉 Strong drift | 10/10 | Steam Score: 71 A |
| Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt | D. Puerto Montt | ↓ -14.3% | 📈 Steam | 7/9 | Steam Score: 79 A+ |
| Athletic Club vs Ceara | Draw | ↓ -8.1% | 📈 Steam | 7/9 | Steam Score: 59 B |
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| Match(19) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg W vs 1899 Hoffenheim W DFB Pokal - Women · Mon 17:00 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 8.0 |
13.0
since pub · 15h 47m |
↑ +62.5%
8.0
13.0
🐢 Slow drift over 15h 47m 13.40 → 8.00 → 13.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
7/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +62.5%
1xBet
↑ +55.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +17.1%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +16.3%
William Hill
↑ +11.1%
Dafabet
↑ +10.0%
Betano
↑ +5.3%
|
Steam Score:
87
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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Largest move today | Market drift | P10: 11.00 | 7/8 books lengthened 1899 Hoffenheim W together (62.5% drift, score 87) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Molynes United vs Mount Pleasant Academy Premier League · Mon 22:05 | Molynes United | 4.75 |
6.25
since pub · 33h 45m |
↑ +31.6%
4.75
6.25
🐢 Slow drift over 33h 45m 7.20 → 4.75 → 6.25 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +44.0%
1xBet
↑ +38.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +37.6%
BetVictor
↑ +33.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +31.6%
Dafabet
↑ +25.9%
Betano
↑ +21.2%
|
Steam Score:
79
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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Top 25% move | Market drift | P10: 7.17 · P5: 7.17 | 7/9 books lengthened Molynes United together (31.6% drift, score 79) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt Copa Chile · Mon 22:00 | D. Puerto Montt | 7.0 |
6.0
since pub · 693h 34m |
↓ -14.3%
7.0
6.0
🐢 Slow drift over 693h 34m 13.00 → 5.15 → 6.00 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
7/9
Books moving same direction
BetVictor
↓ -55.8%
William Hill
↓ -50.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -49.2%
Marathonbet
↓ -48.0%
1xBet
↓ -45.0%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -20.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -14.3%
|
Steam Score:
79
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +8/8
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Largest closing-window shift | Sharp repricing | P20: 6.00 · P5: 5.00 · P1: 5.00 | Multi-book steam on D. Puerto Montt (14.3%, 7/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Platense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Liga Profesional Argentina · Mon 22:00 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 6.0 |
9.5
since pub · 139h 20m |
↑ +58.3%
6.0
9.5
🐢 Slow drift over 139h 20m 9.50 → 4.50 → 9.50 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +108.9%
1xBet
↑ +73.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +58.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +45.2%
William Hill
↑ +40.0%
Betano
↑ +37.5%
BetVictor
↑ +36.4%
Marathonbet
↑ +35.0%
Dafabet
↑ +29.6%
SBO Sharp
↑ +18.6%
|
Steam Score:
71
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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Highest consensus move | Market drift | P10: 9.50 · P5: 9.50 | 10/10 books lengthened Central Cordoba de Santiago together (58.3% drift, score 71) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Athletic Club vs Ceara Serie B · Mon 21:00 | Draw | 3.1 |
2.85
since pub · 114h 56m |
↓ -8.1%
3.1
2.85
🐢 Slow drift over 114h 56m 3.25 → 2.85 → 2.85 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -10.8%
1xBet
↓ -8.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -8.1%
Marathonbet
↓ -5.7%
Dafabet
↓ -4.6%
William Hill
↓ -3.3%
Betano
↓ -3.2%
|
Steam Score:
59
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +18/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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— | Sharp repricing | P20: 2.85 · P10: 2.85 · P5: 2.85 | Multi-book steam on Draw (8.1%, 7/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Union Magdalena vs Envigado Primera B · Mon 23:10 | Envigado | 3.5 |
4.1
kickoff in 54m |
↑ +17.1%
3.5
4.1
🐢 Slow drift over 25h 44m 4.90 → 3.50 → 4.10 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
2/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +19.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +17.1%
|
Steam Score:
49
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +38/45
Book synchronization: +6/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Envigado (17.1%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Goias vs CRB Serie B · Mon 23:30 | CRB | 2.88 |
3.0
kickoff in 74m |
↑ +4.2%
2.88
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 115h 12m 3.05 → 2.49 → 3.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +13.0%
BetVictor
↑ +11.0%
William Hill
↑ +6.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +6.2%
1xBet
↑ +5.3%
SBO Sharp
↑ +4.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +4.2%
Marathonbet
↑ +4.2%
Betano
↑ +2.6%
|
Steam Score:
47
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +9/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on CRB (4.2%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano Primera División · Mon 21:00 | A. Italiano | 2.88 |
3.3
since pub · 137h 44m |
↑ +14.6%
2.88
3.3
🐢 Slow drift over 137h 44m 3.80 → 2.80 → 3.30 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +35.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +14.6%
1xBet
↑ +10.7%
Betano
↑ +10.2%
BetVictor
↑ +8.4%
William Hill
↑ +8.3%
Dafabet
↑ +5.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +2.0%
|
Steam Score:
46
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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— | Market drift | P20: 3.30 · P10: 3.30 · P5: 3.30 | Multi-book drift on A. Italiano (14.6%, 8/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Dobrudzha vs Fratria Second League · Mon 15:30 | Dobrudzha | 4.5 |
4.2
since pub · 130h 10m |
↓ -6.7%
4.5
4.2
🐢 Slow drift over 130h 10m 4.75 → 3.75 → 4.20 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -21.1%
1xBet
↓ -18.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -6.7%
BetVictor
↓ -5.3%
Marathonbet
↓ -4.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -3.0%
|
Steam Score:
46
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +15/45
Book synchronization: +18/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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— | Sharp repricing | P10: 3.77 · P5: 3.77 | Betfair led repricing on Dobrudzha (6.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario Liga Pro · Mon 20:30 | Tecnico Universitario | 4.33 |
4.75
since pub · 189h 35m |
↑ +9.7%
4.33
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 189h 35m 4.82 → 3.65 → 4.75 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
4/10
Books moving same direction
BetVictor
↑ +17.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +9.7%
1xBet
↑ +7.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +7.1%
|
Steam Score:
44
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +21/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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— | Sharp repricing | P20: 4.75 · P10: 4.75 · P5: 4.75 | Bet365 led repricing on Tecnico Universitario (9.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Real Tomayapo vs Blooming Primera División · Mon 21:15 | Blooming | 3.0 |
3.25
since pub · 114h 40m |
↑ +8.3%
3.0
3.25
🐢 Slow drift over 114h 40m 3.40 → 2.89 → 3.25 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
4/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +17.2%
1xBet
↑ +10.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +8.3%
BetVictor
↑ +8.3%
|
Steam Score:
43
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +18/45
Book synchronization: +13/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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— | Sharp repricing | P10: 3.25 | Betfair led repricing on Blooming (8.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| RB Bragantino vs Santos Serie A · Mon 23:00 | Draw | 3.5 |
3.8
kickoff in 44m |
↑ +8.6%
3.5
3.8
🐢 Slow drift over 139h 20m 4.30 → 3.35 → 3.80 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +16.2%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +14.3%
BetVictor
↑ +11.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +8.6%
William Hill
↑ +8.6%
Betano
↑ +8.1%
Dafabet
↑ +6.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +3.3%
1xBet
↑ +3.2%
|
Steam Score:
34
C
Limited conviction
Modest lengthening — treat as drift tracking rather than steam. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +19/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Draw (8.6%, 9/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca Primera División · Mon 20:30 | FC Cajamarca | 12.0 |
11.0
since pub · 91h 27m |
↓ -8.3%
12.0
11.0
🐢 Slow drift over 91h 27m 15.00 → 7.05 → 11.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
3/10
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↓ -10.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -8.3%
Marathonbet
↓ -7.0%
|
Steam Score:
36
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +18/45
Book synchronization: +9/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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— | Sharp repricing | P20: 11.00 · P10: 11.00 · P5: 11.00 | Bet365 led repricing on FC Cajamarca (8.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Vålerenga W vs Lyn W Toppserien · Mon 17:00 | Lyn W | 6.25 |
5.75
since pub · 43h 55m |
↓ -8.0%
6.25
5.75
🐢 Slow drift over 43h 55m 7.40 → 5.00 → 5.75 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
2/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -8.0%
Dafabet
↓ -3.2%
|
Steam Score:
31
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +18/45
Book synchronization: +6/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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— | Sharp repricing | P10: 5.75 | Bet365 led repricing on Lyn W (8.0%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Albion FC vs Deportivo Maldonado Primera División - Apertura · Mon 23:00 | Albion FC | 3.1 |
2.9
kickoff in 44m |
↓ -6.5%
3.1
2.9
🐢 Slow drift over 182h 59m 3.20 → 2.66 → 2.90 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
3/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -6.5%
Betano
↓ -6.3%
Dafabet
↓ -3.1%
|
Steam Score:
25
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +14/45
Book synchronization: +9/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Albion FC (swing 3.20 → 2.66 → 2.90) — net 6.5% but intraday chop is elevated. |
| Concepción vs Palestino Primera División · Mon 23:30 | Concepción | 2.62 |
2.5
kickoff in 74m |
↓ -4.6%
2.62
2.5
🐢 Slow drift over 137h 57m 2.67 → 2.37 → 2.50 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
3/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -4.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -4.2%
SBO Sharp
↓ -2.9%
|
Steam Score:
21
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +10/45
Book synchronization: +9/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Concepción (swing 2.67 → 2.37 → 2.50) — net 4.6% but intraday chop is elevated. |
| Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente Liga Profesional Argentina · Mon 22:00 | Independiente | 3.4 |
3.2
since pub · 187h 20m |
↓ -5.9%
3.4
3.2
🐢 Slow drift over 187h 20m 3.62 → 2.99 → 3.20 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
1/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -5.9%
|
Steam Score:
16
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +13/45
Book synchronization: +3/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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— | Volatile | P10: 3.25 · P5: 3.25 | Volatile two-way pricing on Independiente (swing 3.62 → 2.99 → 3.20) — net 5.9% but intraday chop is elevated. |
| Rionegro Aguilas vs Fortaleza FC Primera A · Mon 21:05 | Rionegro Aguilas | 1.85 |
1.85
since pub · 9h 44m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.20 → 1.85 → 1.85 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
3/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -1.6%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -0.5%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
8
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +10/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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— | Volatile | P10: 1.85 · P5: 1.85 | Net move flat on Rionegro Aguilas (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 17.3% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo Super Liga · Mon 17:00 | Radnicki NIS | 3.9 |
3.9
since pub · 149h 26m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 5.25 → 3.09 → 3.90 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: SBO |
3/10
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↓ -0.5%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
SBO Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
5
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +9/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Radnicki NIS (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 51.8% — price repriced then reverted. |