Market Movements - Live Market Moves
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Monitor bookmaker line movement, market consensus, and late odds shifts before kickoff.
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prat vs Athletic Club | Athletic Club | Prat ↓ -17.1% | -57.5 pp | Data Integrity Review Required |
| Lebrijana vs Getafe | Getafe | Lebrijana ↓ -43.1% | -51.4 pp | Data Integrity Review Required |
| Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna | Osasuna | Atletico Calatayud ↑ +20.6% | -48.7 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Køge vs Barcelona W | Barcelona W | Køge ↓ -19.6% | -47.9 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Kasimpasa vs Çorluspor 1947 | Kasimpasa | Draw ↑ +15.8% | -42.9 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Covadonga vs Valladolid | Valladolid | Covadonga ↑ +18.2% | -42.2 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| FC Noah vs Syunik | FC Noah | Syunik ↑ +57.1% | -42.1 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Benfica vs GIL Vicente | Benfica | GIL Vicente ↑ +47.8% | -34.9 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA Raalte | Draw | ↓ -24.0% | 🔥 Strong steam | 9/9 | Steam Score: 99 A+ |
| Werder Bremen W vs 1899 Hoffenheim W | 1899 Hoffenheim W | ↓ -27.2% | 🔥 Strong steam | 9/10 | Steam Score: 96 A+ |
| Karpaty vs Oleksandria | Oleksandria | ↓ -21.7% | 🔥 Strong steam | 8/9 | Steam Score: 96 A+ |
| Lebrijana vs Getafe | Lebrijana | ↓ -43.1% | 🔥 Strong steam | 5/7 | Steam Score: 90 A+ |
| De Treffers vs Heracles | De Treffers | ↑ +33.3% | 📉 Strong drift | 9/9 | Steam Score: 89 A+ |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
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| Match(120) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA Raalte KNVB Beker · Thu 19:00 | Draw | 6.25 |
4.75
kickoff in 4h 36m |
↓ -24.0%
6.25
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 26h 31m 7.60 → 4.70 → 4.75 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -33.3%
Dafabet
↓ -28.9%
BetVictor
↓ -28.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -24.0%
Marathonbet
↓ -23.1%
Betano
↓ -23.0%
1xBet
↓ -21.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -21.9%
William Hill
↓ -20.8%
|
Steam Score:
99
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books synchronized on Draw (24.0% steam, score 99) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Werder Bremen W vs 1899 Hoffenheim W Frauen Bundesliga · Thu 17:00 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 3.6 |
2.62
kickoff in 2h 36m |
↓ -27.2%
3.6
2.62
🐢 Slow drift over 323h 8m 3.75 → 2.55 → 2.62 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -27.2%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -26.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -23.5%
Dafabet
↓ -23.0%
Betano
↓ -22.0%
William Hill
↓ -21.4%
Marathonbet
↓ -21.1%
1xBet
↓ -20.9%
BetVictor
↓ -17.7%
|
Steam Score:
96
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 9/10 books synchronized on 1899 Hoffenheim W (27.2% steam, score 96) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Karpaty vs Oleksandria Cup · Thu 16:00 | Oleksandria | 5.75 |
4.5
kickoff in 96m |
↓ -21.7%
5.75
4.5
🐢 Slow drift over 27h 35m 6.50 → 4.49 → 4.50 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/9
Books moving same direction
William Hill
↓ -26.2%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -23.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -21.7%
1xBet
↓ -20.3%
Dafabet
↓ -19.4%
Betano
↓ -18.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -13.6%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -2.3%
|
Steam Score:
96
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books synchronized on Oleksandria (21.7% steam, score 96) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Lebrijana vs Getafe Copa del Rey · Thu 18:00 | Lebrijana | 51.0 |
29.0
since pub · 11h 59m |
↓ -43.1%
51.0
29.0
↔ Gradual move over 11h 59m 76.00 → 15.50 → 29.00 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
5/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -43.1%
Dafabet
↓ -16.7%
BetVictor
↓ -10.9%
William Hill
↓ -8.9%
1xBet
↓ -8.8%
|
Steam Score:
90
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest underdog steam | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 5/7 books synchronized on Lebrijana (43.1% steam, score 90) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| De Treffers vs Heracles KNVB Beker · Thu 19:00 | De Treffers | 4.5 |
6.0
since pub · 23h 29m |
↑ +33.3%
4.5
6.0
🐢 Slow drift over 23h 29m 6.00 → 4.50 → 6.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +33.3%
Betano
↑ +20.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +20.0%
Dafabet
↑ +20.0%
William Hill
↑ +16.0%
BetVictor
↑ +14.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +9.5%
1xBet
↑ +9.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +5.7%
|
Steam Score:
89
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened De Treffers together (33.3% drift, score 89) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Kozakken Boys vs Utrecht KNVB Beker · Thu 17:45 | Kozakken Boys | 4.75 |
6.5
since pub · 23h 29m |
↑ +36.8%
4.75
6.5
🐢 Slow drift over 23h 29m 7.26 → 4.75 → 6.50 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +36.8%
Dafabet
↑ +16.7%
Betano
↑ +14.0%
BetVictor
↑ +7.7%
William Hill
↑ +7.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +7.5%
1xBet
↑ +7.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +6.4%
|
Steam Score:
86
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Kozakken Boys together (36.8% drift, score 86) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Benfica vs GIL Vicente Taça da Liga · Thu 20:45 | GIL Vicente | 5.75 |
8.5
kickoff in 6h 21m |
↑ +47.8%
5.75
8.5
🐢 Slow drift over 39h 42m 9.25 → 5.03 → 8.50 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
10/10
Books moving same direction
BetVictor
↑ +50.0%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +50.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +47.8%
William Hill
↑ +41.7%
SBO Sharp
↑ +40.2%
Dafabet
↑ +33.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +32.3%
1xBet
↑ +31.7%
Betano
↑ +28.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +22.8%
|
Steam Score:
84
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books lengthened GIL Vicente together (47.8% drift, score 84) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense Copa del Rey · Thu 19:30 | UD Ourense | 1.8 |
2.25
kickoff in 5h 6m |
↑ +25.0%
1.8
2.25
🐢 Slow drift over 39h 28m 2.40 → 1.80 → 2.25 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +25.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +9.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +8.4%
1xBet
↑ +8.3%
Dafabet
↑ +7.7%
BetVictor
↑ +2.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +2.3%
William Hill
↑ +2.3%
|
Steam Score:
81
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened UD Ourense together (25.0% drift, score 81) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszów Cup · Thu 18:00 | Stal Rzeszów | 4.75 |
6.25
since pub · 19h 48m |
↑ +31.6%
4.75
6.25
🐢 Slow drift over 19h 48m 6.50 → 4.75 → 6.25 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
7/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +31.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +30.0%
Betano
↑ +21.6%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +20.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +19.8%
Dafabet
↑ +19.2%
William Hill
↑ +3.4%
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/10 books lengthened Stal Rzeszów together (31.6% drift, score 80) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Olympia Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia Cup · Thu 11:30 | Olympia Yerevan | 5.25 |
7.0
since pub · 23h 42m |
↑ +33.3%
5.25
7.0
🐢 Slow drift over 23h 42m 7.70 → 5.20 → 7.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
3/4
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +41.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +33.3%
Dafabet
↑ +15.4%
|
Steam Score:
78
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 3/4 books lengthened Olympia Yerevan together (33.3% drift, score 78) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC Copa del Rey · Thu 18:00 | AD Ceuta FC | 1.4 |
1.73
kickoff in 3h 36m |
↑ +23.6%
1.4
1.73
🐢 Slow drift over 43h 32m 1.82 → 1.40 → 1.73 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/10
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↑ +26.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +23.6%
BetVictor
↑ +23.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +23.6%
1xBet
↑ +22.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +22.2%
William Hill
↑ +21.5%
Betano
↑ +16.3%
|
Steam Score:
78
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/10 books lengthened AD Ceuta FC together (23.6% drift, score 78) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Coruxo vs Zamora Copa del Rey · Thu 18:00 | Zamora | 1.83 |
2.2
kickoff in 3h 36m |
↑ +20.2%
1.83
2.2
🐢 Slow drift over 42h 17m 2.20 → 1.83 → 2.20 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.2%
Dafabet
↑ +12.0%
1xBet
↑ +11.2%
William Hill
↑ +10.8%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +7.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +2.5%
BetVictor
↑ +2.4%
|
Steam Score:
77
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Zamora together (20.2% drift, score 77) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Purmersteijn vs Gemert KNVB Beker · Thu 19:00 | Purmersteijn | 1.91 |
2.2
since pub · 23h 29m |
↑ +15.2%
1.91
2.2
🐢 Slow drift over 23h 29m 2.21 → 1.91 → 2.20 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +15.2%
BetVictor
↑ +12.8%
Dafabet
↑ +10.6%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +10.1%
1xBet
↑ +9.4%
Betano
↑ +8.7%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +7.5%
William Hill
↑ +7.3%
|
Steam Score:
77
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +33/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/8 books lengthened Purmersteijn together (15.2% drift, score 77) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Paris FC W vs Häcken UEFA Champions League Women · Thu 17:45 | Paris FC W | 1.65 |
2.1
kickoff in 3h 21m |
↑ +27.3%
1.65
2.1
🐢 Slow drift over 76h 26m 2.10 → 1.65 → 2.10 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +27.3%
Betano
↑ +18.3%
Dafabet
↑ +15.7%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +14.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +13.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +11.7%
1xBet
↑ +11.6%
William Hill
↑ +11.4%
BetVictor
↑ +7.3%
|
Steam Score:
74
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened Paris FC W together (27.3% drift, score 74) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF Allsvenskan · Thu 18:00 | Mjallby AIF | 1.9 |
2.35
kickoff in 3h 36m |
↑ +23.7%
1.9
2.35
🐢 Slow drift over 77h 46m 2.35 → 1.85 → 2.35 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +23.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +23.4%
SBO Sharp
↑ +22.8%
Betano
↑ +20.4%
William Hill
↑ +20.4%
BetVictor
↑ +18.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +18.8%
Dafabet
↑ +14.9%
1xBet
↑ +9.9%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +2.2%
|
Steam Score:
74
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books lengthened Mjallby AIF together (23.7% drift, score 74) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Køge vs Barcelona W UEFA Champions League Women · Thu 20:00 | Køge | 51.0 |
41.0
kickoff in 5h 36m |
↓ -19.6%
51.0
41.0
🐢 Slow drift over 78h 11m 81.00 → 32.00 → 41.00 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
4/7
Books moving same direction
Betano
↓ -36.0%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -35.7%
William Hill
↓ -24.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -19.6%
|
Steam Score:
74
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +43/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Køge (19.6%, 4/7) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| FC Noah vs Syunik Cup · Thu 15:00 | Syunik | 7.0 |
11.0
since pub · 23h 42m |
↑ +57.1%
7.0
11.0
🐢 Slow drift over 23h 42m 15.00 → 7.00 → 11.00 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
6/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +57.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +46.1%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +42.9%
Betano
↑ +40.0%
Dafabet
↑ +40.0%
1xBet
↑ +38.3%
|
Steam Score:
73
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Syunik (57.1%, 6/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Manchester City W vs Paris Saint Germain W UEFA Champions League Women · Thu 20:00 | Paris Saint Germain W | 5.0 |
6.25
kickoff in 5h 36m |
↑ +25.0%
5.0
6.25
🐢 Slow drift over 78h 11m 6.74 → 5.00 → 6.25 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +25.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +23.9%
William Hill
↑ +20.0%
1xBet
↑ +15.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +14.8%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +9.1%
Dafabet
↑ +7.4%
BetVictor
↑ +4.3%
|
Steam Score:
71
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Paris Saint Germain W together (25.0% drift, score 71) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Hammarby FF vs Sirius Allsvenskan · Thu 17:30 | Sirius | 5.0 |
6.0
kickoff in 3h 6m |
↑ +20.0%
5.0
6.0
🐢 Slow drift over 77h 46m 6.21 → 4.84 → 6.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.0%
William Hill
↑ +16.0%
SBO Sharp
↑ +15.9%
1xBet
↑ +13.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +12.1%
Betano
↑ +9.4%
BetVictor
↑ +4.5%
Dafabet
↑ +3.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +2.7%
|
Steam Score:
70
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/10 books lengthened Sirius together (20.0% drift, score 70) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Austria Wien W vs Juventus W UEFA Champions League Women · Thu 17:45 | Austria Wien W | 3.0 |
3.6
kickoff in 3h 21m |
↑ +20.0%
3.0
3.6
🐢 Slow drift over 76h 26m 3.60 → 2.88 → 3.60 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.0%
BetVictor
↑ +10.0%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +10.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +8.7%
Betano
↑ +8.1%
1xBet
↑ +7.5%
Marathonbet
↑ +7.4%
William Hill
↑ +4.2%
|
Steam Score:
70
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Austria Wien W together (20.0% drift, score 70) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Al Salt vs Al Jazeera League · Thu 15:00 | Al Jazeera | 2.4 |
2.8
kickoff in 36m |
↑ +16.7%
2.4
2.8
🐢 Slow drift over 24h 47m 2.89 → 2.28 → 2.80 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
BetVictor
↑ +25.2%
1xBet
↑ +22.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +21.7%
Betano
↑ +20.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +20.6%
Dafabet
↑ +20.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +16.7%
|
Steam Score:
69
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Al Jazeera together (16.7% drift, score 69) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood Pro League · Thu 18:00 | Al Kholood | 9.5 |
8.5
kickoff in 3h 36m |
↓ -10.5%
9.5
8.5
🐢 Slow drift over 62h 57m 13.40 → 7.24 → 8.50 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↓ -13.8%
William Hill
↓ -13.6%
Dafabet
↓ -12.7%
1xBet
↓ -11.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -10.5%
BetVictor
↓ -9.1%
SBO Sharp
↓ -8.5%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -4.8%
Betano
↓ -4.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -3.4%
|
Steam Score:
69
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +23/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Al Kholood (10.5%, 10/10) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Tzeirey Tira vs Hapoel Marmorek Liga Alef · Thu 18:00 | Tzeirey Tira | 3.6 |
5.0
kickoff in 3h 36m |
↑ +38.9%
3.6
5.0
🐢 Slow drift over 24h 42m 5.23 → 3.60 → 5.00 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
6/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +38.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +34.9%
1xBet
↑ +34.8%
Dafabet
↑ +21.5%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +18.8%
Betano
↑ +4.1%
|
Steam Score:
68
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Tzeirey Tira (38.9%, 6/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos National 1 · Thu 19:45 | Thionville Lusitanos | 3.5 |
4.75
kickoff in 5h 21m |
↑ +35.7%
3.5
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 149h 34m 4.90 → 3.50 → 4.75 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
7/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +35.7%
Betano
↑ +21.0%
Dafabet
↑ +11.9%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +10.0%
William Hill
↑ +10.0%
1xBet
↑ +9.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +9.5%
|
Steam Score:
65
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/8 books lengthened Thionville Lusitanos together (35.7% drift, score 65) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna Copa del Rey · Thu 18:00 | Atletico Calatayud | 34.0 |
41.0
since pub · 11h 56m |
↑ +20.6%
34.0
41.0
↔ Gradual move over 11h 56m 76.00 → 20.00 → 41.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
3/7
Books moving same direction
William Hill
↑ +31.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.6%
Dafabet
↑ +11.1%
|
Steam Score:
65
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 46% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +13/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Atletico Calatayud (20.6%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
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