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Market Movements - Live Market Moves

World Cup 2026 TODAY TOMORROW WEEK

Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.

Monitor bookmaker line movement, market consensus, and late odds shifts before kickoff.

Live Market Moves Early Sharp Moves Final Closing Moves CLV Performance
Live market monitor

🔥 Top market moves

Largest steam and cross-book repricing in this window.

Match Side Move Signal Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks.
South Korea vs Czech Republic Czech Republic ↑ +7.4% ⚡ Sharp-led move 12/14 Steam Score: 55 B
Marconi Stallions vs Sydney FC U23 Marconi Stallions +0.0% — Tracking 11/11 Steam Score: 40 B
FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Naftan FC Isloch Minsk R. +0.0% — Tracking 6/6 Steam Score: 40 B
Lund vs AFC Malmo Lund +0.0% — Tracking 10/10 Steam Score: 40 B
XV de Jaú U20 vs Capivariano U20 XV de Jaú U20 +0.0% — Tracking 5/5 Steam Score: 40 B
World Cup · kickoff in 26m
B 55
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +16/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

South Korea vs Czech Republic
South Korea (Home)
Open 2.62 → 2.62 +0.0%
Stable
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.1 → 3.0 ↓ -3.2%
One-way drop
Czech Republic (Away) 🐢 Slow drift over 159h 55m Largest move today
Open 2.7 → 2.9 ↑ +7.4%
One-way rise
Books 12/14 ⚡ Sharp-led move Sharp repricing
View market brief

SBO led repricing on Czech Republic (7.4%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.

Sharp-led move: SBO

P30: 3.02

New South Wales NPL · kickoff in 8h 26m
B 40
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

Marconi Stallions vs Sydney FC U23
Marconi Stallions (Home) — Stable line Top 10% move
Open 1.36 → 1.36 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.75 → 4.75 +0.0%
Sydney FC U23 (Away)
Open 6.0 → 6.0 +0.0%
Books 11/11 — Tracking Discovery
View market brief

Stable line on Marconi Stallions — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Premier League · kickoff in 12h 26m
B 40
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Naftan
FC Isloch Minsk R. (Home) — Stable line Top 25% move
Open 1.33 → 1.33 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.85 → 4.85 +0.0%
Naftan (Away)
Open 8.49 → 8.49 +0.0%
Books 6/6 — Tracking Discovery
View market brief

Stable line on FC Isloch Minsk R. — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Waiting for Close

Ettan - Södra · kickoff in 15h 26m
B 40
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

Lund vs AFC Malmo
Lund (Home) — Stable line
Open 2.3 → 2.3 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.5 → 3.5 +0.0%
AFC Malmo (Away)
Open 2.45 → 2.45 +0.0%
Books 10/10 — Tracking Discovery
View market brief

Stable line on Lund — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Paulista - U20 · kickoff in 16h 26m
B 40
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

XV de Jaú U20 vs Capivariano U20
XV de Jaú U20 (Home) — Stable line
Open 2.6 → 2.6 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.3 → 3.3 +0.0%
Capivariano U20 (Away)
Open 2.3 → 2.3 +0.0%
Books 5/5 — Tracking Discovery
View market brief

Stable line on XV de Jaú U20 — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Waiting for Close

Premier Division · kickoff in 17h 11m
B 40
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl. (Home) — Stable line
Open 1.33 → 1.33 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.33 → 4.33 +0.0%
Drogheda United (Away)
Open 9.0 → 9.0 +0.0%
Books 14/14 — Tracking Discovery
View market brief

Stable line on St Patrick's Athl. — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Primera División · kickoff in 17h 26m
B 40
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs ABB
San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Home) — Stable line
Open 1.57 → 1.57 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.33 → 4.33 +0.0%
ABB (Away)
Open 4.75 → 4.75 +0.0%
Books 10/10 — Tracking Discovery
View market brief

Stable line on San Antonio Bulo Bulo — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Primera División · kickoff in 21h 26m
B 40
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

Nacional Potosí vs Real Oruro
Nacional Potosí (Home) — Stable line
Open 1.36 → 1.36 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 5.0 → 5.0 +0.0%
Real Oruro (Away)
Open 7.0 → 7.0 +0.0%
Books 10/10 — Tracking Discovery
View market brief

Stable line on Nacional Potosí — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · kickoff in 17h 26m
C 39
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +6/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Canada (Home) 🐢 Slow drift over 159h 59m Top 3% move
Open 1.8 → 1.85 ↑ +2.8%
Stable
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.7 → 3.6 ↓ -2.7%
Stable
Bosnia & Herzegovina (Away)
Open 4.33 → 4.33 +0.0%
Books 10/14 📉 Weakening Discovery
View market brief

Market fading Canada (2.8%) — line drifting longer vs. open (10/14).

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Paulista - U20 · kickoff in 16h 26m
C 34
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Several books confirming the move
ReliabilityLow confidence signal — treat as tracking only.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

Juventus U20 vs Mirassol U20
Juventus U20 (Home) — Stable line
Open 2.0 → 2.0 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Mirassol U20 (Away)
Open 3.1 → 3.1 +0.0%
Books 2/2 — Tracking Illiquid
View market brief

Stable line on Juventus U20 — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Waiting for Close

Paulista - U20 · kickoff in 16h 26m
C 34
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Several books confirming the move
ReliabilityLow confidence signal — treat as tracking only.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

Desportivo Brasil U20 vs São Caetano U20
Desportivo Brasil U20 (Home) — Stable line
Open 1.83 → 1.83 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
São Caetano U20 (Away)
Open 3.6 → 3.6 +0.0%
Books 2/2 — Tracking Illiquid
View market brief

Stable line on Desportivo Brasil U20 — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Waiting for Close

Paulista - U20 · kickoff in 16h 26m
C 34
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Several books confirming the move
ReliabilityLow confidence signal — treat as tracking only.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

XV de Piracicaba U20 vs EC São Bernardo U20
XV de Piracicaba U20 (Home) — Stable line
Open 3.2 → 3.2 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
EC São Bernardo U20 (Away)
Open 1.95 → 1.95 +0.0%
Books 2/2 — Tracking Illiquid
View market brief

Stable line on XV de Piracicaba U20 — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Waiting for Close

Paulista - U20 · kickoff in 16h 26m
C 34
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Several books confirming the move
ReliabilityLow confidence signal — treat as tracking only.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

União São João U20 vs Velo Clube U20
União São João U20 (Home) — Stable line
Open 3.1 → 3.1 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.5 → 3.5 +0.0%
Velo Clube U20 (Away)
Open 1.95 → 1.95 +0.0%
Books 2/2 — Tracking Illiquid
View market brief

Stable line on União São João U20 — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).

Waiting for Close

New South Wales NPL · kickoff in 7h 56m
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Manly United vs Sydney United
Manly United (Home) — Stable line Top 10% move
Open 3.7 → 3.7 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.5 → 3.5 +0.0%
Sydney United (Away)
Open 1.8 → 1.8 +0.0%
Books 13/13 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Manly United (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 24.0% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Victoria NPL 2 · kickoff in 7h 56m
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Brunswick City vs Eltham Redbacks FC
Brunswick City (Home) — Stable line Top 10% move
Open 2.6 → 2.6 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.0 → 4.0 +0.0%
Eltham Redbacks FC (Away)
Open 2.1 → 2.1 +0.0%
Books 11/11 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Brunswick City (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 9.0% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Victoria Premier League 2 · kickoff in 8h 11m
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Kingston City vs Moreland City
Kingston City (Home) — Stable line Top 10% move
Open 3.25 → 3.25 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.9 → 3.9 +0.0%
Moreland City (Away)
Open 1.83 → 1.83 +0.0%
Books 9/9 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Kingston City (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 9.1% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

South Australia NPL · kickoff in 8h 26m
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Campbelltown City vs West Torrens Birkalla
Campbelltown City (Home) — Stable line Top 10% move
Open 2.62 → 2.62 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.7 → 3.7 +0.0%
West Torrens Birkalla (Away)
Open 2.15 → 2.15 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Campbelltown City (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 17.5% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

WK-League · kickoff in 8h 26m
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Suwon FMC W vs Gumi Sportstoto W
Suwon FMC W (Home) — Stable line Top 25% move
Open 1.5 → 1.5 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.6 → 3.6 +0.0%
Gumi Sportstoto W (Away)
Open 6.0 → 6.0 +0.0%
Books 9/9 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Suwon FMC W (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.9% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

New South Wales NPL 2 · kickoff in 8h 41m
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Blacktown Spartans vs Bankstown City Lions
Blacktown Spartans (Home) — Stable line Top 25% move
Open 1.91 → 1.91 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.75 → 3.75 +0.0%
Bankstown City Lions (Away)
Open 3.1 → 3.1 +0.0%
Books 9/9 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Blacktown Spartans (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 10.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

South Australia State League 1 · kickoff in 8h 41m
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Eastern United vs Adelaide Olympic
Eastern United (Home) — Stable line Top 25% move
Open 3.2 → 3.2 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.8 → 3.8 +0.0%
Adelaide Olympic (Away)
Open 1.83 → 1.83 +0.0%
Books 10/10 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Eastern United (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 14.2% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led move: Pinnacle

Waiting for Close

Victoria NPL 2 · kickoff in 8h 56m
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick Juventus FC
Melbourne Knights (Home) — Stable line Top 25% move
Open 1.67 → 1.67 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.0 → 4.0 +0.0%
Brunswick Juventus FC (Away)
Open 3.7 → 3.7 +0.0%
Books 11/11 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Melbourne Knights (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 13.4% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

South Australia NPL · kickoff in 9h 26m
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Adelaide Comets vs West Adelaide
Adelaide Comets (Home) — Stable line Top 25% move
Open 2.45 → 2.45 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.6 → 3.6 +0.0%
West Adelaide (Away)
Open 2.35 → 2.35 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Adelaide Comets (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.3% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Premier League · kickoff in 11h 26m
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Reyady Abaseya vs Al Hikma
Reyady Abaseya (Home) — Stable line Top 25% move
Open 3.5 → 3.5 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.1 → 3.1 +0.0%
Al Hikma (Away)
Open 1.95 → 1.95 +0.0%
Books 7/7 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Reyady Abaseya (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 11.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Erovnuli Liga · kickoff in 13h 26m
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Saburtalo vs Spaeri
Saburtalo (Home) — Stable line Top 25% move
Open 1.5 → 1.5 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.75 → 3.75 +0.0%
Spaeri (Away)
Open 5.5 → 5.5 +0.0%
Books 9/9 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Saburtalo (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.4% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Virsliga · kickoff in 13h 26m
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils
Tukums (Home) — Stable line Top 25% move
Open 2.45 → 2.45 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.2 → 3.2 +0.0%
BFC Daugavpils (Away)
Open 2.45 → 2.45 +0.0%
Books 11/11 ⚠️ Volatile market Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Tukums (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.2% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led move: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Match(79) Side Open Current Move Signal Ref book Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Context Market state CLV Validation? Indicates whether the tracked price beat the final closing odds. Indicates whether the tracked price beat the final closing odds.
South Korea vs Czech Republic World Cup · Fri 02:00 Czech Republic 2.7 2.9
kickoff in 26m 		↑ +7.4%
2.7 2.9

🐢 Slow drift over 159h 55m
3.05 → 2.61 → 2.90 		⚡ Sharp-led move Bet365
Sharp-led move: SBO 		12/14
Steam Score: 55 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Largest move today Sharp repricing P30: 3.02 SBO led repricing on Czech Republic (7.4%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through.
Marconi Stallions vs Sydney FC U23 New South Wales NPL · Fri 10:00 Marconi Stallions 1.36 1.36
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line 		— Tracking Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		11/11
Steam Score: 40 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

 Top 10% move Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on Marconi Stallions — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Naftan Premier League · Fri 14:00 FC Isloch Minsk R. 1.33 1.33
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line 		— Tracking Pinnacle 6/6
Steam Score: 40 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

 Top 25% move Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on FC Isloch Minsk R. — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
Lund vs AFC Malmo Ettan - Södra · Fri 17:00 Lund 2.3 2.3
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
2.40 → 2.30 → 2.30 		— Tracking Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		10/10
Steam Score: 40 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

 — Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on Lund — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
XV de Jaú U20 vs Capivariano U20 Paulista - U20 · Fri 18:00 XV de Jaú U20 2.6 2.6
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line 		— Tracking Bet365 5/5
Steam Score: 40 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

 — Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on XV de Jaú U20 — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United Premier Division · Fri 18:45 St Patrick's Athl. 1.33 1.33
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
1.37 → 1.31 → 1.33 		— Tracking Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		14/14
Steam Score: 40 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

 — Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on St Patrick's Athl. — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs ABB Primera División · Fri 19:00 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1.57 1.57
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line 		— Tracking Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		10/10
Steam Score: 40 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

 — Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on San Antonio Bulo Bulo — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
Nacional Potosí vs Real Oruro Primera División · Fri 23:00 Nacional Potosí 1.36 1.36
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
1.38 → 1.32 → 1.36 		— Tracking Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		10/10
Steam Score: 40 B Moderate sharp signal

Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership.

 — Discovery Waiting for Close Stable line on Nacional Potosí — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup · Fri 19:00 Canada 1.8 1.85
kickoff in 17h 26m 		↑ +2.8%
1.8 1.85

🐢 Slow drift over 159h 59m
1.90 → 1.75 → 1.85 		📉 Weakening Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		10/14
Steam Score: 39 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 3% move Discovery Waiting for Close Market fading Canada (2.8%) — line drifting longer vs. open (10/14).
Juventus U20 vs Mirassol U20 Paulista - U20 · Fri 18:00 Juventus U20 2.0 2.0
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line 		— Tracking Bet365 2/2
Steam Score: 34 C Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

 — Illiquid Waiting for Close Stable line on Juventus U20 — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
Desportivo Brasil U20 vs São Caetano U20 Paulista - U20 · Fri 18:00 Desportivo Brasil U20 1.83 1.83
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line 		— Tracking Bet365 2/2
Steam Score: 34 C Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

 — Illiquid Waiting for Close Stable line on Desportivo Brasil U20 — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
XV de Piracicaba U20 vs EC São Bernardo U20 Paulista - U20 · Fri 18:00 XV de Piracicaba U20 3.2 3.2
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
3.34 → 3.20 → 3.20 		— Tracking Bet365 2/2
Steam Score: 34 C Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

 — Illiquid Waiting for Close Stable line on XV de Piracicaba U20 — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
União São João U20 vs Velo Clube U20 Paulista - U20 · Fri 18:00 União São João U20 3.1 3.1
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line 		— Tracking Bet365 2/2
Steam Score: 34 C Limited conviction

Movement is modest or fragmented — treat as tracking rather than strong steam.

 — Illiquid Waiting for Close Stable line on União São João U20 — tracking only (0.0% vs. open).
Manly United vs Sydney United New South Wales NPL · Fri 09:30 Manly United 3.7 3.7
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
4.20 → 3.30 → 3.70 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		13/13
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 10% move Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Manly United (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 24.0% — price repriced then reverted.
Brunswick City vs Eltham Redbacks FC Victoria NPL 2 · Fri 09:30 Brunswick City 2.6 2.6
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
2.68 → 2.45 → 2.60 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		11/11
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 10% move Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Brunswick City (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 9.0% — price repriced then reverted.
Kingston City vs Moreland City Victoria Premier League 2 · Fri 09:45 Kingston City 3.25 3.25
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
3.34 → 3.05 → 3.25 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		9/9
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 10% move Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Kingston City (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 9.1% — price repriced then reverted.
Campbelltown City vs West Torrens Birkalla South Australia NPL · Fri 10:00 Campbelltown City 2.62 2.62
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
2.80 → 2.35 → 2.62 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 10% move Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Campbelltown City (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 17.5% — price repriced then reverted.
Suwon FMC W vs Gumi Sportstoto W WK-League · Fri 10:00 Suwon FMC W 1.5 1.5
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
1.58 → 1.46 → 1.50 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		9/9
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% move Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Suwon FMC W (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.9% — price repriced then reverted.
Blacktown Spartans vs Bankstown City Lions New South Wales NPL 2 · Fri 10:15 Blacktown Spartans 1.91 1.91
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
1.95 → 1.75 → 1.91 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		9/9
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% move Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Blacktown Spartans (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 10.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Eastern United vs Adelaide Olympic South Australia State League 1 · Fri 10:15 Eastern United 3.2 3.2
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
3.40 → 2.95 → 3.20 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle 		10/10
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% move Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Eastern United (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 14.2% — price repriced then reverted.
Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick Juventus FC Victoria NPL 2 · Fri 10:30 Melbourne Knights 1.67 1.67
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
1.83 → 1.60 → 1.67 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		11/11
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% move Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Melbourne Knights (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 13.4% — price repriced then reverted.
Adelaide Comets vs West Adelaide South Australia NPL · Fri 11:00 Adelaide Comets 2.45 2.45
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
2.55 → 2.37 → 2.45 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% move Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Adelaide Comets (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.3% — price repriced then reverted.
Reyady Abaseya vs Al Hikma Premier League · Fri 13:00 Reyady Abaseya 3.5 3.5
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
3.60 → 3.20 → 3.50 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		7/7
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% move Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Reyady Abaseya (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 11.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Saburtalo vs Spaeri Erovnuli Liga · Fri 15:00 Saburtalo 1.5 1.5
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
1.55 → 1.44 → 1.50 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		9/9
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% move Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Saburtalo (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.4% — price repriced then reverted.
Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils Virsliga · Fri 15:00 Tukums 2.45 2.45
since pub · <1m 		+0.0%
— Stable line
2.55 → 2.42 → 2.45 		⚠️ Volatile market Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair 		11/11
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% move Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Tukums (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.2% — price repriced then reverted.
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