Market Movements - Live Market Moves
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Monitor bookmaker line movement, market consensus, and late odds shifts before kickoff.
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Nyonnais vs FC Basel 1893 | FC Basel 1893 | Stade Nyonnais ↑ +46.2% | -44.4 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Waasland-beveren vs Habay-la-Neuve | Waasland-beveren | Habay-la-Neuve ↑ +66.7% | -42.0 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Turan Turkistan vs Shakhter Karagandy | Turan Turkistan | Turan Turkistan ↑ +466.9% | -40.0 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Alashkert vs Syunik | Alashkert | Draw ↑ +4.5% | -37.4 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Chaves vs Os Marialvas | Chaves | Os Marialvas ↑ +23.1% | -36.4 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Masr vs Azam | Masr | Draw ↓ -13.4% | -36.2 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Rapperswil vs FC ST. Gallen | FC ST. Gallen | Rapperswil ↑ +18.2% | -31.6 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Oakleigh Cannons vs Sydney Olympic | Oakleigh Cannons | Draw ↑ +5.6% | -30.8 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp vs PAU | PAU | ↓ -18.9% | 🔥 Strong steam | 10/10 | Steam Score: 96 A+ |
| Yantra 2019 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Yantra 2019 | ↓ -20.0% | 🔥 Strong steam | 8/9 | Steam Score: 95 A+ |
| Vlašim vs Hanácká | Hanácká | ↓ -30.0% | 🔥 Strong steam | 7/9 | Steam Score: 92 A+ |
| Liptovský Mikuláš vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | ↓ -27.3% | 🔥 Strong steam | 7/9 | Steam Score: 92 A+ |
| Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II | Slavia Praha II | ↓ -22.7% | 🔥 Strong steam | 7/9 | Steam Score: 92 A+ |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
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| Match(217) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp vs PAU Ligue 2 · Fri 18:00 | PAU | 3.7 |
3.0
kickoff in 11h 34m |
↓ -18.9%
3.7
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 89h 16m 3.70 → 2.75 → 3.00 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -18.9%
BetVictor
↓ -12.1%
William Hill
↓ -10.8%
SBO Sharp
↓ -9.8%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -9.6%
Dafabet
↓ -8.7%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -6.5%
Betano
↓ -6.0%
Marathonbet
↓ -4.8%
1xBet
↓ -4.5%
|
Steam Score:
96
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +42/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books synchronized on PAU (18.9% steam, score 96) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Yantra 2019 vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Cup · Fri 16:00 | Yantra 2019 | 6.25 |
5.0
since pub · 6h 17m |
↓ -20.0%
6.25
5.0
↔ Gradual move over 6h 17m 7.00 → 4.59 → 5.00 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -28.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -20.0%
1xBet
↓ -8.6%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -7.1%
Marathonbet
↓ -6.4%
Betano
↓ -5.8%
BetVictor
↓ -4.5%
Dafabet
↓ -3.6%
|
Steam Score:
95
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books synchronized on Yantra 2019 (20.0% steam, score 95) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Vlašim vs Hanácká FNL · Fri 15:00 | Hanácká | 6.0 |
4.2
kickoff in 8h 34m |
↓ -30.0%
6.0
4.2
🐢 Slow drift over 53h 44m 6.09 → 4.20 → 4.20 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -30.0%
Betano
↓ -27.5%
Dafabet
↓ -26.7%
William Hill
↓ -26.7%
1xBet
↓ -26.1%
Marathonbet
↓ -24.1%
BetVictor
↓ -2.2%
|
Steam Score:
92
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest underdog steam | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books synchronized on Hanácká (30.0% steam, score 92) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Liptovský Mikuláš vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 2. liga · Fri 15:00 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 5.5 |
4.0
kickoff in 8h 34m |
↓ -27.3%
5.5
4.0
🐢 Slow drift over 48h 37m 5.50 → 3.80 → 4.00 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -27.3%
1xBet
↓ -26.8%
BetVictor
↓ -25.5%
Marathonbet
↓ -25.4%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -20.0%
Dafabet
↓ -19.2%
Betano
↓ -17.5%
|
Steam Score:
92
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books synchronized on Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom (27.3% steam, score 92) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II FNL · Fri 13:00 | Slavia Praha II | 3.75 |
2.9
kickoff in 6h 34m |
↓ -22.7%
3.75
2.9
🐢 Slow drift over 49h 11m 3.85 → 2.82 → 2.90 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -22.7%
Dafabet
↓ -20.8%
Betano
↓ -20.6%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -16.7%
William Hill
↓ -16.7%
1xBet
↓ -15.5%
Marathonbet
↓ -15.5%
|
Steam Score:
92
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books synchronized on Slavia Praha II (22.7% steam, score 92) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Supra du Quebec vs York United Canadian Premier League · Fri 23:00 | York United | 3.75 |
5.0
since pub · 21h 29m |
↑ +33.3%
3.75
5.0
🐢 Slow drift over 21h 29m 5.60 → 3.75 → 5.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +33.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +28.2%
William Hill
↑ +28.2%
Dafabet
↑ +27.3%
BetVictor
↑ +25.0%
Betano
↑ +22.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +21.2%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +18.1%
1xBet
↑ +3.7%
|
Steam Score:
89
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened York United together (33.3% drift, score 89) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë 1st Division · Fri 11:30 | FK Kukesi | 2.7 |
3.7
since pub · 23h 45m |
↑ +37.0%
2.7
3.7
🐢 Slow drift over 23h 45m 3.90 → 2.70 → 3.70 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
5/6
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +41.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +37.0%
1xBet
↑ +32.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +31.9%
Dafabet
↑ +27.3%
|
Steam Score:
84
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +25/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 5/6 books lengthened FK Kukesi together (37.0% drift, score 84) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Reims vs Dijon Ligue 2 · Fri 18:00 | Dijon | 5.0 |
4.2
kickoff in 11h 34m |
↓ -16.0%
5.0
4.2
🐢 Slow drift over 85h 19m 5.00 → 3.78 → 4.20 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
8/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -16.0%
William Hill
↓ -13.0%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -11.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -9.1%
BetVictor
↓ -3.0%
1xBet
↓ -2.5%
Betano
↓ -2.2%
Dafabet
↓ -2.2%
|
Steam Score:
83
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +35/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 8/10 books synchronized on Dijon (16.0% steam, score 83) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Waasland-beveren vs Habay-la-Neuve Cup · Fri 18:30 | Habay-la-Neuve | 9.0 |
15.0
since pub · 21h 34m |
↑ +66.7%
9.0
15.0
🐢 Slow drift over 21h 34m 17.00 → 9.00 → 15.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +66.7%
Betano
↑ +43.6%
Dafabet
↑ +36.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +21.4%
SBO Sharp
↑ +5.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +3.1%
1xBet
↑ +3.0%
|
Steam Score:
82
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Sharpest sharp-led move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Habay-la-Neuve together (66.7% drift, score 82) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Chaves vs Os Marialvas Taça de Portugal · Fri 19:00 | Os Marialvas | 6.5 |
8.0
since pub · 14h 1m |
↑ +23.1%
6.5
8.0
🐢 Slow drift over 14h 1m 10.50 → 6.50 → 8.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
6/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +23.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +8.2%
1xBet
↑ +7.7%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +6.2%
Dafabet
↑ +5.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +4.3%
|
Steam Score:
82
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 6/8 books lengthened Os Marialvas together (23.1% drift, score 82) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Doqarah vs Al Jazeera League · Fri 14:00 | Doqarah | 2.5 |
3.1
kickoff in 7h 34m |
↑ +24.0%
2.5
3.1
🐢 Slow drift over 47h 30m 3.10 → 2.49 → 3.10 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +24.0%
1xBet
↑ +18.5%
Betano
↑ +17.6%
Dafabet
↑ +17.6%
Marathonbet
↑ +15.7%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +12.9%
BetVictor
↑ +4.2%
William Hill
↑ +3.4%
|
Steam Score:
81
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Doqarah together (24.0% drift, score 81) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge Cup · Fri 18:30 | Sporting Hasselt | 3.4 |
4.0
since pub · 22h 1m |
↑ +17.6%
3.4
4.0
🐢 Slow drift over 22h 1m 4.29 → 3.40 → 4.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +17.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +11.9%
William Hill
↑ +11.8%
1xBet
↑ +11.7%
Marathonbet
↑ +11.3%
Dafabet
↑ +9.6%
Betano
↑ +5.8%
BetVictor
↑ +5.1%
|
Steam Score:
79
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +39/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Sporting Hasselt together (17.6% drift, score 79) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Stocksund vs Enköping Ettan - Norra · Fri 17:30 | Stocksund | 3.5 |
4.75
kickoff in 11h 4m |
↑ +35.7%
3.5
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 47h 30m 5.75 → 2.93 → 4.75 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/10
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +53.6%
Dafabet
↑ +52.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +44.5%
Betano
↑ +38.9%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +38.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +35.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +26.8%
William Hill
↑ +6.7%
|
Steam Score:
78
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/10 books lengthened Stocksund together (35.7% drift, score 78) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Leganes vs Cordoba Segunda División · Fri 18:30 | Cordoba | 3.1 |
2.65
kickoff in 12h 4m |
↓ -14.5%
3.1
2.65
🐢 Slow drift over 85h 42m 3.10 → 2.56 → 2.65 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -14.5%
SBO Sharp
↓ -8.9%
Betano
↓ -6.5%
Dafabet
↓ -6.5%
BetVictor
↓ -4.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -3.6%
William Hill
↓ -3.4%
Marathonbet
↓ -3.3%
1xBet
↓ -3.2%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -2.8%
|
Steam Score:
78
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Cordoba (14.5%, 10/10) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| FC Cartagena vs Europa Fc Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Fri 17:00 | Europa Fc | 4.1 |
5.25
kickoff in 10h 34m |
↑ +28.0%
4.1
5.25
🐢 Slow drift over 30h 7m 5.50 → 4.10 → 5.25 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +28.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +21.3%
1xBet
↑ +16.0%
William Hill
↑ +14.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +12.1%
Betano
↑ +5.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +5.3%
|
Steam Score:
77
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Europa Fc together (28.0% drift, score 77) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Gomora United FC vs Cape Town City 1st Division · Fri 13:30 | Cape Town City | 2.2 |
2.55
since pub · 6h 39m |
↑ +15.9%
2.2
2.55
↔ Gradual move over 6h 39m 2.66 → 2.20 → 2.55 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
7/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +15.9%
1xBet
↑ +15.2%
Dafabet
↑ +11.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +7.4%
Betano
↑ +6.2%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +3.8%
William Hill
↑ +2.0%
|
Steam Score:
75
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +35/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/8 books lengthened Cape Town City together (15.9% drift, score 75) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20 Paulista - U20 · Fri 18:00 | Sfera U20 | 4.5 |
3.9
since pub · 8h 25m |
↓ -13.3%
4.5
3.9
↔ Gradual move over 8h 25m 4.50 → 3.50 → 3.90 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
7/7
Books moving same direction
Betano
↓ -20.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -13.3%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -11.4%
BetVictor
↓ -10.3%
1xBet
↓ -10.0%
Dafabet
↓ -9.8%
Marathonbet
↓ -8.8%
|
Steam Score:
75
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +29/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Sfera U20 (13.3%, 7/7) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Popayan vs Depor FC Primera B · Fri 22:00 | Popayan | 1.6 |
2.15
kickoff in 15h 34m |
↑ +34.4%
1.6
2.15
🐢 Slow drift over 72h 1m 2.15 → 1.54 → 2.15 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +34.4%
Dafabet
↑ +33.8%
Betano
↑ +32.7%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +32.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +31.2%
1xBet
↑ +30.8%
BetVictor
↑ +23.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +22.9%
William Hill
↑ +20.6%
|
Steam Score:
74
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened Popayan together (34.4% drift, score 74) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina · Fri 22:00 | Instituto Cordoba | 2.5 |
3.2
kickoff in 15h 34m |
↑ +28.0%
2.5
3.2
🐢 Slow drift over 100h 18m 3.20 → 2.45 → 3.20 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +28.0%
Betano
↑ +11.3%
Dafabet
↑ +9.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +8.7%
1xBet
↑ +8.5%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +7.8%
BetVictor
↑ +7.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +6.9%
William Hill
↑ +6.9%
SBO Sharp
↑ +4.5%
|
Steam Score:
74
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books lengthened Instituto Cordoba together (28.0% drift, score 74) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| ABB vs Real Potosí Primera División · Fri 19:00 | Real Potosí | 2.5 |
3.0
kickoff in 12h 34m |
↑ +20.0%
2.5
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 74h 27m 3.00 → 2.39 → 3.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +18.0%
Dafabet
↑ +14.5%
William Hill
↑ +14.3%
Betano
↑ +12.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +11.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +9.6%
1xBet
↑ +8.4%
|
Steam Score:
73
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/8 books lengthened Real Potosí together (20.0% drift, score 73) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Opava vs Vysočina Jihlava FNL · Fri 16:00 | Opava | 1.95 |
2.38
kickoff in 9h 34m |
↑ +22.1%
1.95
2.38
🐢 Slow drift over 53h 45m 2.41 → 1.92 → 2.38 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +23.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +22.1%
William Hill
↑ +17.9%
1xBet
↑ +17.5%
Dafabet
↑ +15.9%
Betano
↑ +14.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +13.5%
|
Steam Score:
72
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Opava together (22.1% drift, score 72) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Heerenveen vs Excelsior Eredivisie · Fri 18:00 | Excelsior | 4.0 |
5.0
kickoff in 11h 34m |
↑ +25.0%
4.0
5.0
🐢 Slow drift over 140h 19m 5.36 → 3.78 → 5.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
10/10
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +26.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +25.0%
Betano
↑ +19.5%
Dafabet
↑ +19.5%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +15.9%
William Hill
↑ +15.4%
BetVictor
↑ +12.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +12.4%
Marathonbet
↑ +12.2%
SBO Sharp
↑ +6.6%
|
Steam Score:
69
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books lengthened Excelsior together (25.0% drift, score 69) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem FNL · Fri 16:00 | Prostějov | 2.55 |
3.0
kickoff in 9h 34m |
↑ +17.6%
2.55
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 51h 21m 3.10 → 2.53 → 3.00 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +17.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +17.6%
Dafabet
↑ +17.0%
1xBet
↑ +16.6%
William Hill
↑ +14.5%
Betano
↑ +14.2%
Marathonbet
↑ +13.8%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +8.6%
|
Steam Score:
69
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +39/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Prostějov together (17.6% drift, score 69) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Sport Huancayo vs Cusco Primera División · Fri 18:00 | Cusco | 3.0 |
4.33
kickoff in 11h 34m |
↑ +44.3%
3.0
4.33
🐢 Slow drift over 99h 52m 4.70 → 3.00 → 4.33 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
4/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +44.3%
Dafabet
↑ +13.5%
Betano
↑ +10.6%
BetVictor
↑ +5.1%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 3% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Cusco (44.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Livorno vs Grosseto Serie C - Girone B · Fri 18:30 | Grosseto | 3.1 |
3.5
since pub · 23h 45m |
↑ +12.9%
3.1
3.5
🐢 Slow drift over 23h 45m 3.61 → 2.90 → 3.50 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↑ +15.0%
1xBet
↑ +14.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +13.9%
William Hill
↑ +13.8%
BetVictor
↑ +13.3%
Betano
↑ +13.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +12.9%
Dafabet
↑ +11.1%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +10.0%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +28/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Grosseto (12.9%, 9/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
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