Market Movements - Early Sharp Moves
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
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| Match(196) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann U19 vs Fredrikstad FK U19 Nasjonal U19 Champions League · Fri 13:30 | Fredrikstad FK U19 | 3.5 |
4.75
since pub · 16h 3m |
↑ +35.7%
3.5
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 16h 3m 5.20 → 3.50 → 4.75 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
3/6
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +35.7%
Betano
↑ +26.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +4.2%
|
Steam Score:
64
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 3% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Fredrikstad FK U19 (35.7%, 3/6) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Vlašim vs Hanácká FNL · Fri 15:00 | Hanácká | 6.0 |
4.2
kickoff in 4m |
↓ -30.0%
6.0
4.2
🐢 Slow drift over 62h 1m 6.09 → 4.11 → 4.20 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
6/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -30.0%
1xBet
↓ -29.4%
Betano
↓ -27.5%
Dafabet
↓ -26.7%
William Hill
↓ -25.0%
Marathonbet
↓ -19.0%
|
Steam Score:
79
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +18/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Hanácká (30.0%, 6/10) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Mirassol vs Internacional Serie A · Fri 23:00 | Internacional | 3.0 |
3.7
kickoff in 8h 4m |
↑ +23.3%
3.0
3.7
🐢 Slow drift over 154h 43m 3.70 → 2.90 → 3.70 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
5/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +23.3%
BetVictor
↑ +13.3%
1xBet
↑ +11.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +6.1%
William Hill
↑ +3.4%
|
Steam Score:
50
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Internacional (23.3%, 5/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Verona vs Catanzaro Serie B · Fri 18:30 | Draw | 3.3 |
3.9
kickoff in 3h 34m |
↑ +18.2%
3.3
3.9
🐢 Slow drift over 83h 34m 3.90 → 3.17 → 3.90 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
5/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +18.2%
SBO Sharp
↑ +7.3%
Dafabet
↑ +4.2%
BetVictor
↑ +2.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +2.2%
|
Steam Score:
48
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +40/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Draw (18.2%, 5/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg Bundesliga · Fri 17:30 | TSV Hartberg | 8.5 |
10.0
kickoff in 2h 34m |
↑ +17.6%
8.5
10.0
🐢 Slow drift over 155h 48m 10.00 → 6.09 → 10.00 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
5/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +25.6%
SBO Sharp
↑ +23.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +17.6%
BetVictor
↑ +5.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +2.2%
|
Steam Score:
42
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +39/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on TSV Hartberg (17.6%, 5/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Ekranas vs Dainava 1 Lyga · Fri 16:00 | Ekranas | 3.7 |
4.33
kickoff in 64m |
↑ +17.0%
3.7
4.33
🐢 Slow drift over 32h 17m 6.34 → 3.70 → 4.33 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
4/8
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +33.8%
Betano
↑ +25.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +22.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +17.0%
|
Steam Score:
53
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Ekranas (17.0%, 4/8) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Stade Nyonnais vs FC Basel 1893 Schweizer Cup · Fri 18:15 | Draw | 9.0 |
7.5
since pub · 21h 34m |
↓ -16.7%
9.0
7.5
🐢 Slow drift over 21h 34m 10.00 → 5.50 → 7.50 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
6/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -16.7%
Dafabet
↓ -14.0%
BetVictor
↓ -8.3%
1xBet
↓ -3.5%
Marathonbet
↓ -3.5%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -2.3%
|
Steam Score:
73
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Draw (16.7%, 6/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Naestved vs B 93 2. Division · Fri 17:00 | B 93 | 2.15 |
2.5
since pub · 17h 17m |
↑ +16.3%
2.15
2.5
🐢 Slow drift over 17h 17m 3.39 → 2.15 → 2.50 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
5/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +16.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +11.5%
BetVictor
↑ +10.2%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +9.3%
William Hill
↑ +6.9%
|
Steam Score:
61
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +36/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on B 93 (16.3%, 5/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Alcorcon vs Huesca Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Fri 19:15 | Huesca | 3.8 |
3.2
kickoff in 4h 19m |
↓ -15.8%
3.8
3.2
🐢 Slow drift over 38h 34m 5.00 → 3.20 → 3.20 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
5/9
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -18.3%
1xBet
↓ -16.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -15.8%
William Hill
↓ -15.0%
BetVictor
↓ -7.7%
|
Steam Score:
68
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +35/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Huesca (15.8%, 5/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Sporting Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge Cup · Fri 18:30 | Sporting Hasselt | 3.4 |
3.9
kickoff in 3h 34m |
↑ +14.7%
3.4
3.9
🐢 Slow drift over 30h 24m 4.52 → 3.40 → 3.90 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +22.2%
Dafabet
↑ +17.8%
William Hill
↑ +17.6%
Betano
↑ +15.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +14.7%
1xBet
↑ +13.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +11.3%
SBO Sharp
↑ +9.9%
BetVictor
↑ +7.7%
|
Steam Score:
65
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Sporting Hasselt (14.7%, 9/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Kolding IF vs Vendsyssel FF 1. Division · Fri 17:00 | Vendsyssel FF | 3.4 |
3.9
kickoff in 2h 4m |
↑ +14.7%
3.4
3.9
🐢 Slow drift over 62h 18m 4.10 → 3.00 → 3.90 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +22.8%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +21.0%
Betano
↑ +18.5%
Dafabet
↑ +18.5%
Marathonbet
↑ +18.5%
1xBet
↑ +18.1%
BetVictor
↑ +16.9%
William Hill
↑ +15.6%
SBO Sharp
↑ +15.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +14.7%
|
Steam Score:
60
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Vendsyssel FF (14.7%, 10/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg 1. Division · Fri 17:00 | Esbjerg | 3.1 |
2.65
kickoff in 2h 4m |
↓ -14.5%
3.1
2.65
🐢 Slow drift over 59h 3m 3.18 → 2.65 → 2.65 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
8/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -14.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -8.8%
BetVictor
↓ -8.3%
William Hill
↓ -8.3%
Betano
↓ -6.5%
Dafabet
↓ -4.9%
1xBet
↓ -3.4%
Marathonbet
↓ -3.4%
|
Steam Score:
72
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Esbjerg (14.5%, 8/10) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| APR vs Zamalek SC CAF Champions League · Fri 16:00 | APR | 5.25 |
4.5
kickoff in 64m |
↓ -14.3%
5.25
4.5
🐢 Slow drift over 37h 59m 6.60 → 4.50 → 4.50 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
4/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -20.8%
1xBet
↓ -19.6%
William Hill
↓ -16.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -14.3%
|
Steam Score:
60
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on APR (14.3%, 4/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen 1. Division · Fri 17:00 | HB Koge | 2.55 |
2.2
kickoff in 2h 4m |
↓ -13.7%
2.55
2.2
🐢 Slow drift over 62h 18m 2.75 → 2.20 → 2.20 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
9/10
Books moving same direction
BetVictor
↓ -16.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -14.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -13.7%
Betano
↓ -12.0%
1xBet
↓ -10.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -10.6%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -9.8%
William Hill
↓ -8.2%
Dafabet
↓ -4.4%
|
Steam Score:
73
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +30/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on HB Koge (13.7%, 9/10) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Al Buqa'a vs Al Salt League · Fri 16:30 | Al Salt | 2.1 |
2.38
kickoff in 94m |
↑ +13.3%
2.1
2.38
🐢 Slow drift over 37h 25m 2.54 → 2.00 → 2.38 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
5/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +13.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +10.4%
Dafabet
↑ +7.8%
Betano
↑ +7.4%
BetVictor
↑ +3.5%
|
Steam Score:
49
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +29/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Al Salt (13.3%, 5/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United Pro League · Fri 13:05 | Al-Dhafra | 2.25 |
2.55
since pub · 57h 10m |
↑ +13.3%
2.25
2.55
🐢 Slow drift over 57h 10m 2.82 → 2.21 → 2.55 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +22.6%
1xBet
↑ +21.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +17.8%
William Hill
↑ +13.9%
BetVictor
↑ +13.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +13.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +11.5%
|
Steam Score:
51
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +29/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Al-Dhafra (13.3%, 7/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Livorno vs Grosseto Serie C - Girone B · Fri 18:30 | Grosseto | 3.1 |
3.5
kickoff in 3h 34m |
↑ +12.9%
3.1
3.5
🐢 Slow drift over 35h 45m 3.63 → 2.90 → 3.50 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
9/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +15.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +15.6%
Betano
↑ +15.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +14.5%
BetVictor
↑ +13.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +12.9%
William Hill
↑ +12.1%
Dafabet
↑ +11.1%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +10.0%
|
Steam Score:
61
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +28/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Grosseto (12.9%, 9/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Opatija vs Sesvete First NL · Fri 13:30 | Sesvete | 2.75 |
3.1
since pub · 59h 26m |
↑ +12.7%
2.75
3.1
🐢 Slow drift over 59h 26m 3.28 → 2.73 → 3.10 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +17.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +12.7%
BetVictor
↑ +10.7%
1xBet
↑ +7.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +7.3%
Betano
↑ +7.0%
Dafabet
↑ +6.9%
William Hill
↑ +3.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +2.0%
|
Steam Score:
56
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +28/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Sesvete (12.7%, 9/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Pohronie vs Malženice 2. liga · Fri 15:00 | Malženice | 4.0 |
3.5
kickoff in 4m |
↓ -12.5%
4.0
3.5
🐢 Slow drift over 56h 41m 5.00 → 3.30 → 3.50 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↓ -15.6%
1xBet
↓ -15.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -12.5%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -10.0%
William Hill
↓ -5.7%
Betano
↓ -5.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -4.9%
Dafabet
↓ -3.9%
|
Steam Score:
70
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +28/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Malženice (12.5%, 8/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Norwich City U21 vs West Ham United U21 Premier League 2 Division One · Fri 18:00 | West Ham United U21 | 2.05 |
2.3
since pub · 19h 44m |
↑ +12.2%
2.05
2.3
🐢 Slow drift over 19h 44m 2.35 → 2.05 → 2.30 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
4/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +12.2%
Dafabet
↑ +2.6%
Betano
↑ +2.2%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +2.2%
|
Steam Score:
48
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +27/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on West Ham United U21 (12.2%, 4/8) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Karviná vs Dukla Praha FNL · Fri 15:30 | Dukla Praha | 4.1 |
3.6
kickoff in 34m |
↓ -12.2%
4.1
3.6
🐢 Slow drift over 61h 43m 4.30 → 3.29 → 3.60 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
7/10
Books moving same direction
Betano
↓ -15.5%
Dafabet
↓ -15.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -12.2%
William Hill
↓ -10.0%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -8.5%
Marathonbet
↓ -7.2%
1xBet
↓ -7.0%
|
Steam Score:
64
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +27/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Dukla Praha (12.2%, 7/10) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Lund vs trelleborgs FF Ettan - Södra · Fri 17:00 | trelleborgs FF | 2.35 |
2.62
kickoff in 2h 4m |
↑ +11.5%
2.35
2.62
🐢 Slow drift over 53h 35m 2.80 → 2.35 → 2.62 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↑ +17.2%
Betano
↑ +12.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +11.5%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +8.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +8.3%
1xBet
↑ +6.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +5.4%
SBO Sharp
↑ +4.8%
William Hill
↑ +4.8%
|
Steam Score:
50
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +25/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on trelleborgs FF (11.5%, 9/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| RAAL La Louviere U21 vs Westerlo U21 Reserve Pro League · Fri 18:30 | RAAL La Louviere U21 | 3.5 |
3.1
since pub · 21h 51m |
↓ -11.4%
3.5
3.1
🐢 Slow drift over 21h 51m 3.60 → 3.00 → 3.10 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
3/6
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -11.4%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -8.3%
Marathonbet
↓ -4.9%
|
Steam Score:
52
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +25/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on RAAL La Louviere U21 (11.4%, 3/6) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Frosinone vs Sassuolo Serie A · Fri 18:45 | Draw | 3.5 |
3.9
kickoff in 3h 49m |
↑ +11.4%
3.5
3.9
🐢 Slow drift over 150h 55m 3.90 → 3.30 → 3.90 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +12.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +11.4%
Betano
↑ +7.2%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +7.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +7.0%
William Hill
↑ +6.1%
1xBet
↑ +5.6%
Dafabet
↑ +4.2%
SBO Sharp
↑ +4.2%
|
Steam Score:
40
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +25/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Draw (11.4%, 9/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Marsaxlokk vs Birkirkara Premier League · Fri 18:00 | Birkirkara | 2.25 |
2.5
since pub · 19h 44m |
↑ +11.1%
2.25
2.5
🐢 Slow drift over 19h 44m 2.57 → 2.25 → 2.50 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
4/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +11.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +11.1%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +7.5%
BetVictor
↑ +4.2%
|
Steam Score:
45
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +24/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Birkirkara (11.1%, 4/8) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |