Market Movements - Early Sharp Moves
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
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| Match(31) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense Copa Santa Catarina · Fri 22:30 | Marcílio Dias | 2.25 |
2.75
since pub · 22h 25m |
↑ +22.2%
2.25
2.75
🐢 Slow drift over 22h 25m 2.80 → 2.22 → 2.75 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
4/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +22.2%
Marathonbet
↑ +21.2%
1xBet
↑ +20.1%
BetVictor
↑ +20.0%
|
Steam Score:
68
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Marcílio Dias (22.2%, 4/7) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Sporting JAX vs Fort Lauderdale United W USL Super League · Fri 23:30 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 8.0 |
6.25
since pub · 11h 59m |
↓ -21.9%
8.0
6.25
↔ Gradual move over 11h 59m 9.80 → 6.25 → 6.25 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
4/6
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -21.9%
1xBet
↓ -21.4%
Marathonbet
↓ -20.7%
William Hill
↓ -12.5%
|
Steam Score:
79
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest underdog steam | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Fort Lauderdale United W (21.9%, 4/6) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Mirassol vs Internacional Serie A · Fri 23:00 | Internacional | 3.0 |
3.5
since pub · 163h 16m |
↑ +16.7%
3.0
3.5
🐢 Slow drift over 163h 16m 3.50 → 2.90 → 3.50 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
6/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +16.7%
1xBet
↑ +13.9%
BetVictor
↑ +13.3%
William Hill
↑ +12.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +11.6%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +9.1%
|
Steam Score:
45
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Internacional (16.7%, 6/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Atlanta United II vs Connecticut FC MLS Next Pro · Fri 22:00 | Atlanta United II | 1.95 |
2.15
since pub · 25h 44m |
↑ +10.3%
1.95
2.15
🐢 Slow drift over 25h 44m 2.30 → 1.95 → 2.15 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
4/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +12.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +10.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +2.7%
William Hill
↑ +2.3%
|
Steam Score:
39
C
Limited conviction
Modest lengthening — treat as drift tracking rather than steam. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +23/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Atlanta United II (10.3%, 4/8) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense Serie B · Fri 22:30 | Ponte Preta | 9.0 |
12.0
since pub · 99h 9m |
↑ +33.3%
9.0
12.0
🐢 Slow drift over 99h 9m 12.00 → 7.05 → 12.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
4/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +33.3%
William Hill
↑ +5.3%
Betano
↑ +5.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +3.9%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 10% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Ponte Preta (33.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv Persha Liga · Fri 10:00 | Metal Kharkiv | 3.6 |
4.0
since pub · 21h 7m |
↑ +11.1%
3.6
4.0
🐢 Slow drift over 21h 7m 4.00 → 3.60 → 4.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
3/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +11.1%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +11.1%
Dafabet
↑ +2.6%
|
Steam Score:
44
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +24/45
Book synchronization: +13/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Top 25% move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Metal Kharkiv (11.1%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Club Tijuana U21 vs Puebla U21 Liga MX U21 · Fri 22:45 | Club Tijuana U21 | 1.83 |
2.0
since pub · 25h 4m |
↑ +9.3%
1.83
2.0
🐢 Slow drift over 25h 4m 2.07 → 1.75 → 2.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
1/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +9.3%
|
Steam Score:
27
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +20/45
Book synchronization: +3/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Club Tijuana U21 (9.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Deportivo Recoleta vs Rubio NU Division Profesional - Clausura · Fri 22:20 | Deportivo Recoleta | 2.4 |
2.55
since pub · 91h 15m |
↑ +6.2%
2.4
2.55
🐢 Slow drift over 91h 15m 2.79 → 2.40 → 2.55 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +9.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +6.2%
Betano
↑ +3.9%
William Hill
↑ +3.8%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +3.7%
|
Steam Score:
41
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +14/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Deportivo Recoleta (6.2%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC Serie B · Fri 23:30 | Sport Recife | 2.25 |
2.35
since pub · 99h 9m |
↑ +4.4%
2.25
2.35
🐢 Slow drift over 99h 9m 2.75 → 2.25 → 2.35 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
8/10
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +16.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +15.7%
1xBet
↑ +14.7%
Dafabet
↑ +7.0%
BetVictor
↑ +6.7%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +6.7%
Betano
↑ +6.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +4.4%
|
Steam Score:
45
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +10/45
Book synchronization: +24/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Pinnacle led repricing on Sport Recife (4.4%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane CAF Champions League · Fri 16:00 | Draw | 6.08 |
5.82
since pub · 160h 36m |
↓ -4.3%
6.08
5.82
🐢 Slow drift over 160h 36m 6.08 → 5.82 → 5.82 |
↗ Market support | 1xBet |
1/1
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -4.3%
|
Steam Score:
46
C
Limited conviction
Noticeable line movement, though without clear sharp-book leadership. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence signal — treat as tracking only.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +10/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
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— | Illiquid | Waiting for Close | Market support on Draw (4.3%) — 1/1 books shortening the line. |
| Cerro vs Cerro Largo Primera División - Apertura · Fri 22:00 | Cerro | 2.35 |
2.3
since pub · 92h 31m |
↓ -2.1%
2.35
2.3
— Stable line 2.47 → 2.18 → 2.30 |
↗ Market support |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Marathonbet
↓ -8.4%
1xBet
↓ -8.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -8.1%
BetVictor
↓ -7.6%
Betano
↓ -4.9%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -3.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -2.1%
|
Steam Score:
39
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +5/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Discovery | Waiting for Close | Market support on Cerro (2.1%) — 7/9 books shortening the line. |
| Popayan vs Depor FC Primera B · Fri 22:00 | Popayan | 1.6 |
2.15
since pub · 87h 18m |
↑ +34.4%
1.6
2.15
🐢 Slow drift over 87h 18m 2.16 → 1.54 → 2.15 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +34.4%
Dafabet
↑ +33.8%
Betano
↑ +32.7%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +32.3%
Marathonbet
↑ +31.2%
1xBet
↑ +30.8%
BetVictor
↑ +23.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +23.4%
William Hill
↑ +20.6%
|
Steam Score:
74
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened Popayan together (34.4% drift, score 74) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina · Fri 22:00 | Instituto Cordoba | 2.5 |
3.0
since pub · 117h 17m |
↑ +20.0%
2.5
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 117h 17m 3.14 → 2.45 → 3.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +13.8%
SBO Sharp
↑ +12.2%
Dafabet
↑ +11.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +11.7%
1xBet
↑ +11.4%
Betano
↑ +11.3%
William Hill
↑ +10.7%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +7.8%
BetVictor
↑ +7.7%
|
Steam Score:
73
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Highest consensus move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books lengthened Instituto Cordoba together (20.0% drift, score 73) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Sportivo Carapeguá vs Resistencia Division Intermedia · Fri 22:00 | Resistencia | 2.8 |
3.0
since pub · 17h 26m |
↑ +7.1%
2.8
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 17h 26m 3.06 → 2.75 → 3.00 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
3/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +7.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +4.9%
1xBet
↑ +4.8%
|
Steam Score:
28
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +16/45
Book synchronization: +10/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Resistencia (swing 3.06 → 2.75 → 3.00) — net 7.1% but intraday chop is elevated. |
| Santa Fe vs Jaguares Primera A · Fri 01:05 | Draw | 4.1 |
4.33
since pub · 1259h 6m |
↑ +5.6%
4.1
4.33
🐢 Slow drift over 1259h 6m 5.06 → 4.05 → 4.33 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
5/11
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +8.2%
Dafabet
↑ +7.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +5.6%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +5.4%
SBO Sharp
↑ +2.5%
|
Steam Score:
32
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +12/45
Book synchronization: +14/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 5.06 → 4.05 → 4.33) — net 5.6% but intraday chop is elevated. |
| Supra du Quebec vs York United Canadian Premier League · Fri 23:00 | York United | 3.75 |
3.8
since pub · 37h 44m |
↑ +1.3%
3.75
3.8
— Stable line 5.70 → 3.50 → 3.80 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +31.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +28.2%
Dafabet
↑ +27.3%
Betano
↑ +22.7%
BetVictor
↑ +2.5%
|
Steam Score:
26
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +3/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on York United (1.3%), but intraday swing reached 1.3% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC FKF Premier League · Fri 12:00 | Kenya Police | 1.75 |
1.75
since pub · 34h 14m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 1.75 → 1.62 → 1.75 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity | Bet365 |
4/4
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +1.2%
Marathonbet
↑ +1.2%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
28
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Kenya Police (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.7% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab Pro League · Fri 18:00 | Al-Ittihad FC | 1.75 |
1.75
since pub · 22h 15m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 1.95 → 1.69 → 1.75 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: SBO |
2/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
SBO Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
1
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +7/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Al-Ittihad FC (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 14.3% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Carolina Ascent W vs DC Power W USL Super League · Fri 23:30 | Carolina Ascent W | 1.9 |
1.9
since pub · 11h 59m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.02 → 1.80 → 1.90 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
6/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
Betano
+0.0%
Dafabet
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
William Hill
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
22
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Carolina Ascent W (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 11.5% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Colón vs Sportivo Huracan Segunda División · Fri 23:00 | Colón | 2.05 |
2.05
since pub · 9h 29m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.11 → 1.91 → 2.05 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
5/6
Books moving same direction
1xBet
+0.0%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
25
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +25/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Colón (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 10.0% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FKF Premier League · Fri 12:00 | Nairobi United | 2.2 |
2.2
since pub · 34h 14m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.21 → 2.10 → 2.20 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity | Bet365 |
4/4
Books moving same direction
1xBet
+0.0%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
28
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Nairobi United (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.1% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Tritons Vallarta vs H2O Purepechas Primera Premier · Fri 16:00 | Tritons Vallarta | 2.25 |
2.25
since pub · 17h 24m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.32 → 2.16 → 2.25 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity | Bet365 |
5/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Betano
+0.0%
Dafabet
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
William Hill
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
19
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Tritons Vallarta (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.1% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Ulinzi Stars vs Migori Youth FKF Premier League · Fri 12:00 | Ulinzi Stars | 2.5 |
2.5
since pub · 34h 14m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 2.53 → 2.38 → 2.50 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity | Bet365 |
4/4
Books moving same direction
1xBet
+0.0%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
28
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Ulinzi Stars (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.1% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Heroes de Zaci 2 vs Deportivo Ayense Liga Premier Serie B · Fri 22:00 | Heroes de Zaci 2 | 3.4 |
3.4
since pub · 17h 23m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 3.64 → 3.40 → 3.40 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity | Bet365 |
4/4
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +1.7%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
William Hill
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
28
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Heroes de Zaci 2 (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted. |
| Unirea Bascov vs Vulturii Fărcăşeşti Liga III - Serie 6 · Fri 12:00 | Unirea Bascov | 4.0 |
4.0
since pub · 5h 59m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 4.45 → 3.43 → 4.00 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity | Bet365 |
5/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
BetVictor
+0.0%
Betano
+0.0%
Dafabet
+0.0%
Marathonbet
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
21
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 40% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Unirea Bascov (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 25.9% — price repriced then reverted. |
