Stevenage Predictions & Analysis

England Founded: 1976 STE

Overperforming Attack Home Fortress

AI Betting Profile

Stevenage have outperformed their expected goals recently, averaging 1.24 xG but scoring 1.7 goals per game with clinical finishing. Home form has been stronger (80% home win rate vs 40% away), scoring 1.6 goals per game at home.

Performance Insights

Finishing Edge — 1.24 xG vs 1.7 goals/game (+0.46 above expected)
Home Strength — 80% home win rate, scoring 1.6 goals/game at home
Balanced Totals — 50% Over / 50% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 40% both teams scored in last 10 matches

Explore Stevenage's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

W D L W L

Win Rate

60%

Record (Last 10)

6W 1D 3L

Upcoming Predictions (2)

Upcoming Stevenage Matches

England. EFL Trophy (1)

Nov 10

19:00

Stevenage

45% 25% 30% PREDICTION

Fulham U21

1.85 : 1.50

xG:

1.85 : 1.50

England. League One (1)

Nov 14

15:00

Stevenage

27% 28% 45% PREDICTION

Mansfield Town

1.15 : 1.54

xG:

1.15 : 1.54

Recent Results & Statistics for Stevenage (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Stevenage Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 17

Goals Conceded 9

Avg. Goals Scored 1.7

Avg. Goals Conceded 0.9

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 6

Draws 1

Losses 3

Win Rate 60%

Home (5) 4W 0D 1L

Away (5) 2W 1D 2L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 50%

Under 2.5 Rate 50%

BTTS Rate 40%

Avg. Total Goals 2.6

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 5/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with performance insights above.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 50% (5/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 60%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 50%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 50%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 5 out of 10 recent Stevenage matches, achieving a 50% accuracy rate. Interestingly, the model achieves higher accuracy on away games (60%) than home matches (40%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 50%

Home Accuracy 40%

Away Accuracy 60%

Attacking Trends

Stevenage average 1.7 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 13.1 shots per game with 4.6 on target (35.1% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 1.24 against 1.7 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. Their 46% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.7

Avg. Shots 13.1

Shot Accuracy 35.1%

Avg. xG 1.24

Possession 46%

Home vs Away Performance

Stevenage show a strong home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 80% home win rate (4W) vs 40% away (2W). At home, they score 1.6 goals/game and concede 0.6, while away they score 1.8 and concede 1.2. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 80%

Away Win Rate 40%

Home Goals/Game 1.6

Away Goals/Game 1.8

Goal Distribution

Stevenage's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 43% coming before half-time and 57% after. Their most dangerous period is the 16-30 minute window, accounting for 27% of goals.

0-15'

27%

16-30'

10%

31-45'

23%

46-60'

10%

61-75'

23%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 43%

2nd Half Goals 57%

Peak Period 16-30 min (27%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Stevenage's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.6 (scored 1.7 + conceded 0.9). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 40% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%

Under 2.5 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.6

BTTS Rate 40%