Market Movements - Did the move survive to close?
Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.
Descriptive market replay only — not AI picks, steam signals, or a betting strategy. Replay ROI assumes 1 unit flat on that side at the opening line.
Each row tracks the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move. CLV compares that side's opening line to the captured closing line; Replay ROI is a flat 1-unit backtest on that side only — for market-behavior review, not strategy performance.
Historical pattern performance
Steam Score 85+
— samples
Held to close: 71%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
A+ Sharp repricing
— samples
Held to close: 64%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Sharp-led moves
— samples
Held to close: 40%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
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| Match(1) | Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. | Opening | Closing | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | Held to close | Outcome | Score | Market depth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo CONMEBOL Libertadores · Fri 00:30 | Estudiantes L.P. | 3.4 | — | — | ? No close data | L | 0-0 |
Steam Score
44
B
Market Breadth
10/10
Sharp-led move
Betfair
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