Today's Summary
3
Significant Movements
Avg Move
4.8%
Market Movement - England - Professional Development League
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 3 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 4.8% move).
- Strongest steam: Peterborough United U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 (2.8%, 6 books).
- 1 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★★
☆☆
Mixed signals
Moderate liquidity · Mixed consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 75% shortening · 25% lengtheningModerate
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↓ -7.9%
- 2 ↑ +5.6%
- 3 ↓ -3.0%
Biggest Steam
-
Charlton Athletic U21 vs Millwall U21 ↓ -7.9% Steam 27
-
2
Coventry City U21 vs Colchester United U21 ↑ +5.6% Steam 22
-
3
Wigan Athletic U21 vs Huddersfield Town U21 ↓ -3.0% Steam 10
Highest Breadth
-
1
Charlton Athletic U21 vs Millwall U21 ↓ -7.9% 2/6
-
2
Coventry City U21 vs Colchester United U21 ↑ +5.6% 2/6
-
3
Wigan Athletic U21 vs Huddersfield Town U21 ↓ -3.0% 1/6
Most Books Agree
- 1
- 2
- 3
Fastest Odds Change
- 1
- 2
- 3
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City U21 vs Colchester United U21 | Coventry City U21 | Draw ↑ +5.6% | -21.0 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Charlton Athletic U21 vs Millwall U21 | Charlton Athletic U21 | Millwall U21 ↓ -7.9% | -16.7 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Peterborough United U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 | Peterborough United U21 | Fleetwood Town U21 ↓ -2.8% | -12.5 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Wigan Athletic U21 vs Huddersfield Town U21 | Huddersfield Town U21 | Draw ↓ -3.0% | -11.2 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterborough United U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 | Fleetwood Town U21 | ↓ -2.8% | ↗ Market support | 6/6 | Steam Score: 47 B |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(4) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterborough United U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 Professional Development League · Tue 12:00 | Fleetwood Town U21 | 3.6 |
3.5
since pub · 12h 9m |
↓ -2.8%
3.6
3.5
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 9m 3.80 → 3.33 → 3.50 |
↗ Market support |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/6
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -11.8%
William Hill
↓ -5.6%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -5.4%
Marathonbet
↓ -5.0%
1xBet
↓ -4.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -2.8%
|
Steam Score:
47
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +6/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Highest consensus move | Discovery | Waiting for Close | Market support on Fleetwood Town U21 (2.8%) — 6/6 books shortening the line. |
| Charlton Athletic U21 vs Millwall U21 Professional Development League · Tue 12:00 | Millwall U21 | 3.8 |
3.5
since pub · 12h 9m |
↓ -7.9%
3.8
3.5
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 9m 4.20 → 3.50 → 3.50 |
⚠️ Volatile market |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
2/6
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -8.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -7.9%
|
Steam Score:
27
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +17/45
Book synchronization: +10/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest move today | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Millwall U21 (swing 4.20 → 3.50 → 3.50) — net 7.9% but intraday chop is elevated. |
| Coventry City U21 vs Colchester United U21 Professional Development League · Tue 12:00 | Draw | 4.5 |
4.75
since pub · 12h 9m |
↑ +5.6%
4.5
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 9m 5.10 → 4.40 → 4.75 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
2/6
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +5.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +2.0%
|
Steam Score:
22
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +12/45
Book synchronization: +10/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 5.10 → 4.40 → 4.75) — net 5.6% but intraday chop is elevated. |
| Wigan Athletic U21 vs Huddersfield Town U21 Professional Development League · Tue 12:00 | Draw | 4.33 |
4.2
since pub · 12h 9m |
↓ -3.0%
4.33
4.2
🐢 Slow drift over 12h 9m 4.50 → 3.80 → 4.20 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
1/6
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -3.0%
|
Steam Score:
10
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +7/45
Book synchronization: +5/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 4.50 → 3.80 → 4.20) — net 3.0% but intraday chop is elevated. |
