Market Movement - Scotland - Challenge Cup
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United (23.5%).
Today's Market Health
Low liquidity · Mixed consensus · Reliable closing data
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 0 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 1 fixtures with CLV dataActive
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forfar Athletic vs Formartine United Challenge Cup · Tue 18:45 | Draw | 3.4 |
4.2
kickoff in 16h 15m |
↑ +23.5%
3.4
4.2
🐢 Slow drift over 884h 4.20 → 3.06 → 4.20 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
5/13
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +23.5%
1xBet
↑ +8.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +5.7%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +5.6%
BetVictor
↑ +4.2%
|
Steam Score:
72
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +4/8
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | P1: 3.33 · P10: 3.33 · P30: 3.65 | Bet365 led repricing on Draw (23.5%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |