Statistics / Football / Netherlands. Eredivisie

Netherlands Netherlands Eredivisie Statistics (36)

Predictions

Eredivisie 2025/26 Season Overview

08-08
100%
05-17
  • League goals trend: Average goals per match 3.18
  • Home win rate: About 45%
  • Away win rate: About 30%
  • BTTS rate (both teams to score): About 62%
  • Over 2.5 average hit rate: About 62%
  • Most attacking teams: PSV Eindhoven
  • Best defensive teams: Ajax / Twente
Netherlands Netherlands. Eredivisie (36)
xG Accuracy
May 17
12:30
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
3 1.94 3 0.68
NAC Breda NAC Breda
40%
May 17
12:30
Heracles Heracles
1 1.36 2 1.77
Groningen Groningen
85%
May 17
12:30
Utrecht Utrecht
2 2.37 0 1.06
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
68%
May 17
12:30
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
2 2.25 1 1.14
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
90%
May 17
12:30
FC Volendam FC Volendam
1 1.48 2 1.42
Telstar Telstar
75%
May 17
12:30
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
0 1.17 2 1.63
Feyenoord Feyenoord
66%
May 17
12:30
Heerenveen Heerenveen
0 1.68 0 1.37
Ajax Ajax
43%
May 17
12:30
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
2 1.43 3 1.42
Excelsior Excelsior
55%
May 17
12:30
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
5 1.87 1 1.07
Twente Twente
42%
May 11
12:30
NAC Breda NAC Breda
2 1.17 0 1.57
Heerenveen Heerenveen
52%
May 10
14:45
Feyenoord Feyenoord
1 1.54 1 1.27
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
80%
May 10
14:45
Groningen Groningen
2 1.73 1 1.62
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
78%
May 10
14:45
Telstar Telstar
3 2.20 0 1.10
Heracles Heracles
59%
May 10
14:45
Twente Twente
4 1.74 0 0.83
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
43%
May 10
14:45
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
3 1.72 2 1.41
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
60%
May 10
14:45
Ajax Ajax
1 1.60 2 1.29
Utrecht Utrecht
70%
May 10
14:45
Excelsior Excelsior
1 2.05 1 1.02
FC Volendam FC Volendam
74%
May 10
14:45
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
1 1.22 4 2.01
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
54%
May 03
14:45
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
2 1.57 2 1.19
Twente Twente
71%
May 03
14:45
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
2 1.46 2 1.07
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
67%
May 03
12:30
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
1 1.33 2 1.75
Feyenoord Feyenoord
85%
May 03
12:30
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
1 2.16 0 1.18
Heracles Heracles
52%
May 03
10:15
FC Volendam FC Volendam
0 1.40 2 1.79
Heerenveen Heerenveen
64%
May 02
19:00
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
1 2.10 1 1.24
Telstar Telstar
69%
May 02
18:00
Ajax Ajax
2 1.50 2 1.49
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
76%
May 02
16:45
Groningen Groningen
2 2.27 3 1.36
Excelsior Excelsior
59%
May 02
14:30
Utrecht Utrecht
2 1.56 0 0.96
NAC Breda NAC Breda
68%
Apr 26
12:30
Heracles Heracles
0 1.66 2 1.64
FC Volendam FC Volendam
57%
Apr 26
10:15
Excelsior Excelsior
5 1.32 0 1.85
Utrecht Utrecht
22%
Apr 25
19:00
Twente Twente
1 1.86 1 1.29
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
73%
Apr 25
18:00
NAC Breda NAC Breda
0 1.03 2 1.22
Ajax Ajax
61%
Apr 25
16:45
Heerenveen Heerenveen
2 2.05 1 1.59
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
84%
Apr 25
14:30
Feyenoord Feyenoord
3 1.92 1 1.58
Groningen Groningen
63%
Apr 23
19:00
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
6 2.80 1 1.28
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
38%
Apr 23
16:45
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
0 1.26 0 2.12
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
40%
Apr 22
18:00
Telstar Telstar
4 1.59 1 1.35
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
47%

Netherlands Eredivisie Betting & Prediction Guides

Want to understand how AI identifies value in Netherlands Eredivisie matches? Explore our strategy guides:

Eredivisie Predictions FAQ

Q1: How does the probability structure and frequency of upsets in the 2025/26 Netherlands Eredivisie compare to other major European leagues? ▼
The 2025/26 Netherlands Eredivisie is structurally more volatile than most European leagues, driven by a staggering 3.21 goals per game. This offensive explosion creates a landscape where traditional defensive metrics often fail to predict outcomes. With a home win rate of 46% against a 30% away rate, the 16% gap indicates a significant home-field bias that shapes the probability of upsets compared to more balanced competitions.

While home favorites often dominate, the league’s high-scoring nature means leads are rarely safe. Analysts must remember that probability is not certainty, and high-octane environments naturally increase variance. Consistent success requires disciplined risk management and an understanding that even the strongest statistical trends can shift during the season.
Q2: What defines the Over/Under and BTTS structure for the Netherlands Eredivisie during the 2025/26 season? ▼
The Netherlands Eredivisie is structurally more aggressive than typical top-flight competitions, evidenced by a 64% BTTS rate. This makes "Both Teams to Score" a defining feature of the 2025/26 season, as clean sheets are far less common than in more defensive leagues. With Over 2.5 goals occurring in 62% of matches, the league functions as a high-octane outlier where attacking play is consistently prioritized over tactical pragmatism.

This 62% Over 2.5 rate creates a goal market where the "Over" is the baseline expectation. However, bettors must account for the reality that past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Sustainable strategies rely on assessing team-specific matchups rather than blind trend-following.
Q3: How does the 2025/26 Netherlands Eredivisie data profile shape the odds structure and where can analytical models find specific edges? ▼
Because the 2025/26 Eredivisie maintains a 16% gap between home (46%) and away (30%) wins, the odds often inflate the cost of backing home favorites, creating value on away picks when visiting teams possess strong counter-attacking profiles. The 64% BTTS frequency and 3.21 goals per game compress the odds on high-scoring outcomes, making "No" on BTTS a contrarian position that reflects the league's extreme offensive identity.

Edges are found by identifying defensive outliers in a league where 62% of games exceed 2.5 goals. Tracking team-specific deviations from these high averages allows for more precise forecasting. Remember that probability does not equate to certainty; rigorous risk management is essential when navigating these goal-heavy markets.
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