Lebanon Premier League Statistics (24)

Market Movements Predictions

Premier League 2025/26 Season Overview

09-19

Round 6 / 22

04-19

League goals trend: Average goals per match 2.47
Home win rate: About 45%
Away win rate: About 35%
BTTS rate (both teams to score): About 34%
Over 2.5 average hit rate: About 44%
Most attacking teams: Al Ansar
Best defensive teams: Al Nejmeh

Lebanon. Premier League (24)

xG Accuracy

Feb 27

19:00

Tadamon Sour

1 1.49 0 1.23

Jwaaya FC

62%

Feb 22

14:00

Al Ansar

3 1.49 0 1.23

Shabab Al Sahel

47%

Feb 21

18:30

Al Nejmeh

4 1.49 0 1.23

Reyady Abaseya

36%

Feb 21

14:00

Al Mabarrah

0 1.49 2 1.23

Jwaaya FC

54%

Feb 21

12:15

Al Ahed

0 1.49 0 1.23

Tadamon Sour

47%

Feb 20

12:15

Safa

2 1.49 0 1.23

Racing

62%

Feb 17

12:15

Al Ansar

1 1.49 2 1.23

Reyady Abaseya

71%

Feb 16

12:15

Al Hikma

2 1.49 1 1.23

Shabab Al Sahel

82%

Feb 15

12:15

Racing

0 1.49 4 1.23

Jwaaya FC

31%

Feb 15

12:15

Al Mabarrah

1 1.49 0 1.23

Al Ahed

62%

Feb 13

14:00

Safa

0 1.49 1 1.23

Al Ansar

62%

Feb 13

12:15

Reyady Abaseya

1 1.49 1 1.23

Tadamon Sour

82%

Feb 08

12:15

Racing

0 1.49 6 1.23

Al Ansar

18%

Feb 07

14:00

Shabab Al Sahel

1 1.49 1 1.23

Al Nejmeh

82%

Feb 07

12:15

Reyady Abaseya

0 1.49 0 1.23

Al Mabarrah

47%

Feb 06

14:00

Jwaaya FC

0 1.49 1 1.23

Al Ahed

62%

Feb 06

12:15

Al Hikma

1 1.49 2 1.23

Safa

71%

Feb 01

12:15

Racing

0 1.49 2 1.23

Al Ahed

54%

Feb 01

12:15

Jwaaya FC

0 1.49 0 1.23

Reyady Abaseya

47%

Jan 31

14:00

Safa

1 1.49 0 1.23

Al Nejmeh

62%

Jan 31

12:15

Tadamon Sour

1 1.49 2 1.23

Shabab Al Sahel

71%

Jan 25

12:15

Al Nejmeh

0 1.49 0 1.23

Al Ansar

47%

Jan 24

14:00

Al Ahed

0 1.49 1 1.23

Reyady Abaseya

62%

Jan 24

12:15

Safa

2 1.49 0 1.23

Tadamon Sour

62%

Lebanon Premier League Betting & Prediction Guides

Want to understand how AI identifies value in Lebanon Premier League matches? Explore our strategy guides:

Double Chance Strategy Guide - Learn when 1X or X2 markets offer lower-risk value.
Over 2.5 Explained - Understand how xG and goal distribution impact total goals markets.
Lebanon Premier League xG Betting Guide - Discover how expected goals reveal hidden trends.
AI Prediction Accuracy Report - Review long-term performance and model methodology.

Premier League Predictions FAQ

Q1: What defines the probability structure and upset patterns in the Lebanon Premier League 2025/26? ▼

The Lebanon Premier League 2025/26 presents a remarkably flat competitive landscape compared to typical European top-flight competitions. While most leagues exhibit a significant home-field bias, Lebanon’s 41% home win rate sits just marginally above the 38% away win rate. This narrow 3% gap suggests that venue familiarity is secondary to tactical execution, making traditional "home fortress" narratives less reliable here than in more lopsided leagues.

Upset patterns are driven by this parity, as visiting teams are nearly as likely to secure maximum points as their hosts. However, probability is never a certainty, and the league’s low 2.23 goals per game average means single-goal margins often decide outcomes. Risk management is essential when navigating these tight spreads, as the margin between a favorite’s victory and a stalemate remains razor-thin across the season.

Q2: How does the Over/Under and BTTS structure characterize the Lebanon Premier League 2025/26? ▼

Unlike the high-scoring surges seen in the Bundesliga or Eredivisie, the Lebanon Premier League 2025/26 is defined by a rigid defensive identity. With a Both Teams to Score (BTTS) rate of only 30%, matches are structurally predisposed toward clean sheets or one-sided scorelines. This low BTTS profile reveals a league where early goals often lead to tactical retreats rather than end-to-end shootouts, creating a stark contrast to more offensive-minded divisions.

The goal markets reflect this austerity, as Over 2.5 goals occurs in just 40% of fixtures. This makes the Lebanon Premier League one of the most consistently "Under" oriented competitions in the region. Analysts should prioritize defensive stability over offensive flair, though long-term EV depends on recognizing when specific matchups might deviate from this 2.23 goals per game norm. Always remember that past performance does not guarantee future results.

Q3: How does the specific data profile of the Lebanon Premier League 2025/26 shape its odds structure? ▼

The statistical fingerprint of the Lebanon Premier League 2025/26 creates a unique odds structure, particularly regarding the 30% BTTS rate. Because goals are scarce, the odds on "Both Teams to Score: No" are frequently compressed, forcing models to find edges by identifying rare offensive outbursts. Furthermore, the tiny 3% gap between home and away wins prevents the typical inflation of home-side prices, resulting in more balanced 1X2 lines than one might find in most Western leagues.

With Over 2.5 landing at 40%, the goal lines are consistently tight, often centered around low totals. Analytical models find utility by focusing on team-specific defensive metrics that deviate from the 2.23 goals per game average. While these data points offer a roadmap, disciplined risk management is vital. Even the strongest statistical trends are subject to variance, and probability remains a tool for assessment rather than a guarantee of success.