Statistics / Football / Portugal. Segunda Liga

Portugal Portugal Segunda Liga Statistics (39)

Predictions

Segunda Liga 2025/26 Season Overview

08-09
100%
05-17
  • League goals trend: Average goals per match 2.45
  • Home win rate: About 42%
  • Away win rate: About 34%
  • BTTS rate (both teams to score): About 47%
  • Over 2.5 average hit rate: About 45%
  • Most attacking teams: Academico Viseu
  • Best defensive teams: Maritimo
Portugal Portugal. Segunda Liga (39)
xG Accuracy
May 17
19:30
Pacos Ferreira Pacos Ferreira
2 1.25 1 0.95
Penafiel Penafiel
80%
May 17
19:30
Portimonense Portimonense
1 1.25 0 0.95
Farense Farense
72%
May 17
17:00
Leixoes Leixoes
2 1.34 1 0.80
Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
79%
May 17
14:30
União de Leiria União de Leiria
2 1.25 2 0.95
Feirense Feirense
61%
May 17
10:00
Oliveirense Oliveirense
1 1.25 5 0.95
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
31%
May 16
10:00
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
0 1.25 0 0.95
Sporting CP B Sporting CP B
55%
May 16
10:00
Torreense Torreense
4 1.25 0 0.95
Vizela Vizela
36%
May 15
18:00
Maritimo Maritimo
1 1.25 3 0.95
Chaves Chaves
53%
May 15
17:00
FC Porto B FC Porto B
2 1.25 0 0.95
Benfica B Benfica B
63%
May 09
19:30
Vizela Vizela
1 1.25 0 0.95
União de Leiria União de Leiria
72%
May 09
19:30
Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
1 1.25 2 0.95
Torreense Torreense
70%
May 09
19:30
Benfica B Benfica B
0 1.25 2 0.95
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
53%
May 09
14:30
Farense Farense
1 1.25 1 0.95
Pacos Ferreira Pacos Ferreira
92%
May 09
14:30
Sporting CP B Sporting CP B
0 1.25 1 0.95
FC Porto B FC Porto B
70%
May 09
14:30
Feirense Feirense
1 1.25 2 0.95
Oliveirense Oliveirense
70%
May 09
14:30
Penafiel Penafiel
1 1.13 0 1.01
Maritimo Maritimo
73%
May 09
14:30
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
1 1.25 1 0.95
Portimonense Portimonense
92%
May 09
14:30
Chaves Chaves
1 1.21 2 0.85
Leixoes Leixoes
69%
May 04
17:00
Torreense Torreense
3 1.18 2 1.03
Penafiel Penafiel
46%
May 04
17:00
FC Porto B FC Porto B
1 1.29 0 1.28
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
65%
May 03
14:30
União de Leiria União de Leiria
0 1.25 3 0.95
Farense Farense
40%
May 03
13:00
Pacos Ferreira Pacos Ferreira
1 1.25 2 0.95
Feirense Feirense
70%
May 03
10:00
Portimonense Portimonense
3 1.25 2 0.95
Chaves Chaves
46%
May 02
13:00
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
0 1.39 0 0.71
Vizela Vizela
56%
May 02
10:00
Oliveirense Oliveirense
0 1.35 0 0.98
Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
53%
May 01
19:30
Sporting CP B Sporting CP B
0 1.25 1 0.95
Benfica B Benfica B
70%
May 01
14:30
Maritimo Maritimo
3 1.17 2 0.81
Leixoes Leixoes
44%
Apr 28
17:00
Feirense Feirense
0 1.45 0 1.25
Torreense Torreense
48%
Apr 27
17:00
Chaves Chaves
2 1.47 1 1.09
Oliveirense Oliveirense
84%
Apr 26
17:00
Benfica B Benfica B
1 1.45 2 1.25
Maritimo Maritimo
72%
Apr 26
14:30
Penafiel Penafiel
3 1.39 0 1.18
FC Porto B FC Porto B
46%
Apr 26
13:00
Vizela Vizela
1 1.33 0 1.20
Sporting CP B Sporting CP B
66%
Apr 26
10:00
Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
2 1.40 0 1.12
Pacos Ferreira Pacos Ferreira
62%
Apr 25
17:00
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
2 1.38 1 1.22
União de Leiria União de Leiria
79%
Apr 25
13:00
Farense Farense
0 1.45 0 1.25
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
48%
Apr 25
10:00
Leixoes Leixoes
2 1.41 0 1.17
Portimonense Portimonense
62%
Apr 22
17:00
Oliveirense Oliveirense
3 1.19 0 1.75
Benfica B Benfica B
38%
Apr 20
17:45
FC Porto B FC Porto B
0 1.18 3 1.35
Leixoes Leixoes
46%
Apr 20
17:45
Sporting CP B Sporting CP B
0 1.25 1 1.18
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
68%

Portugal Segunda Liga Betting & Prediction Guides

Want to understand how AI identifies value in Portugal Segunda Liga matches? Explore our strategy guides:

Segunda Liga Predictions FAQ

Q1: What defines the probability structure and upset patterns in the Portugal Segunda Liga during the 2025/26 season? ▼
The Portugal Segunda Liga 2025/26 presents a remarkably flat probability structure compared to the steep home-bias seen in the Portuguese top flight. With a home win rate of just 40% against an away win rate of 34%, the traditional "home fortress" narrative is less reliable here. This narrow 6% gap suggests that travel and local support carry less weight, leading to a league where favorites are frequently challenged regardless of the venue.

Upset patterns are driven by this parity, as the 34% away win rate is significantly higher than many European second tiers. While probability never guarantees a specific outcome, the proximity between home and away performance creates a volatile environment where visiting sides hold substantial weight. Success in this league requires rigorous risk management and a focus on long-term edge rather than chasing heavy favorites.
Q2: How does the Over/Under and BTTS structure in the 2025/26 Portugal Segunda Liga differ from other European second divisions? ▼
In the 2025/26 Portugal Segunda Liga, the scoring profile is structurally more conservative than high-octane leagues like the Dutch Eerste Divisie. A 43% Over 2.5 rate identifies this as a league defined by tactical caution and defensive organization. With goals averaging 2.47 per game, matches often hinge on a single moment of brilliance rather than end-to-end chaos. This lower ceiling for scoring makes the "Under" market a focal point for those analyzing match flow.

The BTTS rate sits at a balanced 49%, revealing a defense-first identity where clean sheets are prioritized. Unlike leagues where both teams scoring is the default expectation, Portugal’s second tier sees more than half of its matches end with at least one side failing to find the net. Analytical approaches must account for this restraint, acknowledging that while probability suggests a coin-flip for BTTS, the underlying 2.47 goal average favors a more disciplined, low-scoring environment.
Q3: How does the specific data profile of the 2025/26 Portugal Segunda Liga shape the odds structure and where can analytical models find an edge? ▼
Because the Portugal Segunda Liga 2025/26 features a narrow 6% gap between home (40%) and away (34%) wins, the odds structure often compresses, offering higher prices on visiting teams than in more lopsided divisions. This weak home advantage means models focusing on away-side resilience can find unique opportunities. With Over 2.5 at just 43%, lines are frequently anchored to low-scoring expectations, meaning slight deviations in team-specific data create analytical leverage against the 2.47 goal average.

The sub-50% BTTS rate further tightens the "No" outcomes, allowing for specific focus on defensive pairings that excel in low-scoring environments. While these statistical fingerprints provide a roadmap, risk management remains essential as probability does not equate to certainty. Identifying where the 49% BTTS rate conflicts with specific squad rotations is key to finding an edge in this tactically rigid league.
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