Statistics / Football / Ethiopia. Premier League

Ethiopia Ethiopia Premier League Statistics (43)

Market Movements Predictions

Premier League 2025/26 Season Overview

10-18
Round 38 / 38
02-06
  • League goals trend: Average goals per match 1.70
  • Home win rate: About 31%
  • Away win rate: About 28%
  • BTTS rate (both teams to score): About 38%
  • Over 2.5 average hit rate: About 26%
  • Most attacking teams: Sidama Bunna
  • Best defensive teams: Fasil Ketema
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Ethiopia Ethiopia. Premier League (43)
xG Accuracy
Feb 06
13:00
Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna
1 1.49 0 1.23
Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha
62%
Feb 06
12:00
Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema
1 1.49 1 1.23
Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema
82%
Feb 05
13:00
Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
1 1.49 1 1.23
Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni
82%
Feb 05
12:00
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
1 1.49 0 1.23
Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema
62%
Feb 05
12:00
Bahardar Bahardar
2 1.49 2 1.23
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank
70%
Feb 05
10:00
Ethiopian Medhin Ethiopian Medhin
0 1.49 0 1.23
Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema
47%
Feb 04
13:00
Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena
1 1.49 1 1.23
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
82%
Feb 04
13:00
Adama Kenema Adama Kenema
0 1.49 2 1.23
Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema
54%
Feb 04
12:00
Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl
0 1.49 0 1.23
Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna
47%
Feb 04
10:00
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema
0 1.49 0 1.23
Suhul Shire Suhul Shire
47%
Feb 01
15:00
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 1.49 2 1.23
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
54%
Feb 01
13:00
Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema
1 1.49 0 1.23
Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
62%
Feb 01
12:00
Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema
1 1.49 1 1.23
Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna
82%
Feb 01
10:00
Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1 1.49 2 1.23
Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema
71%
Jan 31
13:00
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
0 1.49 1 1.23
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema
62%
Jan 31
13:00
Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna
1 1.49 1 1.23
Bahardar Bahardar
82%
Jan 31
12:00
Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha
1 1.49 1 1.23
Adama Kenema Adama Kenema
82%
Jan 31
10:00
Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema
2 1.49 0 1.23
Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena
62%
Jan 30
12:00
Suhul Shire Suhul Shire
0 1.49 0 1.23
Ethiopian Medhin Ethiopian Medhin
47%
Jan 30
12:00
Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema
2 1.49 0 1.23
Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl
62%
Jan 27
12:00
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema
0 1.49 0 1.23
Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema
47%
Jan 27
12:00
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
1 1.49 0 1.23
Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna
62%
Jan 26
15:00
Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna
0 1.49 1 1.23
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank
62%
Jan 26
13:00
Ethiopian Medhin Ethiopian Medhin
0 1.49 1 1.23
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
62%
Jan 26
13:00
Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl
0 1.49 0 1.23
Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha
47%
Jan 26
10:00
Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
0 1.49 0 1.23
Suhul Shire Suhul Shire
47%
Jan 25
15:00
Bahardar Bahardar
0 1.49 0 1.23
Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema
47%
Jan 25
13:00
Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema
2 1.49 3 1.23
Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema
53%
Jan 25
12:00
Adama Kenema Adama Kenema
0 1.49 0 1.23
Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema
47%
Jan 25
10:00
Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena
1 1.49 2 1.23
Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni
71%
Jan 22
13:00
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
2 1.49 0 1.23
Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
62%
Jan 22
13:00
Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna
3 1.49 0 1.23
Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna
47%
Jan 22
10:00
Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema
0 1.49 0 1.23
Ethiopian Medhin Ethiopian Medhin
47%
Jan 21
15:00
Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema
2 0.74 0 0.61
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
60%
Jan 21
13:00
Suhul Shire Suhul Shire
1 0.74 0 0.61
Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema
79%
Jan 21
12:00
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 0.74 3 0.61
Adama Kenema Adama Kenema
37%
Jan 21
10:00
Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1 0.74 1 0.61
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema
84%
Jan 20
15:00
Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema
2 0.74 1 0.61
Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl
64%
Jan 20
12:00
Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha
0 0.74 0 0.61
Bahardar Bahardar
69%
Jan 17
13:00
Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
4 0.74 0 0.61
Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema
34%
Jan 17
12:00
Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna
1 0.74 1 0.61
Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema
84%
Jan 17
10:00
Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema
0 0.74 2 0.61
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
56%
Oct 20
13:00
Suhul Shire Suhul Shire
1 1.49 0 1.23
Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema
62%

Ethiopia Premier League Betting & Prediction Guides

Want to understand how AI identifies value in Ethiopia Premier League matches? Explore our strategy guides:

Premier League Predictions FAQ

Q1: What defines the probability structure and upset patterns in the Ethiopia Premier League 2025/26? ▼
The Ethiopia Premier League 2025/26 is structurally more balanced than typical European top-flight competitions, where home advantage usually dictates the odds. With a home win rate of just 30% against an away win rate of 27%, the traditional "home fortress" narrative is nearly non-existent. This narrow 3% gap suggests that travel and venue have minimal impact on match outcomes, leading to a high frequency of draws and a structure where favorites often struggle to justify short prices on the road.

In this environment, upset patterns are less about "shocks" and more about the inherent parity of the league. Because outcomes are almost evenly split between home and away results, analysts must prioritize individual team form over venue bias. While this parity offers unique opportunities, remember that probability is never a certainty. Success requires disciplined risk management and a focus on long-term EV rather than chasing single-match results in such a volatile environment.
Q2: How does the Over/Under and BTTS structure distinguish the Ethiopia Premier League 2025/26 from other leagues? ▼
The Ethiopia Premier League 2025/26 is structurally lower-scoring than most Western European leagues, characterized by a profound lack of offensive volatility. A staggering Over 2.5 rate of only 26% confirms that nearly three-quarters of matches finish with two goals or fewer. This trend is anchored by a goals-per-game average of 1.71, positioning the league as one of the lowest-scoring professional competitions globally. The 41% BTTS rate further highlights a defense-first identity among managers.

This statistical profile forces a shift in how goal markets are evaluated. The "Under 2.5" outcome is the structural norm rather than a defensive outlier, creating a landscape where a single goal often decides the match. However, even with such clear trends, bettors must account for the high variance inherent in low-scoring sports. Consistent risk management and a focus on long-term EV are essential, as the thin margin between a 1-0 and a 1-1 result can drastically shift outcomes; probability is not certainty.
Q3: How does the specific data profile of the Ethiopia Premier League 2025/26 shape its odds structure and analytical edges? ▼
The Ethiopia Premier League 2025/26 is structurally unique due to its narrow 3% home-away win gap, which fundamentally alters traditional match-pricing models. Because the league features a 41% BTTS rate and 1.71 goals per game, the odds for "No" outcomes and "Under" markets are heavily compressed. This lack of venue bias means the odds spreads between home and away sides are much tighter than in leagues with strong home utility, often creating value on away picks that would be priced much higher elsewhere.

Analytical models find edges by identifying specific matchups where defensive lapses might defy the 26% Over 2.5 average. In such a low-scoring environment, a single goal carries immense weight, making the draw a frequent reality. Always apply strict risk management and focus on long-term EV. In a league this defensively focused, the difference between a win and a loss is often a single bounce, meaning probability never equates to absolute certainty.
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