Statistics / Football / Andorra. 1a Divisió

Andorra Andorra 1a Divisió Statistics (12)

Predictions

1a Divisió 2025/26 Season Overview

10-11
100%
05-17
  • League goals trend: Average goals per match 2.62
  • Home win rate: About 45%
  • Away win rate: About 37%
  • BTTS rate (both teams to score): About 41%
  • Over 2.5 average hit rate: About 53%
  • Most attacking teams: Inter Club d'Escaldes / UE Santa Coloma
  • Best defensive teams: UE Santa Coloma
Andorra Andorra. 1a Divisió (12)
xG Accuracy
May 17
09:00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2 1.45 0 1.25
Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada
61%
May 16
18:45
Ranger's Ranger's
2 1.45 0 1.25
FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma
61%
May 16
14:00
Carroi Carroi
2 1.45 1 1.25
Inter Club d'Escaldes Inter Club d'Escaldes
80%
May 16
14:00
Ordino Ordino
2 1.45 2 1.25
Esperança d'Andorra Esperança d'Andorra
70%
May 10
09:00
FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma
0 1.45 1 1.25
Ordino Ordino
63%
May 10
09:00
Esperança d'Andorra Esperança d'Andorra
0 1.45 3 1.25
UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma
42%
May 10
09:00
Inter Club d'Escaldes Inter Club d'Escaldes
3 1.45 1 1.25
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
61%
May 10
09:00
Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada
1 1.45 2 1.25
Ranger's Ranger's
72%
Apr 26
14:00
Ordino Ordino
0 1.45 1 1.25
Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada
63%
Apr 26
09:00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
3 1.45 0 1.25
Carroi Carroi
46%
Apr 25
17:30
Ranger's Ranger's
3 1.45 5 1.25
Inter Club d'Escaldes Inter Club d'Escaldes
23%
Apr 25
14:00
UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma
0 1.45 0 1.25
FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma
48%

Andorra 1a Divisió Betting & Prediction Guides

Want to understand how AI identifies value in Andorra 1a Divisió matches? Explore our strategy guides:

1a Divisió Predictions FAQ

Q1: How does the probability structure and upset frequency in the Andorra 1a Divisió 2025/26 compare to other European top flights? ▼
The Andorra 1a Divisió for the 2025/26 season exhibits a more compressed competitive landscape than typical top-flight European leagues. While many leagues show a massive gulf between home and away performance, Andorra’s 11% gap—defined by a 47% home win rate and a 36% away rate—suggests that travel and venue fatigue are less impactful in this compact territory. This parity often results in more competitive pricing for visiting sides, as the home advantage isn't the insurmountable hurdle found in larger geographical divisions.

Upset patterns here are driven by this narrow performance delta. Because away teams secure 36% of the points, models must account for the reality that probability does not equal certainty. In this league, the "home favorite" label carries less weight, requiring an analytical focus on squad depth rather than just venue. Managing risk is essential, as the structural balance of the 1a Divisió means that even slight shifts in form can flip a match result against the historical 47% home win trend.
Q2: What defines the Over/Under and BTTS structure for the Andorra 1a Divisió during the 2025/26 campaign? ▼
Unlike the high-scoring volatility of the Dutch or German leagues, the Andorra 1a Divisió 2025/26 season is defined by a "clean sheet culture." With a remarkably low BTTS rate of 39%, matches frequently see one side fail to find the net. This is a stark contrast to the European average, where both teams scoring is often the coin-flip default. This defensive rigidity exists alongside a 2.59 goals per game average, indicating that when goals do come, they are often concentrated on one side of the scoreboard rather than shared in a back-and-forth shootout.

The Over 2.5 market sits at a balanced 51%, making it one of the most balanced goal lines in continental football. Because nearly half of all fixtures fall under the 2.5-goal threshold, there is no "easy" trend to follow. While probability suggests a slight lean toward the Over, the low 39% BTTS rate implies that 3-0 or 4-0 blowouts are more common than 2-1 thrillers. Success requires identifying which defensive units can maintain this clean-sheet trend over the long-term EV of the season.
Q3: How does the specific statistical profile of the 2025/26 Andorra 1a Divisió shape the odds landscape for analytical modeling? ▼
The statistical fingerprint of the Andorra 1a Divisió 2025/26 creates a unique distortion in the odds landscape. Because the BTTS rate is a lowly 39%, the "No" outcome on both teams to score often carries heavily compressed odds, forcing analysts to look deeper into team-specific defensive metrics. This low-scoring symmetry, combined with a 2.59 goals-per-game average, means that odds on the "Under" are frequently more aggressive than in leagues with similar scoring totals but higher BTTS percentages.

Furthermore, the narrow 11% gap between home (47%) and away (36%) win rates prevents the inflated home-team pricing seen in major European divisions. Analytical models find an edge by identifying away teams that can exploit this lack of venue-based intimidation. Since the Over 2.5 sits at a near-even 51%, the most accurate forecasts focus on lopsided clean-sheet victories rather than goal-heavy exchanges. As always, risk management is essential when navigating these tight, defense-oriented margins where one goal often decides the entire outcome.
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