Saudi Arabia shows a strong model probability of 36.11% compared to the market probability of 13.33%, yielding a closing edge of 22.78 percentage points. The sharp-led market repricing supports this value. Main risk: Uruguay's higher Elo rating and historical strength in international competitions.
検証前に撤回
意思決定ライフサイクル
✓生成されたピック
✓追跡された市場
✓閉店
○記録されたROI
ベット追跡タイムライン
候補選択 @
7.50
2026-06-09
パス
Ranked 11/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 45.6). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-10
パス
Ranked 4/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 50.5). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-11
候補選択
@ 7.50
2026-06-12
更新
@ 7.50
2026-06-12
検証前に撤回
@ 7.50
2026-06-13
パス
Ranked 21/109 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 81.97). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-14
候補選択
@ 7.50
2026-06-14
検証前に撤回
@ 7.50
2026-06-15
パス
Ranked 27/66 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 47.54). Main risk: N/A.
—
締切
@ 9.00
2Germany vs CuraçaoWorld Cup
2026-06-12
BETCuraçao 勝利
29.00
43.50
-1.1pp
85
🔥
▾
エントリー
116日前
29.00
→
予想クローズ
43.50
予想CLV
-1.1pp
理由
Curaçao's odds have shortened significantly from 41.0 to 29.0, indicating strong market steam. The model probability of 34.24% far exceeds the market probability of 3.45%, creating a massive closing edge of 30.79 percentage points. Main risk: Germany's overwhelming quality advantage and Curaçao's limited historical performance at this level.
Algeria's odds have drifted from 7.0 to 9.0, but the model probability of 34.24% suggests significant value against the market probability of 11.11%. The sharp-led signal further supports this pick. Main risk: Argentina's superior squad depth and form.
検証前に撤回
意思決定ライフサイクル
✓生成されたピック
✓追跡された市場
✓閉店
○記録されたROI
ベット追跡タイムライン
候補選択 @
9.00
2026-06-11
パス
Ranked 10/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 66.42). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-12
候補選択
@ 9.00
2026-06-12
検証前に撤回
@ 9.00
2026-06-13
パス
Ranked 61/109 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 57.96). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-14
パス
Ranked 50/117 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 65.03). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-15
パス
Ranked 7/66 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 77.03). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-16
パス
Ranked 15/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 69.97). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-17
パス
Ranked 41/86 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 57.93). Main risk: N/A.
South Africa has strong steam indicators with a high breadth percentage and sharp market repricing. Despite limited historical data, the sharp move suggests value in backing the away side. Main risk: South Africa's limited historical performance data and low market probability.
検証前に撤回
意思決定ライフサイクル
✓生成されたピック
✓追跡された市場
✓閉店
○記録されたROI
ベット追跡タイムライン
候補選択 @
4.75
2026-06-12
候補選択
@ 4.75
2026-06-12
検証前に撤回
@ 4.75
2026-06-13
パス
Ranked 26/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.8). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-14
パス
Ranked 23/46 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.8). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-15
パス
Ranked 8/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.8). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-16
パス
Ranked 7/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 96.73). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-17
パス
Ranked 17/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.27). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-18
パス
Ranked 21/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.27). Main risk: N/A.
—
締切
@ 4.75
2Germany vs CuraçaoWorld Cup
2026-06-12
FADECuraçao 勝利
29.00
43.50
-1.1pp
81
🔥
▾
エントリー
116日前
29.00
→
予想クローズ
43.50
予想CLV
-1.1pp
理由
Curaçao's odds have dropped significantly, indicating sharp market activity. However, the massive elo difference against Germany and low market probability make this a contrarian fade. Main risk: The sharp repricing could reflect genuine underdog value.
検証前に撤回
意思決定ライフサイクル
✓生成されたピック
✓追跡された市場
✓閉店
○記録されたROI
ベット追跡タイムライン
候補選択 @
29.00
2026-06-07
レンズフィルター
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=205.5h)
2026-06-08
レンズフィルター
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=15, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=160.0h)
2026-06-09
レンズフィルター
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=15, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=136.0h)
2026-06-10
レンズフィルター
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=58, breadth=36%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=112.0h)
2026-06-11
レンズフィルター
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=58, breadth=36%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=88.0h)
2026-06-12
候補選択
@ 29.00
2026-06-12
検証前に撤回
@ 29.00
2026-06-13
パス
Ranked 32/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 88.64). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-14
パス
Ranked 32/46 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 86.16). Main risk: N/A.
—
締切
@ 43.50
3Belgium vs EgyptWorld Cup
2026-06-12
BETEgypt 勝利
5.50
6.06
-1.7pp
66
⚡
▾
エントリー
116日前
5.50
→
予想クローズ
6.06
予想CLV
-1.7pp
理由
Egypt shows decent steam indicators and a strong breadth percentage. The market repricing suggests potential value despite Belgium's higher elo. Main risk: Belgium's superior historical performance and elo rating.
検証前に撤回
意思決定ライフサイクル
✓生成されたピック
✓追跡された市場
✓閉店
○記録されたROI
ベット追跡タイムライン
候補選択 @
5.50
2026-06-08
レンズフィルター
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=28, breadth=92%, signal=volatile_market, kickoff_in=186.0h)
2026-06-09
レンズフィルター
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=28, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=162.0h)
2026-06-10
レンズフィルター
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=28, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=138.0h)
2026-06-11
レンズフィルター
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=56, breadth=62%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=114.0h)
2026-06-12
候補選択
@ 5.50
2026-06-12
検証前に撤回
@ 5.50
2026-06-13
パス
Ranked 27/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.59). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-14
パス
Ranked 25/46 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.69). Main risk: N/A.