Haiti's model probability of 36.11% significantly outpaces the market probability of 14.29%, yielding a strong closing edge of 21.82 percentage points. The low volatility and model-led market signal further support this bet. Main risk: Haiti's historical inconsistency and potential underperformance against a stronger Scotland side.
検証前に撤回
意思決定ライフサイクル
✓生成されたピック
✓追跡された市場
○閉店
○記録されたROI
ベット追跡タイムライン
候補選択 @
7.00
2026-06-08
検証前に撤回
@ 7.00
2026-06-09
パス
Ranked 10/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 46.3). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-10
パス
Ranked 5/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 50.5). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-11
パス
Ranked 14/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 51.77). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-12
パス
Ranked 26/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 47.49). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-13
パス
Ranked 75/109 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 49.97). Main risk: N/A.
Mexico's odds are heavily skewed in their favor, but the market is volatile, and South Africa's model probability of 34.24% suggests the home side may be overvalued. Fading Mexico aligns with contrarian principles. Main risk: Mexico's superior squad depth and home advantage could still dominate despite the market signals.
検証前に撤回
意思決定ライフサイクル
✓生成されたピック
✓追跡された市場
○閉店
○記録されたROI
ベット追跡タイムライン
候補選択 @
8.00
2026-06-05
パス
Ranked 6/11 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 53.3). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-06
パス
Ranked 6/11 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 53.3). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-08
検証前に撤回
@ 8.00
2026-06-09
パス
Ranked 7/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 49.1). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-10
パス
Ranked 12/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 43.5). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-11
パス
Ranked 12/22 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 52.6). Main risk: N/A.
