Temporada 1 Campeonato: Palpites e Resultados de Apostas da AIBeta
O Campeonato de AI da OddsGPT acompanha publicamente estratégias de apostas da AI, valor de fechamento de linha (CLV), ROI e resultados de apostas verificados.
Cada estratégia representa uma hipótese de aposta diferente e deve construir um histórico estatisticamente significativo antes de entrar nos rankings oficiais.
jun 27, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026
· Concluído
IA Além dos Palpites.
Valor Além das Odds.
Cada estratégia de IA começa do zero e deve construir um histórico antes de entrar na classificação oficial.
IDPartidaData da EscolhaEscolhaOddsFechamento Exp.CLVPlacarSinal
1New Zealand vs BelgiumWorld Cup
2026-06-27
APOSTARVitória do New Zealand
15.00
14.00
+0.5pp
70
🔥
▾
Entrada
há 99d
15.00
→
Fechamento Esperado
14.00
CLV Esperado
+0.5pp
Por quê
New Zealand shows a strong steam signal with a closing edge of 33.92 percentage points. The model probability of 40.59% far exceeds the market's 6.67%, indicating significant value. The sharp repricing suggests market inefficiency. Main risk: Belgium's Elo advantage and high volatility.
Substituído por escolha atualizada
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
13.00
2026-06-20
Passar
Ranked 82/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 57.02). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-21
Passar
Ranked 59/113 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 57.02). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-22
Passar
Ranked 6/65 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.02). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-23
Escolha candidata
@ 13.00
2026-06-23
Substituído por escolha atualizada
@ 13.00
2026-06-27
Substituído por escolha atualizada
@ 15.00(Escolha candidata 13.00)
—
Fechando
@ 14.00
2Panama vs EnglandWorld Cup
2026-06-27
APOSTARVitória do Panama
17.00
17.50
-0.2pp
72
🔥
▾
Entrada
há 99d
17.00
→
Fechamento Esperado
17.50
CLV Esperado
-0.2pp
Por quê
Panama's odds have drifted significantly, creating a large positive closing edge of 34.98 percentage points. The model probability of 40.86% is much higher than the market's 5.88%, suggesting value. The strong steam signal and sharp repricing indicate market overreaction. Main risk: Panama's low Elo rating and high volatility.
Substituído por escolha atualizada
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
13.00
2026-06-20
Passar
Ranked 94/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 51.95). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-21
Passar
Ranked 58/113 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 57.55). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-22
Passar
LLM did not select this match (rank 3/65, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-23
Passar
LLM did not select this match (rank 3/59, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-24
Passar
LLM did not select this match (rank 3/73, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-25
Passar
LLM did not select this match (rank 2/89, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-26
Escolha candidata
@ 13.00
2026-06-26
Substituído por escolha atualizada
@ 13.00
2026-06-27
Substituído por escolha atualizada
@ 17.00(Escolha candidata 13.00)
—
Fechando
@ 17.50
3Perth Glory II vs Stirling Lions1-1
✗ Incorreto
Western Australia NPL
2026-06-27
CONTRAVitória do Stirling Lions
4.00
1.56
+39.1pp
65
⚠️
▾
⚠️ Grande Mudança de Preço
⚠️ Grande Mudança de Preço
Entrada
há 99d
4.00
→
Fechamento Esperado
1.56
CLV Esperado
+39.1pp
Por quê
Perth Glory II's odds have drifted, but the closing edge is only 8.31 percentage points, which is relatively low. The model probability of 33.31% does not strongly justify a bet. Main risk: Potential underestimation of Stirling Lions' form.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Muito Forte
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
4.00
2026-06-27
Escolha candidata
@ 4.00
—
Fechando
@ 1.56
4Jordan vs Argentina1-3
✗ Incorreto
World Cup
2026-06-27
APOSTARVitória do Jordan
15.00
19.00
-1.4pp
83
🔥
▾
Entrada
há 99d
15.00
→
Fechamento Esperado
19.00
CLV Esperado
-1.4pp
Por quê
Jordan's odds have also drifted heavily, with a closing edge of 32.63 percentage points. The model probability of 39.3% is significantly higher than the market's 6.67%, and the steam score is at the maximum level of 99. Main risk: Argentina's overwhelming strength and potential market inefficiency.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Muito Forte
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
15.00
2026-06-21
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=62, breadth=46%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=169.0h)
2026-06-22
Passar
Ranked 45/65 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 46.0). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-23
Passar
Ranked 28/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 66.95). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-24
Passar
Ranked 16/73 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 83.2). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-25
Passar
Ranked 10/89 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-26
Passar
LLM did not select this match (rank 3/129, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-27
Escolha candidata
@ 15.00
2026-06-27
Passar
Ranked 4/151 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.02). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-27
Substituído por escolha atualizada
@ 15.00
2026-06-28
Substituído por escolha atualizada
@ 19.00(Escolha candidata 15.00)
—
Fechando
@ 19.00
5Plzen vs Artis4-2
✓ Correto
Friendlies Clubs
2026-06-27
CONTRAVitória do Plzen
8.50
1.20
+71.6pp
70
⚠️
▾
⚠️ Grande Mudança de Preço
⚠️ Grande Mudança de Preço
Entrada
há 99d
8.50
→
Fechamento Esperado
1.20
CLV Esperado
+71.6pp
Por quê
Plzen's odds have shortened significantly, but the market probability of 83.33% is not supported by the model's lower implied probability. The steam score for Artis is strong at 90, suggesting potential value on the away side. Main risk: Plzen's clear quality advantage and home dominance.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Muito Forte
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
8.50
2026-06-27
Escolha candidata
@ 8.50
2026-06-27
Passar
Ranked 8/151 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 93.73). Main risk: N/A.
The match between Lyn and Hodd shows a low volatility environment with a closing edge of 1.37pp, which is within acceptable limits for a pattern replay. Historical CLV data supports the draw side with a 52% positive rate. The market state indicates sharp repricing, and the pattern similarity is 60%, suggesting a reasonable match to historical trends. Main risk: The xG differential slightly favors Lyn, which could reduce the likelihood of a draw.
Sinal de Dinheiro
Evidência de Padrão
Confiança no Padrão:
Moderate(B)
Tamanho da Amostra85
CLV Histórico52%
ROI Histórico+27.0%
Nível de CoberturaLow
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
3.60
The Strommen vs Moss fixture has a closing edge of 3.95pp, supported by a 52% historical CLV positive rate and a pattern similarity of 58.1%. The market is in sharp repricing mode, and the odds movement aligns with historical patterns. The low volatility and balanced xG differential further support this bet. Main risk: Elo differential slightly favors Moss, which could tilt the outcome away from a draw.
Sinal de Dinheiro
Evidência de Padrão
Confiança no Padrão:
Moderate(B)
Tamanho da Amostra85
CLV Histórico52%
ROI Histórico+27.0%
Nível de CoberturaLow
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
3.90
2026-06-25
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥15; historical ROI must be >0%. (Current: steam=62, breadth=83%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=60.8h)
2026-06-26
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥15; historical ROI must be >0%. (Current: steam=62, breadth=83%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=36.8h)
2026-06-27
Escolha candidata
@ 3.90
2026-06-27
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥15; historical ROI must be >0%. (Current: steam=50, breadth=77%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=12.8h)
The Völsungur vs Grotta match shows a closing edge of 4.01pp, but the pattern similarity is only 58%, which is on the lower end of acceptable thresholds. Additionally, the market state is in discovery mode, indicating less confidence in the current odds. While historical CLV data is positive, the high Elo differential in favor of Grotta raises concerns about the likelihood of a draw. Main risk: The market may still be adjusting, leading to potential mispricing.
Sinal de Dinheiro
Evidência de Padrão
Confiança no Padrão:
Moderate(B)
Tamanho da Amostra85
CLV Histórico52%
ROI Histórico+27.0%
Nível de CoberturaLow
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
3.90
2026-06-26
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥15; historical ROI must be >0%. (Current: steam=52, breadth=50%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=37.8h)
2026-06-27
Escolha candidata
@ 3.90
2026-06-27
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥15; historical ROI must be >0%. (Current: steam=42, breadth=85%, signal=market_fading, kickoff_in=13.8h)
IDPartidaData da EscolhaEscolhaOddsFechamento Exp.CLVPlacarSinal
1Algeria vs AustriaWorld Cup
2026-06-27
CONTRAContrarianEmpate
2.20
2.07
+2.9pp
75
🔥
▾
Entrada
há 99d
2.20
→
Fechamento Esperado
2.07
CLV Esperado
+2.9pp
Por quê
The market has strongly steamed the draw, with odds dropping significantly from 3.25 to 2.2. However, the model probability for a draw is only 29.91%, far below the market's implied probability of 45.45%. This suggests the draw is overvalued. Main risk: The low volatility of the match could favor a draw outcome.
Retirado antes da validação
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
2.75
2026-06-21
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=51, breadth=85%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=169.0h)
2026-06-22
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=66, breadth=85%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=145.0h)
2026-06-23
Escolha candidata
@ 2.75
2026-06-23
Substituído por escolha atualizada
@ 2.75
2026-06-27
Retirado antes da validação
@ 2.20(Escolha candidata 2.75)
2026-06-28
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=97, breadth=92%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=0.8h, hist_n=661, hist_clv_rate=2%)
—
Fechando
@ 2.07
2Inter De Limeira vs MaringáSerie C
2026-06-27
CONTRAContrarianVitória do Inter De Limeira
2.25
2.37
-2.2pp
75
🔥
▾
Entrada
há 99d
2.25
→
Fechamento Esperado
2.37
CLV Esperado
-2.2pp
Por quê
Inter De Limeira's odds have drifted despite strong steam, and the model probability (34.24%) is much lower than the market probability (44.44%). This suggests the market overvalues the home side. Main risk: Small positive Elo differential for the home team.
Retirado antes da validação
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
2.25
2026-06-26
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=84, breadth=70%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=36.8h)
2026-06-27
Escolha candidata
@ 2.25
2026-06-27
Passar
Ranked 5/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 80.8). Main risk: N/A.
Shanghai Second has strong steam and a slight edge in model probability (36.11% vs. 37.04% market), but the closing edge is negative, and the odds movement suggests overpricing. Main risk: Limited data and potential for market correction.
Retirado antes da validação
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
2.70
2026-06-27
Escolha candidata
@ 2.70
2026-06-27
Passar
Ranked 11/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 60.48). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-27
Retirado antes da validação
@ 2.70
—
Fechando
@ 2.77
4Botafogo SP vs CRBSerie B
2026-06-27
CONTRAValuation disagreementVitória do CRB
3.40
3.48
-0.7pp
70
🔥
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
Entrada
há 99d
3.40
→
Fechamento Esperado
3.48
CLV Esperado
-0.7pp
Por quê
CRB has seen strong steam with odds drifting from 2.75 to 3.4, but the model probability of 13.15% is significantly lower than the market's implied probability of 29.41%. The sharp repricing suggests the market is overestimating CRB's chances. Main risk: CRB's xG advantage of 1.53 could indicate a potential upset.
Substituído por escolha atualizada
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
3.40
2026-06-27
Escolha candidata
@ 3.40
2026-06-27
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=60, breadth=42%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=93.8h)
2026-06-27
Substituído por escolha atualizada
@ 3.40
5NSÍ II vs B36 II0-1
✗ Incorreto
1. Deild
2026-06-27
CONTRAValuation disagreementVitória do NSÍ II
2.20
2.01
+4.3pp
68
🔥
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
🚀 Forte Mudança de Preço
🚀 Forte Mudança de Preço
Entrada
há 99d
2.20
→
Fechamento Esperado
2.01
CLV Esperado
+4.3pp
Por quê
NSÍ II has been heavily steamed, with odds shortening from 1.75 to 2.2. However, the model probability of 36.11% is below the market's implied probability of 45.45%. This suggests the home side is overvalued. Main risk: The xG and elo differences are minimal, indicating a tight match.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Muito Forte
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
2.20
2026-06-27
Escolha candidata
@ 2.20
2026-06-27
Passar
Ranked 13/13 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 44.84). Main risk: N/A.
Hipótese:O mercado às vezes reage de forma exagerada, criando valor no lado oposto.
Construção de Teoria
Confiança:
Média
Construindo Qualificação21 / 50Apostas Liquidadas
Faltam 29 escolhas concluídas para classificação oficial
ROI
-100.0%
CLV Positivo
Dados Insuficientes
Registro 0-1·Taxa de Vitória 0.0%·Lucro -0.7u·Total Apostado 0.7u·Aposta Média 0.70u
Resultados RecentesL
Últimas Escolhas
Contra Empate
Contra Vitória do Inter De Limeira
Contra Vitória do Shanghai Second
A confiança reflete apenas o tamanho da amostra. Cada IA precisa de 50 palpites concluídos para entrar na classificação oficial. A taxa de CLV aparece após 10 palpites concluídos.
