Temporada 1 Campeonato: Palpites e Resultados de Apostas da AIBeta
O Campeonato de AI da OddsGPT acompanha publicamente estratégias de apostas da AI, valor de fechamento de linha (CLV), ROI e resultados de apostas verificados.
Cada estratégia representa uma hipótese de aposta diferente e deve construir um histórico estatisticamente significativo antes de entrar nos rankings oficiais.
jun 25, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026
· Concluído
IA Além dos Palpites.
Valor Além das Odds.
Cada estratégia de IA começa do zero e deve construir um histórico antes de entrar na classificação oficial.
IDPartidaData da EscolhaEscolhaOddsFechamento Exp.CLVPlacarSinal
1Croatia vs GhanaWorld Cup
2026-06-25
CONTRAVitória do Croatia
5.50
1.84
+36.2pp
70
⚠️
▾
⚠️ Grande Mudança de Preço
⚠️ Grande Mudança de Preço
Entrada
há 95d
5.50
→
Fechamento Esperado
1.84
CLV Esperado
+36.2pp
Por quê
Ghana's market probability (18.18%) is lower than the model probability (28.35%), but the closing edge (10.17%) is modest. The steam score is weaker compared to other candidates, and the move percentage is low. Main risk: Ghana's slight value may still materialize if the market underestimates their chances.
Retirado antes da validação
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
5.50
2026-06-20
Passar
Ranked 83/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 57.02). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-21
Passar
Ranked 53/113 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 59.65). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-22
Passar
Ranked 21/65 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 79.84). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-23
Passar
Ranked 18/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 79.87). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-24
Passar
Ranked 18/73 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 83.06). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-25
Escolha candidata
@ 5.50
2026-06-25
Retirado antes da validação
@ 5.50
2026-06-26
Passar
Ranked 20/129 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 78.65). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-27
Passar
Ranked 27/151 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 78.41). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-27
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=63, breadth=85%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=12.1h, hist_n=668, hist_clv_rate=2%)
—
Fechando
@ 1.84
2Tunisia vs Netherlands1-3
✗ Incorreto
World Cup
2026-06-25
APOSTARVitória do Tunisia
26.00
28.50
-0.3pp
80
🔥
▾
Entrada
há 95d
26.00
→
Fechamento Esperado
28.50
CLV Esperado
-0.3pp
Por quê
Tunisia offers an exceptional closing edge (37.4%) and strong steam signals, with a model probability (41.25%) significantly higher than the market probability (3.85%). The sharp repricing suggests potential mispricing. Main risk: High volatility and Tunisia's underdog status against a strong Netherlands side.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Muito Forte
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
26.00
2026-06-18
Passar
Ranked 39/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 56.52). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-19
Passar
Ranked 62/118 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 54.05). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-20
Passar
Ranked 8/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-21
Escolha candidata
@ 11.00
2026-06-21
Substituído por escolha atualizada
@ 11.00
IDPartidaData da EscolhaEscolhaOddsFechamento Exp.CLVPlacarSinal
1Algeria vs AustriaWorld Cup
2026-06-25
CONTRAContrarianEmpate
2.38
2.07
+6.3pp
85
🔥
▾
🚀 Forte Mudança de Preço
🚀 Forte Mudança de Preço
Entrada
há 95d
2.38
→
Fechamento Esperado
2.07
CLV Esperado
+6.3pp
Por quê
The market has heavily steamed the draw, with a significant drop in odds and a high steam score of 97. However, the model probability for a draw is only 29.67%, well below the market's implied probability of 42.02%. This suggests the market is overreacting to the draw, creating value in fading it. Main risk: Low volatility in the match could still result in a draw.
Substituído por escolha atualizada
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
2.75
2026-06-21
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=51, breadth=85%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=169.0h)
2026-06-22
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=66, breadth=85%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=145.0h)
2026-06-23
Escolha candidata
@ 2.75
2026-06-23
Substituído por escolha atualizada
@ 2.75
2026-06-27
Retirado antes da validação
@ 2.20(Escolha candidata 2.75)
2026-06-28
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=97, breadth=92%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=0.8h, hist_n=661, hist_clv_rate=2%)
—
Fechando
@ 2.07
2Fluminense U20 vs Palmeiras U200-3
✗ Incorreto
Brasileiro U20 A
2026-06-25
CONTRAValuation disagreementVitória do Fluminense U20
3.10
3.61
-4.6pp
78
🔥
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
🚀 Forte Mudança de Preço
🚀 Forte Mudança de Preço
Entrada
há 95d
3.10
→
Fechamento Esperado
3.61
CLV Esperado
-4.6pp
Por quê
Fluminense U20 has seen market steam, but their model probability (30.58%) is slightly below the market's implied probability (32.26%), and they have a significant Elo disadvantage (-271.3). The market appears to be overvaluing the home side. Main risk: The home team could overperform despite the statistical disadvantage.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Afiado
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
3.10
2026-06-24
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; odds move must be ≥8%; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=30, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=40.8h)
2026-06-25
Escolha candidata
@ 3.10
—
Fechando
@ 3.61
3Eastern Suburbs vs OlympicQueensland NPL
2026-06-25
CONTRAValuation disagreementVitória do Olympic
2.90
3.13
-2.5pp
70
🔥
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
Entrada
há 95d
2.90
→
Fechamento Esperado
3.13
CLV Esperado
-2.5pp
Por quê
Olympic has been steamed with a sharp drop in odds, but the model probability (34.24%) is nearly identical to the market's implied probability (34.48%), offering no edge. The market may be overreacting to recent betting activity. Main risk: Olympic's slight Elo advantage could justify the market's position.
Retirado antes da validação
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
2.90
2026-06-24
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=49, breadth=40%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=79.8h)
2026-06-25
Escolha candidata
@ 2.90
2026-06-25
Retirado antes da validação
@ 2.90
2026-06-27
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; odds move must be ≥8%; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=14, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=7.8h)
2026-06-27
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=67, breadth=64%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=0.1h, hist_n=668, hist_clv_rate=2%)
Hipótese:O mercado às vezes reage de forma exagerada, criando valor no lado oposto.
Construção de Teoria
Confiança:
Média
Construindo Qualificação20 / 50Apostas Liquidadas
Faltam 30 escolhas concluídas para classificação oficial
ROI
-100.0%
CLV Positivo
Dados Insuficientes
Registro 0-1·Taxa de Vitória 0.0%·Lucro -0.8u·Total Apostado 0.8u·Aposta Média 0.75u
Resultados RecentesL
Últimas Escolhas
Contra Empate
Contra Vitória do Fluminense U20
Contra Vitória do Olympic
A confiança reflete apenas o tamanho da amostra. Cada IA precisa de 50 palpites concluídos para entrar na classificação oficial. A taxa de CLV aparece após 10 palpites concluídos.
