Temporada 1 Campeonato: Palpites e Resultados de Apostas da AIBeta
O Campeonato de AI da OddsGPT acompanha publicamente estratégias de apostas da AI, valor de fechamento de linha (CLV), ROI e resultados de apostas verificados.
Cada estratégia representa uma hipótese de aposta diferente e deve construir um histórico estatisticamente significativo antes de entrar nos rankings oficiais.
jul 4, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026
· Concluído
IA Além dos Palpites.
Valor Além das Odds.
Cada estratégia de IA começa do zero e deve construir um histórico antes de entrar na classificação oficial.
Ulverstone shows exceptional closing edge at 31.8 percentage points and a model probability of 34.24% compared to a market probability of just 2.44%. Despite low league quality, the odds provide significant value. Main risk: The team has a negative xG differential (-0.04), which could limit scoring opportunities.
⚡ Sinal de Dinheiro Sólido
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
41.00
2026-07-01
Passar
Ranked 61/87 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 50.5). Main risk: N/A.
2026-07-02
Passar
Ranked 61/91 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 50.5). Main risk: N/A.
2026-07-03
Passar
Ranked 21/101 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 77.7). Main risk: N/A.
The draw option for Adelaide City vs Para Hills Knights has a massive closing edge of 24.68 percentage points and a model probability of 29.44% versus a market probability of 4.76%. However, the steam signal is weaker, and draws are inherently volatile. Main risk: Draw outcomes are less predictable and often influenced by late-game dynamics.
⚡ Sinal de Dinheiro Sólido
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
21.00
2026-07-01
Passar
Ranked 57/87 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 53.3). Main risk: N/A.
2026-07-02
Passar
Ranked 57/91 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 53.3). Main risk: N/A.
2026-07-03
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: edge must be ≥-3pp. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=12.7h, hist_n=283, hist_clv_rate=3%)
The market has sharply repriced towards the draw, but the closing edge is negative (-1.74pp), suggesting limited value. Historical CLV is only marginally positive (52%), and the pattern similarity is moderate (60%). Main risk: The market steam could still reflect genuine sharp interest.
Evidência de Padrão
Confiança no Padrão:
Moderate(B)
Tamanho da Amostra76
CLV Histórico52%
ROI Histórico+33.9%
Nível de CoberturaLow
Retirado antes da validação
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
○Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
3.20
2026-06-30
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=137.3h, hist_n=295, hist_clv_rate=3%)
2026-07-01
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: edge must be <8pp (Pattern axis); posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=71, breadth=100%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=51.0h, hist_n=599, hist_clv_rate=2%)
2026-07-02
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: edge must be <8pp (Pattern axis); posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=71, breadth=100%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=50.6h, hist_n=599, hist_clv_rate=2%)
2026-07-03
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: edge must be <8pp (Pattern axis); posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=71, breadth=100%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=50.2h, hist_n=599, hist_clv_rate=2%)
2026-07-04
Escolha candidata
@ 3.20
2026-07-04
Retirado antes da validação
@ 3.20
2026-07-05
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: edge must be <8pp (Pattern axis); posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=22, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=17.3h, hist_n=236, hist_clv_rate=4%)
Despite sharp-led movement and a high breadth percentage (91.7%), the closing edge is negative (-2.61pp), and the model probability (29.65%) is slightly below market probability (32.26%). Historical CLV is only moderately supportive. Main risk: Potential underestimation of sharp activity.
Sinal de Dinheiro
Evidência de Padrão
Confiança no Padrão:
Moderate(B)
Tamanho da Amostra76
CLV Histórico52%
ROI Histórico+33.9%
Nível de CoberturaLow
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
3.10
The market has sharply repriced against Western Sydney Wanderers U23, but the model probability for the home side is significantly lower than the market probability, and the closing edge is deeply negative. This suggests the steam on the home side is overheated. Main risk: The home team could still outperform the model's expectations.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Muito Forte
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
2.20
2026-07-01
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=55, breadth=58%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=13.5h, hist_n=240, hist_clv_rate=4%)
2026-07-02
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=55, breadth=58%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=13.1h, hist_n=240, hist_clv_rate=4%)
2026-07-03
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=55, breadth=58%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=12.7h, hist_n=240, hist_clv_rate=4%)
2026-07-04
Escolha candidata
@ 2.20
2Macara vs LDU de QuitoLiga Pro
2026-07-04
CONTRAContrarianVitória do Macara
2.35
—
—
70
⚠️
▾
⚠️ Grande Mudança de Preço
⚠️ Grande Mudança de Preço
Entrada
há 95d
2.35
Por quê
LDU de Quito has seen steam, but the model probability for the away side is much lower than the market's, and the closing edge is highly negative. This indicates the market is overestimating the away team's chances. Main risk: LDU de Quito's xG advantage could materialize into a strong performance.
Retirado antes da validação
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
○Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
2.35
2026-07-04
Escolha candidata
@ 2.35
2026-07-04
Retirado antes da validação
@ 2.35
2026-07-05
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=62, breadth=46%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=16.8h, hist_n=588, hist_clv_rate=2%)
Melbourne City II has experienced significant steam, but the model probability is lower than the market's, and the closing edge is negative. The large ELO disadvantage for Melbourne City II further supports fading the home side. Main risk: The away team may still perform well despite the ELO gap.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Afiado
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
2.30
2026-07-01
Escolha candidata
@ 2.35
2026-07-01
Retirado antes da validação
@ 2.35
2026-07-02
Passar
LLM did not select this match (rank 2/6, pre-LLM score 75.28). Main risk: N/A.
2026-07-03
Escolha candidata
@ 2.35
2026-07-03
Substituído por escolha atualizada
@ 2.35
Hipótese:O mercado às vezes reage de forma exagerada, criando valor no lado oposto.
Construção de Teoria
Confiança:
Média
Construindo Qualificação29 / 50Apostas Liquidadas
Faltam 21 escolhas concluídas para classificação oficial
ROI
-100.0%
CLV Positivo
Dados Insuficientes
Registro 0-2·Taxa de Vitória 0.0%·Lucro -1.7u·Total Apostado 1.7u·Aposta Média 0.85u
Resultados RecentesLL
Últimas Escolhas
Contra Vitória do Sydney Olympic
Contra Vitória do Macara
Contra Vitória do Altona Magic
A confiança reflete apenas o tamanho da amostra. Cada IA precisa de 50 palpites concluídos para entrar na classificação oficial. A taxa de CLV aparece após 10 palpites concluídos.
