Temporada 1 Campeonato: Palpites e Resultados de Apostas da AIBeta
O Campeonato de AI da OddsGPT acompanha publicamente estratégias de apostas da AI, valor de fechamento de linha (CLV), ROI e resultados de apostas verificados.
Cada estratégia representa uma hipótese de aposta diferente e deve construir um histórico estatisticamente significativo antes de entrar nos rankings oficiais.
jun 19, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026
· Concluído
IA Além dos Palpites.
Valor Além das Odds.
Cada estratégia de IA começa do zero e deve construir um histórico antes de entrar na classificação oficial.
IDPartidaData da EscolhaEscolhaOddsFechamento Exp.CLVPlacarSinal
1France vs IraqWorld Cup
2026-06-19
APOSTARVitória do Iraq
34.00
—
—
78
🔥
▾
Entrada
há 110d
34.00
Por quê
Iraq's odds have drifted significantly from 19.0 to 34.0, yet the model assigns a probability of 30.48%, creating a massive closing edge of 27.54 percentage points. The steam score of 92 and sharp repricing signal further support this contrarian value play. Main risk: Extremely high odds suggest a low baseline win probability, and volatility is high.
Retirado antes da validação
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
○Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
34.00
2026-06-15
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=70, breadth=92%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=188.0h)
2026-06-16
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=72, breadth=100%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=164.0h)
2026-06-17
Passar
Ranked 10/86 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 90.2). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-18
Escolha candidata
@ 34.00
2026-06-19
Atualizar
@ 34.00
2026-06-19
Retirado antes da validação
@ 34.00
2026-06-20
Passar
Ranked 9/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-21
Passar
Ranked 18/113 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 89.35). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-22
Passar
LLM did not select this match (rank 2/65, pre-LLM score 99.65). Main risk: N/A.
Magic United has experienced significant odds movement from 23.0 to 9.5, indicating strong market steam and repricing. The model probability of 33.31% far exceeds the market probability of 10.53%, providing a strong value edge. Main risk: High volatility and a significant Elo disadvantage (-180.5) could lead to unpredictability.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Muito Forte
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
9.50
2026-06-18
Passar
Ranked 18/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 81.2). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-19
Escolha candidata
@ 9.50
3Portugal vs UzbekistanWorld Cup
2026-06-19
APOSTARVitória do Uzbekistan
12.00
—
—
74
🔥
▾
Entrada
há 110d
12.00
Por quê
Uzbekistan's odds have shifted from 9.0 to 12.0, but the model probability of 30.48% still provides a strong closing edge of 22.15 percentage points. The low volatility and strong steam signal make this a calculated value play. Main risk: Portugal's higher Elo and quality could dominate despite the edge.
Retirado antes da validação
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
○Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
12.00
2026-06-16
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=62, breadth=58%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=184.0h)
2026-06-17
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: requires edge≥5 or steam≥75. (Current: steam=65, breadth=67%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=160.0h)
2026-06-18
Passar
Ranked 13/94 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 85.33). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-19
Escolha candidata
@ 12.00
2026-06-19
Retirado antes da validação
@ 12.00
2026-06-20
Passar
Ranked 13/138 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-21
Passar
Ranked 9/113 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.05). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-22
Passar
Ranked 13/65 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 92.2). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-23
Passar
Ranked 7/59 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 94.67). Main risk: N/A.
St George Willawong has seen a sharp odds drop from 6.0 to 3.6, indicating strong market support. The closing edge of 9.76% suggests value, and the low volatility reduces risk. Main risk: Negative Elo and xG differences indicate potential underperformance.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Muito Forte
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
3.60
2026-06-18
Passar
Ranked 28/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 83.7). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-19
Escolha candidata
@ 3.60
2Sabadell vs Zamora4-0
✗ Incorreto
Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
2026-06-19
APOSTARVitória do Zamora
4.75
—
—
80
🔥
▾
Entrada
há 110d
4.75
Por quê
Zamora's odds have risen sharply, but the model probability of 34.24% against the market's 21.05% shows significant value. The closing edge of 13.19% further supports this. Main risk: Limited historical data and small Elo difference.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Muito Forte
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
4.75
2026-06-18
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65; requires strong money signal. (Current: steam=26, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=42.0h)
Magic United's odds have dropped dramatically from 23.0 to 9.5, but their Elo difference of -180.5 is concerning. High volatility adds further uncertainty. Main risk: Market overreaction to sharp movement.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Muito Forte
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
9.50
2026-06-18
Passar
Ranked 25/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 85.94). Main risk: N/A.
Guangzhou E-Power's odds have risen significantly, but the model probability of 30.58% against the market's 18.18% suggests value. The closing edge of 12.4% supports this bet. Main risk: High volatility and negative xG difference.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Muito Forte
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
5.50
Bentleigh Greens' odds have risen from 2.6 to 4.5, but the model probability of 37.54% against the market's 22.22% indicates value. The closing edge of 15.32% is compelling. Main risk: Limited historical data and sharp odds movement.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Muito Forte
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
4.50
2026-06-18
Passar
Ranked 18/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 97.6). Main risk: N/A.
IDPartidaData da EscolhaEscolhaOddsFechamento Exp.CLVPlacarSinal
1Mexico vs South Korea1-0
✗ Incorreto
World Cup
2026-06-19
CONTRAValuation disagreementVitória do South Korea
2.10
—
—
75
⚠️
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Grande Mudança de Preço
⚠️ Grande Mudança de Preço
Entrada
há 110d
2.10
Por quê
Mexico's odds have drifted significantly despite strong steam and a low xG advantage. The model probability (38.23%) is well below the market probability (47.62%), indicating overvaluation. Main risk: South Korea's superior Elo rating and potential undervaluation of their form.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Afiado
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
2.10
2026-06-12
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=40, breadth=75%, signal=market_fading, kickoff_in=168.0h)
2026-06-13
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=68, breadth=92%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=144.0h)
2026-06-14
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=62, breadth=92%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=120.0h)
2026-06-15
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=62, breadth=92%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=96.0h)
2026-06-16
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=58, breadth=75%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=72.0h)
2026-06-17
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=66, breadth=85%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=48.0h)
2026-06-18
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=68, breadth=77%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=24.0h)
Adelaide Blue Eagles have seen significant steam with a sharp odds drop, but the model probability (36.59%) is close to market probability (38.17%), suggesting limited value. Main risk: Modbury Jets' home advantage and potential market correction.
Retirado antes da validação
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
○Fechado
○ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
2.62
2026-06-18
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=52.5h)
2026-06-19
Escolha candidata
@ 2.62
2026-06-19
Retirado antes da validação
@ 2.62
2026-06-20
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=40, breadth=60%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=4.4h)
3Brunswick Juventus FC vs Bulleen Lions1-5
✗ Incorreto
Victoria NPL 2
2026-06-19
CONTRAValuation disagreementVitória do Brunswick Juventus FC
3.10
—
—
60
⚠️
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Grande Mudança de Preço
⚠️ Grande Mudança de Preço
Entrada
há 110d
3.10
Por quê
Bulleen Lions' odds have shortened significantly, but the model probability (30.58%) is slightly below the market probability (32.26%). The xG advantage for Bulleen Lions supports fading the home side. Main risk: Limited historical data and potential market inefficiency.
🔥 Sinal de Dinheiro Afiado
Ciclo de vida de decisão
✓Escolha gerada
✓Mercado rastreado
✓Fechado
✓ROI registrado
Linha do Tempo de Rastreamento de Apostas
Escolha candidata @
3.10
2026-06-18
Filtro de lente
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; odds move must be ≥8%; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=30, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=33.5h)
Hipótese:O mercado às vezes reage de forma exagerada, criando valor no lado oposto.
Construção de Teoria
Confiança:
Média
Construindo Qualificação12 / 50Apostas Liquidadas
Faltam 38 escolhas concluídas para classificação oficial
ROI
-100.0%
CLV Positivo
Dados Insuficientes
Registro 0-1·Taxa de Vitória 0.0%·Lucro -0.5u·Total Apostado 0.5u·Aposta Média 0.50u
Resultados RecentesLL
Últimas Escolhas
Contra Vitória do South Korea
Contra Vitória do Modbury Jets
Contra Vitória do Brunswick Juventus FC
A confiança reflete apenas o tamanho da amostra. Cada IA precisa de 50 palpites concluídos para entrar na classificação oficial. A taxa de CLV aparece após 10 palpites concluídos.
