South East Utd. has a significant closing edge of 27.57% and strong steam indicators. The model probability of 34.24% far exceeds the market probability of 6.67%. Main risk: Low league quality and limited historical data.
2Germany vs Curaçao7-1
✗ ไม่ถูกต้อง
World Cup
2026-06-14
เดิมพันCuraçao ชนะ
29.00
—
—
80
🔥
▾
ราคาเริ่มต้น
116 วันที่แล้ว
29.00
เหตุผล
Curaçao offers a massive closing edge of 29.14% and a model probability of 32.59% compared to a market probability of just 3.45%. Odds have shortened significantly, indicating sharp interest. Main risk: Extremely low implied probability and potential overreaction to steam.
Saudi Arabia shows a closing edge of 23.57% with a model probability of 36.9% against a market probability of 13.33%. Steam and sharp-led signals support the value. Main risk: Moderate elo advantage for Uruguay and potential underestimation of their strength.
1Floresta vs Figueirense1-2
✓ ถูกต้อง
Serie C
2026-06-14
เดิมพันFigueirense ชนะ
4.10
—
—
78
🔥
▾
ราคาเริ่มต้น
116 วันที่แล้ว
4.10
เหตุผล
Figueirense's odds have drifted significantly, creating a strong closing edge of 11.72 percentage points. Despite a negative Elo difference, the model probability of 36.11% is well above the market probability of 24.39%. Main risk: Elo and xG metrics slightly favor Floresta.
2026-06-13
ผ่าน
Ranked 7/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 103.83). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-14
ตัวเลือกที่แนะนำ
@ 4.10
2Canada vs QatarWorld Cup
2026-06-14
เดิมพันQatar ชนะ
13.00
—
—
70
🔥
▾
ราคาเริ่มต้น
116 วันที่แล้ว
13.00
เหตุผล
Qatar's odds have ballooned, offering a massive closing edge of 16.65 percentage points. The model probability of 24.34% is far higher than the market's 7.69%. Main risk: Qatar's Elo and xG metrics are weaker compared to Canada.
2026-06-11
ตัวกรองเลนส์
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥65. (Current: steam=48, breadth=83%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=189.0h)
2026-06-12
ผ่าน
Qatar's odds movement suggests steam, but the extreme elo difference and low market probability make this a high-risk bet. Main risk: Canada's superior metrics and lack of historical support for Qatar.
2026-06-13
ผ่าน
Ranked 16/60 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 98.65). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-14
ตัวเลือกที่แนะนำ
@ 13.00
2026-06-14
ถอนก่อนการตรวจสอบ
@ 13.00
2026-06-15
ผ่าน
Ranked 6/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 93.8). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-16
ผ่าน
Ranked 8/17 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 5 picks. (Pre-LLM score 93.8). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-17
ผ่าน
Ranked 21/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 91.34). Main risk: N/A.
2026-06-18
ผ่าน
Ranked 23/39 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 20 picks. (Pre-LLM score 91.34). Main risk: N/A.
Gimnasia Concepción shows a strong closing edge of 18.56 percentage points, and the model probability of 32.85% is much higher than the market's 14.29%. Main risk: Limited historical data to validate this sharp move.
Porto BA's odds have drifted significantly, creating a closing edge of 14.52 percentage points. The model probability of 28.81% is double the market's 14.29%. Main risk: Elo and xG metrics are nearly neutral, offering little support.
South East Utd.'s odds have drifted significantly, but the model probability of 34.24% seems overly optimistic given their weak xG metrics. Main risk: Market may be underestimating South East Utd.'s potential.
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
ราคาเริ่มต้น
116 วันที่แล้ว
2.70
เหตุผล
Hubei Chufeng Heli has seen a sharp odds drift, indicating strong steam against them. However, the model probability (28.81%) is significantly below the market probability (37.04%), suggesting the market may be overreacting. Main risk: Shenzhen 2028's superior Elo and xG metrics could justify the market move.
2AO Itabaiana vs Ituano2-2
✗ ไม่ถูกต้อง
Serie C
2026-06-14
ลดลงValuation disagreementAO Itabaiana ชนะ
2.40
—
—
68
🔥
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
🚀 การเปลี่ยนแปลงราคาอย่างมาก
🚀 การเปลี่ยนแปลงราคาอย่างมาก
ราคาเริ่มต้น
116 วันที่แล้ว
2.40
เหตุผล
Ituano's odds have shortened significantly, driven by strong steam. However, the model probability (32.39%) is well below the market probability (41.67%), indicating potential overpricing. Main risk: Ituano's slight xG advantage and market sentiment could align with their improving form.
