Prediksi yang boleh dipercayai
Ringkasan:
Kedua-dua {pasukan} kurus, tetapi harga pasaran mereka lebih tinggi (39.7% vs model 35.2%). Kelebihan kekal sederhana dan perlawanan kekal terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Anggaran saksama menunjukkan kelebihan sederhana berbanding harga pasaran semasa pada Midland.
Walau bagaimanapun, Patronato telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.
Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada Patronato.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patronato | 35.17% | 39.71% | -4.5 pp |
| Seri | 29.65% | 32.62% | -3.0 pp |
| Midland | 35.17% | 27.68% | +7.5 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
Patronato market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Patronato
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
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"model_team": "Patronato",
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"status": "strong_disagreement",
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"suppress_value_language": false
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"favourite_label": "Patronato",
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"headline": "Balanced match",
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"market_prob_pct": 39.7,
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"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
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"reliability_tier": "reliable",
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"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
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"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
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"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 7.49,
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"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "However, Patronato has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Midland.",
"note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Patronato.",
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"The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Midland.",
"However, Patronato has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market activity is currently concentrated on Patronato."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
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"At the same time, Patronato has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
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],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
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"max_gap_pp": 7.49,
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"status": "pass"
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"model_validation_label": "Pass",
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],
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"max_prob_pct": 35.2,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
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"rows": [
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{
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],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
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"lifecycle": {
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"closing_odds": null,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": null,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
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"current_stage_label": "Market monitoring",
"entry_implied_pct": 30.3,
"entry_odds": 3.3,
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{
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"move_display": "+0.0%",
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"pick_team": "Patronato",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_team_name": "Patronato",
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"premium_teaser": {
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"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
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},
"match": {
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"away_team_id": 1963,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1963.webp",
"away_team_name": "Midland",
"country_code": "AR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ar.svg",
"country_name": "Argentina",
"fixture_id": 1498357,
"goals_away": null,
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"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Argentina",
"home_team_id": 444,
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"home_team_name": "Patronato",
"league_country": "Argentina",
"league_id": 129,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/129.webp",
"league_name": "Primera Nacional",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-21 18:30:00",
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"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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"breakdown_resolved": [
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],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
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"away": {
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"best_odd": 3.3,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.02,
"ev": -0.0208,
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"p_final": 0.2967
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4299,
"best_odd": 2.8,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": -0.0128,
"ev": -0.1225,
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"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"best_odd": 2.3,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": -0.019,
"ev": -0.1304,
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"p_final": 0.3781
}
},
"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 2.5,
"edge_no": -0.1441,
"edge_yes": 0.1441,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.272,
"ev_yes": 0.3625,
"implied_no": 0.5991,
"implied_yes": 0.4009,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 3.1,
"best_under_odd": 1.4,
"edge_over": 0.1568,
"edge_under": -0.1568,
"ev_available": true,
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"ev_under": -0.2748,
"implied_over": 0.3252,
"implied_under": 0.6748,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.4942,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
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"breakdown_resolved": [
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"score": 6.5
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"execution": {
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"grade": "A",
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},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
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"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
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"draw_prob": 0.2965,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3518,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.0
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.019,
"ev": -0.1304,
"implied_prob": 0.3971,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3518,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Patronato"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1441,
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.4009,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
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"edge": 0.1568,
"ev": 0.4942,
"implied_prob": 0.3252,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1498357,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.4942,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3518,
"draw": 0.2965,
"home": 0.3518
},
"reason_codes": [
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],
"secondary_pick": {
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"ev": 0.4942,
"implied_prob": 0.3252,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
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"implied_prob": 0.3252,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Midland",
"home": "Patronato"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.4009,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1498357,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T08:40:59.540989+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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