Ya 53.5% · Tidak 46.5%
EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -28.8%
Condong nilai: BTTS Ya
Penilaian Prediksi
Prediksi yang boleh dipercayai
- Kegemaran
- Deportivo Madryn Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 44.3%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 39.8%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- kuat
- Pengesahan
- lulus
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Seri kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Perisikan Pergerakan Pasaran
- Pergerakan semasa
- Los Andes ↓ -5.4% 3.7 → 3.5
- Jenis bergerak
- ⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil
- Skor Stim
- 14C
Limited conviction - Keluasan pasaran
- 1/8
- fasa
- Tidak stabil
- Buku rujuk
- Bet365
- Pengesahan CLV
- Waiting for Close
Pergerakan terbesar hari ini
Laluan Odds — Los Andes
🐢 Drift perlahan selama 47j 50m
Buka
3.70
Rendah / Tinggi
3.45
semasa
3.50
Naratif Pasaran
Harga dua hala tidak stabil pada Los Andes (ayunan 3.70 → 3.45 → 3.50) — bersih 5.4% tetapi turun naik intrahari tinggi.
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- kuat
- Pengesahan
- lulus
- Jurang terbesar
- Seri -5.0 pp
- Keluasan
- 1/8
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Los Andes kemungkinan dipendekkan ↓ -5.4%.
Penilaian Pasaran
Pasaran dan model adalah sejajar secara meluas. Sebarang jurang harga yang kecil mungkin menggambarkan margin penggenapan atau pembuat taruhan, bukan percanggahan struktur.
Walau bagaimanapun, minat belian baru-baru ini ada pada Los Andes, dengan kemungkinan berkurangan sebanyak 5.4%. Pengesahan kekal terhad (1/8 buku), mencadangkan minat awal dan bukannya pergerakan pasaran yang luas.
- Harga semasa kekal hampir dengan garis dasar model.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Madryn | 44.34% | 39.75% | +4.6 pp |
| Seri | 29.02% | 34.01% | -5.0 pp |
| Los Andes | 26.64% | 26.24% | +0.4 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Deportivo Madryn lwn. odds semasa)
- Nilai yang mungkin: Lebih 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Ya (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Lebih 2.5
— Nilai
Deportivo Madryn · Kebarangkalian model 44.3%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 39.8%
EV garisan konsensus: -3.8%
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.3%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai +25%+ ·
EV Di Bawah -31.1%
(6 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -28.8%
BTTS: EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -28.8%
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
- Prediksi Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 2.7
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Volatile",
"phase_tip": "High disagreement or chop \u2014 low reliability for directional bets.",
"pick_team": "Los Andes",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "warn",
"signal_icon": "\u26a0\ufe0f",
"signal_key": "volatile_market",
"signal_label": "Volatile market",
"steam_score": 14,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "1/8",
"current_odds": 3.5,
"move_display": "\u2193 -5.4%",
"open_odds": 3.7,
"pick_team": "Los Andes",
"steam_score": 14,
"steam_team_name": "Los Andes",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 5.0,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 483,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/483.webp",
"away_team_name": "Los Andes",
"country_code": "AR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ar.svg",
"country_name": "Argentina",
"fixture_id": 1498353,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Argentina",
"home_team_id": 1929,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1929.webp",
"home_team_name": "Deportivo Madryn",
"league_country": "Argentina",
"league_id": 129,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/129.webp",
"league_name": "Primera Nacional",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-21 18:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Puerto Madryn",
"venue_name": "Estadio Abel Sastre"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2979,
"best_odd": 3.5,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0014,
"ev": -0.077,
"implied_prob": 0.2624,
"model_prob": 0.2669,
"p_final": 0.2637
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4163,
"best_odd": 2.7,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0208,
"ev": -0.1379,
"implied_prob": 0.3401,
"model_prob": 0.2901,
"p_final": 0.3193
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4194,
"best_odd": 2.31,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.019,
"ev": -0.0377,
"implied_prob": 0.3975,
"model_prob": 0.4429,
"p_final": 0.4166
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.53,
"best_yes_odd": 2.62,
"edge_no": -0.1637,
"edge_yes": 0.1637,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2885,
"ev_yes": 0.4017,
"implied_no": 0.6287,
"implied_yes": 0.3713,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 3.4,
"best_under_odd": 1.33,
"edge_over": 0.1916,
"edge_under": -0.1916,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.6388,
"ev_under": -0.3111,
"implied_over": 0.2904,
"implied_under": 0.7096,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.6388,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.535,
"draw_prob": 0.2901,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4429,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.38
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.019,
"ev": -0.0377,
"implied_prob": 0.3975,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4429,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Deportivo Madryn"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1637,
"ev": 0.4017,
"implied_prob": 0.3713,
"model_prob": 0.535,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1916,
"ev": 0.6388,
"implied_prob": 0.2904,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1498353,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.6388,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2669,
"draw": 0.2901,
"home": 0.4429
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.4017,
"implied_prob": 0.3713,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.535,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.4017,
"implied_prob": 0.3713,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.535,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Los Andes",
"home": "Deportivo Madryn"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.215531,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.6388,
"implied_prob": 0.2904,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1498353,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T02:38:10.324819+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Deportivo Madryn & Los Andes!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
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Argentina. Primera Nacional Ramalan
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