Ya 54.5% · Tidak 45.5%
EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -29.5%
Condong nilai: BTTS Ya
Penilaian Prediksi
Prediksi yang boleh dipercayai
- Kegemaran
- Nueva Chicago Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 36.1%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 36.7%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- kuat
- Pengesahan
- lulus
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Atletico DE Rafaela kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- kuat
- Pengesahan
- lulus
- Jurang terbesar
- Atletico DE Rafaela +5.6 pp
- Keluasan
- 6/6
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Penilaian Pasaran
Anggaran saksama menunjukkan kelebihan sederhana berbanding harga pasaran semasa pada Atletico DE Rafaela.
Walau bagaimanapun, Nueva Chicago telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.
Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada Nueva Chicago.
- Pantau pergerakan barisan sebelum sepak mula — bukan cadangan pertaruhan.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nueva Chicago | 36.11% | 36.74% | -0.6 pp |
| Seri | 29.65% | 34.64% | -5.0 pp |
| Atletico DE Rafaela | 34.24% | 28.63% | +5.6 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Nueva Chicago lwn. odds semasa)
- Nilai yang mungkin: Lebih 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Ya (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Significant line move — see market context below.
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Lebih 2.5
— Nilai
Nueva Chicago · Kebarangkalian model 36.1%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 36.7%
EV garisan konsensus: -10.0%
Garis pembuat taruhan terbaik yang tersedia: -4.4% EV
Sesetengah odds outlier pembuat taruhan mungkin masih menunjukkan nilai teori kecil berbanding garisan konsensus di atas.
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai +25%+ ·
EV Di Bawah -30.6%
(4 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -29.5%
BTTS: EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -29.5%
Nueva Chicago market context before kickoff
— Menjejaki on Nueva Chicago
- Odds move
- 2.45 → 2.45 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 6/6
- Steam score
- 40 (B)
- Current status
- 1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
- Prediksi Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 3.17
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
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"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2747,
"best_odd": 3.17,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0154,
"ev": -0.0437,
"implied_prob": 0.2863,
"model_prob": 0.3424,
"p_final": 0.3017
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4165,
"best_odd": 2.62,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0207,
"ev": -0.1468,
"implied_prob": 0.3464,
"model_prob": 0.2967,
"p_final": 0.3257
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4456,
"best_odd": 2.47,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0029,
"ev": -0.0997,
"implied_prob": 0.3674,
"model_prob": 0.3609,
"p_final": 0.3645
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.55,
"best_yes_odd": 2.5,
"edge_no": -0.1568,
"edge_yes": 0.1568,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2947,
"ev_yes": 0.3625,
"implied_no": 0.6118,
"implied_yes": 0.3882,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 3.4,
"best_under_odd": 1.34,
"edge_over": 0.1859,
"edge_under": -0.1859,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.6388,
"ev_under": -0.3059,
"implied_over": 0.2961,
"implied_under": 0.7039,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.6388,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2967,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3609,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.04
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0029,
"ev": -0.0997,
"implied_prob": 0.3674,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3609,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Nueva Chicago"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1568,
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.3882,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1859,
"ev": 0.6388,
"implied_prob": 0.2961,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1498356,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.6388,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3424,
"draw": 0.2967,
"home": 0.3609
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.3882,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3625,
"implied_prob": 0.3882,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Atletico DE Rafaela",
"home": "Nueva Chicago"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.215531,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.6388,
"implied_prob": 0.2961,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1498356,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-15T08:27:04.941226+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
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