Penilaian Prediksi
Prediksi yang boleh dipercayai
- Kegemaran
- Godoy Cruz Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 38.0%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 38.5%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- kuat
- Pengesahan
- lulus
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Central Norte kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Perisikan Pergerakan Pasaran
- Pergerakan semasa
- Central Norte ↓ -5.6% 3.6 → 3.4
- Jenis bergerak
- ⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil
- Skor Stim
- 31C
Limited conviction - Keluasan pasaran
- 4/8
- fasa
- Tidak stabil
- Buku rujuk
- Bet365
Gerakan dipimpin sharp: Betfair - Pengesahan CLV
- Waiting for Close
Pergerakan terbesar hari ini
Laluan Odds — Central Norte
🐢 Drift perlahan selama 27j 59m
Naratif Pasaran
Harga dua hala tidak stabil pada Central Norte (ayunan 3.60 → 3.10 → 3.40) — bersih 5.6% tetapi turun naik intrahari tinggi.
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- kuat
- Pengesahan
- lulus
- Jurang terbesar
- Central Norte +4.9 pp
- Keluasan
- 4/8
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Central Norte kemungkinan dipendekkan ↓ -5.6%.
Penilaian Pasaran
Pasaran dan model adalah sejajar secara meluas. Sebarang jurang harga yang kecil mungkin menggambarkan margin penggenapan atau pembuat taruhan, bukan percanggahan struktur.
Aktiviti pasaran sejajar dengan jurang harga terbesar pada Central Norte.
- Harga semasa kekal hampir dengan garis dasar model.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Norte | 32.39% | 27.47% | +4.9 pp |
| Seri | 29.59% | 33.98% | -4.4 pp |
| Godoy Cruz | 38.01% | 38.55% | -0.5 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Godoy Cruz lwn. odds semasa)
- Nilai yang mungkin: Lebih 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Ya (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
BTTS: EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -28.4%
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
- Prediksi Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 3.34
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"home_team_name": "Central Norte",
"league_country": "Argentina",
"league_id": 129,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/129.webp",
"league_name": "Primera Nacional",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-21 19:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Salta",
"venue_name": "Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4465,
"best_odd": 2.38,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0023,
"ev": -0.088,
"implied_prob": 0.3855,
"model_prob": 0.3803,
"p_final": 0.3832
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4204,
"best_odd": 2.7,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0184,
"ev": -0.1323,
"implied_prob": 0.3398,
"model_prob": 0.2959,
"p_final": 0.3214
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2779,
"best_odd": 3.34,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0136,
"ev": -0.037,
"implied_prob": 0.2747,
"model_prob": 0.3237,
"p_final": 0.2883
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.57,
"best_yes_odd": 2.5,
"edge_no": -0.1506,
"edge_yes": 0.1506,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2841,
"ev_yes": 0.36,
"implied_no": 0.6066,
"implied_yes": 0.3934,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 3.16,
"best_under_odd": 1.37,
"edge_over": 0.1755,
"edge_under": -0.1755,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.5231,
"ev_under": -0.2903,
"implied_over": 0.3065,
"implied_under": 0.6935,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.5231,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"draw_prob": 0.2959,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3803,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.12
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0023,
"ev": -0.088,
"implied_prob": 0.3855,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3803,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Godoy Cruz"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1506,
"ev": 0.36,
"implied_prob": 0.3934,
"model_prob": 0.544,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1755,
"ev": 0.5231,
"implied_prob": 0.3065,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1498346,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.5231,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3803,
"draw": 0.2959,
"home": 0.3237
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5231,
"implied_prob": 0.3065,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5231,
"implied_prob": 0.3065,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Godoy Cruz",
"home": "Central Norte"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.19584,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.36,
"implied_prob": 0.3934,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.544,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1498346,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T08:45:50.677756+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
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