Prediksi yang boleh dipercayai
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Quilmes kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Anggaran saksama menunjukkan kelebihan sederhana berbanding harga pasaran semasa pada Quilmes.
Walau bagaimanapun, Colegiales telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.
Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada Colegiales.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colegiales | 40.91% | 42.21% | -1.3 pp |
| Seri | 29.4% | 33.2% | -3.8 pp |
| Quilmes | 29.69% | 24.59% | +5.1 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
Colegiales market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Colegiales
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
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"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
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"draw_prob": 0.2939,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4096,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.24
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
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"edge": -0.0056,
"ev": -0.1023,
"implied_prob": 0.4221,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4096,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Colegiales"
},
"btts": {
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"edge": 0.148,
"ev": 0.3525,
"implied_prob": 0.393,
"model_prob": 0.541,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
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"ev": 0.4942,
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"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1498351,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.4942,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2965,
"draw": 0.2939,
"home": 0.4096
},
"reason_codes": [
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],
"secondary_pick": {
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"market": "ou_2_5",
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"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
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"market": "ou_2_5",
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"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Quilmes",
"home": "Colegiales"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3525,
"implied_prob": 0.393,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.541,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1498351,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-15T08:13:29.477160+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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